Economy
Brent Soars as IEA Cuts Demand Forecast on Recession Fears
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Brent crude grade rose by about 2.29 per cent or $2.12 to $94.57 per barrel on Thursday as the International Energy Agency (IEA) cut its oil demand forecast and warned that tight supply would affect the global economy.
Also, the United West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude grade appreciated by 2.1 per cent or $1.84 yesterday to sell for $89.11 per barrel after the IEA cut its oil-demand growth forecasts by 470,000 barrels a day for 2023 to 1.7 million barrels a day. It also lowered its 2022 oil-demand growth forecast by 60,000 barrels a day to 1.9 million barrels per day.
Oil demand growth has steadily fallen throughout the year and is predicted to shrink in the fourth quarter by 340,000 barrels a day, the IEA said.
“With unrelenting inflationary pressures and interest rate hikes taking their toll, higher oil prices may prove the tipping point for a global economy already on the brink of recession,” the IEA said in its monthly market report.
The group buttressed that an oil supply cut from the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies (OPEC+) threatens to deepen a global energy crisis by sending oil prices higher at a time of already elevated inflation and weak economic growth.
Last week’s two million barrel-a-day reduction in the group’s output targets will tighten the oil market further at a moment of extreme vulnerability with few additional sources of supply available to compensate, the Paris-based agency said Thursday.
The cut’s impact will exacerbate a mix of high oil prices and weakening global growth, which would undermine longer-term demand for oil, the IEA said, as it slashed its oil-demand forecasts.
OPEC has said higher oil prices are necessary to spur fresh investments in oil production, but the IEA said constraints among oil producers meant additional supplies would be scant.
The cut also comes ahead of an EU embargo on Russian oil and a plan by the Group of Seven wealthy nations to cap oil prices, both of which analysts warn could further undermine global energy supplies.
Russia has said it would cut production and withhold supplies from nations participating in the price cap mechanism. Meanwhile, time was running out for EU states to find alternative sources of energy to compensate for the still-high levels of oil currently imported from Russia, the IEA said.
Prices also moved higher despite the Energy Information Administration (EIA) reporting a crude oil inventory build of 9.9 million barrels for the week of October 7, but the move lower didn’t last long.
At 439.1 million barrels, US crude oil inventories are 1 per cent below the five-year average for this time of the year. A week earlier, inventories recorded a draw of 1.4 million barrels.
By Modupe Gbadeyanka
To unlock about $50 billion in deep offshore investment, President Bola Tinubu has signed the Deep Offshore Oil and Gas Projects Incentives (Tax Remission) Order, 2026, stressing that the aim is “to make Nigeria Africa’s regional hub for deep offshore project execution.”
In a statement personally signed by him on Wednesday, the Nigerian leader disclosed that he approved the executive order to create a clear and predictable framework for the sector.
According to him, the approval has already attracted approximately $10 billion for the Bonga South West project.
He stated that for projects accessing the supplementary incentives, the Order requires activities to be performed in Nigeria, subject to clearly defined exceptions and Nigerian content requirements.
The President noted that this part was included because “I want the work to come home to Nigeria. I want our engineers involved, our fabrication yards working, Nigerian marine and technical service companies securing contracts, and our young people acquiring world-class skills.”
“For me, the real measure of $50 billion will be what Nigerians see from it: good jobs, stronger Nigerian businesses, greater production, more revenue for the Federation and capabilities built here at home. Our natural resources must work harder for our people,” he added.
Mr Tinubu stated that this order is the tenth major policy directive of his administration targeted specifically at the oil and gas sector.
“We have been deliberate about removing the constraints holding back investment, production and value creation.
“For too long, some of our biggest offshore opportunities have remained stalled. We cannot afford to leave that opportunity beneath our waters for another decade. Capital moves, countries compete for it, and investors committing billions of dollars over many years need certainty,” he disclosed.
According to him, “We are providing that certainty, with a clear window for existing deep offshore leases to reach Final Investment Decision by 31 December 2029 and qualify for the full standard incentive.”
By Adedapo Adesanya
The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange extended its stay in the red territory for a second consecutive session on Tuesday, August 11, declining by 1.81 per cent.
This pulled back the market capitalisation by N8.94 billion to N2.748 trillion from N2.798 trillion, and the NASD Security Index (NSI) dropped 84.44 points to 4,578.74 points from 4,663.18 points.
The market breadth index was at equilibrium yesterday, as there were four price gainers and four price losers.
On the red side, Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc depreciated by N12.86 to N116.88 per share from N129.74 per share, Afriland Properties Plc declined by N1.95 per cent to N22.00 per unit from N23.95 per unit, Food Concepts Plc weakened by 25 Kobo to N2.50 per share from N2.75 per share, and Geo-Fluids Plc lost 22 Kobo to sell at N2.05 per unit versus Monday’s N2.27 per unit.
On the green side, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc gained N11.50 to finish at N156.50 per share compared with the previous day’s N145.00 per share, Nitrox Industrial Gases Plc expanded by N2.11 to N23.36 per unit from N21.15 per unit, NASD Plc advanced by N1.90 to N36.00 per share from N34.10 per share, and Nipco Plc surged by 50 Kobo to N457.00 per unit from N456.50 per unit.
During the session, the volume of securities rose by 31.2 per cent to 1.5 million units from 1.1 million units, the value of securities improved by 315.9 per cent to N42.3 million from N10.2 million, and the number of deals skyrocketed by 45.7 per cent to 51 deals from Monday’s 35 deals.
Great Nigeria Insurance (GNI) Plc ended as the most active stock by value (year-to-date), with 3.4 billion units valued at N8.4 billion, trailed by Infrastructure Credit Guarantee (Infracredit) Plc with 2.3 billion units sold for N6.5 billion, and CSCS Plc with 77.0 million units transacted for N5.5 billion.
GNI Plc also closed as the most active stock by volume (year-to-date), with 3.4 billion units worth N8.4 billion, followed by Infracredit Plc with 2.3 billion units exchanged for N6.5 billion, and Resourcery Plc with 1.1 billion units traded for N415.7 million.
By Dipo Olowookere
The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited tumbled by 0.73 per cent on Tuesday on the back of profit-taking by investors.
The consumer goods counter shed 0.96 per cent, and the banking space crashed by 0.46 per cent due to selling pressure. But the insurance index gained 0.24 per cent, and the energy segment improved by 0.03 per cent, while the industrial goods sector closed flat.
When the bourse closed for the session, the All-Share Index (ASI) gave up 1,806.18 points to 246,723.57 points from 248,529.75 points, and the market capitalisation depreciated by N1.166 trillion to N159.256 trillion from N160.422 trillion.
Thomas Wyatt lost 9.97 per cent to quote at N2.89, AVA Capital declined by 9.60 per cent to N8.95, International Energy Insurance dipped by 6.32 per cent to N4.00, International Breweries dropped 5.98 per cent to close at N11.00, and Guinea Insurance shed 5.13 per cent to 74 Kobo.
On the flip side, UPDC REIT gained 10.00 per cent to end at N14.85, FTN Cocoa appreciated by 9.88 per cent to N8.90, C&I Leasing surged by 8.26 per cent to N5.90, Sovereign Trust Insurance went up by 6.74 per cent to N1.90, and Regency Alliance climbed 6.33 per cent to 84 Kobo.
Yesterday, Fortis Global Insurance was the busiest equity, leading the activity chart with a turnover of 3.3 billion units worth N9.6 billion. Trans-Nationwide Express transacted 84.6 million units for N181.9 million, Access Holdings sold 66.1 million units valued at N1.9 billion, Consolidated Hallmark exchanged 54.3 million units worth N379.4 million, and Fidelity Bank traded 46.9 million units for N1.0 billion.
Investors bought and sold 3.9 billion units worth N32.4 billion in 45,608 deals compared with the 1.1 billion units valued at N27.0 billion traded in 59,185 deals a day earlier. This indicated that the number of deals retreated by 22.94 per cent, the trading volume increased by 254.55 per cent, and the trading value soared by 20.00 per cent.
