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Concerns About Trade War May Continue to Hit Markets

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US Stocks report

By Investors Hub

The major U.S. index futures are pointing to a lower opening on Monday after turning higher over the course of the previous session.

Lingering concerns about a global trade war may weigh on the markets, as President Donald Trump plans to implement tariffs on steel and aluminum imports.

In a post on Twitter, Trump indicated that the tariffs on steel and aluminum would only be removed if the U.S. negotiates a ?new & fair? NAFTA agreement.

?We have large trade deficits with Mexico and Canada. NAFTA, which is under renegotiation right now, has been a bad deal for U.S.A. Massive relocation of companies & jobs. Tariffs on Steel and Aluminum will only come off if new & fair NAFTA agreement is signed,? Trump tweeted.

He added, ?Also, Canada must treat our farmers much better. Highly restrictive. Mexico must do much more on stopping drugs from pouring into the U.S. They have not done what needs to be done. Millions of people addicted and dying.?

Trading activity may be somewhat subdued, however, as traders look ahead to the Labor Department?s monthly employment report due to be released on Friday.

After coming under pressure early in the session, stocks showed a significant turnaround over the course of the trading day on Friday. The major averages bounced well off their lows of the session, with the Nasdaq and the S&P 500 climbing into positive territory.

The major averages ended the session mixed, as the Dow climbed well off its worst levels but was unable to turn positive. While the Dow fell 70.92 points or 0.3 percent to 24,538.06, the Nasdaq jumped 77.31 points or 1.1 percent to 7,257.87 and the S&P 500 climbed 13.58 points or 0.5 percent to 2,691.25.

Despite the recovery on the day, the major averages all moved lower for the week. The Dow plunged by 3 percent, the S&P 500 tumbled by 2 percent and the Nasdaq slumped by 1.1 percent.

Bargain hunting may have contributed to the rebound on Wall Street, as the early weakness came on the heels of the sharp pullback seen over the three previous sessions.

The initial drop came as traders expressed concerns about the impact President Donald Trump’s plans to impose new tariffs on steel and aluminum imports will have on global trade.

Trump indicated Thursday that he plans to impose a 25 percent tariff on steel imports and a 10 percent tariff on aluminum imports.

The tariffs are likely to benefit U.S. steel and aluminum producers, although some officials have warned of retaliation by the European Union and China.

Trump shrugged off the concerns in a post on Twitter early Friday morning, calling trade wars “good” and “easy to win”

“When a country (USA) is losing many billions of dollars on trade with virtually every country it does business with, trade wars are good, and easy to win,” Trump said.

He added, “Example, when we are down $100 billion with a certain country and they get cute, don’t trade anymore-we win big. It’s easy!”

Following Trump’s announcement, several industry groups warned that the tariffs would lead to increased costs and hamper their ability to create jobs.

A steep drop by shares of McDonald’s (MCD) weighed on the Dow, with the fast food giant slumping by 4.8 percent.

The drop by McDonald’s came after RBC Capital Markets cut its price target on the company’s stock to $170 from $190 after a slow start for the chain’s new value menu.

Biotechnology stocks showed a substantial move to the upside on the day, driving the NYSE Arca Biotechnology Index up by 3.2 percent. The index rebounded after closing lower for three straight sessions.

Biogen (BIIB) and AbbVie (ABBV) turned higher despite voluntarily withdrawing their relapsing multiple sclerosis drug Zinbryta from the global markets.

Significant strength also emerged among natural gas stocks, as reflected by the 2.3 percent gain posted by the NYSE Arca Natural Gas Index. The strength in the sector came despite a modest decrease by the price of natural gas stocks.

Tobacco, semiconductor, and healthcare stocks also moved notably higher, while steel stocks pulled back following the strength seen in the previous session.

Dipo Olowookere is a journalist based in Nigeria that has passion for reporting business news stories. At his leisure time, he watches football and supports 3SC of Ibadan. Mr Olowookere can be reached via [email protected]

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Economy

Oil Prices Fall as Trump Announces Changes in US Energy Policies

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oil prices fall

By Adedapo Adesanya

Oil prices settled lower on Monday after Mr Donald Trump was sworn in for a second time as President of the United States.

On assumption of office, Mr Trump declared a national energy emergency immediately, promising to replenish strategic reserves and export American energy worldwide.

Consequently, Brent crude futures went down by 64 cents or 0.8 per cent to settle at $80.15 per barrel and the US West Texas Intermediate crude futures depreciated by $1.30 or 1.7 per cent to trade at $76.58 per barrel.

Mr Trump and his allies have signalled they would use the authority to rapidly approve new oil, gas, and electricity projects that typically take years to permit, and during his speech said he plans to unleash new oil and gas development on federal lands while reversing the Biden-Harris administration’s de-growth climate regulations.

Market analysts noted that while many of the executive actions will simply kick off a lengthy regulatory process, they extend by a large degree to the US energy industry, from oil fields to car dealerships.

These also underscore Mr Trump’s determination to reorient federal government policy behind oil and gas production, a sharp pivot from Biden’s efforts to curb fossil fuels.

He also said in his inaugural speech that he would impose tariffs and tax countries and promised an overhaul of the trade system.

Last week, prices rose for a fourth-consecutive weekly gain after the Biden administration imposed sanctions on more than 100 tankers and two Russian oil producers. This led to a scramble by top buyers China and India for prompt oil cargoes and a rush for ship supply.

Meanwhile, dealers of Russian and Iranian oil sought tankers not under sanctions for oil shipment.

While the new sanctions could cut supply from Russia by nearly 1 million barrels per day, market analysts noted that recent price gains could be short-lived depending on Trump’s actions as the new American president promised to help end the Russia-Ukraine war quickly.

Russian President Vladimir Putin congratulated Mr Trump on taking office hours, saying he was open to dialogue with the new US administration on Ukraine and nuclear arms.

Pressure was reduced based on easing tension in the Middle East after Hamas and Israel exchanged hostages and prisoners on Sunday which marked the first day of a ceasefire after 15 months of war.

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Economy

Customs Street Opens Week Bullish With 0.02% Growth

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Customs Street NGX

By Dipo Olowookere

The first trading session of the new week on the floor of the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited ended on a bullish note on Monday after a marginal 0.02 per cent growth.

This was influenced by bargain-hunting activities in the financial and industrial goods ecosystems.

According to data obtained from Customs Street, the insurance space grew by 2.12 per cent, the industrial goods sector appreciated by 0.17 per cent and the banking space expanded by 0.12 per cent.

However, due to profit-taking, the consumer goods index went down yesterday by 0.46 per cent and the energy counter decreased by 0.11 per cent.

When the bourse ended for the session, the bulls were in charge after dealing with the bears, leaving the All-Share Index (ASI) higher by 16.68 points to 102,370.36 points from 102,353.68 points and the market capitalisation increased by N10 billion to N62.861 trillion from N62.851 trillion.

Investor sentiment was strong during the session after the stock exchange finished with 32 price gainers and 26 price losers, indicating a positive market breadth index.

Caverton gained 10.00 per cent to close at N2.42, Coronation Insurance improved by 9.91 per cent to N2.44, SCOA Nigeria expanded by 9.68 per cent to N2.72, UPDC jumped by 9.52 per cent to N1.84, and Universal Insurance also rose by 9.52 per cent to 69 Kobo.

On the flip side, Eunisell declined by 9.99 per cent to N14.06, John Holt lost 9.63 per cent to trade at N9.20, Secure Electronic Technology shed 8.99 per cent to quote at 81 Kobo, Honeywell Flour dropped 7.58 per cent to settle at N9.15, and PZ Cussons weakened by 6.00 per cent to N23.50.

Yesterday, a total of 1.3 billion shares worth N17.7 billion exchanged hands in 13,891 deals compared with the 327.8 million shares valued at N11.8 billion traded in 11,905 deals last Friday, implying an increase in the trading volume, value, and number of deals by 304.48 per cent, 50.00 per cent, and 16.68 per cent, respectively.

The busiest stock was Wema Bank with a turnover of 980.0 million units worth N9.8 billion, Universal Insurance sold 31.3 million units for N21.2 million, AIICO Insurance traded 22.2 million units valued at N36.9 million, Oando transacted 19.8 million units for N1.5 billion, and Zenith Bank exchanged 19.7 million units worth N926.0 million.

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Economy

Nigeria Makes Maiden AfCFTA Shipment to Kenya

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By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigeria’s maiden shipment under the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) has successfully arrived at the Mombasa Port in Kenya.

According to the Nigeria AfCFTA Coordination Office in a statement, the development marks a historic moment for Africa’s trade landscape.

The Senior Trade Expert at the Nigeria AfCFTA Coordination Office, Mr Olusegun Olutayo, said in line with its mandate under the leadership of the National Coordinator, Mr Olusegun Awolowo, the office had coordinated the landmark event.

He said the achievement marked a significant milestone for Nigeria in realising the vision of increased intra-African trade and economic integration championed by the agreement in line with the decision of the AU Assembly at the 31st Ordinary Session of the Assembly.

“In times of escalating geopolitical tension and looming geo-economic fragmentation, AfCFTA presents a perfect opportunity for Africa to leverage trade as a strategic instrument for enhanced market access among state parties.

“This is a historic moment, a realisation of the vision of our continent’s founding fathers and mothers.”

He also said the first consignment which was a synthetic filaments product of Nigeria’s Lucky Fibres Limited (Lush), a subsidiary of the Tolaram Group, was exported under AfCFTA preferential terms.

Mr Olutayo lauded the bold economic reforms of President Bola Tinubu, emphasising their catalytic role in enabling the country’s active participation in AfCFTA, fostering continental economic integration and industrialisation goals.

He also commended the seamless cooperation and commitment from Kenyan authorities, which exemplifies the true spirit of AfCFTA.

He acknowledged the pivotal leadership role of the AfCFTA Secretariat in fostering the success and emphasised the collaborative efforts of the Kenya AfCFTA Implementation Committee and the Kenya Revenue Authority (Customs).

According to him, the shipment, exported under AfCFTA preferential trade terms, underscores partnership, shared vision, the agreement’s potential to transform Africa’s economic landscape and pave the way for a new era of trade-driven prosperity.

The AfCFTA seeks to create a single market across Africa by reducing barriers to trade, investment, and labour.

The agreement’s goal is to increase socioeconomic development, reduce poverty, and make Africa more competitive globally.

On March 21, 2018, the AfCFTA agreement was adopted and opened for signature in Kigali, Rwanda. The agreement entered into force on May 30, 2019 and officially commenced on January 2021

Former President Muhammadu Buhari established the National Action Committee on AfCFTA (NAC) in December 2019.

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