Economy
Bitcoin Beyond Halving: Predicting the Path to the Next Decade
Introduction
Since its inception in 2009, Bitcoin has captured the world’s attention and revolutionized the financial landscape. Its decentralized nature and limited supply have made it a magnet for investors seeking an alternative to traditional fiat currencies. As the decade-long journey continues, analysts and enthusiasts are closely observing the impact of halving events on Bitcoin’s price and overall trajectory. In this article, we explore the possible scenarios for Bitcoin in the next decade, reflecting on its past performances while keeping an eye on emerging opportunities. So, if you are planning to invest in crypto like Bitcoin, you may consider visiting a reliable trading platform such as the Immediate Momentum platform.
The Halving Phenomenon: A Defining Moment
What is Bitcoin Halving?
Bitcoin’s protocol incorporates a unique feature known as “halving,” programmed to occur approximately every four years. During this event, the mining reward for successfully adding a new block to the blockchain is reduced by half. This process ensures a controlled and predictable supply of new bitcoins, making it increasingly scarce over time. So far, there have been three halving events, and each one has had a profound impact on the cryptocurrency’s price and market sentiment.
The Price Surge After Every Halving
After each halving event, Bitcoin has experienced an unprecedented price surge, defying expectations and setting new records. The first halving in 2012 witnessed the cryptocurrency’s price skyrocket from a few dollars to over $1,000 in 2013. Similarly, the second halving in 2016 saw Bitcoin’s price soar from around $600 to almost $20,000 in 2017, making headlines worldwide. The third halving in 2020 pushed the price above $60,000 in 2021. These remarkable price surges have drawn both institutional and retail investors into the crypto market, cementing Bitcoin’s position as the king of cryptocurrencies.
Market Volatility and the Long-Term Trend
While halvings have historically led to bullish trends, Bitcoin’s journey has not been without its fair share of volatility. The cryptocurrency’s price has experienced several peaks and troughs over the years, influenced by various factors, including regulatory developments, technological advancements, macroeconomic events, and public sentiment. Yet, beneath the short-term fluctuations lies a steady long-term upward trend, indicating Bitcoin’s potential for substantial growth in the coming years.
The Next Decade: Predicting the Path Forward
Institutional Adoption: A Game Changer
In recent years, institutional interest in Bitcoin has surged, bringing legitimacy and stability to the crypto market. Renowned companies and financial institutions have started integrating Bitcoin into their investment portfolios, recognizing it as a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainties. This institutional adoption is expected to strengthen further over the next decade, potentially propelling Bitcoin’s price to new heights.
Technological Advancements and Scaling Solutions
Bitcoin’s underlying technology, the blockchain, has undergone significant advancements, making the network more efficient and scalable. Segregated Witness (SegWit) and the Lightning Network are two notable developments that have improved transaction speeds and reduced fees, making Bitcoin more practical for everyday use. As these technologies continue to mature, Bitcoin’s utility as a medium of exchange could increase, bolstering its position in the financial landscape.
Regulatory Clarity: Paving the Way for Mainstream Adoption
Regulatory clarity has been a significant hurdle for cryptocurrencies, but over time, governments and regulatory bodies worldwide have started acknowledging their potential and addressing concerns. As clearer regulations take shape, it will likely attract more traditional investors, contributing to Bitcoin’s mainstream adoption.
Environmental Concerns and Sustainable Mining
One aspect that the next decade will undoubtedly address is the environmental impact of Bitcoin mining. The energy-intensive process has raised concerns about its carbon footprint. However, researchers and innovators are actively seeking sustainable solutions that could make Bitcoin mining more eco-friendly, ensuring a greener future for the cryptocurrency.
The Emergence of Trading Platforms
Empowering Investors through Technology
As interest in cryptocurrencies surges, online trading platforms have emerged, empowering investors to participate in the crypto market efficiently. These platforms utilize advanced algorithms and machine learning to analyze market data and make data-driven trading decisions. With user-friendly interfaces, they cater to both novice and experienced investors, making it easier for anyone to enter the crypto space.
Embracing the Future with Online Platforms
Most Platform offers various features, such as real-time market analysis, automated trading options, and risk management tools, ensuring that users can navigate the dynamic cryptocurrency market with confidence. By providing a seamless trading experience, platforms contribute to the overall growth and acceptance of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
Conclusion
As Bitcoin enters the next decade, it does so with a robust foundation and growing global acceptance. Predicting its exact path remains a challenge, but with institutional adoption, technological advancements, regulatory clarity, and sustainable practices on the horizon, the future looks promising for Bitcoin. As individuals and institutions alike continue to explore the cryptocurrency market, platforms will play a vital role in empowering investors and fostering a more inclusive financial ecosystem for the years to come.
Economy
Tinubu Approves New Incentives for Shell’s $5bn Bonga South West project
By Adedapo Adesanya
President Bola Tinubu has approved targeted incentives to unlock Shell’s long-delayed $5 billion Bonga South-West deep-offshore oil project.
The approval came while receiving a Shell delegation led by its Global Chief Executive Officer, Mr Wael Sawan, at the State House, Abuja, on Thursday.
According to the President’s Special Adviser on Media and Public Communication, Mr Sunday Dare, the approved incentives are “disciplined, targeted, and globally competitive,” designed to attract new capital without undermining government revenues.
“These incentives are not blanket concessions. They are ring-fenced and investment-linked, focused on new capital and incremental production, strong local content delivery, and in-country value addition. My expectation is clear: Bonga Southwest must reach a Final Investment Decision within the first term of this administration.”
The Bonga Southwest project, located approximately 120 kilometres offshore Nigeria in water depths exceeding 1,000 metres, has been stalled for over a decade due to fiscal disagreements between the federal government and Shell Nigeria Exploration and Production Company and its joint venture partners.
The project, estimated to cost over $5 billion, is expected to produce about 150,000 barrels of oil per day at peak capacity and holds significant potential for gas production, experts say.
Previous administrations struggled to reach an agreement with Shell on the fiscal terms for the project, with the oil giant seeking incentives to make the capital-intensive deep-water development commercially viable amid declining global oil prices and Nigeria’s challenging investment climate.
Mr Tinubu directed his Special Adviser on Energy, Olu Verheijen, to facilitate the gazetting of the incentives in line with Nigeria’s existing legal and fiscal frameworks, including the Petroleum Industry Act 2021.
The President emphasised the strategic importance of the project to Nigeria’s economy, noting its potential to create thousands of direct and indirect jobs, generate significant foreign exchange inflows, and deliver sustained government revenues over its lifespan.
He added that the project would deepen Nigerian participation in offshore engineering, fabrication, logistics, and energy services. Tinubu reaffirmed his administration’s commitment to policy stability, regulatory certainty, and speed, noting that these reforms are critical to restoring investor confidence and positioning Nigeria as a preferred destination for large-scale energy investment.
He revealed that Shell and its partners have invested nearly $7bn in Nigeria in the past 13 months, particularly in the Bonga North and HI projects, describing this as evidence that the country’s economic and energy-sector reforms are yielding results.
Responding, Shell CEO Wael Sawan said Nigeria’s investment climate has improved remarkably under the Tinubu administration, adding that the company is increasingly confident in Nigeria as a destination for long-term investment.
The Bonga field, operated by Shell, commenced production in 2005 and was Nigeria’s first deep-water development.
Economy
Nigeria’s Unlisted Securities Exchange Further Drops 0.24%
By Adedapo Adesanya
The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange further moved southwards on Thursday by 0.24 per cent due to sustained selling pressure by investors.
During the session, the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) went down by 8.91 points to 3,642.22 points from 3,651.13 points it closed on Wednesday, and the market capitalisation recorded a loss of N5.33 billion to end N2.179 trillion compared with the previous day’s N2.184 trillion.
The day’s trading data showed that the volume of securities traded by traders declined by 36.5 per cent to 2.9 million units from 4.5 million units, and the total number of deals slid by 4.8 per cent to 40 deals from the 42 deals recorded at midweek, while the value of securities increased by 12.8 per cent to N85.4 million from N75.7 million.
Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc ended the trading session as the most active stock by value on a year-to-date basis with 6.1 million units valued at N245.6 million, followed by FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc with 866,615 units sold for N58.4 million, and MRS Oil Plc with 291,791 units traded at N58.3 million.
Geo-Fluids Plc ended the day as the most active stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 7.7 million units worth N52.4 million, trailed by CSCS Plc with 6.1 million units sold for N245.6 million, and UBN Property Plc with 3.2 million units valued at N6.4 million.
Yesterday, the market breadth was flat as three price gainers and three price losers led by Nipco Plc which lost N15.90 to trade at N220.00 per share compared with the previous day’s N235.90 per share, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc tumbled by N2.13 to sell at N66.91 per unit versus N69.04 per unit, and Ge0-Fluids Plc declined by 21 Kobo to settle at N6.85 per share compared with Wednesday’s closing price of N7.06 per share.
On the flip side, MRS Oil Nigeria gained N5.00 to close at N200.00 per unit versus N195.00 per unit, CSCS Plc appreciated by 13 Kobo to N40.60 per share from N40.37 per share, and UBN Property Plc improved by 9 Kobo to N1.99 per unit versus N1.90 per unit.
Economy
Naira Crashes to N1,422/$1 at NAFEX, Remains N1,485/$1 at Black Market
By Adedapo Adesanya
The value of the Naira further depreciated against the United States Dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Thursday, January 22 by N1.38 or 0.09 per cent to close at N1,422.07/$1, in contrast to the N1,420.69/$1 it ended on Wednesday.
This was due to FX demand pressure on the local currency in the official currency market in Nigeria.
However, the domestic currency got a reprieve against the Pound Sterling as it recorded a marginal gain of 28 Kobo to sell for N1,908.56/£1 compared to midweek’s value of N1,908.84/£1 and chalked up 22 Kobo on the Euro to quote at N1,665.26/€1 versus the previous day’s N1,665.48/€1.
The Nigerian currency, at the GTBank FX desk, N1 against the Dollar yesterday to settle at N1,430/$1 compared with the N1,429/$1 it was traded a day earlier, and at the black market, it remained unchanged at N1,485/$1.
The Naira continued to trade within range despite the fluctuations as consistent foreign exchange supply and the sustained emphasis on transparency in pricing by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) continued to offer backing.
The bank’s medium-term outlook, which anticipates external reserves rising beyond the $50 billion mark later in the year, has also helped to reinforce confidence among investors and corporates.
Unlike earlier January periods marked by sharp volatility, the current environment has been defined by measured trading and limited speculative pressure, while FX inflows from exporters, non-bank corporate, individual, and other sources continue to flow easily.
Meanwhile, there was renewed weakness across crypto markets, with liquidation activity picking up and risk appetite fading across benchmarked tokens.
In the last 24 hours, Ripple (XRP) depreciated by 2.0 per cent to sell at $1.91, Ethereum (ETH) lost 1.5 per cent to quote at $2,969.33, Cardano (ADA) slumped by 0.9 per cent to $0.3618, Dogecoin (DOGE) weakened by 0.9 per cent to $0.1256, Solana (SOL) dropped 0.7 per cent to $128.93, and Bitcoin (BTC) slipped by 0.5 per cent to $89,644.20.
However, Litecoin (LTC) appreciated by 0.9 per cent to trade at $69.01, and Binance Coin (BNB) grew by 0.2 per cent to $891.41, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) traded flat at $1.00 each.
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