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CBN Remains Adamant to Hike Rates to Boost OMO Sales

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CBN interbank forex market

By Dipo Olowookere

For the umpteenth time, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has refused to shift ground to raise stop rates of treasury bills sold to investors via secondary market.

At the OMO auction yesterday, which the apex bank conducted to control the volume of liquidity in the financial system, rates were left as they were in the previous exercise.

Market players reacted to the refusal of the central bank to offer higher rate by staying away from the exercise.

Of the N130 billion worth of the OMO bills auctioned by the CBN on Friday, it only received subscriptions valued at N38.7 billion from market players.

Business Post reports that the apex bank offered N20 billion worth of the 90-day bill and received N20 million subscriptions, allotting same at 11.90 percent.

For the 181-day paper, the CBN auctioned N30 billion, but got offers worth N2.04 billion, allotting same at 13.50 percent, while of the N80 billion worth of the 363-day note, it got offers worth N36.67 billion, but allotted N76.19 billion to investors at 15.00 percent.

At the market yesterday, average treasury bills yields stayed elevated as investors sold off slightly on the short end of the curve, whilst there was slight demand around the mid tenors due to the more attractive rates in the secondary market.

“We expect the CBN to maintain its pace of OMO interventions in lieu of the N498 billion in OMO and PMA maturities next week,” analysts at Zedcrest Research noted.

Meanwhile, rates in the money market trended higher by 10 percent on Friday with the Open Buy Back (OBB) and Overnight (OVN) rates closing the week at 24.57 percent and 27.21 percent due to the N78 billion OMO sale by the CBN which is estimated to have compressed system liquidity to N13 billion positive as at close of business. Rates are expected to trend higher in the coming week, as the CBN is expected to maintain its pace of OMO and FX (wholesale & retail) interventions in the market.

Dipo Olowookere is a journalist based in Nigeria that has passion for reporting business news stories. At his leisure time, he watches football and supports 3SC of Ibadan. Mr Olowookere can be reached via [email protected]

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Economy

Nigeria’s 364-Day Treasury Bills Rate Down 0.13% Amid Strong Demand

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Treasury Bills

By Dipo Olowookere

Increased appetite for one-year Nigerian treasury bills forced the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to trim the stop rate at primary market auction (PMA) conducted on Wednesday.

Business Post reports that the rate was brought down by 0.13 per cent during the exercise by the bank to 22.80 per cent from the 22.93 per cent it cleared in the preceding PMA.

It was observed that investors showed significant interests in the tenor at midweek, though lower than the previous auctions.

At the session, the CBN brought to the market N256.5 billion worth of the 12-month bills but received bids valued at N888.4 billion, showing that subscribers were ready to lock their funds in the long-dated asset class.

However, at the close of the exercise, the central bank allotted N512.0 billion worth of maturity to investors after it cut the top rate, which some investors wanted as high as 28.00 per cent, according to details of the exercise obtained by this newspaper.

Unfortunately, the other tenors, the 91-day and 181-day T-bills, did not get the same attention as the 364-day maturity on Wednesday.

The apex bank was at the PMA with N10.8 billion worth of the three-month bills but only received bids valued at N8.8 billion, which was fully allotted to investors, but the stop rate was left intact at 18.00 per cent at the close of the exercise.

As for the six-month tenor, it recorded a slight oversubscription during the exercise after the central bank offered for sale N8.4 billion but got subscriptions worth N10.6 billion, though the allocation was lowered to N7.0 billion with the stop rate unchanged at 18.50 per cent.

At the primary auction on Wednesday, the CBN intended to sell treasury bills valued at N275.7 billion but ended up allotting N527.8 billion after receiving offers worth N907.8 billion, indicating strong demand for the government debt securities.

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Economy

Tinubu to Present 2025 Budget of N47.9trn to NASS December 17

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2024 Budget Presentation Speech

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

On Tuesday, December 17, 2024, President Bola Tinubu will present the 2025 budget to a joint session of the National Assembly.

The size of the 2025 Appropriation Bill is about N47.9 trillion and would be presented to the parliament for approval.

Speaking at the plenary on Thursday, December 12, 2024, the President of the Senate, Mr Godswill Akpabio, said the presentation by Mr Tinubu would be at the chamber of the House of Representatives.

However, it is not certain if the lawmakers will pass the budget before December 31 to allow for a recent budget cycle of January to December.

Recall that on December 3, the senate approved the Medium Term Expenditure Framework and Fiscal Strategy Paper (MTEF/FSP) for 2025 to 2027.

This was after the President presented this the National Assembly on November 19 ahead of the consideration of the 2025 budget proposal.

In the MTEF/FSP, the government said it planned to borrow about N9.22 trillion from local and foreign sources to finance the budget deficit.

It pegged the crude oil benchmark at $75 per barrel and a daily oil production of 2.06 million barrels at an exchange rate of N1,400 to $1, and a targeted gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate of 6.4 percent.

At the plenary today, Mr Akpabio informed his colleagues that, “The President has made his intention known to the National Assembly to present the 2025 budget to the joint session of the National Assembly on December 17, 2024.”

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Economy

Nigeria Adds 150,000 b/d Crude Production in November 2024

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crude oil production

By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigeria added 150,000 barrels per day to its crude production in November 2024 as it continues to pursue an ambitious 2 million barrels per day target.

According to the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), Nigeria’s oil production rose to 1.48 million barrels per day in November, up from 1.33 million barrels per day the previous month.

In its Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR), OPEC revealed that at 1.48 million barrels per day, it is the continent’s leading oil producer, surpassing Algeria’s 908,000 barrels per day and Congo’s 268,000 barrels per day.

Business Post reports that OPEC doesn’t account for condensates, which Nigeria’s accounts for in its broader 2 million barrels per day target.

Despite the surge in production levels, Nigeria is still under producing its 1.5 million barrels per day output quota under a deal involving OPEC and 10 other producers known as OPEC+.

OPEC said it relied on primary data gotten through direct communication, noting that secondary sources reported 1.417 million barrels per day as Nigeria’s crude production in November — up from 1.4 million barrels per day in October.

The data also shows that OPEC’s total oil production among its 12 members rose by 104,000 barrels per day in the month under review.

According to secondary sources, the total of the 12 OPEC countries’ crude oil production averaged 26.66 million barrels per day in November 2024.

“Crude oil output increased mainly in Libya, Iran, and Nigeria, while production in Iraq, Venezuela, and Kuwait decreased”, OPEC said.

“At the same time, total non-OPEC DoC crude oil production averaged 14.01 mb/d in November 2024, which is 219 tb/d higher, m-o-m. Crude oil output increased mainly in Kazakhstan and Malaysia,” the organisation added.

In a related development, OPEC trimmed its 2024 and 2025 oil demand growth forecasts for the fifth time this year.

Now, the cartel expects the world’s oil demand growth at 1.61 million barrels per day from the previously 1.82 million barrels per day.

For 2025, OPEC says the world oil demand growth forecast is now at 1.45 million barrels per day, a 900,000 barrels per day cut from the previously expected 1.54 million barrels per day.

On the changes, OPEC says that the downgrade for this year owes to more bearish data received in the third quarter of 2024 while the projections for next year relate to the potential impact that will arise from US tariffs.

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