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Economy

CEO Confidence Rises Despite New Risks, Uncertainty—PwC

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By Modupe Gbadeyanka

Worldwide, CEOs’ confidence levels for their growth prospects and outlook for the economy is back on the rise amidst new risks and uncertainty.

In PwC’s 20th annual survey of CEOs worldwide, 38% (2016:35%) are very confident about their company’s growth prospects in the next 12 months while 29% (2016:27%) believe global economic growth will pick up in 2017.

Just over one-third (33%) of South African CEOs are very confident of their company’s own growth in the next 12 months, 4 points down on last year, and 5 points below this year’s global average (38%). Furthermore, only 19% expect global economic growth to improve in the next 12 months, 10 points below the global average.

Commenting on the survey results, Dion Shango, CEO of PwC Southern Africa, says: “Despite significant challenges in 2016, CEO confidence is on the rise – albeit slowly and still has some way to go from the levels that we saw back in 2007. Across the globe, there are signs of optimism despite mixed views on how the global economy will respond to the recent US presidential election result as well as the outcome of the UK Brexit vote.”

The global survey results, based on interviews with 1379 CEOs from 79 countries, were released at the World Economic Forum annual meeting in Davos yesterday. In South Africa 36 CEOs from a broad spectrum of listed and privately-owned companies participated in our survey.

“It is positive to note that local CEOs expect to increase their headcount in the next 12 months. CEOs are promoting talent diversity and inclusiveness; they have implemented strategies to reflect the skills and employment structures needed for the future,” Shango comments.

PwC’s annual 20th Global CEO Survey explores what CEOs in 2017 think about three imperatives: a people and technology strategy that is fit for the digital age, preserving trust in a world of increasingly virtual interactions, and making globalisation work for everyone by engaging even more with society and collaborating to find solutions.

“The challenge to all three imperatives is leadership. How leaders engage with employees and stakeholders has never been more important. A company’s strategy must be built upon a long-term vision of growth, access, equality, innovation, and the human endeavour,” adds Shango.

Where CEOs will look for growth

PwC’s first global survey (1997) showed emerging markets – including China and India as a sure bet for success. But the changeability of markets, exacerbated by current volatility, has caused CEOs to turn to a greater mix of countries. This year’s survey shows the US, Germany and the UK have become bigger priorities, while enthusiasm for investing in Brazil, India, Russia and Argentina has lessened from three years ago.

South African CEOs named China (36%), the UK (31%), the US (25%) and India (22%) as the most important countries for their organisation’s overall growth prospects.

New York (8%), Tokyo (8%) and London (19%) were also identified as the most important cities to an organisation’s overall growth prospects over the next 12 months.

Threats

While 91% of South African CEOs are very confident of their company growth over the next three years, their levels of concern about exchange rate volatility (92%), uncertain economic growth (92%), overregulation (89%), social instability (89%), and geopolitical uncertainty (83%) remain very high.

Of business threats, 89% (compared to 77% globally) of South African CEOs cited the availability of key skills, 69% (compared to 49% globally) cited volatile energy costs, 67% (compared to 61% globally) cited cyber threats, and 64% (compared to 70% globally) stated the speed of technological change as concerns.

Driving corporate growth

This year, 83% of South African CEOs (compared to 79% globally) plan to expand by way of organic growth in the next 12 months. Sixty-nine percent of local CEOs (compared to 62% globally) plan to implement a cost-reduction initiative. In addition, 61% of CEOs (compared to 48% globally) plan to enter into a new strategic alliance or joint venture, and 53% (compared to only 41% globally) propose a new M&A.

Technology and Trust

CEOs say that technology is now inseparable from a business’ reputation, skills and recruitment, competition and growth.  Sixty-one percent of South African CEOs say technology has either completely reshaped or had a significant impact on competition in their industry. Furthermore, 75% say it will have a major impact in the next five years.

Twenty years ago, trust wasn’t high on the business agenda for CEOs. This year, 58% of CEOs globally worry that a lack of trust in business will harm their company’s growth, up from 37% in 2013. After several high-profile technology and security issues for big companies, CEOs identified cyber security, data privacy breaches and IT disruptions as the top three technology threats to stakeholder trust. More than half of South African CEOs (58%) cited risks from the use of social media, 53% cited breaches of data privacy and ethics, and 50% cited cyber security breaches as concerns.

Headcount and talent

Concern about skills has more than doubled in 20 years (from 31% concerned in 1998 to 77% in 2017) and human capital is a top three business priority, with diversity and inclusiveness and workforce mobility amongst the strategies being used to address future skill needs. Skills availability is a concern for over three quarters (77%) of business leaders, and is highest for CEOs in Africa (80%), and Asia Pacific (82%).

More than half of South African CEOs (58%) expect to increase their headcount in the next 12 months, with 14% planning to cut their workforce.

Impact of globalisation

More than half of CEOs (58%) globally think it has become harder to balance globalisation with rising trends in protectionism. For the past 20 years CEOs have largely been positive about the contribution of globalisation to the free movement of capital, goods and people. However, this year’s survey respondents are sceptical that it has mitigated climate change or helped create full and meaningful employment to close the gap between rich and poor.

Seventy-two percent of South African CEOs (compared to 62% globally) said globalisation had to a large extent helped with universal connectivity, and 44% (compared to 60% globally) said it had helped with improving the ease of moving capital, people, goods and information.

Concludes Shango: “Looking forward, CEOs will require a different set of skills. The events of the past year have shown us just how interconnected the interests of shareholders and other stakeholders really are. Those businesses that articulate their purpose, anticipate risks and adhere to the value they profess will thrive. Businesses that ignore the power of the people will jeopardise the growth they seek.”

Modupe Gbadeyanka is a fast-rising journalist with Business Post Nigeria. Her passion for journalism is amazing. She is willing to learn more with a view to becoming one of the best pen-pushers in Nigeria. Her role models are the duo of CNN's Richard Quest and Christiane Amanpour.

Economy

BoI, NLNG Launch Single Digit Interest Micro-Credit Scheme for MSMEs

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small businesses

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Nigeria LNG Limited and the Bank of Industry (BoI) have launched a Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) finance scheme with a model that slashes loan interest rates to 9 per cent.

The initiative was piloted in Rivers State to stimulate grassroots economic growth and offer a lifeline for entrepreneurs navigating the current high-cost financial landscape.

The initiative is aimed at providing affordable credit and capacity-building to small businesses and vendors across NLNG’s host communities and Gas Transmission System areas.

Speaking at its relaunch in Port Harcourt, NLNG’s General Manager, External Relations and Sustainable Development, Mrs Sophia Horsfall, said it is a “transformative economic intervention” tailored to reduce poverty and drive sustainable development.

“More than just a micro-credit finance scheme—we ignite new possibilities for grassroots entrepreneurs and small businesses After years of funding and empowering local enterprises, we took a strategic pause to reassess and enhance our impact. This partnership with the Bank of Industry is a bold new step to drive real economic growth in Rivers State and beyond,” she averred.

Mrs Horsfall noted that rising commercial loan interest rates had necessitated NLNG’s intervention with a subsidized model.

“We have introduced a buffer that allows beneficiaries to access loans at a reduced interest rate of 9 per cent. It is not just about financing—it’s about transformation, empowerment, and long-term impact. As we take this bold step forward, we do so with pride, knowing that today, we are shaping a stronger, more sustainable future for all,” she noted.

Under the model, NLNG provides a seed fund matched by BOI, creating a robust pool to support micro-enterprises and local contractors.

The scheme is fully digitalised, with an online portal developed to streamline loan applications and disbursements, ensuring transparency and efficiency.

Representing the Managing Director of BOI, Mr Olasupo Olusi, the Executive Director for MSMEs, Mr Omar Shekarau, said the partnership aligns with the bank’s 2025–2027 corporate strategy, which targets inclusive and sustainable development across six key pillars: youth and skills, gender, digital, MSMEs, climate finance, and infrastructure.

“This partnership also reflects BOI’s reinforced focus. To ensure efficiency and transparency, BOI has deployed a cutting-edge end-to-end loan management platform, the BOI Fund Partner Solution, which allows fund partners real-time access to the performance of their fund.”

He added that BOI remains committed to making long-term, affordable financing available to Nigerian MSMEs while transforming the industrial landscape through strategic partnerships.

“Through this strategic collaboration with BOI, NLNG reinforces its commitment to fostering economic development, empowering local businesses, and sustaining long-term growth within its host communities,” he added.

The reintroduction of the scheme is being hailed as a major boost for small business owners grappling with limited access to credit facilities amidst Nigeria’s tough economic climate.

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Economy

Nigeria Raises 182-Day Treasury Bills Rate to 19.50%

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Treasury Bills

By Dipo Olowookere

The stop rates for the 91-day and 182-day treasury bills were raised by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) on Wednesday, while that of the 364-day tenor was left unchanged as appetite for the long maturity slows.

Details of the exercise showed that the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), which sold the debt instrument through a primary market auction (PMA) for the Debt Management Office (DMO), jacked the rate for the three-month bill higher by 0.50 per cent and pushed the six-month paper higher by 1.00 per cent.

Business Post reports that the stop rate for the short-date instrument cleared yesterday at 18.50 per cent, the half-year note cleared at 19.50 per cent, and the one-year bill remained at 19.63 per cent.

The central bank was at the market with N50.00 billion worth of the 91-day treasury bills but received subscriptions valued at N114.30 billion, and allotted N111.81 billion.

It also auctioned N100.00 billion worth of the 182-day instrument during the session, but got bids valued at N107.09 billion and allotted N105.79 billion.

Like in the previous sessions, the 364-day bill was oversubscribed by investors, though the level was not like in the past. The apex bank offered to sell N650.00 billion worth of the paper to the market participants, but received offers valued at N905.56 billion and allotted N206.98 billion.

From the analysis, the CBN offered investors treasury bills worth N800 billion across the three maturities, but got bids valued at N1.127 trillion and allotted N424.58 billion.

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Economy

MTN Plans Second Public Offer in Nigeria 

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MTN MoMo Nigeria

By Adedapo Adesanya

African telecommunications giant, MTN Group, has announced plans to reduce its shareholding in MTN Nigeria through a public offer as it foresees the return of the Nigerian subsidiary to profitability this year.

The group aims to cut its stake from 76 per cent to 65 per cent in line with its longstanding commitment to deepen local ownership.

According to South African tech publication ITWeb, this was disclosed by Mr Ralph Mupita, MTN Group president, during an editors’ roundtable meeting on Tuesday.

“The only localisation we have as MTN Group is we have potentially a sell-down in Nigeria at some point in time, approximately 11 per cent.

“This is something we have said long ago, that over time we would want more Nigerians owning the company, and we are prepared to sell down to 65 per cent. We are at around 76 per cent,” he said.

The offer would mark MTN’s second major retail public offering in Nigeria, following its 2021 sale of 575 million MTN Nigeria shares to local investors.

The offer was oversubscribed, resulting in the allocation of 661.25 million shares, including a 15 per cent greenshoe option.

This reduced MTN’s stake in its Nigerian unit to 75.6 per cent from 78.8 per cent.

More than 126,000 investors participated in that round, including retail and institutional investors such as Nigerian pension funds representing approximately 6.5 million contributors.

At the time in 2022, MTN Group announced plans to further reduce its stake to approximately 65 per cent from 75.6 per cent.

Mr Mupita confirmed that the Group would only proceed with a new offer once MTN Nigeria resolves its negative equity position and resumes dividend payments.

Despite reporting revenue of N3.36 trillion in 2024, a 36.03 per cent rise from N2.47 trillion in 2023, it posted a loss after tax of N400.44 billion, a 192.25 per cent rise from N137.02 billion in 2023.,

This negative performance was driven by macroeconomic headwinds, including record inflation and a steep devaluation of the Naira, which raised operating costs and wiped out investor value.

As a result, MTN Nigeria lost its position to MTN South Africa as the group’s largest revenue contributor.

However, the Group is projecting a rebound in 2025, citing key drivers such as recent tariff adjustments, operational restructuring, and improving macroeconomic indicators in Nigeria.

Speaking at the roundtable, Mr Mupita highlighted that the Group is anticipating a V-shaped recovery in Nigeria’s service revenue.

He pointed to the recent structural reforms, such as the removal of fuel subsidies, the naira stabilisation, and improved Dollar availability.

“The continued normalisation of these factors, particularly naira stability, should have positive impacts on consumer spending power and our business operations,” Mr Mupita noted in the Group’s financial statement for 2024 recently.

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