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Greater Bay Area Residential Transactions Stabilized in 2H 2024 With Central Government’s Support
Neighborhood Retail Assets and Industrial/Logistics Sector Gain Investors’ Interest
- Since the Politburo’s emphasis in its September 2024 meeting that authorities “must work to halt the real estate market decline and spur a stable recovery,” Chinese mainland residential market sentiment has strengthened significantly, supporting a pick-up in primary market home sales
- Total investment volume in the Greater Bay Area (GBA) commercial real estate (CRE) market recorded RMB44.7 billion in 2024, accounting for 20% of total Chinese mainland CRE investment volume
- The industrial/ logistics sector became sought-after, accounting for 22% of total investment volume in the GBA, with transaction activity in second-tier GBA cities performing notably well
HONG KONG SAR – Media OutReach Newswire – 14 January 2025 – Global real estate services firm Cushman & Wakefield today published its Greater Bay Area Residential and Investment Market 2024 Review and 2025 Outlook. In reviewing 2024, GBA residential market sentiment remained cautious in the first three quarters, due to the slower-than-expected pace of economic recovery and a lack of confidence among potential buyers. However, since the Central Government emphasized at the Politburo meeting that authorities “must work to halt the real estate market decline and spur a stable recovery,” and put forward stimulus measures targeting both the demand and supply sides, residential transaction activity started to strengthen from October. The CRE investment market also began to show a steady uptrend from Q4 onwards, with neighborhood retail assets and the industrial/ logistics projects being the most sought-after by investors.
GBA Residential Market
Overall GBA residential market sentiment remained cautious in the first half of 2024 due to the economic slowdown in the Chinese mainland combined with a lack of confidence in the real estate market. Although overall GBA primary market residential transactions picked up in June following the introduction of the “517” new housing policies, the market then gradually digested the favorable impact in the subsequent months, failing to bring a sustained stimulus to residential transactions.
In late September, the Central Government then emphasized at the Politburo meeting that authorities “must work to halt the real estate market decline and spur a stable recovery”. Unlike the “517” new housing policies, which mainly targeted the demand side, this time the policies were designed to stimulate the market from both the demand and supply sides. The Central Government also introduced real estate measures summarized as “four cancellations, four reductions, and two additions,” aimed at lowering the cost of entry for buyers,and boosting the market’s confidence in developers’ capital flow by encouraging local governments to use funds from special-purpose bonds to reclaim and acquire idle land and unsold units. Since October, the residential market has become more active, with transaction numbers picking up significantly. Around 40,000 transactions were recorded in the GBA primary residential market in October, growing 70% m-o-m. Transactions through Q4 showed a strong recovery, growing 42% y-o-y and 72% q-o-q, with new home sales in Shenzhen and Guangzhou surging 165% and 72% respectively over the same period last year. These figures reflect that with the support of favorable policies, residential transaction activity in the Greater Bay Area is gradually recovering. Although total primary market transactions for the full-year 2024 reached approximately 318,000 units, a 16% y-o-y drop from 2023, the decline was concentrated in the first three quarters. (Chart 1).
Chart 1: GBA First-Hand Residential Sales
Primary market home prices are more swayed by the quality level of newly launched projects, and first-hand residential prices in the nine GBA Chinese mainland cities showed a mixed trend in 2H 2024. Secondary market home prices generally better reflect current underlying trends, and National Bureau of Statistics data shows that Shenzhen secondary home prices had been in a correction of -9.2% for the first nine months of 2024. However, since the Central Government introduced a series of stimulus measures for the real estate market in September and October, in particular the special-purpose bonds to improve developers’ cash flow, the sales price index of secondary market residential buildings in Shenzhen has stabilized, with m-o-m increases of 0.7% in October and 0.5% in November. We expect the price index in December to record similar growth to November, narrowing the annual decline to 7.7% (Chart 2).
Chart 2: Change in Shenzhen Secondary Home Price Index
Alva To, Cushman & Wakefield’s Vice President, Greater China & Head of Consulting, Greater China said, “In reviewing the easing policies introduced in 2H 2024, the Central Government has not only stimulated housing demand but also strived to stabilize supply. Among the measures, we believe the policy of encouraging local governments to use funds from special-purpose bonds to reclaim and acquire idle land and unsold units is the most noteworthy. This is expected to help developers improve their cash flow and liquidity, in turn strengthening market’s confidence in developers’ deliveries, while also ensuring a stable housing supply. Only with the gradual restoration of market confidence can the purchasing power stimulated by easing policies be truly unleashed. Looking ahead to 2025, we believe that the most challenging time is over and that the property market is now gradually stabilizing with the support of the Central Government’s policies. With the support of favorable policies, transaction numbers are likely to be maintained at the current level. We forecast that total first-hand residential transactions in the GBA will increase by 20% to around 380,000 units in 2025, supporting the gradual recovery of home prices.”
GBA CRE Investment Market
Charli Chan, Cushman & Wakefield’s Deputy Managing Director, Head of HK PRC Team, Capital Markets, said, “After significant downward asset price adjustments in the middle of the year, the GBA CRE investment market began to show a trend of stable recovery trend from Q4 2024. The GBA CRE investment market (large-sized deals at RMB100 million or above) recorded 66 deals totaling RMB44.7 billion for the full-year 2024, decreasing 9% y-o-y, accounting for 20% of the overall Chinese mainland investment market (Chart 3). Of the 66 large-sized deals, 15 were above the RMB1 billion mark, accounting for 23% of the total number of transactions, up from 20% in 2023. The GBA commercial property investment market continued to focus on the two first-tier mainland cities, Shenzhen and Guangzhou, recording total transaction volumes of RMB23.9 billion and RMB14.6 billion, respectively.
By property type, the office/R&D office sector continued to take the largest share of the market, accounting for more than half of the total investment volume for 2024. The share of the industrial/ logistics sector increased notably, from 9% of total investment volume in 2023 to 22% in 2024, chiefly driven by logistics demand spurred by cross-border e-commerce activities (Chart 4). This trend is also in line with the firm’s forecast six months ago.
Chart 4: Total CRE Investment Volume in the GBA by Property Type
Charli Chan added, “Looking ahead to 2025, investors are likely to remain cautious in the current market conditions. The abundant new supply of industrial, logistics, and office premises, combined with relatively few buyers in the market, is going to lead to increased competition, bringing downward pressure on property prices. However, the low interest rate environment in the Chinese mainland, and with further rate cuts anticipated, is expected to offset the downward pressure to a certain extent. Property prices are expected to remain generally stable in 2025.
“In terms of property type, the logistics sector currently remains the top choice for investors. However, Guangdong is facing a supply boom in the coming two years, which may exert pressure on rents. Neighborhood retail assets and community malls are expected to remain sought after, and industrial parks are also attracting greater market attention with the benefit of relatively long-term tenants. Yet, investors are advised to adjust their strategies in a timely manner, considering the effectiveness of the ‘Industry’s Going Upstairs’ (IGU) policy and the actual market situation. Among all asset classes, the office sector has experienced the greatest price pressure. We suggest investors to pay attention to projects held by U.S. dollar funds that are willing to offload assets with price discounts.”
Please click here to download photos.
Caption:
Alva To, Cushman & Wakefield’s Vice President, Greater China & Head of Consulting, Greater China (Left)
and Charli Chan, Cushman & Wakefield’s Deputy Managing Director, Head of HK PRC Team, Capital Markets (Right).
Hashtag: #CWK
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About Cushman & Wakefield
Cushman & Wakefield (NYSE: CWK) is a leading global commercial real estate services firm for property owners and occupiers with approximately 52,000 employees in nearly 400 offices and 60 countries. In Greater China, a network of 23 offices serves local markets across the region. In 2023, the firm reported revenue of $9.5 billion across its core services of valuation, consulting, project & development services, capital markets, project & occupier services, industrial & logistics, retail and others. It also receives numerous industry and business accolades for its award-winning culture and commitment to Diversity, Equity and Inclusion (DEI), sustainability and more. For additional information, visit www.cushmanwakefield.com.hk or follow us on LinkedIn (
https://www.linkedin.com/company/cushman-&-wakefield-greater-china).
Media OutReach
Woodfibre LNG Marks 2025 as a Year of Construction Progress, Environmental Stewardship and Community Partnership
Over the past year, the project advanced from planning into visible, on-the-ground execution. Major construction milestones included the pouring of foundations for key modules, continued progress on marine piling, and further implementation of modular construction techniques designed to reduce on-site footprint while accelerating delivery timelines.
These advancements were achieved through close collaboration with project partners, suppliers and contractors, and in partnership with the Sḵwx̱wú7mesh Úxwumixw (Squamish Nation).
In 2025, Woodfibre LNG, a member of the RGE group of companies founded by Sukanto Tanoto, continued to operate its floatel workforce accommodation solution, designed to minimise pressure on local housing and community services. As of November, two floatels were in active operation, providing high-quality, safe and comfortable living conditions for the project workforce while supporting construction efficiency.
Environmental protection remained a central focus throughout the year. The project’s Marine Mammal Monitoring Programme, which includes hydroacoustic monitoring, exclusion zones and shore-based observation posts, delivered measurable outcomes by enabling real-time operational decisions, including pauses to marine activities when marine mammals entered exclusion areas.
In parallel, remediation of legacy materials from the former pulp mill site continued, with hundreds of thousands of tonnes of historical waste removed. These efforts have contributed to improving site conditions for both local communities and marine and terrestrial ecosystems in Howe Sound.
Woodfibre LNG’s Operator Training Programme, delivered in partnership with the Squamish Nation Training and Trades Centre and the British Columbia Institute of Technology (BCIT), progressed throughout the year. The programme’s first cohort of graduates transitioned into full-time roles, supporting the development of long-term, skilled local employment opportunities linked to the project.
Through its Community Partnership Programme (CPP), Woodfibre LNG continued to invest in local communities across the Sea-to-Sky corridor. In 2025, the programme surpassed $1 million in total grants since its inception, supporting initiatives in sports, healthcare, emergency services, arts and culture, and youth development.
Luke Schauerte, CEO of Woodfibre LNG, said, “2025 has been a year of significant progress for Woodfibre LNG. We are proud of what our team and partners have accomplished together and look forward to building on this momentum in the year ahead.”
With more than half of the project’s development now complete, Woodfibre LNG remains focused on advancing construction safely and responsibly, while maintaining strong partnerships with Indigenous communities, local stakeholders and regulators.
As the project looks ahead to 2026, Woodfibre LNG continues its work toward delivering lower-carbon, responsibly produced Canadian energy to international markets.
Hashtag: #RGE #PacificEnergy #PacificCanbriamEnergy #WoodfibreLNG #LNG #environment #partnerships #LNG #liquefiednaturalgas #energy #sustainability
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About Woodfibre LNG
The Woodfibre LNG Project is owned by Woodfibre LNG Limited Partnership, owned 70 per cent by Pacific Energy Corporation (Canada) Limited and 30 per cent by Enbridge Inc. The Woodfibre LNG facility is being built on the site of the former Woodfibre pulp mill site, which is located about seven kilometres southwest of Squamish, B.C. Woodfibre LNG will source its natural gas from Pacific Canbriam Energy, a Canadian company with operations in Northeastern British Columbia. Pacific Canbriam is an industry leader in sustainable natural gas production. Woodfibre LNG and Pacific Canbriam Energy are subsidiaries of Pacific Energy Corporation Limited. Woodfibre LNG is the first industrial project in Canada to recognise a non-treaty Indigenous government, Sḵwx̱wú7mesh Úxwumixw (Squamish Nation), as a full environmental regulator.
Media OutReach
New Opportunities in Southeast Asia’s Digital Shift: Thailand Emerges as the New ASEAN’s AI Hub
The expansion of AI and data centers (DCs) in Thailand is driving several transformative trends:
- Changing data traffic patterns. As DCs multiply in Bangkok, Chonburi, and beyond, Thailand is evolving from a traditional data “transit point” into a regional “convergence hub.” East-west digital traffic is accelerating, with Thai DC clusters increasingly meeting the computing demands of Southeast Asia and the broader Asia-Pacific.
- Optimized data routing. Data flows that once relied on submarine cables via Hong Kong and Singapore are gradually shifting to land-based digital corridors linking China, Laos, and Thailand. This route reduces data transmission latency from southwestern China to Southeast Asia.
- Elevated business expectations. Demand is shifting beyond “sufficient bandwidth” toward “high-quality experience.” Thailand sits in a “latency sweet spot” for key Asia-Pacific markets, with latencies to Singapore, Vietnam, and Malaysia falling within an optimal range—a crucial advantage for latency-sensitive sectors like autonomous driving, telemedicine, and fintech.
New opportunities inevitably bring new challenges, and Thailand also addresses the following three challenges:
1. Massive traffic impacting existing networks: Compared with mature hubs like Singapore, Thailand has insufficient international submarine cables. A large volume of cross-border data still needs to be transmitted through detours. Meanwhile, as DC investments continue to accelerate, traffic will keep rising. Analysis shows that by 2029, Thailand’s DC capacity may reach 2000 MW, with cross-region traffic surging to 630 Tbps. The current network architecture is no longer capable of supporting such heavy traffic.
2. Latency advantages not fully realized: Despite its geographic advantages, Thailand’s network latency performance has yet to reach its full potential. Routes to key markets, like China, still require third-party transit. What’s more, traditional network scheduling lacks intelligent route selection capabilities, making it difficult to provide deterministic assurance for latency-sensitive services like financial transactions and real-time AI interactions.
3. Potential risks in network reliability: Thailand’s network reliability faces structural challenges. Single points of failure have previously caused hours-long interruptions to critical services, directly undermining enterprise users’ confidence.
To overcome these challenges, Thailand can take a systematic approach to upgrading its digital infrastructure, aiming to build next-generation AI-ready networks.
1. Building ultra-high-bandwidth “sea-land” connectivity. By actively introducing new submarine cables, Thailand can significantly enhance its connectivity with the Asia-Pacific region and the world. Meanwhile, accelerating the construction and expansion of key terrestrial cable routes—such as China-Laos-Thailand and Thailand-Malaysia-Singapore—will transform Thailand’s geographic advantage into a tangible connectivity advantage.
2. Optimizing network routes to create a regional low-latency core. Strengthening the Kunming-Laos-Thailand terrestrial cable route will continuously reduce transmission latency between China and Thailand, meeting the needs of real-time applications. In addition, the introduction of autonomous networks will enable automatic selection of the optimal, shortest route, shifting from “best effort” to “deterministic low latency.”
3. Designing a “never-interrupted” high-resilience architecture. Deploying active-active DC networks with millisecond-level switchover capabilities ensures the continuity of core services. Meanwhile, AI-driven intelligent O&M can reduce fault detection and diagnosis from hours to minutes.
Thailand’s booming AI and DC industries are driving rapid growth in regional and cross-border business demand. In this trend, network infrastructure construction centered on DCs is the core engine that drives AI transformation, propelling Thailand toward its vision of becoming the new AI hub for ASEAN.
Hashtag: #huawei
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Media OutReach
MyRepublic Launches Card Sub, Singapore’s First Subscription Service for Trading Card Game Fans
Hashtag: #CardSub, #MyRepublic #MyRepublicCardSub #CardSubSG #TCG #GeeksUseUs
https://myrepublic.net/sg/
https://www.linkedin.com/company/myrepublic
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https://www.instagram.com/myrepublicsg/
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MyRepublic
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