Economy
Oil Nears $49 as OPEC+ Agrees Supply Cut for 2021
By Adedapo Adesanya
The price of the Brent crude moved closer to $49 per barrel on Thursday after it gained 1.02 per cent or 49 cents to sell at $48.74 per barrel.
This was buoyed by the agreement reached by members of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and their allies collectively known as the (OPEC+) on oil production for next year.
This development pushed the price of the United States’ futures, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude, higher by 0.86 per cent or 38 cents yesterday to $45.67 per barrel.
OPEC+ met on Thursday to work on policies for 2021 after talks earlier in the week reached no conclusion on how to tackle weak oil demand amid a new wave of coronavirus infections.
After much debate, the oil cartel reached a tentative agreement for January alone. This will see just the addition of 500,000 barrels per day in January to oil production quotas, which currently calls for a production cut of 7.7 million barrels per day. This means total production cut in January will now be 7.2 million barrels per day.
As part of the agreement, assigned quotas in the future could rise or fall and to determine those levels of oil production beyond January, OPEC+ ministers will hold additional meetings once every month.
This is seen as satisfactory to all parties because many were opposed to the extending production before the meeting which had to be delayed. Others worried about adding in any more output warning that that oil demand would not be able to sustain any added production.
In addition to the agreement for adding 500,000 barrels per day of production back in, OPEC+ members that are laggards will have to stick to their production quotas as they will have to make up the difference between now and March.
Analysts noted that with fresh OPEC announcements every month, the market will hang on every word and oil prices will respond in kind, regardless of their actual effect on oil prices.
However, they warned that the January-only agreement could have a considerable effect on oil price volatility in the months to come.
Economy
Customs Street Resumes With 1.07% Loss as Traders Book Profit
By Dipo Olowookere
The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited resumed trading activity on Monday after a two-day break last Thursday and Friday for Eid al-Fitr.
At the resumption of trading of shares yesterday, investors embarked on profit-taking, crashing Customs Street by 1.07 per cent at the close of transactions.
The sell-offs were mainly in the banking, consumer goods and insurance sectors, which closed lower by 2.02 per cent, 1.13 per cent, and 0.16 per cent, respectively.
The trio made nonsense of the 0.31 per cent growth posted by the energy index and the 0.17 per cent increase recorded by the industrial goods counter.
Consequently, the All-Share Index (ASI) contracted by 2,142.83 points to 199,014.02 points from last Wednesday’s 201,156.85 points, and the market capitalisation decreased by N1.376 trillion to finish at N127.750 trillion compared with the previous N129.126 trillion.
Consolidated Hallmark was the worst-performing stock for the day after it lost 9.64 per cent to close at N4.50, Deap Capital depreciated by 8.37 per cent to N5.91, GTCO declined by 8.18 per cent to N105.00, International Energy Insurance lost 7.67 per cent to trade at N2.77, and Nigerian Breweries slumped by 7.29 per cent to N70.00.
Conversely, Presco appreciated by 10.00 per cent to N1,871.20, Zichis improved by 9.91 per cent to N9.43, John Holt expanded by 9.70 per cent to N13.00, Premier Paints grew by 9.62 per cent to N25.65, and Sovereign Trust Insurance gained 8.74 per cent to settle at N2.24.
Market participants transacted 848.8 million equities worth N53.3 billion in 139,458 deals on the first trading session of this week compared with the 6.1 billion equities valued at N130.1 billion traded in 58,562 deals in the preceding trading day, indicating a spike in the number of deals by 138.14 per cent, and a shrink in the trading volume and value by 86.09 per cent and 59.03 per cent apiece.
UBA was the most active stock on Monday, with a turnover of 114.2 million units worth N5.5 billion. Wema Bank traded 112.0 million units valued at N2.9 billion, Access Holdings transacted 54.8 million units for N1.4 billion, Zenith Bank exchanged 38.2 million units worth N4.1 billion, and Zichis sold 32.2 million units valued at N272.6 million.
Economy
Oil Prices Fall Below $100 as US Holds Off on Iran Attack
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil prices dropped over 10 per cent on Monday after US President Donald Trump said he would postpone any military strikes against Iranian power plants for five days.
Brent futures fell by $12.25 or 10.9 per cent to settle at $99.94 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude lost $10.10 or 10.3 per cent to trade at $88.13 per barrel.
President Trump claimed that constructive talks to resolve hostilities in the Middle East were going, hours before a deadline that threatened to escalate the four-week-old war over the Strait of Hormuz, where roughly 20 per cent of global oil and liquefied petroleum gas (LNG) flows through and which disruption has already driven a sharp spike in crude prices and heightened fears of a prolonged supply shock.
The Iranian media claimed there had been no direct or indirect contact with President Trump.
Iran’s Revolutionary Guards had said they would attack Israel’s power plants and those supplying US bases across the Gulf region if America follows through with Mr Trump’s threat to “obliterate” Iran’s power network. The war has already damaged major energy facilities in the Gulf and effectively halted shipping through the strait.
Amid the tussle, it was reported that two tankers bound for India sailed through the Strait of Hormuz on Monday carrying LNG loaded in the United Arab Emirates and Kuwait.
The head of the International Energy Agency (IEA), Mr Fatih Birol, estimated that since the current crisis, which started with bombings against the regime in Tehran on 28 February, there have been losses of 11 million barrels of oil per day and about 140 billion cubic metres of gas.
Mr Birol said that about 5 million barrels of oil had been lost in the two previous crises in 1973 and 1979, while Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine removed about 75 billion cubic metres of natural gas from international markets.
The supply crunch has led to a temporary waiver of US sanctions on Russian and Iranian oil already at sea. Indian refiners plan to resume buying Iranian oil while refiners elsewhere in Asia are examining such a move.
There was a surplus in global oil markets at the start of 2026, but recent developments have sparked shortages and growing anxieties around the world.
Beyond supply, some demand has also been affected as global air travel remains severely disrupted after the Iran war forced the closure of key Middle Eastern hubs including Dubai, Doha and Abu Dhabi, stranding tens of thousands of passengers.
Economy
NECA DG Warns of Growing Pressure on Businesses, Households
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The Director General of the Nigeria Employers’ Consultative Association (NECA), Mr Adewale-Smatt Oyerinde, has run to the rooftop to warn of the negative impact of rising crude oil prices on businesses and households in the country.
In a statement on Monday, he said the Middle East crisis was pushing up domestic energy costs, placing pressure on businesses and eroding the purchasing power of citizens, warning that without urgent intervention, the situation could escalate.
According to him, fuel prices have risen sharply in recent days, with petrol exceeding N1,300 per litre in some locations and diesel approaching N1,800 per litre, reflecting the impact of global oil price movements.
He stressed that energy costs sit at the heart of Nigeria’s economy, and energy is the engine of production and distribution, noting that businesses, particularly in manufacturing, agriculture, and logistics, are already under significant pressure. “What we are witnessing is Nigeria’s oil paradox. Rising crude oil prices are pushing up domestic energy costs, squeezing businesses and worsening the cost of living for citizens.
“Once fuel prices rise, the effects are immediate and widespread: transport costs increase, food prices rise, and the overall cost of doing business escalates.
“For many firms that rely on diesel for operations, current price levels are becoming increasingly difficult to sustain. Profit margins are shrinking, and businesses are being forced to either pass on costs or scale down operations,” Mr Oyerinde stated.
The NECA DG further noted that global oil prices have surged amid geopolitical tensions, with Brent crude rising above $110 per barrel, intensifying cost pressures across energy markets.
He clarified that while the Middle East conflict has contributed to the rise in oil prices, the impact is exposing deeper structural weaknesses, underinvestment, weak infrastructure, and inefficiencies in Nigeria’s energy value chain.
“This situation is not only driven by external factors, but it is also reflecting ongoing constraints within the energy value chain, including supply inefficiencies and infrastructure limitations,” he disclosed.
“The government must act swiftly to ease supply constraints, stabilise prices, and provide targeted relief to critical sectors, he declared, emphasising that, “If this trend continues unchecked, we risk business closures, job losses, and a deeper cost-of-living crisis.”
On the long-term outlook, Mr Oyerinde emphasised the need for structural reforms. Nigeria’s resilience will not be determined by oil prices, but by how effectively we manage them. This is a moment to strengthen institutions, improve transparency, and invest in sustainable energy solutions.
He concluded with a caution that if properly managed, “this could strengthen our economy. If not, the gains from rising oil prices will be completely eroded by inflation and economic hardship.”
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