Economy
Attention Shifts to Dividend-Paying Stocks as Earnings Season Nears
By Dipo Olowookere
In the first week, month, and quarter of 2024, dividend-paying stocks will be the toast of investors at the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited as the earnings season approaches.
From next month, a few companies listed on the stock exchange, like United Capital and Secure Electronic Technology, will begin to release their financial statements for the 2023 fiscal year, though more are expected in March and April 2024, especially those in the banking sector.
The performance of the equity market and the sharp price appreciation posted by some equities last year will spur investors to quickly buy shares of companies they are sure will declare dividends. These include Dangote Cement, Zenith Bank, GTCO, UBA, and MTN Nigeria, among others.
As the market resumes trading activity today, Tuesday, January 2, 2024, after a break on Monday for the New Year’s Day celebration, Business Post analysts expect a mixture of bargain-hunting and profit-taking.
However, the core activity expected today is portfolio rebalancing, as traders will want to take another look into their investment strategies, deciding whether to raise their risk level or not. This will make them to decide if to remain in the stock market or concentrate on the fixed-income market.
With the NGX outpacing inflation last year, gaining 45.90 per cent, and Transcorp Hotels surging by 1,022.9 per cent in the year, and others rising above 500 per cent, one may not need a seer to project where the decision will tilt.
But one of the major factors that would shape their decision on this is another look at the economic reforms of President Bola Tinubu. Investors will chew on his nationwide broadcast yesterday and see if they can go to the bank with his words.
The Nigerian economy has been struggling since he assumed office on May 29, 2023, especially after he declared an end to the payment of petrol subsidies.
A few weeks later, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) unified the exchange rates, and since then, the Naira has suffered, hitting its worst level of N1,099/$1 last month at the official market and selling above N1,300/$1 at a time in the parallel market in 2023, making the cost of goods and services rise, with inflation reaching 28.20 per cent in November.
In his speech yesterday, Mr Tinubu admitted that these two policy decisions have brought hardships to Nigerians but maintained they were in the best interest of the country.
“Over the past seven months of our administration, I have taken some difficult and yet necessary decisions to save our country from fiscal catastrophe.
“One of those decisions was the removal of fuel subsidies, which had become an unsustainable financial burden on our country for more than four decades.
“Another was the removal of the chokehold of a few people on our foreign exchange system that benefited only the rich and the most powerful among us.
“Without a doubt, these two decisions brought some discomfort to individuals, families, and businesses,” he said.
“Dear Compatriots, take this from me: the time may be rough and tough; however, our spirit must remain unbowed because tough times never last,” he added.
Economy
Crude Deliveries Double to Dangote Refinery in Mix of Naira, Dollar Supply
By Adedapo Adesanya
Crude oil deliveries from the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited to the Dangote Petroleum Refinery doubled in March, boosting prospects for improved fuel availability.
This was revealed by the chief executive of Dangote Industries Limited, Mr Aliko Dangote, on Tuesday, when he received the Deputy Secretary-General of the United Nations, Mrs Amina Mohammed, at the industrial complex in Ibeju-Lekki, Lagos.
While speaking on feedstock supply, Mr Dangote commended the NNPC for increasing crude deliveries to the refinery in March, noting that volumes rose to 10 cargoes—six supplied in Naira and four in Dollars—to support domestic fuel availability, according to a statement by the Refinery.
“Last month, they gave us six cargoes for Naira and four cargoes for Dollars,” he said.
Despite the improvement, Mr Dangote noted that the supply remains below the 19 cargoes required for optimal operations, with the refinery continuing to bridge the gap through imports from the United States and other African producers.
He also expressed concern over the unwillingness of international oil companies operating in Nigeria to sell to the refinery, stating that their preference for selling crude to traders forces it to repurchase at higher costs, with broader implications for the economy.
Mr Dangote added that the refinery is seeking increased access to domestically priced crude under local currency arrangements as part of efforts to moderate fuel costs and enhance long-term energy and food security across the continent.
On her part, Mrs Mohammed underscored the strategic importance of Dangote Industries Limited -particularly Dangote Fertiliser Limited—in addressing Africa’s mounting food security challenges, while calling for stronger global partnerships to scale its impact.
Mrs Mohammed said the United Nations would prioritise amplifying scalable solutions capable of mitigating the continent’s food crisis, describing Dangote’s integrated industrial model as a critical pathway.
“I think the UN’s job here is to amplify and to put visibility on the possibilities of mitigating a food security crisis, and this is one of them,” she said. “I hope that when we go back, we can continue to engage partners and countries that should collaborate with Dangote Industries.”
Economy
SEC Okays 50% Hike in X-Alert Fee for Capital Market Transactions
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has approved a 50 per cent hike in the X-Alert service fee per transaction in the Nigerian capital market.
The X-Alert fee is a flat rate charged for sending real-time SMS/email notifications for transactions to investors from both buy and sell sides.
It was introduced by the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) to replace percentage-based charges, aimed at increasing transparency and reducing total transaction costs for investors.
Investors were earlier charged N4 per SMS, but the country’s apex capital market regulator has approved a 50 per cent increase in X-Alert service fee, meaning the new rate is N6 per SMS.
Business Post gathered from one of the players in the ecosystem that the effective date for the new price was Thursday, March 26, 2026.
“We wish to inform you of a revision to the X-Alert (SMS) service fee applicable to transactions executed on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX).
“Following approval by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the X-Alert fee has been reviewed upward from N4.00 to N6.00 per transaction,” the notice sighted by this newspaper read.
Economy
World Bank Projects 4.2% Growth for Nigeria Amid Risks
By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigeria’s economy is projected to remain resilient in the face of mounting global uncertainties, with the World Bank forecasting a 4.2 per cent growth rate in 2026.
However, the global lender has warned that rising fuel costs and persistent inflation, worsened by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, could undermine household incomes and slow poverty reduction.
Speaking in Abuja, the bank’s lead economist for Nigeria, Mr Fiseha Haile, noted that while the ongoing US-Israel-Iran conflict has pushed up prices, overall economic activity has remained largely intact.
“Overall business activity has been expanding over the past few months, suggesting the impact on growth has been relatively contained. But the shock is still being felt through higher inflation,” Mr Haile said.
According to him, business activity has continued to expand in recent months, indicating that the broader impact on growth has been “relatively contained,” even as inflationary pressures intensify.
Nigeria’s inflation rate, though significantly reduced from around 33 per cent in December 2024 to 15.06 per cent in February 2026, remains elevated compared to regional peers.
“Inflation is still elevated and under increasing pressure, and that poses risks to incomes and poverty reduction,” Mr Haile said.
The renewed surge in fuel prices, reportedly rising by over 50 per cent during the Iran conflict, has had a ripple effect on transportation, food, and production costs, amplifying the cost-of-living crisis.
The World Bank urged Nigerian authorities to adopt prudent macroeconomic measures, including tightening monetary policy, avoiding blanket subsidies, and saving windfalls from higher oil prices to strengthen fiscal buffers.
It also recommended reconsidering restrictions on fuel imports as a potential tool to ease inflationary pressures.
The economic reforms under President Bola Tinubu — including the removal of fuel subsidies, exchange rate unification, and tax restructuring — were acknowledged as ambitious steps aimed at stabilising the economy.
These reforms have contributed to improved external buffers, with rising foreign exchange reserves and reduced volatility.
Additionally, Nigeria’s fiscal deficit stood at 3.1 per cent of GDP in 2025, while the debt-to-GDP ratio declined for the first time in a decade.
Yet, the World Bank cautioned that tighter global financial conditions could still pose risks to capital inflows, borrowing costs, and remittances.
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