Feature/OPED
De-marketing of Nigeria as an Investment Destination: The NNPC–Aliko Dangote Saga
By Victor Oladokun
I’ve read with either great interest or dismay, several informed and uninformed comments about the current Aliko Dangote – NNPC brouhaha. Make no mistake about it. This is a battle that has gone viral and taken the global business, financial, and diplomatic community by storm.
I cannot ever recall an attempt of this magnitude by a State-owned company such as NNPC that is designed to discourage, discredit, and destroy a business enterprise of this size, influence, and impact. Never.
The NNPC has been quick to roll out its official spokespersons and political and media backers. Their aspersions have been fast and furious. In some instances, their logic and rebuttals have just not sounded credible.
Some members of the public, giddy with delight, continue to denigrate Aliko and the Dangote Group. Rather than deal with the exact and immediate nature of Aliko’s problems with NNPC, they throw up spurious statements about ‘karma,’ and Aliko’s alleged monopolistic business tendencies.
Others sensing that there is much more to this ugly public spat than meets the eye, have defended Aliko as most right-thinking entrepreneurial and business-minded Nigerians would.
The stakes are high. Whether we like it or not,
- This is a massive de-marketing of Nigeria, investment-wise.
Proverbially, money only goes where it is made comfortable. Markets and investment analysts always respond to signals. And this one is not good, nor does it bode well for Nigeria.
Africa and Nigeria, in particular, suffer rightly or wrongly from an asymmetry of perception and information. Ours is a narrative that is in constant need of improvement. Consequently, if you have ever been part of a Nigerian investment roadshow, you will realize how challenging it is to convince global investors that the country is a desirable investment destination.
The current drama plays right into the preconceived narrative about Nigeria – a nation where those who sacrifice, indeed become the sacrifice, as someone has already rightly commented.
- Outside of the Federal Government of Nigeria, Aliko Dangote is the largest employer of labour in Nigeria. Hundreds of thousands of Nigerians depend on the Dangote Group for jobs and a decent living. They are paid on time and not owed a salary arrears, as is the case with some unmentionables. Many more are direct and indirect beneficiaries of Dangote enterprises across several value chains in the country.
- In the daily economic, financial, social, and development landscape of Nigeria, Aliko Dangote is a force to be reckoned with. This is an undeniable fact. Referring to Aliko as a ‘monopolist’ in the oil refining business is one of the most laughable comments I have heard.
Aside from the huge financial burden (one that has turned Aliko’s hair completely grey in less than a year), the vision, boldness, and logistical genius that it has taken to set up this refinery, is simply mind-boggling. As a visionary leader and entrepreneur, he has my greatest respect.
Regrettably, Nigeria is one of the only countries I know of where those producing nothing and doing nothing take perverse delight in pulling down the accomplished and successful. I guess doing so psychologically detracts from their failures or their abject lack of accomplishment. If you have lived, worked, or invested in Nigeria long enough, you will be quite familiar with this phenomenon and those it describes.
At a great cost to Nigerian taxpayers, the country owns and runs four abysmally non-performing oil refineries in Kaduna, Port Harcourt, and Warri. Scandalously, for decades, Nigeria has spent millions, if not billions of dollars, ‘upgrading’ these elephant projects to no avail.
What Nigeria has done and continues to do with its oil sector is a scandal of epic proportions. We are one of the world’s leading producers of crude oil, yet it has pleased and profited some to ensure that Nigeria daily exports its raw crude and then re-imports it into the country as refined finished products. Sometimes, Nigeria’s reality is stranger than fiction. But then, sadly, it is what it is.
The cost to Nigeria in lost revenues, foreign exchange, jobs, and business opportunities is unquantifiable. Yet, the status quo means nothing to some, nor does it move the hearts of the powers that be. For many, the end justifies the means … whatever means possible.
Caught in the middle are millions of Nigerians who daily suffer the indignity of poverty in plenty. That is the tragedy of Nigeria and the current spat between two key players.
The saga provides President Bola Tinubu, whose mercurial business mindset is legendary, the opportunity to –
* Wade in, intervene, calm nerves, and ensure peace prevails.
* Sanitize Nigeria’s oil sector (a perennial challenge that I am sure even Angels will ask God to be reassigned from), and
* Quickly bolster global investor confidence.
I wish the Federal Government, the Dangote Group, and the good people of Nigeria, all the best.
Dr Victor Oladokun is a Communications Expert and Public Affairs Analyst
Feature/OPED
The Future of Payments: Key Trends to Watch in 2025
By Luke Kyohere
The global payments landscape is undergoing a rapid transformation. New technologies coupled with the rising demand for seamless, secure, and efficient transactions has spurred on an exciting new era of innovation and growth. With 2025 fast approaching, here are important trends that will shape the future of payments:
1. The rise of real-time payments
Until recently, real-time payments have been used in Africa for cross-border mobile money payments, but less so for traditional payments. We are seeing companies like Mastercard investing in this area, as well as central banks in Africa putting focus on this.
2. Cashless payments will increase
In 2025, we will see the continued acceleration of cashless payments across Africa. B2B payments in particular will also increase. Digital payments began between individuals but are now becoming commonplace for larger corporate transactions.
3. Digital currency will hit mainstream
In the cryptocurrency space, we will see an increase in the use of stablecoins like United States Digital Currency (USDC) and Tether (USDT) which are linked to US dollars. These will come to replace traditional cryptocurrencies as their price point is more stable. This year, many countries will begin preparing for Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs), government-backed digital currencies which use blockchain.
The increased uptake of digital currencies reflects the maturity of distributed ledger technology and improved API availability.
4. Increased government oversight
As adoption of digital currencies will increase, governments will also put more focus into monitoring these flows. In particular, this will centre on companies and banks rather than individuals. The goal of this will be to control and occasionally curb runaway foreign exchange (FX) rates.
5. Business leaders buy into AI technology
In 2025, we will see many business leaders buying into AI through respected providers relying on well-researched platforms and huge data sets. Most companies don’t have the budget to invest in their own research and development in AI, so many are now opting to ‘buy’ into the technology rather than ‘build’ it themselves. Moreover, many businesses are concerned about the risks associated with data ownership and accuracy so buying software is another way to avoid this risk.
6. Continued AI Adoption in Payments
In payments, the proliferation of AI will continue to improve user experience and increase security. To detect fraud, AI is used to track patterns and payment flows in real-time. If unusual activity is detected, the technology can be used to flag or even block payments which may be fraudulent.
When it comes to user experience, we will also see AI being used to improve the interface design of payment platforms. The technology will also increasingly be used for translation for international payment platforms.
7. Rise of Super Apps
To get more from their platforms, mobile network operators are building comprehensive service platforms, integrating multiple payment experiences into a single app. This reflects the shift of many users moving from text-based services to mobile apps. Rather than offering a single service, super apps are packing many other services into a single app. For example, apps which may have previously been used primarily for lending, now have options for saving and paying bills.
8. Business strategy shift
Recent major technological changes will force business leaders to focus on much shorter prediction and reaction cycles. Because the rate of change has been unprecedented in the past year, this will force decision-makers to adapt quickly, be decisive and nimble.
As the payments space evolves, businesses, banks, and governments must continually embrace innovation, collaboration, and prioritise customer needs. These efforts build a more inclusive, secure, and efficient payment system that supports local to global economic growth – enabling true financial inclusion across borders.
Luke Kyohere is the Group Chief Product and Innovation Officer at Onafriq
Feature/OPED
Ghana’s Democratic Triumph: A Call to Action for Nigeria’s 2027 Elections
In a heartfelt statement released today, the Conference of Nigeria Political Parties (CNPP) has extended its warmest congratulations to Ghana’s President-Elect, emphasizing the importance of learning from Ghana’s recent electoral success as Nigeria gears up for its 2027 general elections.
In a statement signed by its Deputy National Publicity Secretary, Comrade James Ezema, the CNPP highlighted the need for Nigeria to reclaim its status as a leader in democratic governance in Africa.
“The recent victory of Ghana’s President-Elect is a testament to the maturity and resilience of Ghana’s democracy,” the CNPP stated. “As we celebrate this achievement, we must reflect on the lessons that Nigeria can learn from our West African neighbour.”
The CNPP’s message underscored the significance of free, fair, and credible elections, a standard that Ghana has set and one that Nigeria has previously achieved under former President Goodluck Jonathan in 2015. “It is high time for Nigeria to reclaim its position as a beacon of democracy in Africa,” the CNPP asserted, calling for a renewed commitment to the electoral process.
Central to CNPP’s message is the insistence that “the will of the people must be supreme in Nigeria’s electoral processes.” The umbrella body of all registered political parties and political associations in Nigeria CNPP emphasized the necessity of an electoral system that genuinely reflects the wishes of the Nigerian populace. “We must strive to create an environment where elections are free from manipulation, violence, and intimidation,” the CNPP urged, calling on the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) to take decisive action to ensure the integrity of the electoral process.
The CNPP also expressed concern over premature declarations regarding the 2027 elections, stating, “It is disheartening to note that some individuals are already announcing that there is no vacancy in Aso Rock in 2027. This kind of statement not only undermines the democratic principles that our nation holds dear but also distracts from the pressing need for the current administration to earn the trust of the electorate.”
The CNPP viewed the upcoming elections as a pivotal moment for Nigeria. “The 2027 general elections present a unique opportunity for Nigeria to reclaim its position as a leader in democratic governance in Africa,” it remarked. The body called on all stakeholders — including the executive, legislature, judiciary, the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), and civil society organisations — to collaborate in ensuring that elections are transparent, credible, and reflective of the will of the Nigerian people.
As the most populous African country prepares for the 2027 elections, the CNPP urged all Nigerians to remain vigilant and committed to democratic principles. “We must work together to ensure that our elections are free from violence, intimidation, and manipulation,” the statement stated, reaffirming the CNPP’s commitment to promoting a peaceful and credible electoral process.
In conclusion, the CNPP congratulated the President-Elect of Ghana and the Ghanaian people on their remarkable achievements.
“We look forward to learning from their experience and working together to strengthen democracy in our region,” the CNPP concluded.
Feature/OPED
The Need to Promote Equality, Equity and Fairness in Nigeria’s Proposed Tax Reforms
By Kenechukwu Aguolu
The proposed tax reform, involving four tax bills introduced by the Federal Government, has received significant criticism. Notably, it was rejected by the Governors’ Forum but was still forwarded to the National Assembly. Unlike the various bold economic decisions made by this government, concessions will likely need to be made on these tax reforms, which involve legislative amendments and therefore cannot be imposed by the executive. This article highlights the purposes of taxation, the qualities of a good tax system, and some of the implications of the proposed tax reforms.
One of the major purposes of taxation is to generate revenue for the government to finance its activities. A good tax system should raise sufficient revenue for the government to fund its operations, and support economic and infrastructural development. For any country to achieve meaningful progress, its tax-to-GDP ratio should be at least 15%. Currently, Nigeria’s tax-to-GDP ratio is less than 11%. The proposed tax reforms aim to increase this ratio to 18% within the next three years.
A good tax system should also promote income redistribution and equality by implementing progressive tax policies. In line with this, the proposed tax reforms favour low-income earners. For example, individuals earning less than one million naira annually are exempted from personal income tax. Additionally, essential goods and services such as food, accommodation, and transportation, which constitute a significant portion of household consumption for low- and middle-income groups, are to be exempted from VAT.
In addition to equality, a good tax system should ensure equity and fairness, a key area of contention surrounding the proposed reforms. If implemented, the amendments to the Value Added Tax could lead to a significant reduction in the federal allocation for some states; impairing their ability to finance government operations and development projects. The VAT amendments should be holistically revisited to promote fairness and national unity.
The establishment of a single agency to collect government taxes, the Nigeria Revenue Service, could reduce loopholes that have previously resulted in revenue losses, provided proper controls are put in place. It is logically easier to monitor revenue collection by one agency than by multiple agencies. However, this is not a magical solution. With automation, revenue collection can be seamless whether it is managed by one agency or several, as long as monitoring and accountability measures are implemented effectively.
The proposed tax reforms by the Federal Government are well-intentioned. However, all concerns raised by Nigerians should be looked into, and concessions should be made where necessary. Policies are more effective when they are adapted to suit the unique characteristics of a nation, rather than adopted wholesale. A good tax system should aim to raise sufficient revenue, ensure equitable income distribution, and promote equality, equity, and fairness.
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