Economy
CPPE Warns CBN Against Further Rate Hikes as MPC Meeting Kicks Off
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise (CPPE) has urged policymakers to adopt a cautious approach to further interest rate hikes, warning that rising political spending ahead of the 2027 elections and growing geopolitical tensions could complicate monetary policy decisions.
The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the central bank will hold its 305th meeting starting Monday, May 19 (today) to Tuesday, May 20, after which the monetary policy decisions will be announced.
The centre said while inflation control remains critical, excessive monetary tightening could weaken credit growth, discourage private investment and slow Nigeria’s fragile economic recovery.
Last week, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said the country’s inflation increased to 15.69 per cent in April amid the impact of the continued tension in the Middle East.
According to the chief executive of CPPE, Mr Muda Yusuf, the MPC will need to carefully weigh domestic economic realities alongside global developments before taking any decision on rates.
He stated that geopolitical tensions involving the United States, Israel and Iran were already fueling uncertainty in the global energy market, with rising crude oil prices expected to increase domestic energy, logistics and production costs, noting that the global developments could further intensify inflationary pressures within the Nigerian economy.
On the domestic front, Mr Yusuf said signs of rising liquidity linked to preparations for the 2027 general elections are becoming more evident, explaining that political spending by candidates and parties, combined with increasing allocations from the Federation Account Allocation Committee (FAAC) to state governments, could create fresh liquidity management and inflation challenges for monetary authorities.
“Indications of increased liquidity related to the upcoming 2027 elections are becoming more prominent. Political spending from candidates and parties, coupled with enhanced disbursements from FAAC to state governments, presents important considerations for liquidity management and inflation control,” he said.
Mr Yusuf stated that, given the current environment, there is a strong possibility that the MPC may either retain the current policy stance or opt for only moderate tightening.
The CPPE warned that sustained high interest rates could hurt economic growth, weaken industrial productivity and undermine job creation and acknowledged the need to manage inflation expectations
The centre argued that Nigeria’s inflation challenges are largely supply-driven, particularly due to high energy costs, logistics bottlenecks and structural inefficiencies, limiting the effectiveness of aggressive monetary tightening.
According to Mr Yusuf, monetary tightening is generally more effective in tackling demand-pull inflation than supply-side inflation.
He stressed that higher interest rates could increase borrowing costs for businesses, reduce manufacturing competitiveness, constrain small and medium-scale enterprises and discourage investment at a time when the economy requires stronger productivity growth.
The CPPE also warned that elevated rates could heighten the risk of loan defaults and place additional pressure on businesses already struggling with high operating costs.
Mr Yusuf advocated a more balanced and development-focused monetary policy framework suited to the realities of emerging economies like Nigeria, where infrastructure gaps, weak productive capacity, unemployment and financing constraints remain major challenges.
He maintained that sustainable disinflation in Nigeria would depend more on supply-side reforms, energy security, improved logistics, stable exchange rates and increased domestic refining capacity than solely on aggressive monetary tightening.
“The primary focus should be on fostering investor confidence, encouraging productive investments, enhancing output growth and improving the economy’s supply-side capacity while remaining attentive to inflation management,” he said.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Nigerian government on Wednesday dismissed reports suggesting that it has adopted or is considering new taxes on telecommunications services and petroleum products following the publication of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) Article IV Consultation Report on Nigeria.
The clarification followed reports that the IMF recommended that Nigeria may need to extend VAT to fuel products and introduce excise duties on telecommunications services to raise revenue, fund development, and social spending, a development that sparked outrage from Nigerians.
In a statement by the Head of Information and Public Relations Unit of the Ministry of Finance, Mr Efe Ovuakporie, it was clarified that the reports misrepresented the content of the IMF report and did not reflect its policy direction.
“The IMF Article IV Consultation Report contains the Fund’s assessment of Nigeria’s economy as well as recommendations for consideration by the authorities.
“Those recommendations do not amount to government policy and are not binding on Nigeria. Decisions on tax matters are taken through established constitutional and legislative processes and are guided by national priorities and prevailing economic realities”.
The government clarified that the Value Added Tax (VAT) waiver on petroleum products remains in place and has not been withdrawn.
It also noted that although existing legislation provides for a fuel surcharge, such a measure can only take effect through a ministerial order and publication in the Official Gazette.
“No such process is under consideration.
“The continued suspension of these charges has helped cushion the effect of global energy price fluctuations on households and businesses while keeping domestic fuel prices relatively stable”.
The government further clarified that the telecommunications excise duty introduced before 2023 has been repealed under the new tax laws and is therefore no longer applicable.
Against this backdrop, the statement noted that reports claiming that new taxes are being planned for telecommunications services or petroleum products “are not factual and should be disregarded”.
The federal government said it remained focused on reforms that promote economic growth, improve revenue administration, and create a more competitive environment for investment and job creation.
“The emphasis remains on expanding economic activity, plugging leakages and improving efficiency rather than placing additional tax burdens on citizens.
“Any future tax measures will be announced through official channels and implemented in line with the law”, the statement added.
By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigeria’s natural gas production slid marginally by 0.12 per cent on a month-on-month basis to 7.93 billion standard cubic feet per day (bcf/d) in May 2026 from April’s 7.94bcf/d.
According to fresh data from the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC), the figure represents a 0.63 per cent year-on-year increase from 7.88bcf/d recorded in May 2025.
Breakdown of the May data shows Associated Gas contributed 3.96 bcf/d, while Non-Associated Gas accounted for 3.98bcf/d, highlighting a near-even split in Nigeria’s production mix and the growing strength of dedicated gas developments.
Domestic utilisation continued to expand. Sales to the local market rose to 2.18bcf/d, up from 2.03bcf/d previously, representing 26.6 per cent of total gas usage, as demand from power generation and industrial users strengthened under the national gas expansion agenda.
Export sales, however, declined to 3.07bcf/d, accounting for about 40 per cent of utilisation, while 2.11bcf/d (26.5 per cent) was consumed for field operations. Gas flaring stood at 0.57bcf/d, or 6.9 per cent, reinforcing gradual progress toward Nigeria’s 2030 zero-flare target.
Production has maintained a steady upward trend over the year, rising from 7.80bcf/d in January to 7.94bcf/d in April, before stabilising in May. Year-to-date performance averaged 7.87bcf/d, slightly higher than the first-quarter average.
Between January and April 2026, Nigeria produced 947.78bcf of gas. Of this, 872.69bcf was utilised, while 57.34bcf was flared, translating to utilisation levels of about 92 per cent, according to NUPRC’s provisional data.
Monthly performance showed consistent utilisation above 90 per cent: January recorded 91.4 per cent, February 93 per cent, March 93.2 per cent, and April 93.1 per cent, underscoring improved efficiency in gas utilisation across the value chain.
Domestic supply remained stable throughout the period, averaging between 59bcf and 66bcf monthly, while exports fluctuated but remained significant, with volumes peaking at 98.69bcf in April.
The commission noted that the growing contribution of non-associated gas reflects ongoing investments in dedicated gas projects and aligns with government efforts under the Decade of Gas initiative to expand domestic utilisation, reduce flaring, and strengthen energy security.
Nigeria, which holds over 200 trillion cubic feet of proven gas reserves, continues to face infrastructure and investment constraints that limit full monetisation of its resources, despite improving production and utilisation trends.
By Dipo Olowookere
The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited was further pulled back by 0.50 per cent on Tuesday as a result of profit-taking in some heavyweight stocks.
Like the preceding session, the key sectors of Customs Street were depressed yesterday, with the banking index down by 2.82 per cent. The consumer goods declined by 0.52 per cent, the insurance space lost 0.10 per cent, and the energy counter shrank by 0.03 per cent, while the industrial goods segment was flat.
Consequently, the All-Share Index (ASI) eased by 1,437.54 points to 241,984.80 points from 243,422.34 points, and the market capitalisation contracted by N922 billion to N155.204 trillion from N156.126 trillion.
The worst-performing stock was International Energy Insurance, which gave up 10.00 per cent to close at N5.76. Vitafoam dipped by 10.00 per cent to N189.00, Austin Laz crashed by 9.93 per cent to N3.90, SUNU Assurances depleted by 9.82 per cent to N3.58, and Sovereign Trust Insurance lost 8.37 per cent to finish at N2.30.
On the flip side, Conoil gained 9.79 per cent to trade at N213.00, Prestige Assurance also expanded by 9.79 per cent to N1.57, Neimeth jumped 9.74 per cent to N8.45, eTranzact chalked up 9.40 per cent to close at N16.30, and Cornerstone Insurance improved by 9.09 per cent to N5.40.
The bourse witnessed heavy sell-offs in some equities, with Sterling Holdings recording the sale of 100.9 million units worth N782.8 million to lead the activity log. UAC Nigeria transacted 49.4 million units valued at N9.1 billion, Access Holdings sold 28.8 million units for N699.3 million, Zenith Bank exchanged 29.4 million units worth N3.0 billion, and GTCO traded 20.2 million units valued at N2.7 billion.
At the close of transactions, market participants bought and sold 535.5 million shares worth N36.8 billion in 55,123 deals compared with 569.1 million shares valued at N31.4 billion traded in 77,652 deals on Monday. This implied that the trading value went up by 17.20 per cent, while the trading volume and the number of deals went down by 5.90 per cent and 29.01 per cent, respectively.
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