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Nigeria Bank Stress Test Highlights Disparity in Capital—Fitch

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Interbank Lending Rate

By Modupe Gbadeyanka

Fitch Ratings has disclosed that stress test results of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) on the country’s commercial banks highlight disparities in capital strength across the sector, with large banks collectively much more resilient to stresses than small ones.

The results, published on 5 April, show that medium and large banks collectively could withstand a 100 percent increase in non-performing loans (NPLs) but small banks (assets less than N500 billion) would struggle to withstand even modest NPL deterioration.

Fitch said in its own assessment of the banks it rates, which are mostly large (assets more than N1 trillion), capacity to absorb losses through capital varies considerably.

“Zenith Bank Plc is stronger than the rest, while capital weaknesses at First Bank and Diamond Bank have a significant influence on their ratings,” Fitch said in a statement issued on Friday.

“All Nigerian bank ratings are in the highly speculative ‘B’ range, but even so capitalisation is an important differentiator. The scores we assign, based on capitalisation and leverage metrics across the sector, are low, but vary considerably,” it added.

The central bank’s stress tests assessed the ability of banks’ capital adequacy ratios to withstand a number of credit shocks.

These include a general rise in NPLs, specific deterioration among banks’ five largest obligors and defaults in the oil and gas loan portfolios.

As a group, small banks were particularly badly hit in the stress tests. They already had very weak starting capital positions, with an average capital adequacy ratio (CAR) of just 3.14 percent at end-2016, following sharp falls in 2016 due to rises in NPLs.

Medium and large banks had stronger starting positions, with CARs of 12.75 percent and 15.47 percent, respectively, at end-2016.

CBN figures show that NPLs represented 14 percent of total sector loans at end-2016, a very sharp increase on 5.3 percent at end-2015.

Unreserved NPLs represented a high 38.4 percent of total end-2016 regulatory capital (end-2015: 5.9 percent), signalling considerable weakening in the overall capital position of Nigeria’s banking sector.

Reported NPL ratios do not tell the whole asset quality story. Restructuring, particularly of loans extended to the troubled upstream oil sector, is fairly common practice in Nigeria, and restructured loans at some rated banks account for as much as 20 percent of total loans.

“Not all restructured loans will go bad, but in our opinion the portfolios are higher risk, suggesting that capital buffers at banks may be weaker than reported ratios suggest. The oil and gas sector accounts for 30 percent of total banking sector credit in Nigeria.

“Not all news relating to capital at Nigerian banks is negative. The banks remain profitable, with results boosted by wide margins and currency revaluation gains, large in some cases. These are one-off gains but they have been realised and provide a strong boost to capital, which is positive, especially in light of weak asset quality.

“The quality of management at Nigeria’s leading banks is solid. Our discussions with management highlight that steps continued to be taken to strengthen capital and address loan-quality issues during 1Q17,” Fitch said.

Modupe Gbadeyanka is a fast-rising journalist with Business Post Nigeria. Her passion for journalism is amazing. She is willing to learn more with a view to becoming one of the best pen-pushers in Nigeria. Her role models are the duo of CNN's Richard Quest and Christiane Amanpour.

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Banking

CBN Orders Banks, OFIs to Deploy AI Tech to Flag Illicit Money Flows

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Illicit Money Flows

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has rolled out fresh technology-driven rules compelling banks and other financial institutions to deploy automated anti-money laundering systems capable of detecting suspicious transactions in real time.

The directive, contained in a circular issued on March 10, 2026, applies to deposit money banks, mobile money operators, international money transfer operators, payment service providers, and other institutions under the apex bank’s supervision.

According to the regulator, the new framework sets minimum standards for automated anti-money laundering solutions designed to strengthen the detection and reporting of financial crimes within Nigeria’s rapidly digitising financial ecosystem.

In the circular, the CBN explained that the guidelines establish a baseline structure for financial institutions to deploy advanced monitoring tools capable of flagging suspicious financial activities instantly.

“The baseline standards provide a framework for implementing automated solutions that strengthen the detection and reporting of suspicious transactions in real time and enhance compliance with applicable AML/CFT/CPF laws and regulations, while also supporting the use of emerging technologies to improve overall financial crime risk management,” it stated.

The circular was jointly signed by the Director of Banking Supervision, Mrs Akinwunmi A. Olubukola, and Mrs Olubunmi Ayodele-Oni, acting for the Director of the Compliance Department.

Under the new policy, financial institutions must deploy automated anti-money laundering platforms that combine customer identification systems, transaction monitoring, sanctions screening, and risk assessment tools into a single integrated framework.

The CBN said the guidelines apply to all institutions operating within the financial system under its regulatory authority, including banks, payment companies, and other licensed financial service providers.

While the new rules take effect immediately, institutions have been given specific timelines to fully implement the required technology infrastructure.

Deposit money banks are expected to achieve full compliance within 18 months, while other financial institutions have 24 months to meet the regulatory requirements.

In addition, all institutions are required to submit detailed implementation roadmaps within three months of the issuance of the circular.

“The implementation of these guidelines shall start from the date of issuance, while full compliance shall be 18 months (for Deposit Money Banks) and 24-months (for Other Financial Institutions) from the date of issuance,” the apex bank added.

A major highlight of the framework is the emphasis on advanced technology tools such as artificial intelligence, machine learning, predictive analytics, and behavioural monitoring to identify unusual financial patterns that may indicate criminal activity.

Under the guidelines, institutions must deploy systems capable of conducting risk-based customer due diligence, monitoring transactions across multiple financial channels, and screening customers against sanctions databases and lists of politically exposed persons.

The CBN also directed that these automated systems must integrate seamlessly with core banking infrastructure and customer identity databases, enabling continuous real-time analysis of transaction flows and behavioural patterns.

According to the apex bank, traditional manual monitoring processes are increasingly inadequate in a financial environment that is becoming more complex and heavily driven by digital payments, fintech platforms, and mobile banking.

The regulator said automated surveillance systems would enable institutions to identify potential financial crimes earlier and report suspicious transactions promptly to authorities such as the CBN and the Nigerian Financial Intelligence Unit (NFIU).

The guidelines further require financial institutions to establish governance structures to oversee the performance of automated systems, validate artificial intelligence models, and ensure that data protection safeguards comply with Nigeria’s privacy regulations.

Beyond technology deployment, institutions must maintain detailed audit trails and case management systems that document investigations into suspicious financial activity and track regulatory reporting obligations.

The central bank warned that institutions that fail to comply with the new standards or operate ineffective anti-money laundering frameworks could face regulatory penalties.

Compliance will be monitored through a combination of off-site regulatory surveillance, on-site examinations, and targeted thematic reviews conducted by the banking regulator.

The CBN emphasised that the newly issued standards represent only the minimum compliance benchmark, adding that institutions may be required to implement stronger controls depending on their operational scale, transaction volumes, and risk exposure.

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Banking

Union Bank Celebrates Women With Inclusion-First ‘Give to Gain’ Campaign

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Union Bank Women's month

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

Union Bank of Nigeria is commemorating International Women’s Month 2026 with an initiative centred on women living with disabilities and women raising children with disabilities.

Throughout March, Union Bank will implement targeted initiatives to expand access, foster inclusion, and unlock sustainable opportunities.

Activities include a flagship event slated for The Stable, its multipurpose venue in Surulere, Lagos, on Saturday. The event convened women with disabilities, caregivers, supporting organisations, and advocates for dialogue, mentorship, and resource sharing.

Complementary efforts include outreach to disability support facilities and collaboration with educational institutions to distribute learning materials to female students with disabilities.

Tailored mentorship programmes will build confidence and capability in education, entrepreneurship, and careers.

Through its women’s banking proposition alpher and strategic partnerships, the bank will also deliver business sustainability training specifically designed for women living with disabilities and women raising children with disabilities.

Aligned with the global theme Give to Gain, the lender’s campaign Give to Gain: Creating Pathways for Inclusion and Endless Opportunities centres the lived experiences of women living with disabilities and underscores the need for intentional systems of support for social and economic advancement.

Internally, Union Bank will activate WeHub — its employee-led women’s network — to strengthen inclusive culture and support professional growth across the organisation.

“At Union Bank, inclusion is not an abstract ideal; it is a deliberate choice. While many conversations around women’s empowerment are important and necessary, women living with disabilities and women raising children with disabilities are too often left out entirely.

“This year’s theme, Give to Gain, reflects exactly what we believe: that when we intentionally open access, support, and opportunity to these women, the value created extends to families, communities, and society at large,” the Chief Brand and Marketing Officer for Union Bank, Ms Olufunmilola Aluko, stated.

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Banking

Court Orders Final Forfeiture of N81m Stolen from Sterling Bank to FG

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Go to court

By Modupe Gbadeyanka

A Federal High Court sitting in Ikoyi, Lagos, has ordered the final forfeiture of N81.1 million to the Federal Government of Nigeria in favour of Sterling Bank.

The money was part of the N2.5 billion stolen by some customers of Sterling Bank and transferred to their own use as well as to the use of some third-party beneficiaries, owing to a system glitch experienced by the bank.

On October 2, 2025, the court granted an interim forfeiture order of the fund and also directed the publication of the same in a national newspaper for any interested party to show cause why the money should not be finally forfeited to the federal government.

When no one came forward to claim the money, Justice Yelim Bogoro on Monday, March 9, 2026, ordered the final forfeiture of the funds.

The matter was brought before the court by the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) after a petition from the financial institution on July 18, 2022.

The anti-graft agency, in its investigations, traced the stolen funds to various accounts, including that of a customer, Sulaiman Kehinde Ojora, who was one of the major beneficiaries of the monumental fraud.

Investigation further revealed that Sulaiman Kehinde Ojora fraudulently concealed the sum of N43.0 million in the account of his friend, Taiwo Oluwaseyi Alawode (Account No. 1233126860), domiciled in Access Bank, and the sum of N122.2 million in the account of his wife, Aminat Olatanwa Ojora (Account No. 0072889319), domiciled in Sterling Bank.

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