Economy
European Refiners Worry as Nigeria’s Petrol Demand Plunges 30%
By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigeria’s demand for Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), otherwise known as petrol, from Europe fell by almost 30 per cent as a result of the scrapping of fuel subsidy by President Bola Tinubu.
This is according to data provided by Kpler, a data and analytics firm that tracks energy information.
President Bola Tinubu, in his inauguration speech on May 29, 2023, announced an end to fuel subsidy, which gulped N4.3 trillion alone in 2022.
The removal of the fuel subsidy to the Nigerian Midstream Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) has led to a 35 per cent drop in average daily petrol consumption in Nigeria.
In a post shared on its official X account, the firm noted that Nigeria’s petrol subsidy removal is liable to squeeze European refiners, which lose one of their major outlets.
Nigeria accounts for a huge percentage of Europe’s petrol export market. West Africa and North America have traditionally been the main destinations for European exports.
The slump in Nigeria’s domestic fuel consumption is set to squeeze refining margins for European refiners.
Kpler noted that European exports to Nigeria decreased by around 160,000 barrels per day in July compared to May, which was around 250,000 barrels per day.
Reports have shown that the removal of government subsidies by the Tinubu administration has also decimated the black markets for the commodity in countries neighbouring Nigeria, such as Cameroon, Niger, Benin, and Togo. These markets thrived when cheap, subsidised fuel was smuggled from Nigeria into neighbouring countries.
Market optimists, including the Commissioner of Finance in Ekiti State, Mr Akin Oyebode, say that the 30 per cent drop off in fuel consumption is very important for the country’s balance of trade and payments).
He also noted that it is a positive for the fx outlook, “which will be more effective than all the demand management of the past.”
“The most important thing to resolve now is boosting fx supply in the short/medium term. We need to first clear all the stranded financing with development partners and also start to sell the fx component of government revenues at the I&E window,” he added.
Economy
Cardoso Eases Naira Devaluation Fears
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria, Mr Yemi Cardoso, has eased fears of any devaluation of the Naira anytime soon, saying the country’s ongoing monetary and foreign exchange reforms have restored confidence in the currency and strengthened the financial system.
Speaking while delivering a keynote address at the Annual Distinguished Alumni Lecture held in celebration of Founders’ Day of the St. Gregory’s College Old Boys Association in Lagos, the apex bank governor said, “These reforms have restored pride in our currency and strengthened confidence in our financial system.”
Mr Cardoso explained that the CBN remains focused on restoring price stability and bringing inflation down to single digits, noting that although the objective will take time to achieve, it remains central to the apex bank’s policy direction.
“Our goal remains to bring inflation down to single digits. This cannot happen overnight. External shocks will continue to occur, and global developments will always have some impact. But inflation is effectively a tax, and it disproportionately affects the most vulnerable members of society,” he said.
“That is why restoring price stability remains a central objective.”
He noted that the bank’s commitment to transparency and well-governed markets is evident in the reforms carried out in the foreign exchange market, including the elimination of the multiple exchange rate system that previously benefited only a few.
According to him, although some critics argue that the exchange rate appears higher today than it was before the reforms, the key difference lies in accessibility and transparency.
“Some critics argue that the exchange rate today appears higher than it was before the reforms. My response is simple: when the official rate was lower, how many people could actually access foreign exchange at that rate? The answer, in most cases, was very few,” he said.
“Today, the situation is fundamentally different. Foreign exchange is accessible through formal channels, and the system is far more transparent.”
He explained that many Nigerians travelling abroad can now use their naira cards directly instead of searching for foreign currency through informal channels, a development he said represents a major improvement compared to previous years when travellers struggled to access foreign exchange.
Mr Cardoso further revealed that the premium between the official and parallel markets has narrowed sharply from around 50 per cent in 2022 to less than 2 per cent on average in 2025, reflecting improved liquidity and efficiency in the FX market.
Economy
Four Stocks Drag Unlisted Securities Market Down by 0.56%
By Adedapo Adesanya
Four stocks weakened the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange by 0.56 per cent on Thursday, March 12, making it the third consecutive loss this week.
The price losers were led by FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc, which crumbled by N4.71 to N128.07 per share from N132.78 per share. Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc lost N1.98 to close at N78.02 per unit versus the previous day’s N80.00 per unit, First Trust Mortgage Bank Plc declined by 15 Kobo to N1.75 per share from N1.90 per share, and MRS Oil Plc crashed by 10 Kobo to settle at N210.00 per unit compared with the preceding session’s N210.10 per unit.
Consequently, the market capitalisation went down by N14.13 billion to N2.519 trillion from N2.533 trillion, and the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) dipped by 23.61 points to 4,210.30 points from 4,233.91 points.
There were three price gainers yesterday, led by Okitipupa Plc, which gained N10.00 to N240.00 per share from N230.00 per share, IPWA Plc increased by 45 Kobo to N5.01 per unit from N4.56 per unit, and Afriland Properties Plc appreciated by 35 Kobo to N17.95 per share from N17.60 per share.
During the session, the value of securities surged by 197.4 per cent to N95.0 million from N31.9 million, the volume of securities grew by 185.8 per cent to 3.7 million units from 1.3 million units, and the number of deals improved by 44.4 per cent to 52 deals from 36 deals.
The most active stock by value (year-to-date) was CSCS Plc with 38.4 million units worth N2.4 billion, followed by Okitipupa Plc with 6.4 million units valued at N1.1 billion, and FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc with 6.2 million units sold for N566.8 million.
The most traded stock by volume (year-to-date) was Resourcery Plc with 1.05 billion units traded for N408.7 million, trailed by Geo-Fluids Plc with 130.6 million units transacted for N503.8 million, and CSCS Plc with 38.4 million units worth N2.4 billion.
Economy
Naira Extends Recovery, Gains 0.34% Against Dollar to Sell at N1,371.51/$1
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira rallied against the United States Dollar by N4.68 or 0.34 per cent to trade at N1,371.51/$1 in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Thursday, March 12, compared with the N1,376.19/$1 it was traded on Wednesday.
The local currency also appreciated against the Pound Sterling in the same market window during the session by N10.67 to quote at N1,834.80/£1 versus midweek’s price of N1,845.47/£1, and strengthened against the Euro by N49.62 to finish at N1,581.89/€1, in contrast to the previous session’s N1,631.51/€1.
At the parallel market, the Naira also gained N10 against the Dollar yesterday to close at N1,410/$1 versus the preceding day’s rate of N1,420/$1, and gained N16 at the GTBank’s FX desk to settle at N1,391/$1 compared with the N1,407/$1 it was exchanged a day earlier.
Pressure further eased on the FX market as a result of inflows from foreign investors, exporters and non-bank corporates, among others.
With gross external reserves standing above $50 billion, the highest since 2009, analysts said the Naira has a positive outlook, amidst projections that the FX rate could rise to N1,300 per dollar in the first half of 2026.
However, external pressure threatens this, as increased demand for the US Dollar has strengthened globally due to the war triggered by the United States and Israel against Iran, which has been ongoing for two weeks.
A look at the digital currency market showed that prices extended a quiet stretch of consolidation that has kept the market largely unmoved by turbulence in global equities.
Amid geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and supply disruptions, crypto markets appear to be largely ignoring those pressures for now. Analysts noted that until a clear macro catalyst or wave of new capital arrives, the market appears content to consolidate gains rather than chase a breakout.
Cardano (ADA) appreciated by 6.0 per cent to $0.2743, Dogecoin (DOGE) grew by 4.9 per cent to $0.0966, Solana (SOL) added 4.6 per cent to sell for $88.99, Ethereum (ETH) rose by 4.3 per cent to $2,111.22, Ripple (XRP) jumped 3.9 per cent to $1.42, Bitcoin (BTC) expanded by 3.0 per cent to $71,546.01, Binance Coin (BNB) improved by 2.6 per cent to $661.08, and TRON (TRX) increased by 0.1 per cent to $0.2897, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) traded flat at $1.00 each.
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