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Algeria’s Foreign Reserves Decline by $30b

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By Modupe Gbadeyanka

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) says Algeria continues to face important challenges posed by lower oil prices, leaving its foreign reserves falling by $30 billion to $113 billion.

From March 7 to 20, 2017, an IMF team led by Mr Jean-François Dauphin, visited Algiers to hold discussions for the 2017 Article IV consultation.

Discussions focused on the appropriate mix of policies to adjust to lower oil prices.

Mr Dauphin noted that Algeria’s overall economic activity was resilient, but growth in the non-hydrocarbon sector slowed under the effects of spending cuts and is estimated at 3.4 percent in 2016.

He said further that inflation increased from 4.8 percent in 2015 to 6.4 percent in 2016 and stood at 8.1 percent year-on-year in January 2017.

Also, he observed that unemployment increased to 10.5 percent in September 2016 and remains particularly high among the youth (26.7 percent) and women (20.1 percent).

But despite some fiscal consolidation in 2016, the fiscal and current account deficits remained large, and public debt increased.

“Efforts to adjust to the oil price shock are underway. The authorities achieved a notable reduction in the fiscal deficit in 2016 and have adopted an ambitious fiscal consolidation plan for 2017-19. They made progress improving the business environment and are working on a long-term strategy to reshape the country’s growth model to foster greater private sector activity and economic diversification. The central bank is adapting its monetary policy instruments to a tighter liquidity environment. This growing reform momentum is welcome.

“A key challenge at this juncture is choosing a policy mix that will help the economy adjust to the oil price shock in a way that is sustainable and the least costly in terms of growth and employment.

“Fiscal consolidation will need to be sustained as oil prices are expected to remain low and hydrocarbon reserves are exhaustible. At this stage, the consolidation should rely primarily on broadening the tax base, including through better tax enforcement and the rationalization of tax exemptions; containing current spending; gradually replacing costly energy subsidies, which mostly benefit the well-off, by direct support to the population most in need; and improving the efficiency of capital spending and reducing its cost. Investment in health, education, and well-targeted social safety nets should be preserved. These efforts should be supported by further strengthening the budget framework and closely monitoring growing fiscal risks.

“Too abrupt a fiscal deficit reduction, however, should be avoided to reduce the risk of a sharp slowdown in growth. In the mission’s view, given the relatively low level of public debt, Algeria could afford a somewhat more gradual fiscal consolidation than entailed in the current medium-term budget framework if it were to consider a broader range of financing options, including external borrowing and the sale of state assets,” Mr Dauphin said.

He said further that, “Th e mission strongly supports the authorities’ objective to decrease the economy’s dependence on hydrocarbons and unleash the potential of the private sector. This is not only needed to adjust to lower oil prices but also to ensure a sustainable source of job creation even beyond the horizon for proven oil and gas reserves. Achieving this goal will require wide-ranging structural reforms. Measures are needed to improve the business environment and access to finance, strengthen governance and transparency, make the labor market more effective, ensure that skills produced by the education system and sought by students match the needs of employers, foster greater female participation in the labor market, and further open the economy to foreign investment. The overall strategy should be designed and sequenced so that reforms reinforce each other and the burden of economic adjustment is shared equitably. Action should be timely as structural reforms take time to bear fruit.

“Exchange rate, monetary, and financial policies should support the adjustment. Further efforts to bring the dinar in line with fundamentals, combined with steps toward the elimination of the parallel foreign exchange market, would support fiscal and external adjustment. The Bank of Algeria is appropriately introducing open market operations, which should become its main monetary policy tool. The Bank of Algeria will need to stand ready to tighten monetary policy in light of growing inflationary pressures. Based on preliminary data, the banking sector as a whole remains adequately capitalized and profitable, but the oil price shock has increased liquidity, interest rate, and credit risks. It is therefore important to accelerate the transition to a risk-based supervisory framework, enhance the role of macro-prudential policy, strengthen the governance of public banks, and develop a crisis resolution framework.”

Mr Dauphin disclosed that during the visit, his team met with Finance Minister Hadji Baba Ammi; Industry and Mines Minister Abdessalem Bouchouareb; Acting Trade Minister and Housing and Urban Development Minister Abdelmadjid Tebboune; Education Minister Nouria Benghebrit; Labour, Employment, and Social Security Minister Mohamed El Ghazi and the Governor of the Bank of Algeria, Mohamed Loukal. The mission also held discussions with other senior government and central bank officials as well as with representatives of the economic and financial sectors and civil society.

Modupe Gbadeyanka is a fast-rising journalist with Business Post Nigeria. Her passion for journalism is amazing. She is willing to learn more with a view to becoming one of the best pen-pushers in Nigeria. Her role models are the duo of CNN's Richard Quest and Christiane Amanpour.

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Economy

Chilla Entertainment Injects N2bn into Zichis Agro Allied Industries

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zichis

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

A strategic non-equity capital of N2 billion has been pumped into one of Nigeria’s emerging integrated agribusiness companies, Zichis Agro Allied Industries Plc.

Chilla Entertainment is one of the promoters of Zichis. The capital injection reaffirms the investor’s confidence in the company’s vision, growth prospects, and long-term value creation strategy.

In a note to the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited, the funds will be a long-term liability in the company’s balance sheet to be redeemed at a future date in terms of debt conversion to equity during a public offer or rights issues.

It is designed to transform Zichis into one of Nigeria’s leading agro-industrial enterprises with a fully integrated value chain spanning feed production, poultry farming, palm cultivation, and agro-processing.

The newly injected capital will primarily be deployed towards expanding the firm’s operational capacity and strengthening its working capital position.

Key areas of investment include a significant increase in poultry production capacity, strengthening of the company’s integrated livestock value chain, and enhancement of operational efficiency and output levels.

In addition, the N2 billion would be used to increase the procurement of raw materials to support higher production volumes, grow the supply chain for the organisation’s feed mill operations, and position the business to meet growing demand within Nigeria’s livestock and poultry sectors.

Also, Zichis will accelerate the cultivation of its newly acquired 2,000-acre agricultural land in Ogun State to significantly increase its agricultural asset base and future revenue-generating capacity.

Zichis is strategically positioning itself to capitalise on these opportunities through its diversified agribusiness model, expanding production footprint, and disciplined execution strategy.

The endgame is to enhance shareholder value, expand operational capacity, build sustainable competitive advantages, and deliver long-term returns to investors.

Recently, the board and management visited the Nigerian Institute for Oil Palm Research (NIFOR) in Edo State for a strategic partnership on the acquisition of high-yield oil palm seedlings and the implementation of modern cultivation techniques across its expanding palm estate.

This collaboration is expected to enhance productivity, improve long-term yields, and support the company’s objective of becoming a major participant in Nigeria’s growing palm oil value chain.

Zichis reaffirmed its commitment to maintaining the highest standards of corporate governance, transparency, accountability, and regulatory compliance.

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Economy

Nigerian Manufacturers Caution on Hasty Ban on Textile Imports

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textile materials

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN) has called for stakeholder engagement over the Senate’s request for a ban on the import of textile materials.

The Director-General of the association, Mr Segun Ajayi-Kadir, said such a policy without proper engagement will only lead to failure.

“I want to appeal to the National Assembly: let us not go down this route the same way again. The failure of policy in Nigeria has principally been due to a lack of stakeholder engagement. You cannot shave a man’s head in his absence,” he said on Channels TV breakfast show on Wednesday.

“We pass resolutions, introduce policies, and enact laws that do not substantially reflect what is happening on the ground. That is why well-intentioned moves fail to achieve their objectives.

“We need stakeholder engagement. We need to bring all the existing textile industries to the table and ask them, ‘When, how, and where can you scale?’ We have an idea of the national demand, and we know the reasons why they are operating below 30 per cent of installed capacity. The question is, does the government have the political will to do what it takes to help them deliver?”

On Tuesday, the Senate asked the federal government to ban the importation of textile materials in a bid to boost local production and revive the country’s struggling textile industry.

It urged the federal government, through the Ministries of Agriculture and Trade and Investment, to take urgent steps to resuscitate textile manufacturing across the country, particularly along the Kaduna-Kano industrial corridor, citing its potential to create jobs and address rising youth unemployment and insecurity.

Mr Ajayi-Kadir said the country can meet its textile needs, but believes revival of the industry has to go beyond “passing” resolutions.

“It needs to be actively supported by measures that we have consistently recommended but have not yet been implemented,” the MAN chief said.

“For instance, are we going to enforce the patronage of made-in-Nigeria textiles within the government? When the National Assembly passed this resolution, how many of them were wearing made-in-Nigeria garments? If you look closer, how many of us are driving cars assembled in Nigeria?

“If you legislate a ban on textile imports, it must go hand-in-hand with the diligent implementation of Executive Order 003 and a ‘Nigeria First’ mindset. Are we going to enforce it from the Presidency to the National Assembly, the military, uniformed agencies, and even schools? Are we ready to enforce a ‘Nigeria Day’ where everyone is obliged to wear what is made in Nigeria?

“Is the government going to do its bit? Are we going to reject textile, garment, or uniform items in the budget unless they show a direct connection to local production? Are we going to muster what it takes to effectively implement the 30 per cent Common External Tariff (CET) on imports from third countries? Are we going to secure our borders so that the ban does not come to nought?

“A major conversation needs to take place for us to be serious about enforcing an import ban. It is not just by fiat,” he said on the show.

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Economy

Oyedele Says IMF Latest Assessment Positive

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Taiwo Oyedele

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Minister of Finance, Mr Taiwo Oyedele, has endorsed the 2026 Article IV Mission Concluding Statement on Nigeria by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), saying the report provides further independent validation that the bold and necessary reforms undertaken under the leadership of President Bola Tinubu are strengthening macroeconomic stability.

He noted the IMF’s overall positive assessment of the country’s economic reform programme, which projected economic growth of 4.1 per cent in 2026 despite persistent poverty, food insecurity, and renewed inflationary pressures arising from rising global fuel and food prices.

The Fund said that although the reforms have delivered improved macroeconomic outcomes, conditions remain difficult for many Nigerians. According to the IMF, poverty reached 63 per cent based on the national poverty line, while an estimated 27 million Nigerians faced food insecurity in late 2025.

According to Mr Oyedele, the IMF observed that reforms implemented over the past three years have yielded improved macroeconomic outcomes and enhanced Nigeria’s resilience to external shocks.

He said the Fund specifically highlighted improvements in foreign exchange market functioning, stronger external buffers, ongoing fiscal and revenue reforms, banking sector resilience, and growing macroeconomic stability.

“These developments affirm that Nigeria is moving in the right direction and is better positioned to withstand global economic uncertainties than at any time in recent years.

“The government is particularly encouraged by the IMF’s recognition that the difficult but necessary decisions to end fuel subsidies, eliminate deficit monetisation, liberalise the foreign exchange market, and strengthen fiscal discipline have contributed significantly to reducing vulnerabilities and rebuilding confidence in the economy. The report notes that Nigeria now faces global shocks with stronger policy frameworks and buffers than before.”

Mr Oyedele said the recent conflict in the Middle East has created new challenges for economies around the world through higher energy prices, rising food costs, tighter financial conditions, and disruptions to global supply chains. While these developments present inflationary pressures, the IMF acknowledged that Nigeria has demonstrated notable resilience.

He added that despite significant increases in global energy prices, the foreign exchange parallel market premium has remained below five per cent, sovereign spreads have remained broadly stable, and investor confidence has been preserved.

“The IMF further noted that Nigeria is well-positioned to benefit from higher energy prices through stronger export earnings, improved fiscal revenues, and increased foreign exchange inflows.”

The minister explained that the federal government remains focused on translating these opportunities into long-term gains by increasing crude oil production, expanding domestic refining capacity, growing gas production and exports, and attracting new investments across the energy value chain.

“While challenges remain, the direction is clear, and the foundations are stronger. The ultimate objective of these reforms is not merely improved economic indicators, but better outcomes for all Nigerians: lower inflation, decent jobs, higher incomes, greater economic opportunity, and a better quality of life,” he said.

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