Economy
Border Closure Will Drive Local Production, Stifle Smuggling–Emefiele
By Adedapo Adesanya
Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Mr Godwin Emefiele, has reacted to the controversies that have followed the decision of the federal government to close land borders with neighbouring countries as a means of encouraging local production and stifle the activities of smugglers.
This has brought a lot of criticisms and complaints from traders who rely on importation and dismissed fears that the borders would be shut for a longtime.
However, the CBN chief, who met President Muhammadu Buhari before his scheduled departure to Saudi Arabia on Monday, told journalists that the closure stemmed from the need to boost rice production and encourage poultry farming in the country.
According to Mr Emefiele, there was a syndicate operating among neighbouring countries which dump processed foods and other goods in Nigeria, thereby stifling economic activities in the agricultural value chain.
Business Post had reported last month that the federal government had ordered the closure of all land borders into Nigeria due to the prohibited activities of smugglers.
“You will all recall that in November 2015, President Muhammadu Buhari, the central bank and some state governors went to Kebbi State to launch the wet season rice farming.
“Since then, we have seen an astronomical growth in the number of farmers who have been going into rice farming and our paddy production has gone up also quite exponentially.
“Between 2015 and also now, we have also seen an astronomical rise in the number of companies, corporate organisations and individuals that are setting up mills, integrated mills, and even small mills in the various areas,” the apex bank boss said.
Mr Emefiele added that the CBN in partnership with the Federal Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development have put in place measures that does not only encourage the production of rice in Nigeria but also funding farmers by giving them loans to buy seedlings, fertilisers, or some of the herbicides needed for rice cultivation.
He also used the opportunity to lay a warning to parties involved in the illegal importation of banned goods into the country, “You will all recall that we have been embarking on a programme where we are saying if you are involved in the business of smuggling or dumping of rice in the country, we’ll close your account in the banking industry.”
Reiterating the bank’s commitment, he added, “About two weeks before the border closure, the chairman of the Rice Processors Association – incidentally he owns Umza Rice in Kano – called me and said that all the rice millers and processors are carrying in their warehouses nothing less than 25,000 metric tons of milled rice.
“That this rice has been unsold because of the smuggling and dumping of rice through Republic of Benin and other border posts that we have in the country, and that he would want us to do something about it.
“Secondly, we also have members of the Poultry Association of Nigeria who also complained that they have thousands of crates of eggs that they could not sell together with even some of the processed chickens that they could not sell, also arising from the problem of smuggling and dumping of poultry products in Nigeria.
“I was told also that after some meetings that were held in addition to those engagements that we (CBN) also held with the president, the border was closed subsequently.
“A week after the borders were closed, the same rice millers association called to tell us that all the rice that they had in their warehouses had all been sold.
“Indeed, a lot of people have been depositing money in their accounts and they have even been telling them ‘please, hold on, don’t even pay money yet until we finish processing your rice’.
“The Poultry Associations have also come to say that they have sold all their eggs, they have sold all their processed chickens, and that demand is rising.
He said that poultry and rice were the best examples of products that showed that the border closure were beneficial to the economy.
“The benefit is that it has helped to create jobs for our people. It has helped to bring our integrated rice milling that we have in the country back into business, and they are making money.
“Our rural communities are bubbling because there are activities, because rice farmers are able to sell their paddy.
“The poultry business is also doing well, and also maize farmers who produce maize from which feeds are produced are also doing business.
“These are the benefits. We are not saying that the borders should be closed in perpetuity, but that before the borders are reopened, there must be concrete engagements with countries that are involved in using their ports and countries as landing ports for bringing in goods that are smuggled into Nigeria.
“That engagement must be held so that we’ll agree on the basis under which: what are the kinds of products that they can land in their countries, because if those products they land in their countries are meant for their own local consumption, it is understandable.
“But the fact that those products are landed in their countries and then transshipped into Nigeria is something that I am sure you will all agree as Nigerians we should not allow to happen, because it undermines our economic policy, it undermines our own desire to make sure that industries are alive and jobs are created in Nigeria.” He added.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) has disclosed that ExxonMobil and its partners have committed $1 billion to on-block activities for the Usan Infill project in oil mining lease (OML) 138, a development expected to add 40,000 barrels per day of oil production.
According to a statement by NUPRC spokesperson, Mr Eniola Akinkuotu, the managing director of ExxonMobil affiliates in Nigeria, Mr Jagir Baxir, announced the investment commitment at the ongoing 2026 NOG Energy Week Conference on Tuesday.
Mr Akinkuotu said the investment is expected to add 40,000 barrels per day as Nigeria seeks to attract new upstream investment and raise crude oil production through the development of offshore and onshore assets.
“Esso Exploration and Production is the operator of OML 138, which contains the Usan field. The block is operated under a Production Sharing Contract with NNPC Limited,” he said.
“Co-venture partners in OML 138 include Chevron, TotalEnergies, and Nexen, a wholly owned subsidiary of CNOOC.
“As a short-cycle investment, the project is expected to sustain and increase production from the Usan field, with first production within 18 months after the seismic data identified the investment opportunity.”
Also, the chief executive of NUPRC, Mrs Oritsemyiwa Eyesan, said the announcement was particularly important because Esso Exploration and Production Nigeria – ExxonMobil’s affiliate – had not undertaken any drilling operation since 2016.
“With Esso’s last drilling operation dating back to 2016, the resumption of drilling signals renewed potential and value in our deep water acreage,” she said, noting that her organisation remains steadfast in advancing Nigeria’s portfolio of deep water projects.
She noted that the projects are critical to meeting the country’s production targets, boosting oil and gas reserves, sustaining government revenue, and strengthening investor confidence.
According to the statement, the NUPRC presented petroleum prospecting licences (PPLs) from the successful conclusion of the 2022/2023 mini bid round and the Nigeria 2024 licensing round.
“Some of the companies that were presented with their awards at the venue include: Broron Energy Limited (PPL 2009), Petroli Energy Marketing and Supply Limited (PPL 269), Sahara Deepwater Resources Limited (PPL 270 and PPL 271) and Tulcan Energy E&P Co (PPL 2008),” NUPRC said.
The commission said execution ceremonies for companies whose representatives were absent would be held at later dates agreed upon by both parties.
According to the NUPRC, the exercise covers 12 successful awardees across 19 PPLs, spanning a balanced mix of deep offshore, shallow water and continental shelf acreages.
The commission said the portfolio reflects the wide range of investment opportunities offered through the licensing rounds.
NUPRC described the awards as another major milestone in Nigeria’s ongoing drive to attract investment into the upstream petroleum sector.
The commission added that the awards would help accelerate exploration activities, expand the country’s hydrocarbon reserves, and generate long-term value for the Nigerian economy.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited has announced the signing of six strategic agreements with key partners, ranging from Memorandum of Understanding (MoU), Gas Supply Agreement (GSA) and other gas transportation deals, marking a significant milestone in Nigeria’s journey towards industrial revitalisation and enhanced energy security.
The agreements, executed on the sidelines of the ongoing 25th NOG Energy Week in Abuja on Tuesday, include: an MoU with Ajaokuta Steel Company Limited, ASCL; a Gas Sale Aggregation Agreement with Ajaokuta Steel Company Limited; a GSA with UTM FLNG; a Network Entry Agreement with Chevron Nigeria Limited; a Network Entry Agreement with AGPC, and a Network Entry Agreement with NNPC Exploration & Production Limited.
According to the chief executive of the NNPC, Mr Bayo Ojulari, the agreements underscore the state oil company’s commitment to advancing the federal government’s gas-based industrialisation agenda, driving sustainable economic growth and enhancing Nigeria’s energy security.
“What we are witnessing today is not just about signing agreements. It is about igniting the engine of Nigeria’s industrialisation. Gas is the key. It is a source of revenue and profit. It is also the only product that can have that level of industrial impact on Nigeria, more than any other hydrocarbon,” Mr Ojulari stated.
He particularly described the agreements as a testament to NNPC’s shared commitment to transparency, efficiency, and a standardised framework for Nationwide gas utilisation, which will unlock new supply capacity for the domestic market and solidify the role of gas as a catalyst for economic transformation.
Mr Ojulari noted that the agreements signal a new era of strategic partnerships that will drive local content, enhance energy security and accelerate Nigeria’s journey towards becoming a global industrial powerhouse.
He described NNPC as the partner of choice. “We are on a journey, even as we look forward to greater collaboration with industry partners.”
A cornerstone of the signing ceremony was the agreement with Ajaokuta Steel Company Limited. In the MoU, NNPC and ASCL committed to extend collaboration beyond gas supply, aiming to catalyse the production of raw materials for oil and gas pipes, a critical enabler for major infrastructure projects such as the African- Atlantic Gas Pipeline and the Escravos -Lagos Pipeline System (ELPS).
The MoU is anchored on two major pillars: the revitalisation of the Ajaokuta Steel Complex and the expansion of domestic gas utilisation through the Nigerian Gas Transportation Network Code.
This was complemented by the execution of a 20-year Gas Sale and Aggregation Agreement between NNPC E&P Limited, Gas Aggregation Company of Nigeria Ltd/Gte and ASCL.
This agreement will see the supply of 3MMscf/d of Firm Contract Volumes and 47MMscf/d of Interruptible Contract Volumes to be used as feedstock for the power plant servicing the steel complex.
NNPC Ltd/Seplat JV also took a major step towards commercialising Nigeria’s vast natural gas resources by signing a 15-year Wet Gas Sale and Purchase Agreement WGSPA between the NNPC Ltd/Seplat Energy Producing Nigeria Unlimited Joint Venture and UTM FLNG Limited.
Under the agreement, the Joint Venture will supply 200 million standard cubic feet of gas per day (MMscf/d) to the UTM Floating LNG project, providing the long-term feedgas certainty required to support financing and position the project for a Final Investment Decision (FID) in the fourth quarter of 2026.
Further demonstrating its commitment to a regulated and efficient gas market, NNPC announced the successful migration of legacy interconnection agreements to the new Nigerian Gas Transportation Network Code. This involved the signing of Network Entry Agreements with three major gas producers.
These agreements, signed with Chevron Nigeria Limited, CNL, AGPC, and NEPL, will inject up to 800MMscf/d of natural gas into the domestic transportation network. This will serve Nigeria’s power plants, Gas-Based Industries (GBIs), and industrial clusters, significantly enhancing network connectivity and operational flexibility while improving the security of gas supply.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has retained Nigeria’s economic growth projections at 4.1 per cent for 2026 and 4.3 per cent for 2027, expressing confidence that ongoing macroeconomic reforms will continue to support the country’s recovery.
The projections, contained in the IMF’s July 2026 World Economic Outlook (WEO) Update titled “Global Economy in Crosscurrents of War and Technology”, remain unchanged from the forecasts released in April, despite mounting global uncertainties stemming from the conflict in the Middle East.
According to the report released yesterday, Nigeria’s growth outlook is being supported by improved macroeconomic stability and favourable terms of trade arising from its status as an oil-exporting nation.
However, the Bretton Woods institution warned that rising prices of essential goods could offset part of these gains by worsening poverty and food insecurity across the country.
The report stated that, “Nigeria is supported by improved macroeconomic stability and favourable terms of trade effects, though higher prices for essentials are expected to further aggravate poverty and food insecurity.”
Speaking during the IMF’s virtual briefing on the July 2026 World Economic Outlook Update for Sub-Saharan Africa and Nigeria, Division Chief in the IMF’s Research Department, Ms Deniz Igan, described Nigeria as one of the region’s stronger-performing large economies, noting that policy reforms have strengthened macroeconomic stability.
“Just to give you a sense, the two largest economies in the region, Nigeria is expected to grow at 4.1 per cent, quite stable, and this is supported by improved macroeconomic stability and favourable terms of trade, with Nigeria being an oil exporter,” Ms Igan said.
She, however, cautioned that inflationary pressures on essential commodities remain a major concern.
“At the same time, tighter prices, so there is some offset to that positive terms of trade effect because higher prices for essentials are expected to aggravate poverty and food insecurity,” she added.
The lender also retained Nigeria’s 2027 growth forecast at 4.3 per cent, as it noted that recent economic reforms are laying the foundation for sustained expansion despite persistent global headwinds.
For the global economy, the IMF projected growth to moderate to 3.0 per cent in 2026 from 3.5 per cent recorded in 2025, attributing the slowdown largely to the economic impact of the Middle East conflict, which is expected to offset part of the gains from the accelerating artificial intelligence-driven technology cycle.
For Sub-Saharan Africa, the IMF projected economic growth of 4.3 per cent in 2026 before improving to 4.5 per cent in 2027. The latest forecast represents a 0.1 percentage point upward revision from the Fund’s April outlook.
Ms Igan noted that the region had experienced broad-based economic recovery in 2025 before the outbreak of the Middle East conflict altered the growth trajectory.
“Let me start by noting that we actually had seen a broad-based pickup in growth in 2025 in the region. We had an acceleration of growth to 4.5 per cent.
“Now, the war obviously has clouded the outlook for 2026, and we are now projecting a softening of growth to 4.3 per cent in the region as a whole,” she said.
