Economy
Oil Rise as Libya Shuts Two Oilfields Amid Tension
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil prices rose on Monday as violence in oil producing African country, Libya, pushed demand on fear of disruption to supply.
In the tension-charged country, two large crude production bases began shutting down due to a military blockade that will show a drop to oil production from the country.
As a result, Brent crude was up 33 cents or 0.51 percent to $65.18 per barrel while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose by 0.84 percent or 49 cents, to settle at $59.07 per barrel on Monday night.
According to reports, supporters of military commander, Khalifa Haftar, closed a pipeline connecting Libya’s largest oilfield and another major production base. This military blockade prompted both oilfields to stop production, Libya’s National Oil Corporation (NOC) said on Sunday.
And with the halt to production fields – the Sharara and El Feel, almost all the country’s oil output will be offline. Libya’s biggest oilfield, El-Shahara, can produce up to 320,000 barrels of oil per day, while the El-Feel, the other oilfield being shut, is 70,000 barrels. This means almost 400,000 barrels will be shut down as a result but analyses say this won’t have a major effect on global supply because Libya produces 1.2 million barrels per day.
It was stated that any spare capacity can simply be absorbed by other Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) members which will need to pump a little more to compensate, something that will be welcomed as an agreement holds each member accountable to a cut.
Khalifa Haftar and the recognized Libyan Prime Minister, Mr Fayez Sarraj, have been fighting for control of Libya for the past five years. Other countries that have taken a side in the civil war agreed on Sunday to respect an arms embargo and not provide military support to either side but pursue a ceasefire with international organisation like the European Union. Efforts are being done to stop the tension that had risen since 2011 with the assassination of Muammar Ghaddafi.
It was also noted that due to the Martin Luther King Jr. holiday in the United States, there wasn’t much trading.
Oil has experienced a very shaky start to the year as tension spiked early in January between the United States and Iran and initial optimism over the phase one US-China trade deal did not meet expectations amid skepticism about China’s ability to meet targets. Prices surged earlier this month after Iran retaliated for the U.S. killing of General Qassem Soleimani before returning back to losses after President Donald Trump of the US said he wasn’t going to retaliate the attacks.
Members of OPEC also continue to help prices as they reduce production by 1.7 million barrels per day, above the previous 1.2 million barrels per day while non-OPEC output is expected to climb this year, meaning that there could be risk that oil supply will rise with any spike in prices.
Economy
Customs Street Dips 0.57% as Equity Investors Book Profit
By Dipo Olowookere
The bears took control of Customs Street on Tuesday after equity investors embarked on profit-taking, resulting in the market closing lower by 0.57 per cent.
Sell-offs were witnessed in almost all the key sectors of the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited yesterday, as the only riser was the insurance index, which gained 0.04 per cent.
The industrial goods space shrank by 0.71 per cent, the banking counter depreciated by 0.48 per cent, the energy counter fell by 0.29 per cent, and the consumer goods sector also slipped by 0.29 per cent.
Consequently, the All-Share Index (ASI) moderated by 1,130.86 points to 196,066.11 points from 197,196.97 points, and the market capitalisation contracted by N726 billion to N125.858 trillion from N126.584 trillion.
Mutual Benefits lost 10.00 per cent to trade at N4.59, NASCON also gave up 10.00 per cent to sell for N147.60, Red Star Express dropped 9.94 per cent to N28.55, Austin Laz slumped 9.88 per cent to N3.74, and SCOA Nigeria depreciated by 9.85 per cent to N27.90.
On the flip side, Premier Paints gained 9.97 per cent to close at N17.65, Sunu Assurances appreciated by 9.95 per cent to N4.75, Conoil improved by 9.95 per cent to N204.40, DAAR Communications expanded by 9.84 per cent to N2.01, and Eterna grew by 9.56 per cent to N51.00.
Business Post observed that there was a stronger selling pressure yesterday after a fall in the global crude oil market. The bourse ended with 26 price gainers and 44 price losers, reflecting a negative market breadth index and weak investor sentiment.
A total of 746.9 million equities valued at N27.9 billion exchanged hands in 65,275 deals during the session versus the 762.5 million equities worth N31.2 billion traded in 86,488 deals in the preceding day, showing a decline in the trading volume, value and number of deals by 2.05 per cent, 10.58 per cent, and 24.53 per cent, respectively.
Leading the activity chart for the session was Access Holdings with 80.3 million shares valued at N2.0 billion, Mutual Benefits sold 52.7 million stocks worth N254.7 million, Fortis Global Insurance transacted 41.4 million equities for N57.7 million, Zenith Bank traded 35.4 million shares worth N3.3 billion, and Jaiz Bank exchanged 31.5 million stocks valued at N343.4 million.
Economy
Oil Slumps 11% as Trump Signals Resolution of Iran War
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil plunged by more than 11 per cent on Tuesday after the market held onto comments by US President Donald Trump about a quick end to the war with Iran that has disrupted global crude flows.
Brent futures fell $11.16 or 11 per cent to $87.80 a barrel, and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude settled at $83.45 a barrel, down $11.32 or 11.9 per cent. This was the steepest percentage drop of any session since 2022.
The American president, in an interview on Monday, said he thought the war against Iran was “very complete” and the US was “very far ahead” of his initial four- to five-week estimated time frame.
The market also followed US Energy Secretary Chris Wright, who wrote on X that the American military had facilitated a shipment of oil out of the Strait of Hormuz.
However, it was reported later that Iran has begun laying naval mines in the strategically vital strait, through which 20 per cent of crude flows pass.
Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), now sharing control of the strait with the regular navy, has a range of asymmetric capabilities, including scattered mine-laying craft, explosive-laden boats and shore-based missile batteries, giving it the ability to create a complex array of threats to passing vessels.
Disruptions in Hormuz have already had significant ripple effects as tanker traffic through the strait has plummeted with shipping companies avoiding the area and insurers hiking premiums amid risk, and analysts warn that prolonged disruption could trigger one of the largest energy shocks in decades.
It was also reported that President Trump was considering easing oil sanctions on Russia related to its war in Ukraine, and releasing emergency crude stockpiles to help curb spiking prices.
Market analysts noted that nearly 1.9 million barrels per day of crude refining capacity in the Gulf has been shut in due to the US-Israeli war on Iran.
Seeking to calm down soaring oil prices, G7 finance ministers have discussed a possible joint release of strategic petroleum reserves, up to potentially 400 million barrels. This will be facilitated by the International Energy Agency (IEA).
The American Petroleum Institute (API) estimated that crude oil inventories in the United States fell by 1.7 million barrels in the week ending March 6, after adding 5.6 million barrels in the week prior. Official data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) will be released later on Wednesday.
Economy
NNPC Gets Approval for $20bn Final Investment Decision on Bonga Deepwater Project
By Modupe Gbadeyanka
A targeted fiscal incentive designed to unlock the long-awaited Final Investment Decision (FID) on the Bonga Southwest Aparo (BSWA) deepwater project has been approved by President Bola Tinubu.
The approval followed months of intensive technical and commercial negotiations involving the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited as the concessionaire, the Nigeria Revenue Service (NRS), the Special Adviser to the President on Energy, Olu Verheijen, and the chief executive of Shell, Mr Wael Sawan.
In a statement signed on Tuesday by the Chief Corporate Communications Officer of NNPC, Mr Andy Odeh, it was disclosed that the project is estimated to attract about $20 billion in Foreign Direct Investment and position Nigeria for a new era of deepwater production.
It was said that it has the potential to attract strategic investments and accelerate sustainable economic growth, adding that it signals renewed confidence in Nigeria’s policy direction and its resolve to translate reform momentum into tangible investment outcomes.
The chief executive of NNPC, Mr Bashir Bayo Ojulari, said, “This approval is a testament to the President’s leadership, NNPC’s disciplined execution and our ability to structure complex, bankable transactions that deliver value for Nigeria.
“For nearly two decades, the Bonga Southwest project remained stalled. Today, under President Tinubu’s reform-driven leadership and through NNPC’s sustained advocacy, we have broken that logjam. This is what partnership, persistence, and policy clarity can achieve.”
“This milestone further affirms NNPC’s commitment, under the President’s leadership, to unlocking Nigeria’s vast energy potential through partnerships, disciplined innovation and execution excellence,” he further stated.
The Bonga Southwest project will be the first FID on a Nigeria deepwater Production Sharing Contract asset since 2008, re-establishing Nigeria as a premier deepwater investment destination.
The fiscal package approved by President Tinubu includes an enhanced Production Tax Credit and resolution of the 2021 dispute settlement agreement, creating a competitive framework that balances national value with investor returns.
The Bonga Southwest Aparo project, operated by Shell with all IOCs in Nigeria as partners, will create over 5,000 direct and indirect jobs, and deliver 150,000 barrels per day of crude oil and 140 million standard cubic feet per day of gas upon completion.
NNPC Limited, as concessionaire, worked closely with SNEPCo and the broader contractor party to develop alternative fiscal solutions that address structural constraints while protecting Nigeria’s long-term interests.
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