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China’s Disappointing Stimulus, Expected Supply Boost Shrink Oil Prices

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Crude Oil Prices

By Adedapo Adesanya

Oil prices fell by more than 2 per cent on Monday, with Brent crude futures losing $2.04 or 2.76 per cent to trade at $71.83 a barrel and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures down by $2.34 or 3.32 per cent to $68.04 a barrel.

This happened after the market overlooked China’s latest stimulus plan while supply looked set to rise in 2025.

The market was not impressed with China after it unveiled a 10 trillion yuan ($1.40 trillion) debt package on Friday to ease local government financing strains and stabilise flagging economic growth.

This disappointed investors who were seeking demand growth in the world’s second-biggest oil consumer.

Also, consumer prices in China rose at the slowest pace in four months in October while producer price deflation deepened.

Market analysts noted that Chinese economic momentum remains negative and could be worse with US President-elect Donald Trump possibly implementing tariffs up to 60 per cent on imported goods from the country.

The tariffs will further shrink profits, hurting jobs, investment and growth in the process and would also worsen China’s industrial overcapacity and the deflationary pressures it fuels.

Mr Trump’s US election victory also continues to affect the market, lending support to the US Dollar.

A stronger dollar makes commodities denominated in the US currency, such as oil, more expensive for holders of other currencies, and it tends to weigh on prices.

Expectations of an increase in oil supply from producers that do not belong to the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, OPEC+ also pressured the market.

Bank of America Securities said in a note on Monday that non-OPEC crude supply was expected to grow by 1.4 million barrels per day in 2025 and 900,000 barrels per day in 2026.

“Meaningful non-OPEC growth next year and an unconvincing Chinese stimulus package likely mean inventories will swell even without OPEC+ increases,” Bank of America noted.

In late September, OPEC+ said it would boost supply in December by 180,000 barrels per day but earlier this month an agreement was reached among the member and allied countries to postpone the supply expansion until January.

Meanwhile, the US offshore production regulator said 25.7 per cent of crude oil production and 13 per cent of natural gas output remained shut because of Hurricane Rafael.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

Economy

UN to Help Attract Mining, Agric Investors to Zamfara

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zamfara state map

By Modupe Gbadeyanka

The United Nations has expressed its readiness to assist in attracting investors to Zamfara State, especially in the mining and agricultural sectors.

The Deputy Secretary General of the global body, Mrs Amina Mohammed, during a visit on Thursday, said the northern Nigerian state is now ready for business and that the UN was willing to be a genuine partner to the state.

“Investors want an enabling environment. Peace is what you need today for people to come. The Zamfara narrative focuses on conflict related to solid minerals, and this needs to change,” she was quoted as saying in a statement issued on Friday by the spokesperson for the Zamfara Governor, Mr Sulaiman Bala Idris.

The former Nigerian Minister further said, “What you show us today is first and foremost your passion for what you want us to do, and that is what investors want. They want to know what you want.

“I am happy today to be here in Zamfara, because I really want to show the world that we should pay attention to what is happening at the local level. Because this is where people are weakest, where governance is weakest, and where there are the fewest resources.

“When we visit, we give visibility to the effort that has been made and to the impact of what is happening elsewhere in the world on people who have nothing to do with what caused it in the first place.

“Zamfara State is accessible today. And it would be even more accessible because the road we travelled on is still under construction. When it is finished, it will revive the businesses and markets around it, and hopefully, by then, we will witness more peace.

“I see the mining, I see the potentials, I see the market and the demand, but I also see the leadership here who is willing to look at the institution, framework and partner to get the job done.

“There is a lot of hope and potential here. Everyone must play their role; this is not something the governor will do alone. The United Nations is willing to be a genuine partner to Zamfara State.”

On his part, Governor Dauda Lawal said Zamfara is at a turning point, with a population of 5.3 million, and the state’s economy is agriculture-driven, with 82 per cent of the population depending on agriculture.

“Zamfara’s Six-Point Rescue Agenda is a deliberate strategy to stabilise, rebuild, and transition the state toward inclusive and sustainable development,” he told his guest.

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Economy

FG Tasks New NCX Board on Boosting Non-Oil, Export Economy

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Nigeria Commodity Exchange NCX

By Adedapo Adesanya

The federal government has inaugurated the Governing Board of the Nigeria Commodity Exchange (NCX) to strengthen commodity trading and accelerate Nigeria’s transition to a non-oil, export-driven economy.

The Minister of Industry, Trade and Investment, Mrs Jumoke Oduwole, who inaugurated the board on Thursday in Abuja, said it was part of efforts to modernise commodity markets and boost export competitiveness.

According to her, the initiative seeks to formalise commodity trade and unlock value in agriculture and solid minerals, supporting the government’s agenda on diversification, job creation and food security.

The minister described the development as a major step toward repositioning Nigeria in regional and global markets.

She noted that Nigeria’s vast resources and access to over 1.4 billion consumers under the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) present significant export opportunities.

She emphasised the need to address poor traceability, informal trading systems and infrastructure gaps affecting commodity markets.

Mrs Oduwole said the reactivation of the exchange would strengthen transparency, standardise trading and improve price discovery.

She added that the NCX would attract investment into market infrastructure and help Nigerian commodities meet international export standards.

On his part, the Permanent Secretary of the ministry, Mr Chris Isokpunwu, described the inauguration as a landmark step in strengthening Nigeria’s commodity export ecosystem.

Mr Isokpunwu, represented by the Director of the Commodity Exchange Department of the ministry, Mr Obasi Edozie, urged the newly inaugurated board to discharge their duties with diligence and professionalism.

He assured the board of the ministry’s support toward achieving measurable economic outcomes.

Mr Abubakar, Chairman of the governing board, pledged the board’s commitment to repositioning the exchange as a globally competitive trading platform.

He listed priorities to include strengthening governance, upgrading warehouses and digital trading systems and building capacity for farmers and market operators.

He also emphasised the need to deepen partnerships with financial institutions and international commodity markets.

“The inauguration underscores the Federal Government’s commitment to repositioning the NCX to drive export growth, rural prosperity and sustainable economic development.”

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Economy

NGX RegCo Fines Stockbroker for Unauthorised Sale of Clients’ Securities

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stockbroker nigeria

**Revokes Trading Licences of LMB, Platinum Stockbrokers

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

A stockbroking company, Premium Capital and Stockbrokers Limited, has been fined N5 million for engaging in “unauthorised sale of its clients’ securities.”

A circular issued by the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Regulation Limited disclosed that the trading licence of the organisation has also been revoked.

In the notice signed by the Head of Market Regulation for NGX RegCo, Chinedu Akamaka, Premium Capital violated Rule 11.9 of the Rulebook of The Exchange, 2015 (Dealing Members’ Rules), which focuses on the Prohibition of Unauthorised Sale of Securities.

Business Post reports that Premium Capital was not the only stockbroker that had its trading licence withdrawn, as it also affected others.

The licence of LMB Stockbrokers Limited was revoked by NGX RegCo for prolonged inactivity, which falls contrary to Rule 6.4: Revocation of Inactive Dealing Members’ Licences, Rulebook of The Exchange, 2015 (Dealing Members’ Rules), as amended.

The same also affected Platinum Stockbrokers Limited, which has not witnessed activity on the floor of the NGX Limited for a while.

Similarly, the authorised dealing clerkship of Mr Bernard Oluwole Ilori, was taken back with immediate effect in alignment with an earlier determination by the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) Administrative Proceedings Committee (APC), which arose from his involvement in regulatory infractions connected to Mutual Alliance Investment and Securities Limited and resulted in his 10-year ban from the Nigerian capital market since March 25, 2021.

Investors have been “strongly advised not to engage in any activity with the firms” whose trading licenses have been revoked.

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