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Economy

Bitcoin Volatility: Five Key Factors You Should Know

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Bitcoin’s price volatility has long been a central focus for traders. This cryptocurrency continues to show erratic swings, with recent price movements reflecting its sensitivity to both internal and external factors.

For traders around the world, understanding the forces behind Bitcoin’s volatility is crucial to making informed trading decisions. Let’s discuss the five key factors influencing Bitcoin’s price volatility.

Market sentiment and media influence

Bitcoin’s price is highly susceptible to shifts in market sentiment, which can be heavily influenced by news coverage and social media.

Positive news, such as the approval of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), can trigger sharp price rallies. Negative headlines, such as regulatory crackdowns or exchange hacks, can cause panic selling. Traders should monitor news closely to anticipate market moves.

Regulatory changes and government actions

Major government actions have historically led to steep price declines. However, positive regulatory developments, such as clearer legal frameworks in major markets, can instil confidence and drive prices upwards.

Traders should stay vigilant about policy changes, as regulatory announcements can either dampen or boost investor confidence and directly influence volatility.

Liquidity and market size

Compared to traditional stock markets, Bitcoin’s relatively low liquidity plays a significant role in making crypto trading more volatile.

The fragmented nature of crypto exchanges means price discrepancies across platforms can be exploited, adding to short-term volatility. In addition, strategies such as high-frequency trading and leveraging can further exacerbate price movements.

For traders, it’s essential to understand that liquidity in crypto trading is still developing, and large trades can cause rapid shifts in price​.

Technological developments and security issues

While technological advancements aim to enhance the efficiency of transactions, security issues remain a significant driver of volatility.

Exchange hacks or security breaches can trigger rapid sell-offs, shaking market confidence. Technological milestones, such as upgrades or halving events, also tend to introduce uncertainty and increased volatility.

Traders should watch for upcoming technological developments, as these can create both risks and opportunities in the market​.

Macroeconomic factors and institutional adoption

Macroeconomic factors, including inflation rates, central bank policies, and geopolitical events, play an increasingly significant role in price movements. Bitcoin is sometimes viewed as a hedge against inflation, which can lead to increased demand during periods of economic uncertainty.

Institutional adoption is a double-edged sword. While it can bring stability, it may also exacerbate volatility when institutions engage in short-term speculative trading rather than long-term investments.

Conclusion

Bitcoin’s volatility is driven by a complex interplay of market sentiment, regulatory changes, and technological advancements.

Understanding these drivers can help traders better navigate the unpredictable waters of Bitcoin trading. Staying informed and adapting strategies in response to these key factors is crucial for those looking to profit from price movements.

Dipo Olowookere is a journalist based in Nigeria that has passion for reporting business news stories. At his leisure time, he watches football and supports 3SC of Ibadan. Mr Olowookere can be reached via [email protected]

Economy

Stock Market Gains N2.367trn as All-Share Index Rises 2.06%

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By Dipo Olowookere

The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited appreciated by 2.06 per cent on Friday, amid a rush for local equities due to encouraging earnings of companies for 2025.

Business Post reports that the buying pressure was across the key sectors of Customs Street yesterday, with the banking index growing by 2.49 per cent. The energy industry appreciated by 2.05 per cent, the consumer goods counter grew by 0.78 per cent, the insurance space improved by 0.64 per cent, and the industrial goods sector expanded by 0.44 per cent.

At the close of trades, the market capitalisation went up by N2.367 trillion to N117.027 trillion from N114.660 trillion, and the All-Share Index (ASI) gained 3,687.45 points to close at 182,313.08 points compared with the previous day’s 178,625.63 points.

Cornerstone Insurance, Infinity Trust, and Nestle Nigeria appreciated by 10.00 per cent each to sell at N6.38, N9.90 and N2,662.00, respectively, while Okomu Oil rose by 9.99 per cent to N1,327.00, with RT Briscoe up by 9.97 per cent to N17.42.

Conversely, SAHCO depleted by 10.00 per cent to M135.00, Guinness Nigeria lost 9.97 per cent to trade at N103.00, Omatek shrank by 9.39 per cent to N2.99, NPF Microfinance Bank decreased by 6.51 per cent to N5.60, and eTranzact slipped by 6.33 per cent to N10.80.

A total of 53 stocks ended in the green side and 33 stocks finished in the red side, representing a positive market breadth index and strong investor sentiment.

Data showed that 936.4 million shares valued at N52.7 billion were transacted in 50,068 deals on Friday versus the 698.3 million shares worth N28.438 billion traded in 50,886 deals on Thursday, indicating a rise in the trading volume and value by 34.10 per cent, and 85.56 per cent apiece, and a slip in the number of deals by 1.61 per cent.

First Holdco closed the session as the most active equity with 106.3 million units worth N5.1 billion, Zenith Bank transacted 72.6 million units valued at N5.7 billion, United Capital traded 45.4 million units for N963.2 million, GTCO sold 45.0 million units worth N4.9 billion, and Fidelity Bank exchanged 31.4 million units valued at N639.0 million.

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Economy

OTC Securities Exchange Extends Positive Run by 0.86%

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By Adedapo Adesanya

The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange rose further by 0.86 per cent on Friday, February 13, with the market capitalisation growing by N20.27 billion to N2.378 trillion from the previous session’s N2.357 trillion, and the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) rising by 33.87 points to 3,974.77 points from the 3,940.90 points it ended a day earlier.

The improvement recorded by the bourse yesterday was influenced by six price gainers led by Okitipupa Plc, which went up by N18.00 to sell at N260.00 per share compared with the previous day’s N242.00 per share.

Further, Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc added N3.39 to quote at N80.47 per unit versus N77.08 per unit, IPWA Plc chalked by 31 Kobo to finish at N3.44 per share versus N3.13 per share, Lagos Building Investment Company (LBIC) Plc gained 31 Kobo to settle at N3.41 per unit versus N3.10 per unit, Afriland Properties Plc appreciated by 31 Kobo to N16.51 per share from N16.20 per share, and Food Concepts Plc increased by 8 Kobo to N3.28 per unit from N3.20 per unit.

There were three price losers, led by MRS Oil Plc, which weakened by N10.00 to close at N170.00 per share compared with Thursday’s price of N200.00 per share, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc lost N2.59 to sell for N65.52 per unit compared with the preceding session’s N68.10 per unit, and Geo-Fluids Plc depreciated by 33 Kobo to N3.30 per share from N3.63 per share.

During the session, the volume of securities transacted by the market participants went up by 9.5 per cent to 9.4 million units from 8.6 million units, the value increased by 1,206.5 per cent to N703.6 million from N53.9 million, and the number of deals grew by 7.1 per cent to 45 deals from 42 deals.

CSCS Plc remained the most traded stock by value (year-to-date) with 27.1 million units exchanged for N1.5 billion, followed by Resourcery Plc with 1.05 billion units traded at N408.6 million, and Geo-Fluids Plc with 29.9 million units valued at N152.6 million.

Resourcery Plc ended the day as the most traded stock by volume (year-to-date) with 1.05 billion units sold for N408.6 million, followed by Geo-Fluids Plc with 29.9 million worth N152.6 million, and CSCS Plc with 27.1 million units sold for N1.5 billion.

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Economy

Naira Value Further Dips 0.13% to N1,355/$1

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By Adedapo Adesanya

The Naira depreciated further against the United States Dollar by N1.76 or 0.13 per cent on Friday in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) to close at N1,33.42/$1, in contrast to the N1,353.66/$1 it was exchanged a day earlier.

However, the Naira appreciated against the Pound Sterling in the same market window yesterday by N5.05 to trade at N1,844.59 versus Thursday’s closing price of N1,849.64/£1, and against the Euro, it improved by 75 Kobo to quote at N1,60/€1 versus the previous day’s N1,608.68/€1.

At the GTBank FX desk, the domestic currency lost N6 on the US Dollar on Friday to settle at N1,365/$1 versus the preceding session’s N1,359/$1, and at the parallel market, it chalked up N10 to trade at N1,430/$1 versus the previous day’s N1,430/$1.

The weakening of the Nigerian currency in the official market happened as the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) refrained from intervening in the official window.

The FX supply side was eclipsed by growing demand for foreign payments. Exporters’ inflows, non-bank corporate supply, and other market participants’ contributions had enhanced the FX liquidity level.

Pressure came with the entry of all duly licensed Bureau De Change (BDCs) into the official foreign exchange, although there are indications that the move will help the Naira-US Dollar exchange value, as BDC operators have started approaching their banks to understand the operational modalities and framework for accessing Dollars.

As for the cryptocurrency market, benchmarked tokens improved as US interest rate futures on Friday raised odds of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve after a report that showed inflation rose less than expected in January.

Data showed the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.2 per cent last month after an unrevised 0.3 per cent gain in December, with Solana (SOL) up by 7.9 per cent to $85.17, and Ethereum (ETH) up by 6.5 per cent to trade at $2,059.78.

Further, Cardano (ADA) added 5.3 per cent to close at $0.2758, Ripple (XRP) jumped 5.1 per cent to $1.42, Bitcoin expanded by 4.8 per cent to $69,357.35, Litecoin (LTC) grew by 4.7 per cent to $55.27, Binance Coin (BNB) jumped 4.0 per cent to $621.88, and Dogecoin (DOGE) increased by 3.8 per cent to $0.0965, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 each.

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