Economy

Okomu Oil: Great Finish to Epic Year

Published

8 years ago

20/04/2017

By ARM Securities

Over FY 16, The Okomu Oil Palm Company Plc (Okomu) reported a nearly two-fold YoY jump in earnings buoyed by an upsurge in commodity prices (CPO and rubber) and the company’s focus on containing cost.

In view of the buoyant operating performance, the company raised its dividend per share to N1.50 (FY 15: N0.10) yet still had sufficient capital to pursue its expansion plans.

Going forward, the still favourable price regime as well as management’s cost containment efforts leave scope for sustained earnings growth over 2017.

Okomu reported its fastest pace of revenue growth in five years as favourable pricing environment drove sales at the Crude Palm Oil (CPO) segment to record high even as rubber turnover recovered from the 2015 trough despite weaker volumes (-8% YoY to 7,140MT).

Pertinently, the robust CPO sales in the review period was buoyed by higher domestic CPO prices—which reflected combined impact of naira depreciation and bullish global CPO prices (+13% YoY) that deterred imports (29% of total supply).

At the other end, cartel like cuts by major rubber producers bolstered impact of weaker currency on rubber sales, which are entirely exported.

Management linked the decline in rubber volume to the combined impact of wind damage and fire outbreaks on some portion of the company’s rubber plantation which forced some rejuvenation exercises on a section of the company’s rubber farmland.

Given the price induced revenue growth, Okomu reported a moderate rise in input (+5% YoY) and operating (+22% YoY) costs despite rising energy expenses.

According to Management, the benign cost is a fall-out of deliberate increase in import substitution—with imported raw materials now reduced to about 10% of COGS—and tight control on labour costs (65% of overall cost).

Particularly, over the period, the company reduced its full-time employees by 5% to 534 with the knock-down effect applying downward pressure on salaries and wages (-4.4% YoY to N2.4 billion). Consequently, operating margin rose to a record high of 48% (operating profit: +112% YoY). Further down, despite FX loss of N1.0 billion1 which underpinned a nearly three-fold YoY jump in net finance cost, strong operating performance ensured a nearly two-fold YoY jump in earnings to a record high of N4.9 billion.

Over 2017, we expect revenue growth to be tempered by recent retracement in domestic CPO prices from January 2017 peak of N732/kg2 which management linked to the sharp appreciation of the naira (incentivising cheaper imports), declining demand, and onset of the harvest season.

Nonetheless, reflecting the lower base in 2016, we project mean CPO prices to be 38% higher YoY at N423/kg.

The foregoing combined with higher volume (+7% YoY to 38,853MT), informs our forecasted CPO sales to N16.7 billion (+37% YoY). With regards to rubber, management’s guidance of sustained rejuvenation exercise over the financial year underpins our flat volume projection of 7,140MT.

However, reflecting recovery in global rubber prices (Q1 17: +94% YoY, 2017E: +44% YoY), we project a 44% YoY jump in rubber sales to N3.2 billion which brings overall turnover to N19.8 billion (+38% YoY), sustaining its double-digit growth for the third consecutive year, albeit at a slower pace.

On costs, as with 2016, we expect both input and operating cost to rise modestly, given the largely price induced growth in top-line.

In addition, management intends to increasingly substitute its biggest remaining raw material import (fertiliser) with domestic alternatives if available, or cheaper imports. Furthermore, the company intends to connect to the national grid over the year, which could reduce power cost by as much as 60%.

Given that significant progress on this front is not expected until towards the end of the year, we believe the company’s expanded plantation of 21,798 hectares3 should drive a 10% and 21% YoY rise in COGS and OPEX respectively.

Given the company’s sizable external debt of N1.2 billion (43% of total borrowings), we expect vagaries in the FX rate, which we forecast at N360/$ at the year end to induce a N300 million FX loss (-72% YoY) with the reverberating effect expected to drive net finance cost 57% lower YoY to N451 million. Bringing it altogether, we project FY 17 earnings to climb 80% YoY to N8.8 billion.

Largely reflecting strong earnings growth thus far, Okomu has rallied 30.7% YTD, as with peer Presco (+17.2% YTD) outperforming the broader NSEASI (-6.2% YTD).

The stock trades at current P/E of 10.20x (forward: 5.6x) vs. 11.61x (forward: 8.46x) for Bloomberg Middle East & Africa peers with last trading price of N52.51 at a discount to our FVE of N63.10.

We maintain our BUY rating on the stock.

Source: www.armsecurities.com.ng.

Economy

Female-led Businesses Have 7.2% Higher Activity Rate Than Male Counterparts—Eniolorunda

Published

20 hours ago

29/11/2024

Modupe Gbadeyanka

By Modupe Gbadeyanka

The chief executive of Moniepoint Incorporated, Mr Tosin Eniolorunda, has said it’s more profitable to serve women than their male counterparts.

Speaking at the second International Financial Inclusion Conference 2024 organized by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and other critical stakeholders, he said women entrepreneurs have proven to be diligent and enhance profitability.

He disclosed that based on data harvested from the Moniepoint platform, “women-owned businesses are more likely to stay active and show higher engagement rates in financial transactions.”

According to him, in cases where financial support has been extended—through investments, KYC compliance, or the provision of tools like point-of-sale devices—female-led businesses have a 7.2 per cent higher activity rate than their male counterparts while looking at the gender relations with credit products, “women-owned businesses have an 87.5 per cent lower loan non-performance rate (NPL) than male-owned enterprises.”

He submitted at the event themed Inclusive Growth: Harnessing Financial Inclusion for Economic Development that for financial inclusion to be sustainable, especially for women, it must no longer be treated as a buzzword, charitable social activity or a checklist to be marked.

Mr Eniolorunda noted that financial service providers play a vital role in supporting gender-inclusive finance and that by collecting and analysing data on gender trends in small business performance, they can craft better policies, targeted products, and support services that encourage more women entrepreneurs.

Echoing similar sentiments, his counterpart at the Credit Registry, Ms Jameelah Sharrieff-Ayedun, said, “90 per cent of women’s income that they receive goes back to the communities and their families as such when women have access to credit, the community is enhanced, families are better off which is why it’s important that they can access this funding.”

In her summation, the Deputy Governor of the CBN for Operations, Ms Emem Usoro acknowledged some of the structural challenges that might require time and resources to be addressed including cultural practices and less systemic ones such as distance to financial services providers that stifle the participation of women-owned businesses, while signposting the power of data to catalyze inclusive growth and its viability for economic planning.

Economy

Stanbic IBTC Asset Management Moves to Protect Mutual Fund Holders

Published

21 hours ago

29/11/2024

Aduragbemi Omiyale

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

A significant step has been taken by Stanbic IBTC Asset Management to protect mutual fund holders from scams.

This is being implemented through a campaign launched by the organisation to raise awareness of scam attempts that may mislead customers into using incorrect account details, highlighting the tactics used by scammers to keep customers informed and vigilant.

Stanbic IBTC Asset Management intends to use this means to build trust and reassurance, reinforcing its dedication to the financial safety of its clients.

This move, taken in response to an alarming rise in scam attempts targeting mutual fund holders, will educate customers on protecting their investments and understanding the correct procedures for mutual fund subscriptions.

The firm has advised customers to verify the payment accounts for any Stanbic IBTC mutual fund investments, encouraging due diligence in confirming the legitimacy of financial communications.

The chief executive of Stanbic IBTC Asset Management, Ms Busola Jejelowo, said, “At Stanbic IBTC, our top priority is our customers’ financial safety, and we are fully committed to ensuring that our clients have the security they need while managing their investments.

“This campaign is designed to protect our customers and empower them with the knowledge necessary to recognise and verify the authenticity of any communications they receive.

“By doing so, we aim to foster a sense of confidence and security among our clients regarding their financial decisions.”

It was gathered that recently, enquiries about the authenticity of mutual fund subscription messages have surged. Many of these messages contain differing and potentially incorrect account numbers, leading to confusion and concern among investors.

The company has made it clear that customers should not hesitate to contact the support team directly with any concerns, questions, or suspicions regarding communications or transactions.

Economy

NASD Index Records 0.67% Appreciation

Published

23 hours ago

29/11/2024

Adedapo Adesanya

By Adedapo Adesanya

The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) recorded a 0.67 per cent appreciation on Thursday, November 28, with the portfolios of investors on the platform rising by N7.09 billion to N1.061 trillion from the N1.053 trillion it closed in the preceding session and the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) growing by 20.22 points to wrap the session at 3,026.60 points compared with 3,006.38 points recorded on Wednesday.

This happened after the unlisted securities market finished the trading session with three price gainers and two price losers.

Afriland Properties Plc gained N1.58 to end at N17.39 per unit compared with the midweek’s closing price of N15.81 per unit, as Acorn Petroleum Plc improved its value by 14 Kobo to close at N1.69 per share, in contrast to the previous day’s N1.55 per share, and Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc went up by N1 to sell for N23.00 per unit compared with the preceding session’s N22.00 per unit.

On the flip side, First Trust Microfinance Bank Plc lost 4 Kobo to finish at 32 Kobo per share versus Wednesday’s closing price of 36 Kobo per share and Geo-Fluids Plc slumped by 3 Kobo to sell at N3.90 per unit compared to N3.93 per unit it was sold a day earlier.

There was a 191.9 per cent rise in the volume of securities traded in the session as investors exchanged 2.9 million units compared with the previous trading day’s 1.0 million units.

Equally, there was a 283.9 per cent surge in the value of shares traded yesterday to N7.9 million from the N2.1 million recorded in the previous day, and the number of deals increased by 300 per cent to 12 deals from the three deals executed in the preceding day.

At the close of transactions, Geo-Fluids Plc was the most active stock by volume (year-to-date) with 1.7 billion units valued at N3.9 billion, trailed by Okitipupa Plc with 752.2 million units sold for N7.8 billion, and Afriland Properties Plc with 297.3 million units worth N5.3 million.

Aradel Holdings Plc remained the most active stock by value (year-to-date) with 108.7 million units worth N89.2 billion, followed by Okitipupa Plc with 752.2 million units valued at N7.8 billion, and Afriland Properties Plc with 297.3 million units sold for N5.3 billion.