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Economy

Currency Futures Trading Volume Drops as Rates Converge

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By Quantitative Financial Analytics

Since the Central bank of Nigeria (CBN) came up with the investor foreign exchange rate window and other actions leading to convergence of rates to around N370 per Dollar, the volume of trade in the Nigerian currency futures market has been recording dramatic decline.

The slowdown in volume has been so apparent that the NGUS MAY 30, 2018, which replaced the NGUS MAY 24, 2017 that matured on May 24, has not attracted a single trade ever, an unusual and unprecedented occurrence.

According to analysis of open interest report conducted by Quantitative Financial Analytics, the average daily volume for currency futures in April was 34.955 contracts or $34.95 million.

The corresponding average for March was 14.5 contracts or $14.486 million. That daily average tapered to just 8.41 contracts in May.

On day count basis, the market had witnessed daily activities on at least 15 of each month’s 22 trading days in the past but so far in June, only 3 of the 14 trading days witnessed any activities.

Though average daily volume has fallen since April, if things continue the way they are, June’s trading activity may be the least in the history of the currency futures market in Nigeria.

At the moment, the NAFEX rate is about N368/$, most of the futures open contracts have contract prices of about N374/$ while the parallel market settles at about N370/$, all pointing to a convergence of some sort.

According to a recent report by Fitch, there has been an improvement in FX liquidity in Nigeria following massive interventions by the CBN and the introduction of the NAFEX window.

Good as this improvement is, it does appear that it has or is killing the incentive to use the currency futures market and one wonders if some of the CBN policies are becoming cannibalistic.

The currency futures market should not be allowed to die because such markets play vital roles in both price discovery and risk management, among others.

Source: Quantitative Financial Analytics

Dipo Olowookere is a journalist based in Nigeria that has passion for reporting business news stories. At his leisure time, he watches football and supports 3SC of Ibadan. Mr Olowookere can be reached via [email protected]

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Economy

Tinubu, Dangote Meet Over Oil Market Volatility as Petrol Hits N1,400

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Dangote Tinubu

By Adedapo Adesanya

The president of the Dangote Group, Mr Aliko Dangote, met with President Bola Tinubu on Monday to discuss and address concerns about the growing volatility in the global oil market and its impact on Nigerians.

Petrol prices have jumped to as high as N1,400 per litre amid the continuous rise in prices of crude oil in the global market as a result of the Middle East war. Brent crude rose above $100 per barrel due to compounding supply constraints, though it closed below the mark yesterday.

Mr Dangote, whose company controlled about 60 per cent of Nigeria’s domestic supply pre-war, speaking after the meeting, said that although Nigeria is not directly involved in the war, the ripple effects of global oil price fluctuations would inevitably be felt.

“It means quite a lot. We don’t have much to do with it, but I know the world is a global village. And it definitely will affect us, unfortunately, but we pray this situation will be sorted out,” he said after his visit to President Tinubu in Lagos yesterday.

He warned that a prolonged crisis could further destabilise economies, particularly in Africa, where fiscal buffers are limited, and debt pressures remain high.

“If it doesn’t de-escalate, we’ll end up paying high prices, like what I said earlier on CNN. Africa is very busy paying debt, and putting this again on top of us is going to add a lot of hardship on people, on the government, on the people, on everybody, for something that we have no involvement in.”

He stressed that energy costs are central to nearly all sectors of the economy, meaning sustained increases would have widespread and cascading effects on livelihoods and production.

He explained that governments could face mounting fiscal strain as subsidies rise and revenues fluctuate under unstable global oil market conditions.

Mr Dangote added that Africa’s rising debt burden could worsen under prolonged instability, further limiting fiscal space and weakening economic resilience.

“Africa is already grappling with debt, and additional shocks will only compound hardship for governments and the people,” he said.

He said escalating energy costs would disrupt nearly every sector, including small enterprises, manufacturing chains, logistics operations and household consumption patterns.

The business mogul noted that some countries were already adopting coping strategies such as reduced workdays, energy rationing and remote working arrangements.

Mr Dangote said such measures, while necessary, could reduce productivity, slow economic output and affect livelihoods, particularly among vulnerable populations.

He urged global leaders to prioritise de-escalation, stressing that many Africans rely on daily earnings and remain highly exposed to economic shocks.

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Economy

SEC, NYSC to Create CDS Group on Investment Education for Corps Members

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SEC NYSC CDS group

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

A Community Development Service (CDS) group focused on investment education for corps members is to be established by the National Youth Service Corps (NYSC) in partnership with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

Both organisations recently sealed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) for this new initiative, which will promote sound investment habits among Nigerian youths, equip corps members with essential financial knowledge and help them avoid fraudulent schemes.

Under the agreement, the NYSC and SEC will work together on joint awareness campaigns, utilising various channels and platforms, including social media, traditional media, and community outreach, to disseminate information on safe investment and expose fraudulent schemes.

They will also agree on mechanisms for sharing relevant data and reporting on the progress and impact of the collaborative initiatives.

Specifically, the capital market regulator will develop and provide relevant and up-to-date educational content, materials, and training modules on capital market operations, safe investment practices, and the identification and avoidance of Ponzi schemes.

The agency will also be responsible for the content, resources and funding of training sessions for selected corps members and NYSC supervisors who will serve as trainers and facilitators in their respective communities.

On its part, the NYSC will facilitate the integration of anti-Ponzi scheme education into its Education and Enlightenment CDS programme, which could be through dedicated sessions, workshops, or awareness campaigns during orientation camps and throughout the service year.

The Director General of SEC, Mr Emomotimi Agama, expressed satisfaction with the collaboration, saying it will promote financial literacy and sound investment habits among young Nigerians.

His counterpart at the NYSC, Brig-Gen Olakunle Nafiu, lauded the initiative, stressing that it will help in enhancing public awareness campaigns against illegal financial schemes across all Local Government Areas in the country, among other objectives.

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Economy

Unlisted Securities Exchange Opens Week 0.84% Bullish

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unlisted securities exchange

By Adedapo Adesanya

The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange opened the week on a positive note after it appreciated by 0.84 per cent on Monday, March 23.

Trading activity returned yesterday after a two-day break last Thursday and Friday to celebrate the end of Ramadan.

The market capitalisation was up by N20.68 billion to N2.482 trillion from N2.461 trillion, and the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) increased by 34.68 points to 4,149.38 points from 4,114.75 points.

The bourse was bullish amid a 1.34 per cent decline in the share price of Geo-Fluids Plc at the close of transactions. The loss was offset by the 3.45 per cent surge in the value of FrieslandCampina Wamco Plc.

A look at the trading data indicated that the activity was weaker yesterday, as the trading volume, value, and number of deals all tumbled.

There was a 99.9 per cent slip in the volume of securities to 412,260 units from the 400.8 million units recorded in the preceding session. The value of securities fell by 99.4 per cent to N7.37 million from N1.2 billion, and the number of deals went down by 31.9 per cent to 32 deals from 47 deals.

Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc ended the day as the most traded stock by value on a year-to-date basis with 38.7 million units sold for N2.4 billion. Infrastructure Guarantee Credit Plc followed with 400 million units valued at N1.2 billion, and Okitipupa Plc occupied the third spot with 6.4 million units traded for N1.2 billion.

Resourcery Plc closed the trading session as the most active by volume on a year-to-date basis with 1.1 billion units worth N415.7 million, trailed by Infrastructure Credit Plc with 400 million units transacted for N1.2 billion, and Geo-Fluids Plc with 131.1 million units exchanged for N505.6 million.

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