Economy
Ardova’s Free Cash Flow to Remain Relatively Sound
By Modupe Gbadeyanka
A Nigeria-based credit rating agency, Global Credit Ratings (GCR), has noted that the free cash flow of Ardova Plc (formerly Forte Oil) is “expected to remain relatively sound in the short term.”
In a statement on Monday, it said since the 2019 financial year, there has been a significant improvement in the energy company’s “cash flow coverage of external debt” due to the deleveraging and realisation of petroleum subsidy receivables.
In the statement, GCR said it has affirmed the long term and short term national scale ratings assigned to Ardova at A-(NG) and A1(NG) respectively and then concurrently affirmed its issue rating of A-(NG) with a stable outlook.
GCR noted that the company maintains a leading position in the Nigerian downstream oil industry, underpinned by the continued expansion of its national retail market share, a strong asset base and control of key facets of the value chain; factors which continue to support the ratings.
According to the rating firm, since the divestment of its subsidiaries in 2018, the revenue has grown strongly as a result of robust fuel volumes traded.
“GCR, however, notes the limited product diversification, with other segments outside of fuels (specifically Premium Motor Spirit) still negligible.
“GCR expects some contraction in the top line in FY20 due to the impact of COVID-19 on the broader economy, although the volume constriction is expected to be relatively short-lived, due to the essential nature of petroleum products,” the statement said.
“Industry margins continue to contract, due to the tight price regulation of the dominant product, which together with the variability of profits through the cycle, constrains our view of the earnings profile.
“Margin pressure could be exacerbated by price volatility upstream as rising global demand translates to stronger oil prices.
“That said, the ability to directly import refined products potentially provides Ardova headroom for margin enhancement.
“GCR will continue to assess the Company’s ability to enhance cost efficiency and improve the earnings contribution of higher-margin product offerings,” it added.
It stated that following N16 billion debt repayments, mostly from the proceeds of the divestment of its other businesses, the company’s gross debt reduced to N5.3 billion in FY19 from N18.3 billion previously, with a relatively even mix of short- and long-term maturities.
Consequently, gross and net debt to EBITDA strengthened to 118.4 per cent and 87.8 per cent respectively in FY19 from 398.7 per cent and 387.5 per cent in FY18.
“Ardova attained a net ungeared position in 1Q FY20 on the back of high unutilised cash holding, indicating sufficient headroom to take in new debt if required.
“The series 1 bond will mature in December FY21, with GCR expecting that internal cash will be sufficient to meet maturing obligations,” the statement said.
Economy
Insurance Firms Must Submit 2025 Assessment Returns by May 31—NAICOM
By Adedapo Adesanya
The National Insurance Commission has issued new guidelines for the collection, management, and administration of the Insurance Policyholders’ Protection Fund.
In a circular issued to all insurance institutions on Tuesday, the regulator also set May 31, 2026, as the deadline for insurers to submit their assessment returns for the 2025 financial year.
Recall that on August 5, 2025, President Bola Tinubu signed into law the Nigerian Insurance Industry Reform Act ( NIIRA 2025).
This landmark legislation repeals the Insurance Act 2003, and consolidates related provisions, ushering in a modern regulatory framework. It lays a strong foundation for sustainable growth and increased investment in the country’s insurance sector.
The commission said the guidelines were issued in exercise of its powers under the 2025 Act and other existing insurance laws and regulations to provide regulatory clarity, improve guidance, and ensure ease of compliance across the industry.
According to NAICOM, the guidelines establish a comprehensive structure for the operation of the IPPF, which serves as a statutory safety net to protect insurance policyholders in the event of distress or insolvency of a licensed insurer or reinsurer. The framework also provides direction on the reimbursement of loans by insurers and reinsurers.
NAICOM stated, “The guidelines ensure regulatory clarity, guidance and ease of compliance, as it provides a comprehensive regulatory framework for the collection, management, and administration of the Fund, which serves as a statutory safety net designed to protect insurance policyholders against distress and insolvency of a licensed insurer or reinsurer, including guidance for the reimbursement of loans by an insurer or reinsurer.
“Please be informed that the IPPF Assessment Returns in respect of the year 2025 shall be submitted to the Commission not later than 31st May 2026, while subsequent submissions shall be in line with Section 4.3 of the Guideline on Insurance Policyholders Protection Fund.”
Economy
Dangote Refinery Sells Petrol at N1,200/L as Global Oil Prices Slump
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Dangote Refinery on Wednesday returned the petrol price to N1,200 per litre, less than 24 hours after it increased it by 5 per cent.
The private refinery had raised the ex-depot price by N75 on Tuesday, citing pressure from volatile global oil markets, but quickly brought it back to N1,200 per litre from N1,275 per litre.
The swift downward review is directly linked to a sharp drop in international crude prices. Brent crude has plunged to $95.05 per barrel, after a 13 per cent decline, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude closed at $97.18, recording nearly a 14 per cent drop.
This development comes after US President Donald Trump announced a conditional two-week ceasefire with Iran, which eased fears of immediate supply disruptions in the global oil market.
“This will be a double-sided CEASEFIRE!” Trump said on social media, marking a sharp reversal from his earlier warning that “a whole civilisation will die tonight” if Iran failed to comply with US demands.
Iran’s Foreign Minister, Mr Abbas Araqchi, confirmed that the country would halt attacks provided strikes against Iran cease and transit through the Strait of Hormuz is coordinated by Iranian forces.
Despite the breakthrough, tensions remain elevated across the region, with several Gulf states reporting missile launches, drone activity, or issuing civil defence warnings.
While oil prices have fallen back below $100, they remain significantly elevated after surging by a record amount in March. Market analysts noted that regardless of how successful the ceasefire is, geopolitical risk related to the Strait of Hormuz is likely to remain elevated for the foreseeable future under the control of Iran.
Economy
Crude Deliveries Double to Dangote Refinery in Mix of Naira, Dollar Supply
By Adedapo Adesanya
Crude oil deliveries from the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited to the Dangote Petroleum Refinery doubled in March, boosting prospects for improved fuel availability.
This was revealed by the chief executive of Dangote Industries Limited, Mr Aliko Dangote, on Tuesday, when he received the Deputy Secretary-General of the United Nations, Mrs Amina Mohammed, at the industrial complex in Ibeju-Lekki, Lagos.
While speaking on feedstock supply, Mr Dangote commended the NNPC for increasing crude deliveries to the refinery in March, noting that volumes rose to 10 cargoes—six supplied in Naira and four in Dollars—to support domestic fuel availability, according to a statement by the Refinery.
“Last month, they gave us six cargoes for Naira and four cargoes for Dollars,” he said.
Despite the improvement, Mr Dangote noted that the supply remains below the 19 cargoes required for optimal operations, with the refinery continuing to bridge the gap through imports from the United States and other African producers.
He also expressed concern over the unwillingness of international oil companies operating in Nigeria to sell to the refinery, stating that their preference for selling crude to traders forces it to repurchase at higher costs, with broader implications for the economy.
Mr Dangote added that the refinery is seeking increased access to domestically priced crude under local currency arrangements as part of efforts to moderate fuel costs and enhance long-term energy and food security across the continent.
On her part, Mrs Mohammed underscored the strategic importance of Dangote Industries Limited -particularly Dangote Fertiliser Limited—in addressing Africa’s mounting food security challenges, while calling for stronger global partnerships to scale its impact.
Mrs Mohammed said the United Nations would prioritise amplifying scalable solutions capable of mitigating the continent’s food crisis, describing Dangote’s integrated industrial model as a critical pathway.
“I think the UN’s job here is to amplify and to put visibility on the possibilities of mitigating a food security crisis, and this is one of them,” she said. “I hope that when we go back, we can continue to engage partners and countries that should collaborate with Dangote Industries.”
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