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Oil Prices up as Possible Russian-Ukraine Truce Wanes

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Crude Oil Prices

By Adedapo Adesanya

Oil prices rose by 1 per cent on Wednesday as traders expected a lack of progress on a Ukraine peace deal to keep sanctions in place against Russia.

Specifically, Brent crude futures went up by 80 cents or 1.2 per cent to $66.25 per barrel and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude grew by 82 cents or 1.3 per cent to $62.55 a barrel.

Russia reportedly believes that a peace deal to end the fighting in Ukraine, which emerged after a summit between President Vladimir Putin and President Donald Trump in August, had proven to be largely exhausted.

According to Reuters, the Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov, who oversees relations with the US and arms control, accused European powers, which support Ukraine, of successfully torpedoing peace efforts.

Market analysts have said a peace deal would likely allow more Russian oil to flow to global markets.

However, despite sanctions, Russia has been gradually raising oil production and was close last month to meeting its output quota set by the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies (OPEC+).

Meanwhile, Russia’s energy sector has been under serious strain in the past two months due to a wave of Ukrainian drone attacks, mainly targeting oil refineries.

Also supporting crude futures, investors expected the US Federal Reserve to keep cutting interest rates.

The US central bank is widely expected to further cut rates by 25 basis points at its October 28-29 meeting.

Lower interest rates can boost economic growth and demand for oil.

Crude oil inventories in the US increased by 3.7 million barrels during the week ending October 3, after gaining 1.8 million barrels in the week prior, according to the latest data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) released on Wednesday.

The US EIA’s data release follows American Petroleum Institute’s (API) figures that were released a day earlier, which suggested that crude oil inventories grew by 2.780 million barrels.

The market also continued to hold onto to OPEC+ recent modest output increase for November. The alliance agreed to raise its output targets for November by 137,000 barrels per day on growing concerns about a looming glut in the oil market.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

Economy

Chiemeka Highlights Role of Non-Interest Finance in Enhancing Market Inclusion

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Jude Chiemeka NGX CEO

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The chief executive of the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited, Mr Jude Chiemeka, has emphasised the importance of non-interest finance in the economy and the nation’s capital market.

Speaking at the 7th African International Conference on Islamic Finance (AICIF) in Lagos recently, he said non-interest finance drives sustainable economic transformation and enhances market inclusion.

According to him, this was why the stock exchange created a special board for the sub-market segment to attract ethical investors.

“At NGX, our Non-Interest Finance Board represents more than a platform, it embodies our commitment to unlocking ethical capital, diversifying investment opportunities, and driving sustainable development.

“By leveraging innovation and strategic partnerships, we are creating pathways for inclusive growth and positioning Nigeria at the forefront of Islamic finance in Africa,” Mr Chiemeka stated at the event organised by The Metropolitan Skills Limited in collaboration with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

Business Post reports that Nigeria’s non-interest capital market has recorded significant expansion in recent years, with sovereign Sukuk issuances at over N1.4 trillion for multiple projects nationwide.

It was gathered that the two-day AICIF attracted policymakers, regulators, development partners, and market participants, who explored policy reforms, product innovation, and strategies to unlock liquidity across Africa’s Islamic finance markets.

Also speaking, the chairman of NGX Group Plc, Mr Umaru Kwairanga, said NGX’s Non-Interest Finance Board has become a central platform for expanding access to Sharia-compliant financial instruments and attracting investors seeking transparency, inclusivity, and sustainability.

“Through the Non-Interest Finance Board, NGX is building a dedicated platform for Sukuk, Islamic collective investment schemes, and non-interest exchange-traded funds. Our goal is to broaden market participation while channelling capital towards productive sectors of the economy,” he said.

On his part, the Vice President of Nigeria, Mr Kashim Shettima, represented by the Special Adviser to the President on Economic Matters, Mr Tope Fasua, described Islamic finance as a credible mechanism for fostering equitable prosperity and sustainable development, urging broader adoption across African economies.

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Economy

NECA Backs Tinubu’s 15% Fuel Import Levy

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NECA Adewale Smatt-Oyerinde

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Nigeria Employers’ Consultative Association (NECA) has backed the proposed 15 per cent fuel import tariff introduced by the President Bola Tinubu-led government.

According to NECA Director General, Mr Wale Smatt Oyerinde, the move will enhance local production of the commodity.

“We support the policy of a 15 per cent tariff on imported petroleum products — not on locally produced ones.

“If the 15 per cent tariff is the ‘punishment’ we must bear collectively for our recklessness in allowing our four refineries to collapse, then so be it,” he said when he was interviewed on Channels Television on Friday.

“Even developed nations like the US are introducing protectionist policies to protect their local industries. We don’t have much excuse not to do the same,” the NECA boss said.

Recall that President Tinubu had approved the 15 percent tariff increase in a letter sent to the Federal Inland Revenue Service (FIRS) and the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority, mandating its enforcement.

Critics have faulted the move, arguing it will lead to an increase in the landing cost of the product, with petrol and diesel expected to see further increment.

However, support for the programme has come from many quarters including energy businessman, Mr Femi Otedola, who backed move recently.

The NECA chief also believes the policy is a step in the right direction, adding that a similar actions should be extended to other areas.

“The president gave approval about two weeks ago, and the OPS has done its analysis. We’re also looking beyond petrol and diesel.

“To ramp up production in the manufacturing and real sectors, this kind of policy should extend there too. Why do we import things we can produce locally? It affects forex and other aspects of the economy,” Mr Oyerinde said.

“We’ve said that everything we can produce locally should attract import duties, provided we have made sufficient arrangements for local production to meet our needs. If we have to give businesses a one- or two-year moratorium to integrate backward, then fine, but let’s reduce the tendency to import,” he added.

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Economy

Shell Gives Nigerian Offshore Gas Deal to Halliburton

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Shell UK stock

By Adedapo Adesanya

Shell Nigeria Exploration and Production Company has given US-based Halliburton an integrated drilling contract to work on the oil major’s $2 billion shallow-water HI offshore gas project in Nigeria.

According to reports, the financial terms of the deal, awarded by Shell, were not disclosed.

Halliburton, based in Houston, said it will deploy remote operations and automated technologies for the work.

In October, Shell announced HI, located in Nigeria’s Oil Mining Licence (OML) 144. The UK major operates the HI project with a 40 per cent working interest alongside its local partner, Sunlink Energies and Resources, which owns a 60 per cent stake.

The project, when completed, will supply 350 million standard cubic feet (approximately 60 thousand barrels of oil equivalent) of gas per day at peak production to Nigeria LNG (NLNG; Shell interest 25.6 per cent), which produces and exports liquefied natural gas (LNG) to global markets.

According to a statement, production is expected to begin before the end of this decade.

At the time of the announcement, Mr Peter Costello, Shell’s Upstream President, said that “This Upstream project will help Shell grow our leading Integrated Gas portfolio, while supporting Nigeria’s plans to become a more significant player in the global LNG market.”

The gas will be sent to the delayed Train 7 of the Nigeria Liquefied Natural Gas (NLNG) plant, currently being built by a Saipem-led consortium.

The increase in feedstock to NLNG, via the Train 7 project that aims to expand the Bonny Island terminal’s production capacity, is in line with Shell’s plans to grow its global LNG volumes by an average of 4-5 per cent per year until 2030.

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