Banking
Stock Analysis: FBN Holdings Gets ‘Hold’ Rating After Weak Performances
By Modupe Gbadeyanka
Not too long ago, FBN Holdings Plc released its earnings for the first quarter of 2018, however, the firm recorded weaker than expected performances across most line items.
Particularly, the gross earnings moderated 2 percent y/y to N139 billion – weaker than prior quarter’s N154 billion and the N153 billion estimate of Vetiva Research.
The unconvincing top line performance was driven by weaker than expected performances from both Interest and Non-Interest Income lines.
Whilst Non-Interest Income rose by a marginal one percent to N23.6 billion, the income line was 27 percent and 40 percent lower than the N32.4 billion estimate and prior quarter’s N39.5 billion.
According to analysts at Vetiva Research, Interest Income moderated 3 percent y/y and 2 percent q/q to N111 billion – missing the N120 billion estimate.
With Interest Expense coming largely in line with our estimate at N35.2 billion, Net Interest Income was down 6 percent y/y to ₦75.7 billion (below our N85.5 billion estimate).
In line with the trend observed across most banks in Q1’18, we had expected the implementation of IFRS 9 to result in a significant one-time write off from earnings at the beginning of Q1’18 and a more tempered loan loss provision for the period.
However, the initial application of IFRS 9 resulted in a more contained charge of N36.1 billion versus the average N95.5 billion recorded by other tier-one banks.
Consequently, FBNH reported a loan loss provision of N25.3 billion versus our N11.1 billion estimate. With this, Operating Income came in flat y/y at N74 billion – albeit significantly weaker than our N107 billion estimate.
Furthermore, with Operating Expense coming in at N55.2 billion – better than our N64.9 billion estimate, PBT was down 6 percent y/y to N18.8 billion – significantly missing our N41.9 billion estimate.
Overall, PAT was down 9 percent y/y to N14.8 billion – behind our N35.2 billion estimate. TP revised to N12.82 (Previous: N15.88).
We have revised our estimates across most line items to reflect the earnings miss. Most notably, we raise our loan loss provision to N121 billion (Previous: N44.3 billion) following Q1’18 trend and in line with management guided cost of risk of 6.0 percent.
Also, with the one-time write-off coming in lower than we had expected, we raise our loan growth forecast marginally higher to 3 percent (Previous: 0 percent).
Despite this, we cut our Interest Income estimate to N449 billion (Previous: N481 billion) following weaker than expected Q1’18 run rate.
Similarly, we revise our Non-Interest Income estimate lower to N110 billion (Previous: N130 billion). Hence, we revise our Gross Earnings estimate to N550 billion (Previous: N610 billion). With Operating Expense coming in 15 percent better than we had estimated for Q1’17, we lower our Operating Expense estimate to N218 billion (Previous: N250 billion) – translating to a cost to income ratio of 53 percent.
Overall, we revise our PAT estimate lower to N58.3 billion for FY’18 – translating to an EPS of N1.62.
Consequently, our Target Price (TP) is revised lower to N12.82 (Previous: N15.88) – FBNH trades at FY’18 P/B and P/E ratios of 0.6x and 7.7x vs. Tier I averages of 1.0x and 4.7x respectively.
By Adedapo Adesanya
Access Bank Plc, the banking subsidiary of Access Holdings Plc, has entered into a binding agreement with South African-based Bidvest Group Limited for the acquisition of 100 per cent equity stake in Bidvest Bank Limited.
The deal for the 24-year-old South African lender is due to be completed in the second half of 2025, upon regulatory approval.
This shows Access Bank’s further expansion plans in line with goals set by its late founder, Mr Herbert Wigwe.
The agreement to acquire 100 percent stake in Bidvest Bank reflects Access Bank’s commitment to strengthening its footprint in South Africa and consolidating on its position as the continent’s gateway to global markets as it seeks to optimise the benefits of recent acquisitions and accelerate its transition towards a greater focus on efficiencies.
Bidvest Bank, founded in 2000 is a niche and profitable South African financial institution providing a diverse range of services, including corporate and business banking solutions and diverse retail banking products.
As of its year ended June 2024, Bidvest Bank reported total assets equivalent of $665million and audited profit before tax of $20million.
Upon conclusion of this acquisition, Bidvest Bank will be merged with the bank’s existing South African subsidiary to create an enlarged platform to anchor the regional growth strategy for the SADC region.
This is coming just as the bank opened a new branch in Malta as part of efforts to focus on international trade finance after obtaining a banking licence from the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Malta Financial Services Authority (MFSA).
Access Bank said the licence marks a transformative milestone in bolstering Europe-Africa trade flows.
The Maltese branch was established by Access Bank UK Limited, the subsidiary of Access Bank Plc, which is also the subsidiary of Access Holdings Plc, which is listed on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited.
By Modupe Gbadeyanka
To strengthen Europe-Africa trade ties, Access Bank has opened a new branch in Malta. It will focus on international trade finance, employing approximately 30 people in its initial phase, with plans for controlled expansion over time.
It was learned that this Maltese branch was established by Access Bank UK Limited, the subsidiary of Access Bank Plc, which is also the subsidiary of Access Holdings Plc, which is listed on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited.
Access Bank Malta Limited commenced operations after obtaining a banking licence from the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Malta Financial Services Authority (MFSA).
Access Bank said the licence marks a transformative milestone in bolstering Europe-Africa trade flows.
Malta, a renowned international financial centre, and a gateway between the two continents, is strategically positioned to play a pivotal role in advancing commerce and fostering economic partnerships.
This strategic expansion into Malta enables The Access Bank UK Limited to leverage growing trade opportunities between Europe and Africa.
It underscores the organisation’s commitment to driving global trade, financial integration, and supporting businesses across these regions.
“By establishing operations in Malta, we will gain a foothold in a market that bridges European and North African economies, moving us one step closer to our goal of becoming Africa’s Gateway to the World.
“It further enhances our bank’s capacity to support clients with innovative solutions tailored to cross-border trade and investment opportunities,” the chief executive of Access Bank, Mr Roosevelt Ogbonna, stated.
“Europe has emerged as Africa’s leading trading partner, driven by initiatives such as the Economic Partnership Agreements between the EU and African regions and the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA).
“With Europe-Africa economic relations entering a new phase, The Access Bank Malta Limited is ideally positioned to deepen trade and meet the financing and banking needs of our clients in these expanding markets,” the chief executive of Access Bank UK, Mr Jamie Simmonds, commented.
Also speaking, the chief executive of Access Bank Malta, Renald Theuma, said, “Malta is uniquely positioned as a bridge between Europe and Africa, making it an ideal location for our subsidiary. This move allows The Access Bank Malta Limited to engage more closely with customers in Europe and deliver tailored financial solutions that drive growth and connectivity across both continents.”
By Adedapo Adesanya
The International Finance Corporation (IFC) and Goldman Sachs have announced a new partnership with African banks, including Nigeria’s Zenith Bank and Stanbic IBTC Nigeria to support the Goldman Sachs 10,000 Women initiative, a joint programme launched in 2008 to provide access to capital and training for women entrepreneurs globally.
The two Nigerian banks are part of nine financial institutions from across Africa which have agreed to join the 10,000 Women initiative committing to leverage the business education and skills tools the programme provides to create more opportunities for women entrepreneurs across the continent by providing access to business education.
Others banks include Stanbic Bank Kenya, Ecobank Kenya, Ecobank Cote d’Ivoire, Equity Bank Group, Banco Millenium Atlantico – Angola, Baobab Group, and Orange Bank.
Speaking on this, Ms Charlotte Keenan, Managing Director at Goldman Sachs said – “10,000 Women has had a powerful impact to date, but we know that there are more women to reach and more potential to be realized.
“We are delighted to partner with IFC to supercharge the growth of women-owned businesses across Africa, and mainstream lending to female business leaders. We remain committed to supporting entrepreneurs with the access to education and capital that they need to scale.”
Since 2008, the 10,000 Women initiative has provided access to capital and business training to more than 200,000 women in 150 countries.
“This expanded initiative marks a significant step forward in creating equitable economic opportunities for women in Africa, enabling them to build stronger, more resilient businesses and to realize their entrepreneurial goals,” said Ms Nathalie Kouassi Akon, IFC’s Global Director for Gender and Economic Inclusion.
Goldman Sachs’ 10,000 Women initiative complements the Women Entrepreneurs Opportunity Facility (WEOF), launched in 2014 by Goldman Sachs and IFC as the first-of-its-kind global facility dedicated to expanding access to capital for women entrepreneurs in emerging markets.
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