Economy
Crude Prices Rise Despite Build in Inventories
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil prices marked gains on Wednesday despite data showing a build in the United States crude stockpiles.
The prices had fallen at early trading hours on the news, but Brent crude recovered 25 cents or 0.58 percent to trade at $43.33 per barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude pulled back 32 cents or 0.79 percent to sell at $40.93 per barrel.
Crude oil inventories in the United States swelled by 5.7 million barrels in the week to July 3, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported.
Analysts had expected an inventory decline of 3.114 million barrels for crude oil in the period, while the American Petroleum Institute (API) reported a crude build to the tune of 2.048 million barrels.
Previous gains of prices in the short term have been affected by global growth concerns, rising US stockpiles and coronavirus related developments and with the rise in inventories, it might signal problems that traders faced in previous months.
Last week, the EIA had reported a significant inventory drop of 7.2 million barrels, while analysts had only anticipated a drawdown of less than a million barrels, bringing about worries to the low level of prediction accuracy.
Increases in the price of oil have been limited over the last week, only supported by the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) production cuts but pressured by the rising number of new coronavirus cases, which could affect any oil demand recovery the market is starting to see.
Also, the forecast for US crude output to fall less than anticipated in 2020 added to worries about oversupply.
The EIA said crude oil production in the largest producing nation, the US, is expected to fall by 600,000 barrels per day in 2020, a smaller decline than the 670,000 barrels per day it forecast previously.
However, it also expects global oil demand to recover through the end of 2021, predicting demand of 101.1 million barrels per day by the fourth quarter of next year.
Analysts noted that expectations that the OPEC and allies would reduce oil output cuts to 7.7 million barrels per day from August and softer US equities are adding to pressure on the commodity.
Abu Dhabi National Oil Co (ADNOC) plans to boost oil exports in August, the first signal that OPEC and its allies, together known as OPEC+, are preparing to ease record oil output cuts next month.
Key ministers of the OPEC+ are due to hold talks next week, July 15, to discuss next steps about their deal on record output cap that will run to the end of July and then start tapering. There have been no discussions on if there will be an extension to August yet.
The market is also attentive to the news that an OPEC member, Libya, was adding to global supplies by reopening its Es Sider oil terminal for exports, a move that could depress prices, as it will be exempted from making any cuts due to its circumstances.
Economy
Crude Deliveries Double to Dangote Refinery in Mix of Naira, Dollar Supply
By Adedapo Adesanya
Crude oil deliveries from the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited to the Dangote Petroleum Refinery doubled in March, boosting prospects for improved fuel availability.
This was revealed by the chief executive of Dangote Industries Limited, Mr Aliko Dangote, on Tuesday, when he received the Deputy Secretary-General of the United Nations, Mrs Amina Mohammed, at the industrial complex in Ibeju-Lekki, Lagos.
While speaking on feedstock supply, Mr Dangote commended the NNPC for increasing crude deliveries to the refinery in March, noting that volumes rose to 10 cargoes—six supplied in Naira and four in Dollars—to support domestic fuel availability, according to a statement by the Refinery.
“Last month, they gave us six cargoes for Naira and four cargoes for Dollars,” he said.
Despite the improvement, Mr Dangote noted that the supply remains below the 19 cargoes required for optimal operations, with the refinery continuing to bridge the gap through imports from the United States and other African producers.
He also expressed concern over the unwillingness of international oil companies operating in Nigeria to sell to the refinery, stating that their preference for selling crude to traders forces it to repurchase at higher costs, with broader implications for the economy.
Mr Dangote added that the refinery is seeking increased access to domestically priced crude under local currency arrangements as part of efforts to moderate fuel costs and enhance long-term energy and food security across the continent.
On her part, Mrs Mohammed underscored the strategic importance of Dangote Industries Limited -particularly Dangote Fertiliser Limited—in addressing Africa’s mounting food security challenges, while calling for stronger global partnerships to scale its impact.
Mrs Mohammed said the United Nations would prioritise amplifying scalable solutions capable of mitigating the continent’s food crisis, describing Dangote’s integrated industrial model as a critical pathway.
“I think the UN’s job here is to amplify and to put visibility on the possibilities of mitigating a food security crisis, and this is one of them,” she said. “I hope that when we go back, we can continue to engage partners and countries that should collaborate with Dangote Industries.”
Economy
SEC Okays 50% Hike in X-Alert Fee for Capital Market Transactions
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has approved a 50 per cent hike in the X-Alert service fee per transaction in the Nigerian capital market.
The X-Alert fee is a flat rate charged for sending real-time SMS/email notifications for transactions to investors from both buy and sell sides.
It was introduced by the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) to replace percentage-based charges, aimed at increasing transparency and reducing total transaction costs for investors.
Investors were earlier charged N4 per SMS, but the country’s apex capital market regulator has approved a 50 per cent increase in X-Alert service fee, meaning the new rate is N6 per SMS.
Business Post gathered from one of the players in the ecosystem that the effective date for the new price was Thursday, March 26, 2026.
“We wish to inform you of a revision to the X-Alert (SMS) service fee applicable to transactions executed on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX).
“Following approval by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the X-Alert fee has been reviewed upward from N4.00 to N6.00 per transaction,” the notice sighted by this newspaper read.
Economy
World Bank Projects 4.2% Growth for Nigeria Amid Risks
By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigeria’s economy is projected to remain resilient in the face of mounting global uncertainties, with the World Bank forecasting a 4.2 per cent growth rate in 2026.
However, the global lender has warned that rising fuel costs and persistent inflation, worsened by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, could undermine household incomes and slow poverty reduction.
Speaking in Abuja, the bank’s lead economist for Nigeria, Mr Fiseha Haile, noted that while the ongoing US-Israel-Iran conflict has pushed up prices, overall economic activity has remained largely intact.
“Overall business activity has been expanding over the past few months, suggesting the impact on growth has been relatively contained. But the shock is still being felt through higher inflation,” Mr Haile said.
According to him, business activity has continued to expand in recent months, indicating that the broader impact on growth has been “relatively contained,” even as inflationary pressures intensify.
Nigeria’s inflation rate, though significantly reduced from around 33 per cent in December 2024 to 15.06 per cent in February 2026, remains elevated compared to regional peers.
“Inflation is still elevated and under increasing pressure, and that poses risks to incomes and poverty reduction,” Mr Haile said.
The renewed surge in fuel prices, reportedly rising by over 50 per cent during the Iran conflict, has had a ripple effect on transportation, food, and production costs, amplifying the cost-of-living crisis.
The World Bank urged Nigerian authorities to adopt prudent macroeconomic measures, including tightening monetary policy, avoiding blanket subsidies, and saving windfalls from higher oil prices to strengthen fiscal buffers.
It also recommended reconsidering restrictions on fuel imports as a potential tool to ease inflationary pressures.
The economic reforms under President Bola Tinubu — including the removal of fuel subsidies, exchange rate unification, and tax restructuring — were acknowledged as ambitious steps aimed at stabilising the economy.
These reforms have contributed to improved external buffers, with rising foreign exchange reserves and reduced volatility.
Additionally, Nigeria’s fiscal deficit stood at 3.1 per cent of GDP in 2025, while the debt-to-GDP ratio declined for the first time in a decade.
Yet, the World Bank cautioned that tighter global financial conditions could still pose risks to capital inflows, borrowing costs, and remittances.
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