Adedapo Adesanya
By Adedapo Adesanya
Crude oil prices settled gained almost one per cent higher on Tuesday as expectations of tighter supply outweighed worries that an uncertain economic outlook would hurt demand.
Brent crude futures rose by 67 cents or 0.7 per cent to $93.96 per barrel and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures increased by 71 cents or 0.8 per cent to $90.39 per barrel.
Oil supply remains tight as Russia and Saudi Arabia have extended production cuts to the end of the year.
Market analysts noted that oil supply is expected to underwhelm demand in the foreseeable future and any changes may not last due to the duration of the cuts.
The world’s top central banks, the US Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank (ECB), have in recent days reiterated their commitment to fight inflation.
This signals tight monetary policy may persist longer than previously anticipated. Higher interest rates slow economic growth, which curbs oil demand.
On Monday, Russia softened its gasoline and diesel export ban. Exports of products already accepted by Russian Railways and Transneft can go ahead, while higher-sulphur gasoil and fuel used for bunkering will be exempt from the ban.
However, the ban on exports of high-quality diesel and gasoline remains in place.
Last week, Russia temporarily banned exports of gasoline and diesel to all countries outside a circle of four ex-Soviet states (Belarus, Kazakhstan, Armenia and Kyrgyzstan) with immediate effect to stabilize the domestic fuel market, the government said on Thursday.
This is coming amid shortages of petrol and diesel in recent months. Wholesale fuel prices have spiked, although retail prices are capped to try to curb them in line with official inflation.
Pressure came as the US Dollar hit a 10-month high on Tuesday, as higher bond yields attracted investors towards the greenback.
The Dollar is the major currency used for oil pricing. So a stronger Dollar typically weighs on oil demand as it becomes more expensive for importers relative to their local currency.
The American Petroleum Institute (API) has reported a build of 1.586 million barrels in US crude inventories, compared to last week’s large 5.25-million-barrel draw.
Analysts were expecting an inventory draw of 1.650 million barrels for the week. The total number of barrels of crude oil moves so far this year is – 4 million, according to API data, and there is a net draw in crude inventories since April of more than 51 million barrels.
The official data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) will be released on Wednesday.
