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Economy

Brent Crude Rises on Middle East Tensions, Drop in Stockpiles

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brent crude oil

By Adedapo Adesanya

Oil traded higher on Thursday as traders resumed activities following the new year celebrations amid elevated tensions in the Middle East and reports that US crude stockpiles fell further for the fourth consecutive week.

The international benchmark, Brent crude futures, rose 20 cents to or 0.3 percent to $66.20 per barrel, while the United States’ West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was up 6 cents or 0.1 percent at $61.12 per barrel as at 9 pm Nigerian time on Thursday.

The Middle East tension took a different turn over the weekend as the United States’ military carried out air strikes against Iran-backed Katib Hezbollah militia group and on Thursday, the country’s Defense Secretary Mark Esper said the US was prepared to deploy more troops to Iraq.

Following the airstrikes over the weekend, protesters gathered at the US Embassy in Baghdad, the capital of Iraq on Wednesday but were dispersed after the United States deployed extra troops. With this high risk to security in oil producing Iraq and Iran, prices picked up.

Prices were also supported by reports from the American Petroleum Institute (API) that US crude inventories fell 7.8 million barrels last week ahead of the weekly U.S. government data due Friday. If this correlates with the expected result, it would signify the largest drop since August.

In addition, data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) is also expected on Friday, having been delayed by two days by the New Year’s holiday and if this also records drop, oil prices may settle higher next week ahead of the US-China trade deal signing.

The expected signing of the phase one agreement between the two world’s largest economies also supported prices on Thursday as President Donald Trump confirmed last week that both countries will sign the deal on Wednesday, January 15 in the United States’ capital, Washington D.C.

Also, with the new year, the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries alliance, OPEC+ deal to reduce oil supply begins as oil producing countries under the group begin the new policy of cutting oil production by 1.7 million barrels till March in order to curb oversupply and help push oil prices.

Banking on this, oil futures are expected to trade higher on Friday as traders will be out to check for indications that OPEC+ production cuts are actually tightening supply, and not being pressured by the rising supply from non-OPEC producers such as Norway, Guyana, and Brazil as expected last year.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

Economy

Nigeria’s Finance Minister Rules Out Seeking IMF Loan

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IMF GDP growth forecast

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Minister of Finance, Mr Wale Edun, says Nigeria has no immediate plans to approach the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for financial assistance.

Mr Edun made this known at the African Finance Ministers’ briefing during the IMF and World Bank Annual Meetings on Thursday in Washington, D.C. United States.

He said reliance on ongoing domestic economic reforms was yielding positive results.

According to him, Nigeria’s reforms over the past two years have restored policy credibility and strengthened resilience against global economic shocks affecting many African economies, adding that the country has prioritised market-based adjustments, avoiding administrative controls, particularly in foreign exchange and petroleum pricing mechanisms.

Mr Edun reaffirmed that Nigeria would continue to rely on internal policy measures rather than seeking multilateral lending support at this time.

However, he urged faster and more coordinated financial assistance for African countries amid discussions on a proposed $50 billion global support package.

The Minister said Nigeria had built buffers through reforms, but noted that several African nations remained highly exposed and required urgent external financial support.

He said Nigeria’s reliance on market mechanisms had enabled smoother economic adjustments, reduced disruptions, and sustained the country’s macroeconomic trajectory amid global uncertainties.

However, on Monday, the |Minister said Nigeria would seek stronger international financial support at this week’s IMF-World Bank ‌Spring Meetings as the Iran war lifts fuel costs at home and complicates reforms.

He said ahead of the meeting that surging crude prices had some clear benefits for the country, which is Africa’s top oil producer, boosting foreign exchange earnings.

“But the ⁠shock comes at a critical transition point, intensifying inflationary pressures and raising living costs for households,” he added.

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Economy

NASD Exchange Depreciates 0.29%

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NASD Exchange bullish

By Adedapo Adesanya

The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange fell by 0.29 per cent on Thursday, April 16, after two securities plunged at the close of business, offsetting the gains recorded by three securities.

According to data, the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) went down by 11.11 points to close at 3,862.98 points compared with the previous day’s 3,874.09 points, and the market capitalisation shrank by N6.64 billion to close at N2.311 trillion compared with the previous day’s N2.317 trillion.

Yesterday, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc declined by N1.36 to trade at N97.64 per share versus Wednesday’s closing price of N99.00 per share, and Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc slipped by N1.16 to sell at N58.00 per unit compared with the preceding day’s N59.16 per unit.

However, NASD Plc appreciated by N1.14 to N38.50 per share from N37.36 per share, UBN Property Plc improved its share price by 20 Kobo to close at N2.18 per unit versus N1.98 per unit, and Lighthouse Financials Plc added 6 Kobo to sell at 72 Kobo per share, in contrast to the 66 Kobo per share it was traded at midweek.

Trading data showed that the value of securities surged by 124.9 per cent to N64.9 million from N28.9 million, the volume of securities increased by 18.4 per cent to 597,775 units from 505,075 units, and the number of deals rose by 2.5 per cent to 41 deals from 40 deals.

At the close of business, Great Nigeria Insurance (GNI) Plc remained the most traded stock by value on a year-to-date basis with 3.4 billion units valued at N8.4 billion, followed by CSCS Plc with 58.8 million units exchanged for N3.9 billion, and Okitipupa Plc with 27.8 million units traded for N1.9 billion.

GNI Plc was also the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 3.4 billion units worth N8.4 billion, trailed by Resourcery Plc with 1.1 billion units sold for N415.7 million, and Infrastructure Guarantee Credit Plc with 400 million units transacted for N1.2 billion.

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Economy

Naira Gains N1.44 Against Dollar at Official Market

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Official FX Market

By Adedapo Adesanya

The value of the Naira improved against the United States Dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) by N1.44 or 0.11 per cent on Thursday, April 16, to N1,342.30/$1 from Wednesday’s N1,343.74/$1.

In the same vein, the domestic currency appreciated against the Pound Sterling in the official market during the session by N3.56 to close at N1,819.36/£1  compared with the previous rate of N1,822.92/£1, and against the Euro, it gained N3.99 to trade at N1,581.09/€1, in contrast to the N1,585.08/€1 it was traded at midweek.

At the black market segment, the Naira appreciated against the greenback yesterday by N5 to sell at N1,375/$1 versus the preceding session’s N1,380/$1, and at the GTBank FX desk, it improved by N16 to settle at N1,355/$1 compared with the previous day’s N1,371/$1.

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) data revealed that NFEM interbank turnover decreased to N72.255 million across 82 deals on Thursday, from N114.347 million.

The relative appreciation of the official spot rate suggests there is no significant demand for foreign payments. Meanwhile, external reserves remain at $48.70 billion, down from the 2009 peak of $50 billion amidst uncertainties in the global commodities market.

The global market is looking at forthcoming peace talks between the US and Iran with hopes that it would resolve disruptions to Middle Eastern energy supplies caused by the ongoing war.

As for the cryptocurrency market, it recorded a mixed outcome, as traders weighed possible scenarios ahead of next week’s US-Iran cease-fire deadline.

The market is heavily short, raising the risk of a sharp short squeeze that some traders say could push prices toward $125,000 in the coming months.

Solana (SOL) appreciated by 2.4 per cent to $87.41, Ripple (XRP) jumped 1.5 per cent to $1.42, Cardano (ADA) rose 0.9 per cent to $0.2525, Binance Coin (BNB) increased by 0.5 per cent to $628.32, Dogecoin (DOGE) gained 0.3 per cent to finish at $0.0969, and TRON (TRX) expanded by 0.1 per cent to $0.3257.

On the flip side, Ethereum (ETH) depreciated by 1.6 per cent to $2,320.35, and Bitcoin (BTC) went down by 0.5 per cent to $74,677.83, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 apiece.

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