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Brent, WTI Falls on Hopes of Advanced US, Iran Talks

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Brent Price

By Adedapo Adesanya

Crude prices dropped on Tuesday on hopes Iran will resume talks with the US and Israel to ​end the conflict that has shut the Strait of Hormuz.

Brent crude futures settled at $94.79 a barrel after losing $4.57 or 4.6 per cent, and the US West Texas Intermediate crude finished at $91.20 per barrel after it shed $7.80 or 7.87 per cent.

Talk of a resumption in US-Iran discussions put downward pressure on prices, ignoring the ​loss of physical barrels of oil that are not moving.

Reuters reported that negotiating teams from the US and ​Iran could return to Islamabad, Pakistan, ​this week amid continued engagement on trying to achieve an agreement.

The International Energy Agency said in its monthly ​report that attacks on energy infrastructure in the Middle East and Iran’s effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz have led to the largest oil supply disruption in history. It said over 10 million barrels per day were lost in March.

The IEA said resuming flows through the Strait of Hormuz remains the single most important variable in ​easing the pressure on energy supplies, prices and the global economy. The waterway is used for transporting crude ‌and refined products, largely to Asia.

The IEA sharply cut its forecasts for global oil supply and demand growth, with the demand growth forecast for 2026 trimmed by 80,000 barrels per day and supply now expected to decline by 1.5 million barrels per day.

The US military said on Monday that its blockade of the Strait of ‌Hormuz would ⁠extend east to the Gulf of Oman and the Arabian Sea. With two ships reportedly turned around in the strait as the blockade started. However, three Iran-linked tankers entered the Gulf and were allowed to pass because their destinations were not Iranian ports.

Iran threatened to respond to the blockade by attacking ports in nations bordering the Gulf.

Before the outbreak of the US-Iran war in late February, around 130 vessels transited the Strait daily. Traffic has since slowed to a trickle, and ships must now navigate both US naval oversight and Iranian directives.

The American Petroleum Institute (API) estimated that crude oil inventories in the US rose 6.10 million barrels in the week ending April 10. In the week prior, US crude oil inventories rose by 3.719 million barrels. Official data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) will be released later on Wednesday.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

Naira Tumbles to N1,360/$1 at Official Market

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Official FX Market

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Naira depreciated against the United States Dollar by 0.21 per cent or N2.89 in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Wednesday, June 17, to N1,360.07/$1 from Tuesday’s closing rate of N1,357.18/$1.

In the same vein, the Nigerian Naira weakened against the Pound Sterling in the official market during the session by N4.42 to trade at N1,824.81/£1 versus the preceding session’s N1,820.39/£1, and lost N4.19 on the Euro to sell at N1,577.96/€1 compared with the previous day’s N1,573.79/€1.

However, at the GTBank segment, the local currency gained N1 against the greenback yesterday to exchange at N1,372/$1 versus N1,373/$1, and at the parallel market, it remained unchanged at N1,385/$1 at midweek.

The Naira’s performance comes amid tight inflows from exporters, non-bank corporates, and foreign investors, evidenced by the slow movement of the country’s gross external reserves level of $50.505 billion, despite muted inflows from oil sales after a recent drop in prices.

There have been reduced FX market interventions by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) as it maintains its stance to keep the local unit stable enough to retain foreign investments.

The Nigerian government also dismissed a report suggesting that it was considering new taxes on telecommunications services and petroleum products, which would have spooked investors.

The federal government said that the reports misrepresented recommendations contained in the International Monetary Fund (IMF) Article IV Consultation Report on Nigeria, explaining that the recommendations were advisory and do not constitute government policy or binding obligations on Nigeria.

In the cryptocurrency market, prices were negative as traders and investors shrugged off a signed Iran peace deal that lifted stocks, after the Federal Reserve held interest rates but made clear it is more worried about inflation than growth.

Under the new Chair, Mr Kevin Warsh, the Federal Reserve left rates unchanged at 3.5 per cent to 3.75 per cent,  in line with expectations, but its updated projections pointed to higher inflation and a slower pace of future rate cuts, and some officials floated the possibility that rates may still need to rise.

Cardano (ADA) slid 4.5 per cent to trade at $0.1731, Ripple (XRP) went down by 4.2 per cent to $1.16, Ethereum (ETH) shrank by 3.5 per cent to $1,727.55, Solana (SOL) lost 3.4 per cent to sell $71.05, Dogecoin (DOGE) also fell by 3.4 per cent to $0.0843, Binance Coin (BNB) slumped by 3.1 per cent to $587.53, and Bitcoin (BTC) crashed by 2.6 per cent to $63,892.28, while TRON (TRX) gained 0.7 per cent to finish at $0.3201, with the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) closing flat at $1.00 each.

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Economy

Financial Stocks Further Bleeds Customs Street by 0.49%

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Customs Street

By Dipo Olowookere

Customs Street further depleted by 0.49 per cent on Wednesday as a result of sustained profit-taking in the financial services industry.

Data showed that the insurance space lost 2.29 per cent, and the banking counter depreciated by 1.04 per cent. However, the energy index gained 0.03 per cent, and the consumer goods segment grew by 0.01 per cent, while the industrial goods sector remained unchanged.

When the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited closed for business at 4 pm yesterday, the All-Share Index (ASI) was down by 1,182.08 points to 240,802.72 points from 241,984.80 points, and the market capitalisation decreased by N759 billion to N154.445 trillion from N155.204 trillion.

Business Post reports that the market breadth index was negative after finishing with 13 price gainers and 51 price losers, indicating weak investor sentiment as a result of the sell-offs.

Geregu Power lost 10.00 per cent to trade at N1,019.30, Okomu Oil declined by 9.97 per cent to N1,418.00, Red Star Express shed 9.95 per cent to close at N27.60, International Energy Insurance dropped 9.90 per cent to quote at N5.19, and Legend Internet slipped by 9.48 per cent to N5.25.

Conversely, Neimeth gained 9.47 per cent to settle at N9.25, Cornerstone Insurance appreciated by 9.26 per cent to N5.90, SUNU Assurances expanded by 3.91 per cent to N3.72, UPDC grew by 2.82 per cent to N3.65, and GTCO chalked up 2.38 per cent to close at N129.00.

A total of 663.0 million equities valued at N40.0 billion exchanged hands in 51,143 deals during the session compared with the 535.5 million equities worth N36.8 billion traded in 55,123 deals a day earlier, representing a shortfall in the number of deals by 7.22 per cent, and a surge in the trading volume and value by 23.81 per cent and 8.70 per cent, respectively.

Yesterday, Access Holdings led the activity chart after transacting 130.3 million shares for N3.1 billion, Jaiz Bank traded 114.9 million stocks valued at N1.1 billion, Sterling Holdings exchanged 31.1 million equities worth N237.2 million, International Breweries sold 22.1 million shares for N247.6 million, and Linkage Assurance traded 17.0 million stocks for N27.7 million.

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Economy

Oil Market Gains as Trump Casts Doubt on Iran Ceasefire

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crude oil market

By Adedapo Adesanya

The oil market ​gained nearly 1 per cent on Wednesday after US President Donald Trump said the new ceasefire agreement with Iran ‌was not final and the Iran war could resume.

Brent crude futures appreciated by 59 cents or 0.75 per cent to trade at $79.55 a barrel, and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures rose 74 cents or 0.97 per cent to $76.79 per barrel.

President Trump ​said yesterday that a memorandum of understanding with Iran was not final, and that he could resume a ​bombing campaign if he did not like it or if Iran did not “behave”.

The US ⁠and Iran on Sunday said they had agreed on terms to end the war and reopen the Strait of ​Hormuz. Though not officially published, the widely reported draft grants the Islamic Republic the right to sell its oil on global markets immediately, alongside the prospect of significant further economic relief, indicating “Iran has emerged from the conflict in a stronger strategic position.

The provision for waiving sanctions on ​Iranian oil sales takes effect once the agreement is signed this week and also covers services ​including banking, transportation and insurance to facilitate the sales.

The details of the interim deal to end the war began to emerge on Tuesday, with US President ⁠Donald Trump saying it will rule out a nuclear weapon for Iran.

The deal would extend a ​tenuous ceasefire announced in April by another 60 days and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, which Iran has effectively blocked since the US and Israel first attacked Iran.

Iran effectively shut the Strait after the US and Israel launched attacks on Iran ​on February 28. The US military blockaded Iranian oil from coming out of the Strait of Hormuz, through which 20 per cent of the world’s oil and liquefied natural gas normally flows.

The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Wednesday that US crude oil inventories fell for a 10th ‌straight ⁠week last week as demand surged, pushing total stockpiles to their lowest level since 1985, as the Iran war continued to upend global energy markets.

In its first look at 2027, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said the oil market will enter a significant supply overhang, with global ​supply set to surge by 8 million barrels per day and demand rising by ​just 2 million.

In ⁠the near term, the agency said the Iran-US deal should provide an opportunity to replenish depleted inventories or build new strategic reserves.

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