Economy
Crude Oil Plunges 7% as Trump Pauses Attack on Iran
By Adedapo Adesanya
Crude oil declined by about 7 per cent on Monday after US President Donald Trump held off on a fresh attack on Iran in the hope of sealing a quick deal that could boost oil supplies from the Gulf.
Brent futures fell by $6.35 or 7.0 per cent to settle at $83.77 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude depreciated by $4.33 or 5.1 per cent to trade at $80.34 per barrel.
Over the weekend, President Trump repeated a pattern that has emerged throughout the past five months: announcing plans for “massive attacks” on Iran, only to cancel them at the last minute.
The US President on Monday said talks with Iran “are going on right now”, adding that Iran faced “decapitation” if Tehran did not agree to a pact to end the conflict.
However, Iran said there were no talks underway with the US and no plans for any meetings, contradicting the American leader who had cited talks he said would take place that afternoon as justification for calling off attacks.
Iran’s Foreign Ministry said it also had no plans to host foreign delegations or send negotiators abroad in the coming days.
Despite this, the renewed hopes for diplomacy in the US-Iran conflict eased some concerns.
Six Saudi-flagged supertankers have changed course in the Gulf of Aden in recent days and are heading to southern Africa following threats by the Iran-backed Houthi movement in Yemen to target Saudi shipping.
However, over the weekend, two tankers laden with Saudi oil crossed the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden, while traffic in the Strait of Hormuz between Iran and Oman slowed following reports of vessel attacks.
Russia said on Monday it was stepping up protection of ships in the Azov-Black Sea basin while also developing alternative cargo routes, in a move that follows a sharp escalation of attacks at sea by both sides in the war in Ukraine.
The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC) approved an oil production quota increase on Sunday of around 188,000 barrels per day from September.
This means Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Algeria, Kazakhstan and Oman have finished the phased rollback of a 1.65 million barrels per day supply cut originally agreed in 2023, when the group still included the United Arab Emirates (UAE).
Due to export disruptions from the Gulf, Russia and Kazakhstan caused by the Iran and Ukraine wars, successive monthly OPEC+ hikes over most of this year have remained largely on paper with little impact on the market.
