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Economy

Crude Oil Accounts for 74.45% of Nigeria’s Exports in Q1 2019

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Bonny Light Crude Export

By Dipo Olowookere

It seems efforts by the administration of President Muhammadu Buhari to diversify the nation’s economy so as to stop the heavy reliance on crude oil as Nigeria’s major exports are not yielding any meaningful results.

This is because the commodity is still the main driver of the economy despite attempts to make the non-oil industry contribute significantly to revenue generated.

Last week, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) released the Foreign Trade in Goods Statistics for the first quarter of 2019, but the figures showed that much of the trades carried out by the Africa’s largest economy was still in the oil sector.

According to the stats office, Nigeria’s export in the first quarter of this year was still oil dependent, with exports trade dominated by crude oil exports, which contributed N3.377 trillion or 74.45 percent to the value of total exports in Q1, 2019.

However, the non-oil products accounted for 25.55 percent of total exports in the quarter under review.

In Q1 2019, Nigeria exported most products to Europe, Asia and Africa equivalent to N1.833 trillion or 40.43 percent of total exports, N1.325 trillion or 29.2 percent and N936.8 billion or 20.67 percent respectively.

Furthermore, Nigeria exported goods worth N405.8 billion or 8.95 percent to the Americas and N34.5 billion or 0.76 percent to Oceania.

Within Africa, Nigeria exported goods valued at N300.6 billion to ECOWAS member states, representing 32.08 percent of total merchandise exports to Africa.

By country of destination, Nigeria exported goods mainly to India, Spain, Netherlands, South Africa and France, valued at N745.0 billion or 16.43 percent, N487.1 billion or 10.74 percent, N405.4 billion or 8.9 percent, N325.5 billion or 7.2 percent and N302.3 billion or 6.7 percent respectively.

In the report, the NBS said the total trade recorded in Nigeria in the first quarter of 2019 grew by 2.50 percent when compared with what was achieved in the fourth quarter of and by 7.52 percent as against the corresponding quarter in 2018.

In the period under consideration, the country’s total exports was recorded at N4.535 trillion, which represents a 1.78 percent rise compared with the fourth quarter of 2018 but a 3.9 percent fall compared to the first quarter of 2018.

Similarly, the value of total imports increased to N3.704 trillion, representing an increase of 3.39 percent relative to Q4 2018 and 29.84 percent compared with Q1 2018.

It further stated that the trade balance of Nigeria remained positive at N831.6 billion in the first quarter of this year, boosted by increase in both exports and imports, with the boost also helped total trade increase to N8.239 trillion.

A breakdown of the imports showed that imported agricultural products were 7.98 percent higher in value than in Q4 2018, and 28.1 percent higher than in Q1, 2018, while the value of raw material imports grew 6.62 percent more than the value recorded in Q4, 2018 and 20.76 percent more than the value recorded in Q1 2018.

Also, the value of solid minerals imports was 1.26 percent more than the value of imports in Q4, 2018 and 35.90 percent higher than the value recorded in Q1 2018, while the value of energy goods imports was 20.28 percent lower than in Q4, 2018. Compared with the corresponding quarter of 2018, a decrease of 0.94 percent was recorded.

In the report analysed by Business Post, the stats office said the value of imported manufactured goods increased by 25.81 percent in Q1, 2019 against the value recorded in Q4, 2018 and rose by 130.7 percent against its value in Q1, 2018. The increase in value of imported manufactured goods was partly as a result of the importation of hygienic/ pharmaceutical product for humanitarian purposes during the quarter.

In addition, the value of other oil products imported was 58.4 percent lower than in Q4, 2018 and 72.71 percent lower than the corresponding quarter of 2018.

For the exports, the value of agricultural exports in Q1 2019 was 11.89 percent lower than in Q4, 2018 but 17.5 percent higher than Q1 2018.

The value of raw material exports in Q1, 2019 was 10.67 percent lower than the value in Q4, 2018 but 11.57 percent higher than in Q1 2018.

The value of solid minerals exports increased by 16.88 percent relative to Q4 2018 but decreased by 66.6 percent compared to the corresponding quarter in 2018.

The exports of energy goods decreased in value by 1.3 percent compared to Q4, 2018 but increased by 2.17 percent when compared with Q1 2018.

The value of manufactured goods exports rose by 511.19 percent in Q1 2019 when compared with the value recorded in Q4 2018 and 6.43 percent compared to the corresponding quarter in 2018. The increase in export during the quarter was due to the re-export of vessels and other floating structures during the quarter, amongst other high value re-exports.

The value of crude oil exports in Q1 2019 was 7.78 percent lower than in Q4 2018 and 5.67 percent lower than in Q1 2018.

The value of other oil products exports decreased by 1.42 percent compared to Q4 2018, and 1.44 percent compared to Q1 2018.

Dipo Olowookere is a journalist based in Nigeria that has passion for reporting business news stories. At his leisure time, he watches football and supports 3SC of Ibadan. Mr Olowookere can be reached via [email protected]

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Economy

Investors Lose N73bn as Bears Tighten Grip on Stock Exchange

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Nigeria's stock exchange

By Dipo Olowookere

The bears consolidated their dominance on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited on Wednesday, inflicting an additional 0.09 per cent cut on the market.

At midweek, the market capitalisation of the domestic stock exchange went down by N73 billion to N124.754 trillion from the preceding day’s N124.827 trillion, and the All-Share Index (ASI) slipped by 114.32 points to 194,370.20 points from 194,484.52 points.

A look at the sectoral performance showed that only the consumer goods index closed in green, gaining 1.19 per cent due to buying pressure.

However, sustained profit-taking weakened the insurance space by 3.79 per cent, the banking index slumped by 2.07 per cent, the energy counter went down by 0.24 per cent, and the industrial goods sector shrank by 0.22 per cent.

Business Post reports that 25 equities ended on the gainers’ chart, and 54 equities finished on the losers’ table, representing a negative market breadth index and weak investor sentiment.

RT Briscoe lost 10.00 per cent to sell for N10.35, ABC Transport crashed by 10.00 per cent to N6.75, SAHCO depreciated by 9.98 per cent to N139.35, Haldane McCall gave up 9.93 per cent to trade at N3.99, and Vitafoam Nigeria decreased by 9.93 per cent to N112.50.

Conversely, Jaiz Bank gained 9.95 per cent to settle at N14.03, Okomu Oil appreciated by 9.93 per cent to N1,765.00, Trans-nationwide Express chalked up 9.77 per cent to close at N2.36, Fortis Global Insurance moved up by 9.72 per cent to 79 Kobo, and Champion Breweries rose by 5.39 per cent to N17.60.

Yesterday, 1.4 billion shares worth N46.2 billion were transacted in 70,222 deals compared with the 1.1 billion shares valued at N53.4 billion traded in 72,218 deals a day earlier, implying a rise in the trading volume by 27.27 per cent, and a decline in the trading value and number of deals by 13.48 per cent and 2.76 per cent, respectively.

Fortis Global Insurance ended the session as the busiest stock after trading 193.7 million units for N152.7 million, Zenith Bank transacted 120.7 million units worth N11.1 billion, Japaul exchanged 114.8 million units valued at N407.0 million, Ellah Lakes sold 98.4 million units worth N999.2 million, and Access Holdings traded 63.1 million units valued at N1.7 billion.

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Economy

Naira Extends Losing Streak, Falls to N1,356/$1 at NAFEX

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NAFEX

By Adedapo Adesanya

A 74 Kobo or 0.05 per cent decline was recorded by the Naira against the United States Dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Wednesday, February 25, trading at N1,356.11/$1 compared with the N1,355.37/$1 it was traded on Tuesday.

The Nigerian currency also further depreciated against the Pound Sterling during the session in the official market by N6.70 to settle at N1,834.96/£1 versus the preceding day’s rate of N1,828.26/£1, and against the Euro, it tumbled by N4.94 to quote at N1,598.59/€1 compared with the previous session’s N1,596.36/€1.

In the same vein, the Nigerian Naira lost N6 against the Dollar at the GTBank forex desk to close at N1,367/$1, in contrast to N1,361/$1 it was exchanged a day earlier, and in the parallel market, it traded flat at N1,365/$1.

The continuation of the decline of the local currency has been tied to the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) buying US Dollars from the market to slow the rapid rise of the Naira.

The apex bank bought about $189.80 million to reduce excess Dollar supply and control how fast the Naira was gaining value.

The monetary policy committee (MPC) of the CBN on Tuesday reduced interest rates by 50 basis points to 26.50 per cent from 27 per cent after inflation eased in January 2026, a move analysts say is the best not to unsettle FX market, especially the Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPI_ inflows which have anchored much of the recent supply and weakened the recently restored monetary credibility.

“The 50bps move therefore provides a clear directional signal while still keeping overall monetary conditions restrictive, indicating the start of a shallow, data-dependent easing cycle rather than a radical shift to accommodative policy,” said Mr Kayode Akindele, CEO, Coronation Capital and Head, Coronation Research in an email.

As for the cryptocurrency market, benchmarked tokens rebounded in double digits, driven by bearish positioning and thin liquidity rather than by clear fundamental catalysts, with Cardano (ADA) growing by 16.2 per cent to $0.3015, and Solana (SOL) appreciating by 12.3 per cent to $88.66.

Further, Ethereum (ETH) surged 11.9 per cent to $2,076.66, Litecoin (LTC) expanded by 11.5 per cent to $57.15, Dogecoin (DOGE) rose by 11.5 per cent to $0.1025, Binance Coin (BNB) advanced by 7.6 per cent to $629.76, Ripple (XRP) jumped 7.2 per cent to $1.45, and Bitcoin (BTC) added 6.4 per cent to sell for $68,136.72, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 apiece.

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Economy

Oil Prices Stabilise as US Crude Build Counters Supply Disruption Threat

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Crude Oil Prices

By Adedapo Adesanya

Oil prices settled largely unchanged on Wednesday amid a build in American crude stockpile and the threat to oil supply from potential military conflict between the US and Iran.

Brent futures chalked up 8 cents to trade at $70.85 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures settled lost 21 cents to close at $65.42 per barrel.

Crude oil inventories in the US increased by 16 million barrels during the week ending February 20, according to new data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) released on Wednesday.

The decrease brings commercial stockpiles to 435.8 million barrels according to government data, which is still 3% below the five-year average for this time of year.

The EIA’s data release follows figures by the American Petroleum Institute (API) that were released a day earlier, which reported that crude oil inventories rose by a massive 11.4 million barrels in the period.

The market continued to weigh the possibility extended conflict could disrupt supplies from Iran, the third-biggest crude producer in the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and other countries in the Middle East.

US President Donald Trump verbally attacked Iran, saying he would not allow a country he described as the world’s biggest sponsor of terrorism to have a nuclear weapon.

This comes as US envoys are due to meet an Iranian delegation for a third round of talks on Thursday in Geneva, Switzerland.

Reuters reported that OPEC+ is considering raising its oil output by 137,000 barrels per day for April to end a three-month pause in production increases. This is as the group prepares for peak summer demand and tensions between the US and Iran boost prices.

Eight OPEC+ producers – Saudi Arabia, Russia, the United Arab Emirates, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Iraq, Algeria and Oman – meet on March 1.

An increase of 137,000 barrels per day for April would be the same as those agreed for December, November and October last year.

In a separate development, Saudi Arabia has activated a plan for a short-term oil output and export surge in case a US strike on Iran disrupts flows from the Middle East, said two sources familiar with the Saudi plan.

Tariff uncertainty also further worried investors after President Trump’s temporary global tariff of 10 per cent took effect on Tuesday after the Supreme Court’s sweeping ruling last week. He later said the levy would be 15 per cent, but it was unclear when and if it would apply.

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