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Economy

Positive Demand Outlook Firms Oil Prices

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By Adedapo Adesanya

Crude oil prices continued their positive movement on Thursday as the market held on to improved upgraded forecasts for demand as major economies recover from the coronavirus pandemic.

The price of the Brent crude futures improved by 0.36 per cent or 24 cents to trade at $66.82 per barrel, while the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures rose by 0.49 per cent or 31 cents to sell at $63.46 per barrel.

The increase in the value of the commodity was supported by the shrinking of crude oil inventories in the United States as well as higher crude oil demand outlooks from the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and the International Energy Agency (IEA).

The US crude inventories were down by 5.9 million barrels last week, the EIA data showed, more than double analysts’ expectations for a 2.9 million barrels decline.

This was further supported around the premise of improved oil demand as OPEC in its Monthly Oil Market Report increased its 2021 global oil demand outlook by 190,000 barrels per day

The IEA, on its part, increased its global oil demand outlook by 230,000 barrels per day from its previous report.

According to OPEC, the 2021 global oil demand is now expected to average 96.5 million barrels per day. The IEA is now estimating that global oil demand will average 96.7 million barrels per day, according to its April report and this would be supported by improved economic forecasts and accelerated vaccination programs.

The market is also holding on to strong economic data from China as the country continues to recover from the impact of the pandemic.

Adding to bullish sentiments are geopolitical tensions rising in Russia/Ukraine and Israel/Iran. According to reports, Russia has commenced a military build-up along its border with Ukraine, as fears mount over a possible escalation in hostilities in the region.

The Eastern European country has in recent weeks amassed tens of thousands of troops as well as tanks and artillery near Ukraine’s eastern border. It also mobilised troops in the annexed Black Sea region of Crimea, which it seized in March 2014.

Between Israel and Iran, the Joe Biden administration in the US wants to revive the accord between Iran and six world powers, which places limits on the state’s nuclear programme in return for relief from punishing economic sanctions.

Israel strongly opposes the nuclear deal and has vowed to stop Iran from building an atomic bomb — a goal Iran has always denied pursuing.

Both countries have long embroiled in a shadowy war, with Israel often striking Iran-allied forces in Syria and since last month, both countries have accused each other of a number of maritime attacks.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

H1 2026: Presco Offers N10 Interim Dividend, Pledges Long-Term Value Creation

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By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The board of Presco Plc has proposed the payment of an interim dividend of N10 per share to shareholders of the organisation for the first six months of this year.

This information was conveyed in the unaudited financial statements of the company released to the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited.

In the results for the half-year ended June 30, 2026, the fully integrated agro-industrial firm said the cash reward reinforces its commitment to delivering consistent shareholder returns.

It further assured that looking ahead, it remains focused on disciplined capital allocation, operational efficiency and long-term value creation while navigating evolving market conditions.

A look at the key financial highlights of the results showed that revenue was relatively stable at about N199.0 billion in the first half of 2026 and the same period of 2025 amid a high-cost operating environment and softer crude palm oil prices.

However, the pre-tax profit rose by 9.3 per cent to N122.2 billion from N119.9 billion as result of a 31.9 per cent reduction in financing costs.

Further, the Edo State-based company posted an EBITDA of N123.1 billion, which yielded a margin of 61.9 per cent, as the organisation strengthened its balance sheet, reducing total liabilities by 42.5 per cent to N277.8 billion, while equity grew 13.8 per cent to N503.6 billion, with a current ratio of 345.6 per cent, which underscores robust liquidity.

“Our H1 2026 performance underscores the strength of our operational model in a challenging environment. The 9.3 per cent growth in profit before tax, driven largely by a 31.9 per cent reduction in financing costs, reflects our deliberate focus on cost optimisation and balance sheet discipline.

“With equity up 13.8 per cent and liabilities down by 42.5 per cent, we have further fortified our financial foundation.

“The proposed interim dividend of N10 per share signals our confidence in the business’s trajectory and our commitment to rewarding shareholders,” the chief executive of Presco, Mr Reji George, stated.

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Economy

Dangote Refinery Reduces ex-Depot Price of Petrol to N1,165/Litre

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By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The ex-depot prices of the two major petroleum products in the country, Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), commonly known as petrol, and Automotive Gas Oil (Diesel), have been slashed by Dangote Petroleum Refinery.

The company, in a statement on Wednesday, disclosed that while petrol is now N1,165 per litre, diesel is now N1,570 per litre.

The energy firm said it slashed the prices to reaffirm its commitment to providing affordable, high-quality petroleum products to the Nigerian market.

The latest cut in the price of PMS represents N50, as it was previously sold to marketers at N1,215 per litre, while diesel witnessed an N80 reduction, as it was formerly being sold at N1,650 per litre.

Dangote Refinery stated that the downward price review reflects its ongoing efforts to enhance energy affordability, improve access to refined petroleum products, and support economic activities across Nigeria, saying it remains committed to ensuring stable supply while leveraging operational efficiencies to deliver value to consumers, businesses, and stakeholders.

As Africa’s largest refinery, Dangote Petroleum Refinery continues to play a pivotal role in strengthening Nigeria’s energy security, reducing reliance on imports, and supporting the nation’s economic development through the supply of world-class petroleum products.

The company reaffirmed its dedication to contributing to the growth of the Nigerian economy and passing on the benefits of improved operational efficiencies to consumers whenever market conditions permit.

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Economy

Dangote Refinery Targets $5bn in Landmark IPO Due in October

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Dangote Refinery Crude Supply to Local Refineries

By Adedapo Adesanya

Dangote Petroleum Refinery is preparing to raise about $5 billion through an initial public offering (IPO) expected to conclude in October, in what could become the largest stock market listing in Africa’s history.

The company has already submitted an initial application to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), with approval expected in the coming weeks. Once authorised, the refinery is expected to release its prospectus in September ahead of the public offer.

The primary listing will be on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited, although investors across Africa are expected to participate through structured investment instruments rather than a dual listing.

The proceeds will be used to expand the capacity of the 700,000-barrels-per-day refinery in Lagos and possibly support plans to replicate the project in Kenya as Dangote seeks to deepen Africa’s energy independence.

The proposed IPO comes after the refinery benefited from increased demand for refined products during the recent Iran conflict, supplying jet fuel across Africa and into Western Europe as global shortages disrupted markets.

As per Reuters, stock exchanges in South Africa, Kenya, Egypt, Ghana and Rwanda have held discussions with advisers to the transaction as interest in the offering continues to build across the continent.

Kenya alone could account for as much as $500 million of the targeted capital raise, driven largely by demand from institutional investors, including pension funds, the publication reported.

While the company is targeting a $5 billion raise, the final amount will depend on the outcome of the SEC’s review. If achieved, the offering would represent more than four per cent of the Nigerian Exchange’s current market capitalisation.

The IPO follows a $2.5 billion private placement completed last month, in which a six per cent stake in the refinery was sold, implying a valuation of about $40 billion.

That valuation, however, would place the refinery well above several listed global refining companies. Turkey’s Tupras, which operates a similar combined refining capacity across four facilities, has a market value of roughly $12 billion, while US-listed HF Sinclair, with a comparable processing capacity, is valued at around $16 billion.

Although the NGX generally requires companies on its main board to maintain a minimum free float of 20 per cent, there have been exceptions. Dangote Cement, for instance, currently has a free float of just over 12 per cent.

The publication also reported that investors outside Nigeria are likely to gain exposure through instruments such as global depositary receipts or exchange-traded products linked to the Nigerian-listed shares, rather than through a cross-listing on other African exchanges.

The founder of the 700,000-barrels-per-day capacity plant, Mr Aliko Dangote, said in April that the refinery aims to increase production capacity to 1.4 million barrels per day.

Mr Dangote is also pursuing plans to build another refinery in Lamu along Kenya’s coast in partnership with other East African governments, although it remains unclear whether part of the IPO proceeds will be allocated to that project valued at an estimated $17 billion.

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