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Economy

Analysts Predict Fall in Banking Stocks as Skye Bank Exits NSE

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Banking Stocks

By Dipo Olowookere

Last Friday, after the stock market had closed for the week, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) came with a big announcement which sent shivers down the spine of investors.

Governor of the CBN, Mr Godwin Emefiele, said at a media briefing that one of the financial institutions trading its shares on the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE), Skye Bank Plc, had been liquidated with its assets and liabilities transferred to a bridge bank called Polaris Bank Limited.

The news came as a huge shock to observers, shareholders of the bank as well as investing public, who mostly did not see this coming.

Few months ago, the apex bank had extended the tenure of the interim management it appointed for the lender in 2016 when it took over Skye Bank. The CBN had said it extended the tenure of the new management because it was impressed with the performance of the new handlers.

Even Skye Bank, which confirmed this in a statement in July 2018, had said it was working tirelessly with the CBN to conclude various resolution initiatives to achieve a positive turn around for the bank.

“We wish to assure the bank’s shareholders and all stakeholders of the commitment of its board and management, working with the CBN and other regulators, to conclude various resolution initiatives to achieve a positive turn around for the bank and deliver value to its stakeholders,” the statement signed by Skye Bank’s Secretary/General Counsel, Mr Babatunde Osibodu, had stated.

Last month, the lender also released another statement had assured its shareholders that, “As with the Bank’s Audited Financial Statements for previous financial years (2016 and 2017), the Unaudited Financial Statements for the period ended June 30, 2018 shall be published as soon as the CBN grants its approval.”

“We wish to assure all our stakeholders that the bank remains committed to transparency, full disclosure, and compliance with regulatory requirements,” it had further assured.

But since last Friday’s announcement, many investors have been talking about how Skye Bank got itself into a mess, while some shareholders have been licking their wounds with their tails between their legs.

Already, the NSE has announced suspending trading on the shares of Skye Bank on its platform beginning from Monday, September 24, 2018 (today).

As the market resume today, analysts at Business Post are forecasting that investors will brutally whip banking stocks this week because of the Skye Bank issue.

Few of those that may be fatally wounded include Diamond Bank and Unity Bank, while others may not be spared too from the onslaught.

Last week, Unity Bank and Skye Bank were among the best performing stocks, gaining 17.70 percent and 15.50 percent respectively.

Before Skye Bank collapsed, it was recording a steady growth, which some investors misinterpreted to be something good cooking. However, they got their fingers burnt.

With this in mind, Unity Bank, which has been gathering momentum lately, may likely be viewed by investors in the same light with the defunct Skye Bank, resulting into selloffs.

It is important to note that Unity Bank is yet to release its financial statements for the year 2017 as well as for two already used quarters of this year.

We believe that as the market resumes today, the banking stocks are in for a big trouble with selloffs expected in the sector.

However, analysts at Cowry Asset believe that the NSE index will close positive at the end of the week “as we expect both domestic institutional and retail investors to take advantage of the fallen prices.

“More so, we maintain that investors should hunt for companies with potentially high dividend yields and have recorded increased earnings as at H1 2018.”

Dipo Olowookere is a journalist based in Nigeria that has passion for reporting business news stories. At his leisure time, he watches football and supports 3SC of Ibadan. Mr Olowookere can be reached via [email protected]

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Economy

Nigeria to Export New Crude Grade Cawthorne in March

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Cawthorne crude oil

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited is set to commence export of a new light, sweet crude grade known as Cawthorne from March 2026.

According to a report by Reuters, an NNPC spokesperson confirmed the development, describing it as part of efforts to increase output and consolidate Nigeria’s recent recovery in crude oil production.

The move aligns with Nigeria’s broader strategy to boost production after years of constraints caused by pipeline vandalism, crude theft, and unrest in oil-producing regions.

This follows the launch of two other new grades, Obodo in 2025 and Utapate in 2024, Nigeria, whic,h as Africa’s top oil exporter, seeks to strengthen its standing within the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+)

Cawthorne crude is scheduled for export in the third week of March and has an API gravity of 36.4, making it similar in quality to Nigeria’s Bonny Light, which is prized for high petrol and diesel yields.

According to Reuters, citing a trading source, the state oil national company issued a tender last week for cargo loading between March 24 and 25.

Analysts at Kpler noted that the new grade is expected to be exported via the Floating Storage and Offloading (FSO) vessel Cawthorne, which has a storage capacity of about 2.2 million barrels. The vessel is designed to enhance transportation and production from Oil Mining Lease (OML) 18 and nearby assets in the Eastern Niger Delta.

Kpler estimates that, based on storage capacity, Cawthorne could increase Nigeria’s crude and condensate output from roughly 1.65 million barrels per day to around 1.7 million barrels per day for the remainder of the year.

Nigeria’s crude oil production recently dropped from the OPEC+ quota of 1.5 million barrels per day, with output at 1.48 million barrels per day recorded in January, according to OPEC data.

Beyond increasing Nigeria’s crude offerings to the international market, the introduction of Cawthorne could also attract buyers seeking specific light, sweet crude qualities, buoy foreign exchange earnings, which would help strengthen government revenue and ease borrowing needs.

New crude grades are typically differentiated by sulfur content, API gravity, and production source, enabling producers to target specific refinery configurations and market segments.

In November 2024, NNPC officially launched the Utapate crude oil blend in the international market, describing it as a milestone for Nigeria’s export profile.

Earlier in July 2024, NNPC and its partner, Sterling Oil Exploration & Energy Production Company (SEEPCO), lifted the first 950,000-barrel cargo of Utapate crude, which was shipped to Spain.

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Economy

Moniepoint Research Shows Diminishing Role of Cash in Nightlife Payments

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Moniepoint DreamDevs Initiative

By Modupe Gbadeyanka

A new report released by Africa’s leading all-in-one financial ecosystem, Moniepoint Incorporated, has revealed that the use of cash for financial transactions is gradually dying due to security concerns.

The study, which looked into transaction data of over 27,000 clubs, bars, and lounges, showed that bank transfers dominated, followed closely by card payments, with cash actively discouraged. It was observed that transfers outpace card payments by nearly 2 million transactions during peak nighttime hours across its network.

In the research titled The Business of Community Nightlife in Nigeria, findings provided a rare, data-driven look into the country’s informal night economy.

While high-end Detty December venues grabbed headlines with daily revenues of N360 million and table prices reaching N1.2 million, Moniepoint’s study shifted the spotlight to the “community nightlife” where roadside bars, suya spots, and neighbourhood joints form the bedrock of social life for millions of Nigerians.

One of the study’s most operationally significant findings concerns the timing of spending. Nightlife in Nigeria runs late, but economically, the night is decided early.

Transaction volumes begin climbing sharply from 8 pm, peak before midnight, and then decline steadily even as venues remain full. By the time the night is at its longest, purchasing activity has already wound down.

However, for bar operators, this has clear practical implications – the most critical hours for staffing, stocking, vendor payment and cash flow management are the earliest hours of the day between midnight and 6 am.

The report further underscores the sector’s role in employment, noting that local bars typically expand their workforce by 30-50 per cent on peak nights. Conservative estimates suggest that at least 54,000 people are engaged in nightlife labour every night across Nigeria.

It was also observed that the most common transaction narrations from the data sourced – “food”, “pay”, “sent”, “pos”, “cash” – reflect the full breadth of nightlife spending: street food, club entry, lounge tabs, transport, and afterparties. Digital payments have gained huge traction in Nigeria’s social space.

While alcohol remains a key revenue driver, the data shows that food is the quiet stabiliser of Nigeria’s night economy, particularly in local and informal settings. In several neighbourhood venues, bottled water and meals outsell beer and spirits, especially early in the evening.

Lagos leads in sheer concentration of nightlife establishments, with 4,856 bars, clubs, and lounges on the Moniepoint network. FCT follows with 2,515, then Rivers (2,362), Delta (1,930), and Edo (1,574).

Katsina leads the country in nighttime food truck payment value, with vendors pulling in over N130 million in the last 12 months. Kwara State leads in transaction count. Nigeria’s nightlife economy is distributed, not overly elitist.

On the lending side, the report noted that a significant share of loan requests from bar and lounge operators is directed toward renovations, furniture, lighting, and sound systems, showing that investments are intended to attract and retain customers in a competitive sector where ambience plays a decisive role.

Commenting on the report, the chief executive of Moniepoint, Mr Tosin Eniolorunda, said, “Nigeria’s local bars and night-time operators are not peripheral to the economy; they are a critical part of its architecture. We see a substantial and sustained economic sector that employs hundreds of thousands of Nigerians every night and deserves the same attention we give to agriculture, healthcare, and retail.

“Our goal is to make sure every one of those businesses has the tools to grow. From giving credit to finance renovations and sound systems to providing same-day settlement that allows vendors to restock and with tools like Moniebook that power inventory management and reconciliation, Moniepoint is ensuring that this vital artery of the nation’s economy remains viable and empowering.”

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Economy

CBN Reduces Interest Rate by 50 Basis Points to 26.50%

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African central banks Interest Rate Cut

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has cut the interest rate by 50 basis points to 26.50 per cent from 27 per cent.

Nigeria’s apex bank announced this during its two-day 304th Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting, which concluded on Tuesday in Abuja.

This comes after the country’s interest rate cooled in January to 15.10 per cent from 15.15 per cent, according to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), strengthening the case for a reduction.

The CBN Governor, Mr Yemi Cardoso, said all members of the MPC unanimously agreed upon the decision.

“The committee decided to reduce the monetary policy rate by 50 basis points to 26.50 per cent,” he said.

Mr Cardoso stated that the liquidity ratio was maintained at 30 per cent, and the standing facilities corridor was adjusted to +50 to -450 basis points around the monetary policy rate.

He said the committee retained the Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) at 45 per cent for commercial banks and 16 per cent for merchant banks, while the 75 per cent CRR on non-TSA public sector deposits was equally maintained.

The CBN uses the MPR, which works as the benchmark interest rate, to manage inflation, macroeconomic stability, and liquidity.

Last November, the MPC retained the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) at 27.00 per cent. The last time the apex bank cut interest rates was in September last year, to 27 per cent from 27.50 per cent after a series of easing in inflation.

Market analysts had argued for higher interest cuts due to results seen in the CBN’s inflation targeting framework. Meanwhile, some say the 50 basis points reduction will offer a temporary reprieve as inflation heads for a single-digit target in the coming months.

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