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Economy

Crude Oil Prices Soar 4% as Iran-Israel Conflict Escalates

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crude oil prices

By Adedapo Adesanya

The prices of the crude oil grades climbed over 4 per cent on Tuesday as the Iran-Israel conflict heightened, raising worries even though major oil and gas infrastructure and flows have not been affected.

Brent crude futures settled at $76.45 a barrel after it gained $3.22 or 4.4  per cent and the US West Texas Intermediate crude future finished at $74.84 a barrel, up by $3.07 or 4.28 per cent.

The continuing exchange of airstrikes between Israel and Iran returned geopolitical risk to oil markets already aware of a tight supply and demand balance.

Traders are also weighing the possibility of a US strike on Iran, which has intensified since Israel began its attacks last week as some believe that the US possesses weapons capable of destroying Iranian enrichment facilities buried deep underground.

Also, a collision of two oil tankers near the Strait of Hormuz, where electronic interference has increased during the conflict, highlighted the possibility that the vital waterway for oil shipments could be cut off.

However, market analysts say that there is little possibility of closing the waterway, given that Iran would lose revenue and the US wants lower oil prices and lower inflation.

Despite the potential for disruption, there were signs oil supplies remain ample amid expectations of lower demand.

Israel’s assault on Iran’s military leadership and nuclear facilities poses the greatest threat in decades to the Islamic Republic’s leadership. The regime has endured “blow after blow” since the Israel-Hamas war erupted in October 2023, The New York Times wrote, including the weakening of its proxies in Lebanon, Gaza, and Yemen.

In its monthly oil report on Tuesday, the International Energy Agency (IEA) revised its world oil demand estimate downwards by 20,000 barrels per day from last month’s forecast and increased the supply estimate by 200,000 barrels per day to 1.8 million barrels per day.

The American Petroleum Institute (API) estimated that crude oil inventories in the US fell sharply, by 10.133 million barrels in the week ending June 13. The API reported a 337,000 barrel inventory decrease in the prior week.

So far this year, crude oil inventories are up 7.6 million barrels.

Official data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) will be released later on Wednesday.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

Economy

Nigeria’s Inflation for June 2025 Moderates to 22.22%

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Nigeria's Inflation

By Modupe Gbadeyanka

The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on Wednesday revealed that inflation rate in Nigeria eased to 22.22 per cent in June 2025 from the 22.97 per cent recorded in May 2025.

In the report, the agency stated that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose went up by 2.0 points to 123.4 points from 121.4 point a month earlier.

On a year-on-year basis, the headline inflation rate was 11.97 per cent lower than the 34.19 per cent achieved in June 2024.

The NBS stated that on a month-on-month basis, the headline inflation rate in June 2025 was 1.68 per cent, which is 0.15 per cent higher than the 1.53 per cent recorded in May 2025.

The stats office also stated that in the period under review, the food inflation rate was 21.97 per cent on a year-on-year basis and was 18.93 per cent lower than the 40.87 per cent posted in June 2024.

It stated that the significant decline in the annual food inflation figure was technically due to the change in the base year.

On a month-on-month basis, the food inflation rate in June 2025 was 3.25 per cent, up by 1.07 per cent compared with the 2.19 per cent reported in May 2025.

This increase was attributed to rise in the average prices of Green Peas (Dried), Pepper (Fresh), Shrimps (white dried), Crayfish, Meat (Fresh), Tomatoes (Fresh), Plantain Flour, Ground Pepper, etc.

It was disclosed that the average annual rate of food inflation for the twelve months ending June 2025 over the previous twelve-month average was 28.28 per cent, which was 7.02 per cent points lower than the average annual rate of change of 35.30 per cent recorded in June 2024.

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Economy

PIA: Reps to Continue Legislative Attention Despite Implementation Progress

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petroleum products

By Adedapo Adesanya

The House of Representatives says there will be continued legislative attention to address the lingering challenges of the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA 2021) despite the recently announced $16 billion investment commitments and significant improvements in oil production.

This was disclosed by the Deputy Speaker of the House of Representative, Mr Benjamin Kalu, at the 2025 General Counsel and Legal Advisers Forum for Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Companies in Nigeria in Abuja.

“The statistical evidence overwhelmingly supports the PIA’s success: from a truly astounding 28,991 per cent increase in investment to achieving 1.69 million barrels per day in oil production and generating N50.88 trillion in revenue.

“These figures are not just encouraging; they are a clear validation of the PIA’s effectiveness. However, we must not rest on our laurels. Continued legislative attention is absolutely required to address the lingering implementation challenges,” he said.

He said this was necessitated by the persistent and economically crippling issue of oil theft, which continues to cost Nigeria approximately $79.4 million dollars daily.

“This is a battle we must win,” he disclosed..

The forum, organised by the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) was themed ‘Advancing a Collaborative Compliance Culture in Nigeria’s Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Sectors.

Mr Kalu represented by the Chairman of the House Committee on Petroleum Resources, Downstream, Mr Ugochinyere Ikenga, said based on available data, Nigeria earned N50.88 trillion in revenue from crude oil and gas exports in 2024 and projected to earn more at the end of 2025.

He said in just two years of post-enactment, the impact of the PIA 2021 was undeniable.

He highlighted the National Assembly’s role in further strengthening the PIA, noting that, “The National Assembly’s pivotal role in enacting and tirelessly overseeing this transformative legislation has yielded remarkable results: more than $16 billion Post-PIA investment commitments, significant improvements in oil production, robust revenue generation, and improved regulatory compliance landscape.”

The lawmaker said the path forward demanded sustained engagement from the National Assembly, which meant enhanced oversight, carefully targeted legislation to address the security challenges, and unwavering support for regulatory agencies.

He said by diligently building on the robust foundation laid by the PIA, Nigeria could not only achieve its goal of becoming a leading global petroleum producer but also ensure sustainable development for the host communities and the broader Nigerian economy.

“Before the PIA, we operated under a fragmented regulatory structure, a table of overlapping mandates that hindered efficiency and accountability.

“The PIA swept this away, creating two distinct, powerful regulatory bodies: the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) and the NMDPRA. This clear delineation of roles has been a game-changer.

“According to NEITI audits, our baseline compliance rate in 2015 stood at 94 per cent. While seemingly high, it masked underlying inefficiencies and vulnerabilities.

“Post-PIA implementation, we have seen a tangible enhancement in regulatory effectiveness. The NUPRC alone generated an astounding N4.344 trillion in revenue during 2023, representing a 14.89 per cent increase compared to 2022 figures.

“This is not just about collection; it’s about a more efficient and transparent system at work,’’ he said.

He also noted that the impact of the PIA on sector growth was vividly evident in Nigeria’s oil production recovery and its subsequent contribution to our national economy.

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Economy

I Wouldn’t Have Built Refinery if I Knew the Scale of Challenges—Dangote

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Dangote Steel Business

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

Mr Aliko Dangote has confessed that building the $20 billion crude oil refinery in Lagos was not as easy as many have thought, noting that he would have killed the dream if he had known what was ahead of him.

“People think building a refinery is like building a house. But, as I always say, if I had known the scale of challenges we would face, I wouldn’t have started at all.

“We were fortunate as a group because we didn’t fully grasp what we were getting into, but we believed that nothing is impossible,” he disclosed in a chat with select journalists recently.

According to him he almost abandoned the project, but said he kept on with it because of his passion for Nigeria, which he lamented still relied on importation of petroleum product despite having abundance of crude oil.

Africa holds around 125 billion barrels in proven oil reserves, with significant contributions from Nigeria, Algeria, Angola, Egypt, and Libya—all of which rank among the world’s top 30 oil-producing nations.

“We had to keep pushing to ensure delivery,” the businessman said, expressing hope that the refinery will inspire other African countries to enhance their refining capacities and invest in value-added industries, rather than continuing to export raw materials.

“Apart from Algeria and Libya, which are self-sufficient, virtually every other African country is an importer,” Mr Dangote said, underscoring the urgent need for operational refineries on the continent.

He charged wealthy Nigerians to invest in Nigeria, as it is the only way to build the nation. He said there is no two ways about it: real growth and development cannot happen in a nation without significant investments.

He criticised the tendency of African wealth being exported and stashed abroad, calling on the continent’s entrepreneurs and affluent individuals to invest at home, noting, “It is only through such commitment that we can drive true development.”

“No nation develops without significant investments. I appeal to all wealthy Nigerians to look inward and invest here, in Nigeria, for the future of our unborn kids.

“There is hardly any country without corruption, but the difference between there and here is that, in those other corrupt nations, they invest the stolen funds in their country and grow their economy rather than keeping it in foreign banks that will not in any way impact positively on the economy,” he stated.

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