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Crude Oil Down as Trump Dials Down on Greenland, Iran

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By Adedapo Adesanya

Crude oil slid about 2 per cent on Thursday after US President Donald Trump softened threats toward Greenland and Iran, with Brent futures down by $1.18 or 1.8 per cent to settle at $64.06 a barrel and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures depreciating by $1.26 or 2.1 per cent to $59.36 a barrel.

President Trump said he has secured total and permanent US access to Greenland in a deal with North Atlantic Treaty Organisation (NATO).

He disavowed military action against Greenland but reiterated his desire for US ownership, framing it as a global security imperative.

European Union leaders are rethinking ties with the US at an emergency summit after Mr Trump’s threat of tariffs and even military action badly shook confidence in the transatlantic relationship. The European Parliament announced it was freezing work on approval of the US-EU trade deal agreed in July 2025.

The American President also said he hoped there would be no further US military action in Iran, but added the US would act if Iran resumes its nuclear programme.

Iran, operating under sanctions, is the third-biggest crude producer in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) behind Saudi Arabia and Iraq. With less tension around Greenland and Iran, oil prices had to head south.

There was also pressure as there was some positive movement that could lead to a solution to end Russia’s war in Ukraine.

President Volodymyr Zelenskiy of Ukraine said on Thursday after talks with President  Trump in Davos that terms of security guarantees for Ukraine had been finalized, but the vital issue of territory in its war with Russia remains unsolved.

The US President has pressured Ukraine to secure peace after nearly four years of war, despite few signs Russia wants to stop fighting.

A deal to bring peace to Ukraine and lift sanctions on Russia, the world’s third-biggest crude producer, could reduce oil prices by making more fuel available on global markets.

In Venezuela, another sanctioned OPEC member, trading houses Vitol and Trafigura were exporting fuel oil under a US-backed deal following capture of Venezuelan President.

The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) said energy firms added 3.6 million barrels of crude to storage during the week ended January 16.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

Economy

Dangote Refinery Finally Hits Full 650,000-Barrel Per Day Capacity

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By Adedapo Adesanya

Dangote Refinery has reached its full capacity of 650,000 barrels per day following the successful optimisation of critical processing units, marking a turning point for Africa’s largest refinery, located in Lagos.

The $20 billion facility is now operating at full capacity, a world-record milestone for a single-train refinery.

This achievement comes after the completion of an intensive performance testing on the refinery’s Crude Distillation Unit and Motor Spirit production block.

According to the chief executive of Dangote Refinery, Mr David Bird, the refinery is now positioned to supply up to 75 million litres of petrol daily to the domestic market, a dramatic increase from the 45 million – 50 million litres delivered during the recent festive period.

The development can reshape Nigeria’s energy landscape and reduce the country’s longstanding dependence on imported refined products.

“Our teams have demonstrated exceptional precision and expertise in stabilising both the CDU and MS Block,” Mr Bird said. “This milestone underscores the strength, reliability, and engineering quality that define our operations.”

The refinery has completed a 72-hour series of performance test runs in collaboration with technology licensor UOP, a Honeywell company, to validate operational efficiency and confirm that all critical parameters meet international standards.

The tests covered the naphtha hydrotreater, isomerisation unit, and reformer unit, which together form the backbone of the facility’s gasoline production capability.

The milestone marks another achievement for the businessman and majority stake owner at the facility in his ambition to transform Nigeria from Africa’s largest crude oil producer into a refining powerhouse.

Since the commencement of the facility in 2016, it has faced numerous setbacks, including pandemic-related delays, foreign exchange challenges, and technical complications.

It was finally commissioned in May 2023 to help wean Nigeria off imported petroleum products, due to the chronic underperformance of its state-owned refineries.

Despite being Africa’s largest crude producer, the country has not been able to self-produce, even with four state-owned refineries with a combined capacity of 445,000 barrels per day. This has led to decades of high dependency on importation.

The Dangote refinery’s emergence at full capacity has the potential to eliminate this import dependence while positioning Nigeria as a net exporter to West African markets.

Yet, the refinery faces difficulty securing adequate crude oil supplies from Nigerian producers, forcing it to import feedstock from the US, Brazil, Angola, and other countries.

Mr Bird also confirmed that Phase 2 performance test runs for the remaining processing units are scheduled to commence next week, suggesting further capacity optimisation ahead.

The official emphasised the refinery’s commitment to “enhancing Nigeria’s energy security while supporting industrial development, job creation, and economic diversification.”

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Economy

NASD OTC Exchange Rallies 0.74%

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By Adedapo Adesanya

For the third consecutive session, the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange closed in positive territory after it gained 0.74 per cent on Wednesday, February 11, amid a flat market breadth index.

The bourse recorded five appreciating securities as well as five depreciating securities during the midweek session.

On the gainers’ side of the market was Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS), which added N5.80 to sell at N70.53 per share versus Tuesday’s closing price of N64.73 per share.

Further, Air Liquide Plc appreciated by N2.02 to N22.34 per unit from N20.32 per unit, Afriland Properties Plc improved by 25 Kobo to N16.20 per share from N15.95 per share, First Trust Mortgage Bank Plc expanded by 6 Kobo to 75 Kobo per unit from 69 Kobo per unit, and Food Concepts Plc grew by 2 Kobo to N2.91 per share from N2.89 per share.

On the flip side, Okitipupa Plc lost N17.00 to sell at N220.00 per unit compared with the previous day’s N237.00 per unit, NASD Plc dropped N5.14 to trade at N46.26 per share versus N51.40 per share, Geo-Fluids Plc depreciated by 39 Kobo to close at N4.02 per unit versus N4.41 per unit, Acorn Petroleum Plc went down by 6 Kobo to N1.31 per share from N1.37 per share, and Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc slipped by 5 Kobo to 54 Kobo per unit from 59 Kobo per unit.

At the close of trading activities, the market capitalisation increased by N17.05 billion to N2.308 trillion from N2.291 trillion, while the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) advanced by 29.50 points to 3,858.81 points from 3,830.31 points.

Yesterday, the volume of securities jumped 15,181.4 per cent to 1.06 billion units from 6.9 million units, the value of securities surged 10.4 per cent to N465.7 million from N89.1 million, and the number of deals rose by 21.8 per cent to 56 deals from 46 deals.

The most active stock by value on a year-to-date basis was CSCS Plc with 18.2 million units worth N790.9 million, trailed by Resourcery Plc with 1.04 billion units valued at N408.6 million, and Geo-Fluids Plc with 29.2 million units sold for N150.8 million.

As for the most active stock by volume on a year-to-date basis, the position was taken over by Resourcery Plc with a turnover of 1.04 billion units valued at N408.6 million, while Geo-Fluids Plc moved to second place with 29.2 million units exchanged for N150.8 million, and the third place was occupied by Mass Telecom Innovation Plc with 20.1 million units worth N8.1 million.

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Economy

Naira Trades N1,348/$1 as CBN Opens Official Market to BDC Operators

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By Adedapo Adesanya

The Naira appreciated against the US Dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Wednesday, February 11, by N2.07 or 0.15 per cent to N1,348.95/$1 from N1,351.02/$1 as the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) moved to further ease shortages and narrow the gap between the official and street rates.

The CBN approved the participation of licensed Bureaux De Change (BDC) operators in the Nigerian Foreign Exchange Market (NFEM) as part of efforts to improve forex liquidity in the retail segment of the market and meet the legitimate needs of end users.

The apex bank capped the weekly FX purchases at $150,000, adding that utilisation complies with existing BDC operational guidelines.

In the same official market, the Nigerian currency gained N6.46 against the Pound Sterling to quote at N1,840.11/£1 versus N1,846.57/£1, and added N6.36 on the Euro to close at N1,600.13/€1, in contrast to the preceding session’s N1,606.49/€1.

At the GTBank FX counter, the Nigerian Naira gained N5 on the greenback to settle at N1,358/$1 versus the previous day’s N1,363/$1, but remained unchanged at N1,430/$1 in the black market.

Meanwhile, the digital currency market was bearish yesterday as traders sold their positions after digesting a more hawkish macro outlook.

Analysts mainly attributed the latest crypto selloff to shifting expectations around US macro policy, following a “hawkish shift” in Federal Reserve expectations after Kevin Warsh’s nomination as chairman of the US central bank, which signals tighter liquidity and fewer rate cuts ahead.

Traders will be watching key US labour market data for signs on the future path of interest rates and broader risk appetite.

Solana (SOL) shed 3.2 per cent to sell at $79.86, Ethereum (ETH) depreciated by 2.7 per cent to $1,958.44, Bitcoin (BTC) dropped 1.5 per cent to $67,540.62, Cardano (ADA) slid 1.5 per cent to $0.2579, Ripple (XRP) dipped 1.4 per cent to $1.37, Binance Coin (BNB) slumped 1.2 per cent to $609.73, Litecoin (LTC) went down by 1.2 per cent to $52.58, and Dogecoin (DOGE) crashed by 1.1 per cent to $0.0917, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) closed flat at $1.00 each.

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