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Economy

Equities Shed N15bn as Investors Continue to Search for Direction

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By Dipo Olowookere

The Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) returned to the danger zone on Monday after closing green last Friday. Yesterday, the market depreciated by 0.13 percent, expanding the year-to-date loss to 15.41 percent.

At the close of transactions, the All-Share Index (ASI) decreased by 28.88 points from 22,705.19 points from 22,734.07 points, while the market capitalisation reduced by N15 billion to N11.832 trillion from N11.847 trillion.

The activity level weakened during the session, with the volume of shares going down by 24.78 percent to 551.5 million from 733.2 million and the value of shares decreasing by 43.66 percent to N5.8 billion from N10.2 billion.

GTBank emerged the most traded equity at the market yesterday, transacting 137.2 million units worth N2.6 billion, while FBN Holdings exchanged 135.3 million units valued at N518.3 million.

In addition, Zenith Bank traded 133.2 million shares for N1.7 billion, Access Bank sold 35.2 million equities valued at N194.2 million, while UBA exchanged 22.8 million stocks for N114.9 million.

A look at the performance of stocks yesterday showed that Lafarge Africa was the worst performing stock, losing 65 kobo to close at N10 per share.

FBN Holdings lost 30 kobo to sell at N3.70 per unit, UBA fell by 30 kobo to N5.05 per share, Dangote Sugar also declined by 30 kobo to N9.85 per share, while SAHCO depreciated by 25 kobo to trade at N2.32 per unit.

On the other hand, the dividend declared by Julius Berger helped the construction company’s stocks to rise on Monday by N1.95 to N22.15 per share.

Zenith Bank, which paid dividend to its shareholders yesterday gained 90 kobo to settle at N12.80 per share, Union Bank, which is being rumoured to be acquired by Zenith Bank appreciated by 60 kobo to sell at N6.60 per share, Ekocorp rose by 50 kobo to N6 per share, while PZ Cussons grew by 30 kobo to N4.05 per share.

Business Post reports that the coronavirus ravaging the global economy has continued to make investors trade with caution. This will continue until the COVID-19 is no longer a threat or a cure is found.

Dipo Olowookere is a journalist based in Nigeria that has passion for reporting business news stories. At his leisure time, he watches football and supports 3SC of Ibadan. Mr Olowookere can be reached via [email protected]

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Economy

United Capital Acquires 5% Stake in Nigerian Exchange Group

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By Adedapo Adesanya

United Capital Plc has acquired a 5 per cent equity stake in the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Group Plc for an undisclosed fee, deepening its involvement in Nigeria’s capital market.

The pan-African investment banking and financial services group announced this in a statement on Monday, noting that the transaction had been successfully completed and describing the investment as a key milestone in its long-term growth strategy.

NGX Plc, which serves as the holding company for Nigeria’s premier securities exchange and related market infrastructure businesses, plays a central role in Nigeria’s capital formation, market development, and economic growth.

United Capital said the acquisition reflects its confidence in the future of Nigeria’s capital markets and positions the Group to contribute more actively to the development of the nation’s financial system.

Commenting on the development, the chief executive of United Capital, Mr Peter Ashade, said the investment aligns with the company’s vision of creating sustainable value while supporting institutions critical to economic development.

“This acquisition reflects our confidence in Nigeria’s capital markets and our responsibility to contribute to their growth actively,” Mr Ashade said.

“We have always said that United Capital is not just a participant in Nigeria’s capital markets; we are also builders. This strategic investment in NGX Plc is exactly that: we are building for impact. It is our vote of confidence in the leadership and strategic direction of the NGX and where the capital market is headed,” he added.

According to him, the acquisition underscores the firm’s commitment to supporting the continued evolution of Nigeria’s capital market infrastructure while delivering long-term value to shareholders.

United Capital, which operates across 12 countries in West, East and Central Africa, provides a range of services spanning investment banking, asset management, securities trading and wealth management.

The company said the stake in NGX Plc would enable it to leverage its regional footprint and market expertise to support the Exchange’s next phase of growth and transformation.

The acquisition comes amid a series of strategic milestones for the financial services group, including the successful recapitalisation of all its subsidiaries ahead of regulatory deadlines and the recent acquisition of operational licences in Ethiopia and Rwanda.

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Economy

Nigerians Resist IMF Proposal for Higher VAT, Telecom Tax

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By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigerians have kicked against suggestions by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to the federal government to consider increasing the Value Added Tax (VAT) rate and introducing excise duties on telecommunications services as part of efforts to boost revenue generation and create fiscal space for development spending.

IMF, in its 2026 Article IV Consultation Report on Nigeria, warned that despite recent tax reforms, additional revenue measures would likely be required over the medium term to support critical social and infrastructure spending.

According to the IMF, Nigeria’s revenue mobilisation efforts must go beyond administrative improvements to address the country’s persistently low revenue-to-GDP ratio and rising expenditure pressures.

The Fund stated that, “Further tax policy changes will likely be needed, such as increasing the VAT rate, extending VAT to fuel products, rationalising tax expenditures in particular VAT exemptions on extractive industries and some customs duties, and introducing telecom excises, to complement administrative gains.”

It noted that while the recently enacted tax reforms are expected to improve revenue collection over time, some of the measures are revenue-reducing in the short term and may take time to yield significant gains.

On X (formerly Twitter), user @RealCeecee wrote – “You want to impose more suffering on people living on empty pockets. Where exactly does all this revenue go to? IMF would never give this kind of advice to any country that has good leaders, when the masses are already going through extreme suffering.”

“To be honest Nigerian need to stand its feet against the IMF, no be anything them go detect for us. The revenue they are talking about has anyone seen where it goes, let alone imposing another way to generate that will actually cause discomfort for Nigerians,” another handle, @KingMasy, wrote.

The IMF had stressed that continued revenue mobilisation is essential if the government is to sustain higher capital spending and expand social intervention programmes aimed at cushioning the impact of economic reforms on vulnerable Nigerians.

“Over the medium term, continued revenue mobilisation is essential to creating fiscal space for development and social spending,” the Fund said, adding that there was limited room to maintain the projected increase in capital expenditure without additional revenue sources.

The Bretton Woods institution, however, cautioned that the timing of any new tax measures should take into account the worsening poverty and food insecurity situation in the country.

It emphasised that any tax increases should be accompanied by a fully funded and effective cash transfer programme to shield vulnerable households from additional economic hardship.

“The timing of reforms must consider the poverty and food insecurity situation and ensure that the cash transfer system is in place and funded,” the report stated.

The IMF’s recommendation comes as Nigeria continues to grapple with weak revenue generation despite recent reforms, including the removal of fuel subsidies and efforts to improve tax administration.

The Fund projected that poverty and food insecurity could worsen amid higher global fuel and food prices, noting that poverty had already reached 63 per cent of the population while about 27 million Nigerians faced food insecurity in 2025.

It also reiterated its call for a neutral fiscal stance in 2026, warning that spending pressures linked to poverty, food insecurity and preparations for the 2027 general elections could widen fiscal deficits and increase financing needs if not carefully managed.

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Economy

Nigeria’s Inflation Rises to 15.93% in May as Prices Remain Elevated

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Nigeria’s Headline Inflation

By Adedapo Adesanya 

The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) has revealed that Nigeria’s headline inflation rate in May 2026 rose to 15.93 per cent from 15.69 per cent in April, as the pressure from the Iran war continued to affect the global economy.

In the report on Monday, the statistical office showed that the headline inflation rate for May on a month-on-month basis was 1.75 per cent. 0.39 per cent lower than the 2.13 per cent recorded in April 2026.

On an annualised basis, the print was down from 26.06 per cent in the same month of the preceding year (May 2025). This was due to the rebasing of the calculation year from 2009 to 2024.

The rise in prices, which stemmed from the continued conflict in the Middle East, continued to stoke food prices and energy costs, which account for a huge chunk of average spending.

According to the NBS, “this can be attributed to the rate of change in the average prices of the following products: Millet whole grain, yam flour, ginger (Fresh), beef, garri, tam tuber, pepper (Fresh), cray fish, cassava tuber, Beans, Irish Potatoes, tomatoes (fresh), wheat grain (Sold loose), soya beans, guinea corn, plantain, carrots (Fresh) etc.”

The Food inflation rate in May 2026 on a month-on-month basis was 2.98 per cent, down by 0.65 percentage points from April 2026 (3.63 per cent), while on a year-on-year basis, it was 16.96 per cent and stood at 24.55 per cent in the same month of the preceding year (May 2025).

In its recent assessment of Nigeria, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) acknowledged the country’s ongoing macroeconomic reform efforts while warning that rising inflation, deepening poverty, and external shocks linked to geopolitical tensions could undermine recent gains.

The IMF projected a reversal in the disinflation trend, with headline inflation rising from 15.1 per cent in February 2026 to 15.4 per cent in March, driven largely by food price increases. It projected year-end inflation of 17.0 per cent, citing global commodity shocks and domestic pass-through effects.

The lender also recommended that the Central Bank of Nigeria maintain a cautious, data-dependent monetary policy stance following its recent steadying of interest rates at 26.5 per cent.

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