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Economy

Crude Oil Rises Amid Jitters from Possible Attack on Venezuela by US

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west texas intermediate WTI crude

By Adedapo Adesanya

Crude oil soared on Friday after media reports of a possible attack by the US on Venezuela, a member of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).

Brent crude futures settled at $65.07 a barrel after it gained 7 cents or 0.11 per cent and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude finished at $60.98 a barrel after it grew by 41 cents or 0.68 per cent.

It was reported that the US air strikes on Venezuela could begin within hours, but prices retreated after US President Donald Trump issued a denial on social media.

Mr Trump’s administration has carried out a series of strikes on boats in the Pacific Ocean that it contends were carrying drugs. The strikes have killed 61 people and the US has also built up an unusually large force of warships initially against drug trafficking in the waters off South America.

Earlier this year, the American leader denied reports of a planned attack on Iran before carrying out airstrikes against the Islamic Republic.

Pressure came as the US Dollar neared three-month highs against major currencies, making purchases of commodities such as oil more expensive.

In the world’s biggest importer, China, official survey showed that factory activity shrank for a seventh month in October.

Oversupply worries also breathe down the market as OPEC and major non-OPEC producers continue to ramp up output.

Eight OPEC+ nations are leaning towards making another modest increase in oil output for December when they meet on Sunday as Saudi Arabia pushes to reclaim market share.

Saudi Arabia, the world’s top oil exporter, may reduce its December crude price for Asian buyers, indicating a bearish note

The eight producers are likely to agree on Sunday to increase December output targets by another 137,000 barrels per day.

In a series of monthly increases, the sub-group has boosted output targets by a total of over 2.7 million barrels per day equivalent to 2.5 per cent of global supply. That is just under half the 5.85 million barrels per day cumulative cuts in supply the group had agreed in preceding years.

More supply will also cushion the impact of Western sanctions disrupting Russian oil exports to its top buyers China and India.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

Claims of PMS Export, Re-importation Not True—Dangote Refinery

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Fifth Crude Cargo Dangote Refinery

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals has refuted allegations that its premium motor spirit (PMS), otherwise known as petrol, exported to other countries, is being re-imported into Nigeria.

It was claimed that the private crude oil refiner sells PMS to other African nations, especially Togo, at a lower price to the extent that when re-imported into the country, it is still cheaper than what Dangote Refinery sells to Nigerian marketers.

Reacting via a statement on Tuesday night, the management described the allegations as “baseless and unsubstantiated” because they are not “supported by verifiable trade data, commercial logic, or the operational realities of Dangote Refinery.”

The company noted that its core mandate is to strengthen domestic supply and remains a leading provider of petroleum products in Nigeria.

“Any practice that enables imports to compete directly with its own production clearly contradicts this objective,” it stated.

Dangote Refinery said “all sales contracts and tender agreements expressly prohibit the resale or re-importation of Dangote Refinery products into Nigeria,” emphasising that “the economics of the purported trade route are fundamentally flawed.”

The organisation stated that estimated logistics costs for transporting products from the refinery to Lomé and back into Nigeria range between $82–90 per metric ton. Such additional costs would significantly erode margins and render the transaction commercially unviable.

“Dangote Refinery does not provide export discounts sufficient to offset these costs or create arbitrage opportunities between export and domestic markets. Simply put, no rational producer would incur additional shipping, storage, financing, and handling costs only for products to re-enter and compete in its primary market,” it pointed out.

The management also highlighted that the refinery maintains stringent product traceability protocols, including detailed records of lifting points, nominated vessels, counterparties, and declared destinations. These measures ensure full visibility and accountability across the supply chain.

The statement insisted that any “claim suggesting that the refinery facilitates or tolerates re-importation is inconsistent with its contractual safeguards and established compliance standards.”

The refinery said it has consistently advocated for reducing Nigeria’s dependence on imported petroleum products, underscoring that encouraging or enabling re-importation would undermine local refining efforts, strain foreign exchange reserves, and weaken national industrial growth, positions that are contrary to its core objectives.

Dangote Refinery reiterated that there is no strategic, economic, or operational basis for the claim that it exports products for re-importation into Nigeria, stressing that the allegation is entirely unfounded and does not withstand scrutiny when measured against market logic, contractual frameworks, and industry practices.

The statement concluded that “Dangote Refinery remains focused on its mission to enhance energy security, support local refining, and contribute meaningfully to Africa’s industrial development.”

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Economy

Customs Street Rallies 1.06% on Improved Market Activity, Investor Sentiment

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Customs Street

By Dipo Olowookere

The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited rallied by 1.06 per cent on renewed investor confidence after surviving a run of losing streaks.

Yesterday, some performance indicators were better compared with the previous session, with the All-Share Index (ASI) chalking up 2,540.08 points to settle at 240,743.19 points versus Monday’s 238,203.11 points, and the market capitalisation gained N1.649 trillion to close at N154.484 trillion, in contrast to the preceding day’s N152.835 trillion.

As for the sectoral performance, the energy sector was down by 0.09 per cent, but the loss was offset by the gains recorded by the others.

The insurance counter grew by 2.84 per cent, the banking and the consumer goods indices rose by 0.18 per cent each, and the industrial goods segment expanded by 0.07 per cent.

Unlike on Monday, the market breadth index was positive on Tuesday, with Customs Street closing with 33 price gainers and 23 price losers, indicating bullish investor sentiment.

Guinea Insurance improved by 10.00 per cent to N1.10, International Energy Insurance advanced by 9.89 per cent to N6.11, Tripple Gee soared by 9.82 per cent to N3.69, Cornerstone Insurance climbed 9.76 per cent to N6.75, and Sovereign Trust Insurance surged by 8.63 per cent to N2.14.

On the flip side, Red Star Express dropped 9.96 per cent to trade at N24.85, Premier Paints depreciated by 9.93 per cent to N6.43, Trans-Nationwide Express declined by 9.82 per cent to N4.04, Royal Exchange shrank by 9.38 per cent to N1.45, and Abbey Mortgage Bank crashed by 9.29 per cent to N28.12.

Market activity improved during the trading day, with market participants transacting 564.9 million shares valued at N39.4 billion in 49,230 deals compared with the 475.8 million shares worth N36.5 billion traded in 63,567 deals a day earlier, implying a shortfall in the number of deals by 22.55 per cent, and a rise in the trading volume and value by 18.73 per cent and 7.95 per cent, respectively.

Fidelity Bank led the activity chart after a turnover of 59.4 million units worth N1.1 billion, Zenith Bank traded 49.5 million units valued at N5.9 billion, Dangote Sugar exchanged 43.1 million units for N3.1 billion, Chams sold 39.5 million units worth N156.5 million, and Access Holdings transacted 30.7 million units valued at N703.6 million.

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Economy

Brent, WTI Further Loses as Middle East Tensions Ease

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West Texas Intermediate WTI

By Adedapo Adesanya

The prices of the two major crude oil grades further declined on Tuesday as investors kept a close watch on crude flows through the Strait of Hormuz following signs of ​progress in US-Iran peace talks.

Brent futures lost 82 cents or 1.1 per cent to trade at $77.08 per barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures gave up 65 ‌cents or 0.9 per cent to sell for $73.21 a barrel.

The market continued to edge lower after the US granted Iran a 60-day sanctions waiver following initial peace talks, while hostilities in Lebanon eased under a broader agreement.

Investors are cautiously watching how quickly Middle Eastern producers can resume oil production and exports following damage from the war, and whether more ships will enter the region.

After US Vice President JD Vance left Switzerland on June 22 after a round of talks over the weekend, President Donald Trump issued a warning to Iran that “I will do what I have to do” if it does not stick to its agreement with the US.

Mr Vance had noted movement on a framework toward reaching a final peace deal within 60 days, including the guarantee of safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz, an end to fighting in Lebanon, and Iran’s acceptance of visits by international nuclear inspectors.

On Tuesday, Oman and Iran agreed to press on with discussions about ​the future administration of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz, through which 20 per cent of crude and liquified natural gas (LNG) passes.

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio said on Tuesday that Iran would not be ​able to charge tolls in the key waterway as part of any final agreement with the United States, saying such ⁠an arrangement would violate international law.

According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), the world has lost millions of barrels of oil and gas supply since the Iran war closed the strait, putting the shut-in data at more than 14 million barrels per day of oil output or about 14 per cent of world demand.

Meanwhile, President Trump claimed that 19 million barrels of oil flowed out of the strait on Monday, and pointed to falling oil prices in a social media post on Tuesday.

The American Petroleum Institute (API) estimated that crude oil inventories in the US fell by 765,000 barrels in the week ending June 19. Official data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) will be released later on Wednesday.

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