Economy
Brent Crude Sells at $74 Amid Tight Supplies Forecasts
By Adedapo Adesanya
The price of the Brent crude finished higher by 31 cents or 0.42 per cent on Friday to sell at $74.10 per barrel as expectations remained that supply will continue to be tight through the year.
On its part, the United States West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude grew by 16 cents or 0.22 per cent to trade at $72.07 per barrel.
For the week, Brent gained 0.7 per cent after declining for three consecutive weeks, while WTI rose 0.4 per cent after falling for two weeks.
Both benchmarks slumped about 7 per cent on Monday but pared those losses, with investors expecting demand to stay strong and the market to receive support from falling oil stockpiles and rising vaccination rates.
Market analysts noted that despite the expansion in oil supply, the market will remain slightly undersupplied until the end of the year.
This is expected to happen after the deal between the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and allies, collectively known as OPEC+ to add back 400,000 barrels per day each month from August till December.
The market is counting on the fact that the OPEC+ increase will not be enough to keep the market balanced and inventories in the United States and across some developed countries would continue to fall.
Data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) released Wednesday revealed a weekly increase in US crude supplies, following eight straight weeks of declines.
Meanwhile, there are concerns that rising global Delta variant infection rates of the coronavirus could undermine the current economic rebound.
Also, oil rigs rose by seven to 387 this week, their highest since April 2020 and for the fourth week in a row, implying a production increase ahead.
Meanwhile, the Bank of America has joined other analysts to give a bullish outcome for crude, noting that Brent will hit $100 per barrel next year.
“We still think the OPEC+ driven dip in crude and distillate prices is a buying opportunity and project Brent will hit $100 a barrel next year, with distillates tagging along for the ride,” it said in a note.
Morgan Stanley had forecast that global benchmark Brent will trade in the mid to high-$70s per barrel for the remainder of 2021 while Barclays raised its 2021 oil price forecast by $3 to $5 to average $69 a barrel.
Economy
Cross River Targets International Coffee Market by 2032 With 30 million Seedlings Initiative
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Cross River State Government has unveiled plans to establish the state as a major player in the international coffee market by 2032 through the distribution of 30 million coffee seedlings to smallholder farmers over seven years.
The state Commissioner for Agriculture, Mr Johnson Ebokpo, disclosed the plan during a press briefing in Calabar, saying Governor Bassey Otu approved the initiative as part of efforts to diversify the state’s economy.
According to Mr Ebokpo, about 13 million coffee seedlings have already been distributed to farmers following an enumeration exercise, with the programme expected to run from 2024 to 2032.
He said the government aims to produce “flavoured coffee” that will appeal to international buyers, adding that coffee production and exports are expected to generate billions of dollars in revenue and boost livelihoods across communities.
To ensure export-quality standards, the commissioner said the state would establish communal washing and drying stations while linking farmers directly with international buyers.
Mr Ebokpo also said the government plans to establish a commodity exchange to guarantee markets for farmers and provide training for all participants in the coffee value chain to equip them with the knowledge required for export.
He noted that coffee production would be implemented in phases, with the current focus on smallholder farmers, most of whom are women, while plans are being developed to accommodate commercial farmers.
The commissioner urged residents to participate in the coffee production programme, adding that a bill to regulate the production, export and consumption of coffee is currently before the Cross River State House of Assembly.
Nigeria’s coffee industry remains relatively small compared with leading African producers, but it has significant untapped potential because of favourable growing conditions in states such as Cross River, Taraba, Plateau and parts of Kaduna, as well as increasing domestic consumption and rising global demand for speciality coffee.
Nigeria currently produces about 1,800 metric tonnes of coffee annually, ranking 48th globally, while exporting just 53 tonnes valued at less than $80,000 in 2023.
Industry experts say the country’s favourable climate and vast arable land leave significant room for growth, especially as African producers such as Ethiopia and Uganda earn billions of Dollars annually from coffee exports.
Economy
Caverton Blames Resignation of Chief Financial Officer, Others for Delay in Filing FY25 Results
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
Caverton Offshore Support Group Plc has apologised to its shareholders and investing public for being unable to file its Audited Financial Statements for the year ended December 31, 2025.
Companies trading their stocks on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited are required to submit their audited results for a financial year, at most three months after.
For its financial statements for the 2025 fiscal year, which ended December 31, 2025, the aviation firm was required to file on or before March 31, 2026.
However, six months later, it had yet to file the results, a development which may affect its securities at the market, as it might face suspension after prolonged default.
In a notice to the exchange, Caverton partly attributed the delay to the resignation of its chief financial officer.
The company noted that the exit of the CFO during the audit process “disrupted internal review and sign-off procedures.”
It also blamed administrative delays affecting the external auditors’ regulatory clearance from the Financial Reporting Council of Nigeria (FRCN), as well as unforeseen technical issues with the Company’s Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) system, which temporarily affected data extraction and financial reconciliations for the default.
However, the organisation promised to release the financial statements on or before Friday, July 10, 2026, noting that the audit is “now at its concluding stage.”
Economy
East African Dangote Refinery in Kenya to Cost $17bn
By Adedapo Adesanya
The planned East African Dangote Refinery to be constructed in Kenya will cost as much as $17 billion.
In April, it was reported that Mr Aliko Dangote, alongside the Presidents of Kenya and Uganda, Mr William Ruto and Mr Yoweri Museveni, respectively, planned to build a new oil refinery in Tanzania. The project will include a pipeline that links the Kenyan port city of Mombasa to the northeastern Tanzanian harbour of Tanga, where the facility will be situated.
However, Tanzanian President Samia Suluhu Hassan did not align with the plan, which has since shifted to Kenya.
According to Bloomberg, the refinery, which would be a replica of his Lagos-based 700,000-barrel-a-day refinery, would take about five years to build in Lamu, a coastal town in southeastern Kenya, chosen for “commercial and technical” reasons.
In May, President Ruto announced that Mr Dangote would start construction of the facility in Kenya this year.
Mr Dangote has also said he would need a lot of government protection from President Ruto, noting that it would mean land, financing, and most importantly, protection from what he called the dumping of cheap fuel from the likes of Russia or India.
“There is no refinery in the world that can survive without that protection,” he said recently, adding that, “If we have an agreement, we can start this year.”
Dangote is already in the process of doubling the capacity of his $20 billion Nigerian plant to 1.4 million barrels a day by 2028, to make it about the largest globally.
The continent’s biggest refinery reached full capacity weeks before the conflict in Iran and has helped Nigeria become self-sufficient in fuel as well as export to several countries.
Despite this, the African Petroleum Producers’ Organisation (APPO) says that the continent exports three-quarters of its crude production and imports 70 per cent of its refined fuels.
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