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GTBank Foresees Banks Struggling With 15% CAR

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GTBank Beta Health

**Expects Tighter System Liquidity, Rise in Interest Rates in 2021

By Dipo Olowookere

One of the leading financial institutions in the country, Guaranty Trust Bank (GTBank) Plc, is projecting a further increase in interest rates.

In its Nigeria Macro Economic and Banking Sector Outlook for 2021 obtained by Business Post, the lender said the spike in the interest rates would be triggered by “the additional borrowings by the government as well as relatively lower OMO maturities into the system.”

GTBank disclosed in the report that it also foresees the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) sustaining its “policy stance going into 2021 driven largely by the need to improve credit flow to spur economic growth.”

Recall that recently, in a move to attract portfolio flows and reduce the consistent exit of investors, the CBN increased yields of fixed income securities, causing investors to abandon the equity market, which has so far lost 4.03 per cent this year.

Liquidity expectation

Commenting on the liquidity outlook for the year, GTBank said it expects it to be tighter, noting that, “For one, only N4.3 trillion in OMO securities will be maturing this year, with over 50 per cent of that maturing within the first quarter of the year which implies about N2.5 trillion of liquidity injection into the system in Q1, with attendant CRR implications assuming that the CBN maintains its trend of reissuing a portion of the maturing securities.”

The lender noted that, “This could result in the outflow of more funds from the market in form of CRR,” adding that from Q2 2021, however, “we expect a shift in the liquidity situation of the market, based on the significantly reduced OMO maturities of N1.7 trillion.”

According to the bank, “In the absence of other liquidity injection sources, market liquidity is expected to tighten significantly with a resultant decline in special CRR debits.”

“As a result of the tightening of liquidity conditions expected in the market from Q2 2021, we anticipate a rise in volatilities within the money market and fixed income space.

“We also anticipate a renewed scramble for deposits by banks and other financial institutions to meet demands on them for funds.

“Money market rates, should on average, rise steadily across the period with a resultant pull on deposit and lending rates.

“In view of the above, the CBN might have to consider the possibility of releasing some of the CRR sterilised by it,” the report further said.

Banking sector capitalisation

In terms of the capitalisation of the banking sector, GTBank said it foresees some players struggling with the regulatory minimum capital adequacy ratio (CAR) of 15 per cent as a result of the devaluation of Naira.

“Consequently, we expect banks with shortfalls in their capital positions to retain more of [their] earnings to shore up their capital and keep themselves within touching distance of the minimum regulatory capital requirement.

“It is also not unlikely that the apex bank will offer some form of regulatory forbearance to banks that fall short of the minimum regulatory capital,” the report noted.

Over a decade ago, the banking sector in Nigeria went through a major transformation, with mergers and acquisitions to meet up with the minimum capital base of N25 billion. Some observers have called for a revisit of this amount because of the devaluation of the local currency since then.

Banks and Fintech competition

GTBank said in its report that it projects a level playing field for traditional banks and their non-bank competitors, which are mainly the financial technology (fintech) companies.

It explained this is expected because the CBN, with an expanded role in the new Banking and Other Financial Institutions Act (BOFIA) 2020, would likely increase the operational and regulatory costs of fintechs, which would stifle their drive in the long to medium term.

FX Outlook

In the report, the lender projected a tightening of the gap between the parallel market rate and the official rate due to a marginal adjustment of the currency in 2021.

“Our expectation of the appreciation of parallel market rates is predicated on increased supply to that market, however, it should be noted that a devaluation in the official market usually triggers an immediate devaluation in the parallel market even if short-lived.

“Notably, a further devaluation to levels closer to the general consensus of the true value of the Naira is expected to trigger increased foreign portfolio flows into the country,” it stated.

Dipo Olowookere is a journalist based in Nigeria that has passion for reporting business news stories. At his leisure time, he watches football and supports 3SC of Ibadan. Mr Olowookere can be reached via [email protected]

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Funding Delays African Energy Bank H1 2026 Launch, Now September

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African Energy Bank Headquarters

By Adedapo Adesanya

The African Energy Bank (AEB) will now officially launch in September in Abuja after failing to meet its targeted first-half 2026 commencement date, marking a fresh timeline for the continent’s energy financing institution.

The Secretary General of the African Petroleum Producers’ Organisation (APPO), Mr Farid Ghezali, as per Argus Media, acknowledged “several postponements” but said the new deadline is “to make the bank operational in September 2026 in view of the incompressible deadlines from an administrative point of view”.

A planned April start was pushed back to June before APPO members were again mobilised around a third-quarter deadline. At a recent meeting, the Nigerian government reiterated the country’s commitment to the African Energy Bank’s formal commencement of operations.

The bank was established by the APPO and the African Export-Import Bank (Afreximbank) to address the critical financing needs of Africa’s oil, gas and broader energy sectors and mitigate the global funding pressure against hydrocarbon investments in Africa.

The APPO scribe said funding has remained a major challenge even when the Nigerian government said the headquarters of the bank was ready since 2025.

Mr Ghezali called on APPO members to redeem their pledges towards the $500 million start-up capital before the end of June.

Argus quoted sources as saying that 91 per cent of the capital had been raised and that the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited and the Nigerian Content Development and Monitoring Board (NCDMB) would make up the balance.

Mr Ghezali said AEB aims to reverse the situation that sees Africa importing more than 60 per cent of its oil products consumption and producing only 12 per cent of global upstream liquids while being home to many of the world’s largest national oil and gas reserves.

He stated that the bank will target the financing of 20–30 LNG, petroleum products pipeline, terminals and refining projects by 2030. Projects that monetise natural gas as a transition fuel will take up 40 per cent of AEB’s loan book, and priority will be given to projects that contribute towards the creation of “500,000 to 1 million direct and indirect jobs in the energy value chain”.

Speaking at a Nigerian energy summit in February, Mr Ghezali said the bank plans to raise $15 billion in its first three years of operations to fund strategic energy projects.

He also unveiled the three-phase road map for the AEB, including “Phase one, which, as I said in the first half of 2026, launches the African Energy Bank platform with 10-pillar projects involving countries such as Nigeria, Angola, and Libya. APPO certification and integration of IOCs such as Shell or ENI.”

“Phase two, in 2027, we plan to start a regional gas-oil trade, integrating the principles of the Bassari Declaration for 15 per cent local content.”

Phase three, reaching 2030, the African Energy Bank will be a true African financial hub, with $200 billion mobilised.”

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Zenith Bank Marks 2026 World Environment Day With Lagos Clean-up Drive

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Zenith Bank Adaora Umeoji

By Modupe Gbadeyanka

Zenith Bank Plc has joined other global corporations to commemorate the 2026 World Environment Day with a two-phase environmental clean-up initiative in Lagos State.

The financial institution participated in the commemoration under the global theme Inspired by Nature. For Climate. For Our Future through a two-day event.

In the first phase, which was a morning clean-up conducted by staff of the Bank on Wednesday, 3 June 2026, along Ajose Adeogun Street, Victoria Island, Lagos, employees of the lender cleared waste, sensitised residents on proper disposal practices, and reinforced the bank’s culture of community service and environmental stewardship.

The second day, participants engaged in a waterways clean-up at the Falomo Waterways, Ikoyi, Lagos. This was in collaboration with the Lagos Waste Management Authority (LAWMA) and the Lagos State Waterways Authority (LASWA). The joint effort focused on removing marine debris, promoting cleaner waterways, and supporting the state’s broader climate-resilience agenda.

“At Zenith Bank, sustainability is integral to how we operate. Clearing our streets and our waterways is a practical reminder that protecting the environment is a shared responsibility – and one we are proud to take up alongside LAWMA and LASWA.

“Through these exercises, we are taking deliberate action to preserve our communities, support climate action, and inspire others to act. Our operations will continue to align with global environmental standards as we build a more sustainable future for Nigeria and Africa,” the chief executive of Zenith Bank, Ms Adaora Umeoji, stated.

Zenith Bank says it remains committed to embedding Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) principles across its operations, investing in green initiatives, energy efficiency, and community-focused programmes, in line with its commitment to environmental sustainability and responsible business practices.

These efforts advance the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals – particularly SDG 7 (Affordable and Clean Energy), SDG 11 (Sustainable Cities and Communities) and SDG 13 (Climate Action). Sustainability remains an operational imperative across the Bank’s Nigerian base and its broader African, UK and European footprints.

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Moniepoint CEO Advocates Using Transaction Data to Unlock Financing for SMEs

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Moniepoint Tosin Eniolorunda

By Modupe Gbadeyanka

The need to consider the usage of transaction data to design credit products for millions of small businesses in Nigeria has been emphasised by the chief executive of Moniepoint Incorporated, Mr Tosin Eniolorunda.

Speaking at a panel session at the launch of the Nigeria Payments System Vision 2028 (PSV 2028) by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) recently, the Moniepoint chief said transactions from the payments ecosystem could be tracked to unlock economic survival for millions of underserved businesses that have been historically shut out of formal credit markets.

PSV 2028 is a framework aimed at setting priorities and direction for the country’s payments infrastructure over the coming years, with financial inclusion, resilience, and innovation among its core pillars.

According to the CBN governor, Mr Yemi Cardoso, the new framework builds on Nigeria’s progress in digital payments and seeks to accelerate the country’s transition towards a more inclusive, technology-driven ecosystem as it continues to lead Africa’s digital payments ecosystem.

At the panel, Eniolorunda noted that “I believe the next phase of growth will come from layering services like credit onto existing payment flows, using the visibility and trust already built through financial transactions.”

Speaking on the power of payment infrastructure as a foundation for broader financial services, he argued that the data generated by payment systems, when used responsibly, holds the key to making credit faster and more accessible for underserved businesses.

“One of the most powerful things about payment infrastructure is the data it creates. When used responsibly, it can help unlock quicker and more accessible credit for businesses that have historically been underserved. For many small businesses, access has always been the real barrier,” he said.

“Achieving the ambitions of PSV 2028 will require regulators, banks, fintechs, and ecosystem players working together with a shared long-term vision,” Mr Eniolorunda added, echoing Governor Cardoso’s warning against the country’s historic “start-stop” policy cycles.

“Over the past two decades, Nigeria’s payments ecosystem has evolved into one of the most dynamic and innovative in the world. From instant payments and digital adoption to fintech-led innovation, our progress has often set the pace on the continent. While this progress has not always been fully reflected in global narratives, its impact on economic activities, financial inclusion, and system resilience is evident across our economy,” he said.

Business Post learned that the panel was moderated by the chief executive of Sterling Bank, Mr Abubakar Suleiman, and also featured the chief executive of the Nigeria Inter-Bank Settlement System (NIBSS) Plc, Mr Premier Oiwoh; his counterparts at Remita Payment Services Limited (RPSL), Mr Deremi Atanda; and Shared Agent Network Expansion Facilities (SANEF) Limited, Mrs Uche Uzoebo, among others.

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