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Economy

Crude Oil Dips on Continued Chinese Uncertainties

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crude oil 1.27 million barrels per day

By Adedapo Adesanya

Crude oil futures eased on Tuesday following disappointment with China, the world’s second-biggest oil consumer, after the size of cuts in its key lending rates.

Brent futures fell 19 cents or 0.3 per cent to settle at $75.90 a barrel while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude slumped by $1.28 or 1.8 per cent to quote at $70.50 per barrel.

China cut its key lending benchmarks on Tuesday, the first such reductions in 10 months, as the government seek to shore up a slowing economic recovery, although concerns about the property market meant the easing was not as large as expected.

The latest monetary loosening comes as a post-pandemic recovery in the world’s second-largest economy shows signs of losing the initial momentum seen in the first quarter.

The price drop, however, was limited by expectations that oil demand will grow in China and India in the second half of the year.

Also, India is predicted to surpass China as the largest driver of global oil demand, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA).

IEA’s Chief, Mr Fatih Birol, made the announcement at a G20 event in New Delhi recently, citing the rapidly growing electrification of cars and buses in China as one of the reasons.

Mr Birol expressed hope that India, which he said has abundant renewable energy capacity, will move closer [to China] in terms of electrification.

The IEA’s oil market outlook report also indicated that about three-quarters of the 2022-2028 demand growth increase will come from Asia, with India surpassing China as the main source of growth by 2027.

However, China’s fuel oil imports dipped in May after hitting a decade high in April, while exports of low-sulphur marine fuels rose.

The Chinese government met last week to discuss measures to spur economic growth, and several major banks cut their 2023 economic growth forecasts for China amid fears that its post-COVID recovery is faltering.

Adding to the bearish market sentiment, traders noted crude supplies from Iran and Russia have increased in recent weeks.

Iran’s crude exports and oil output have hit new highs this year despite US sanctions, while Russia is also set to increase seaborne diesel and gasoil exports this month, outweighing cuts by the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and allies, OPEC+

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

Economy

Trans Niger Oil Pipeline Now Fully Operational

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Trans-Niger Pipeline

By Adedapo Adesanya

Trans Niger oil pipeline has returned to normal operations after it was fully restored following a blast that ruptured the structure last week in Rivers State.

This was disclosed by Renaissance spokesperson, Mr Tony Okonedo, on Tuesday.

The Trans Niger Pipeline (TNP), with a capacity of around 450,000 barrels per day, is one of two conduits that export Bonny Light crude from Nigeria, Africa’s biggest oil producer.

Oil output through the TNP was rerouted to an alternative line after blasts ruptured the main link on March 19, according to Nigerian oil consortium Renaissance Group, which now owns Shell’s former onshore subsidiary that operates the pipeline.

Last week, the Trans-Niger Pipeline, which is one of Nigeria’s biggest pipelines and crucial for oil transportation in the Niger Delta, one of the country’s biggest sources of oil, exploded.

It carries the 450,000 barrels’ worth of oil per day mostly to the Bonny Terminal in the federal state of Rivers.

Although the cause of the explosion is unknown at this time, local media suggested it could be related to threats by militant groups to damage oil production facilities.

Later that evening, President Bola Tinubu, during a broadcast, declared a state of emergency in the south-south state.

He also removed the Governor of the state, Mr Similanya Fubara and his deputy, Mrs Ngozi Odu, and replaced them with a sole administrator.

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Economy

Dangote Refinery Issues Tender to Sell Residual Fuel Oil

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Residual Fuel Oil

By Adedapo Adesanya

Dangote Refinery reportedly issued a tender on Tuesday to sell 128,000 metric tons of residual fuel oil in April 2025.

Reuters reported that this is according to a summary of the tender document.

The 650,000 barrel per day Dangote refinery will close the tender today — Wednesday, March 26 by 1 pm (Nigerian time)— as it seeks buyers for 88,000 tons of low sulphur straight run fuel oil and 40,000 tons of slurry oil for loading on April 10-12, the summary showed.

Straight run fuel oil is a feedstock processed through secondary refining units and turned into products like petrol and diesel.

Meanwhile, industry monitor firm, IIR noted that Dangote will shut its current 204,000 barrels per day petrol producing unit for 30 days for maintenance tentatively expected to start on June 1.

Dangote’s fuel oil exports averaged 75,000 barrels per day over the period from March to August 2024, but dropped to 20,000 barrels per day from September, according to shipping data analytics firm Kpler, when its petrol making residue fluidized catalytic cracking unit started production.

The refinery has been buying feedstock from across the world— including from the US, Angola, and Algeria— to add to its domestic deliveries as it looks to meet its full capacity target by end of the month.

In February, Mr Edwin Devakumar, vice-president of Dangote Industries Limited (DIL), said the refinery could begin operating at full capacity in 30 days.

The Lagos-based oil facility received above 24 million barrels of Nigerian supply in October and November last year.

The major shareholder in the structure and chairman, Mr Aliko Dangote assured Nigerians that his refinery has over N600 billion worth of premium motor spirit (PMS) in storage that can sufficiently meet Nigeria’s needs.

The buying spree comes as the Naira-for-crude deal with the Dangote Refinery and other local refineries was suspended by the Nigeria National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited.

Nigeria’s decision to cancel the Naira-for-crude deal with the refinery has since created panic in the hearts of marketers and consumers alike.

The 650, 000 barrels per day refinery has also suspended selling petrol in Naira to marketers.

It lamented that there was a mismatch between its sales proceeds and its crude oil purchase obligations, which it said are currently denominated in US Dollars.

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Economy

Our Strategies to Stabilize FX Market, Curb Inflation Working—Cardoso

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cardoso MPC meeting FX obligations

By Modupe Gbadeyanka

The Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Mr Olayemi Cardoso, has lauded the reforms being carried out by his team to restore confidence in the Nigerian economy.

Speaking when a delegation of scholars from the Harvard Kennedy School visited him at the CBN headquarters in Abuja, he said the strategies put in place by the apex bank to stabilize the foreign exchange (FX) market and curb inflation in the country were already yielding positive results.

“Mr Cardoso acknowledged recent challenges but highlighted progress in stabilizing the foreign exchange market and curbing inflation,” a statement from  the CBN on Tuesday disclosed.

He expressed the impact of the educational institution in his leadership skill, saying it is an honour to be associated with the Harvard Kennedy School.

“As we reset the bank, we are committed to being a hub for thought leadership. The exposure you gain from institutions like Harvard is invaluable, and we see this as an opportunity to build long-term alliances,” he was quoted to have said.

The CBN chief is an alumnus of the Harvard Kennedy School and the first African elected to the global HKS Alumni Board of Directors.

The visit was part of the scholars’ Africa Trek, which also included stops in Ghana. It is the first time a Harvard Africa Trek delegation would visit the CBN.

The delegation comprised 50 students from 19 countries, including representatives from the Harvard Business School, Massachusetts Institute of Technology and Stanford University.

President of the Harvard Kennedy School Alumni Association of Nigeria, Adaora Ndukwe and the HKS Nigeria Trek Delegation Lead, Ms Sheffy Kolade, thanked the central bank for hosting the students.

The Africa Trek initiative is designed to foster direct interactions between emerging global leaders and key policymakers on the continent.

It provides a platform for in-depth discussions around governance, innovation, economic development and the role of central banking in national progress.

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