Economy
Experts Tie Rise in Equity Investors’ Fortunes to Tinubu’s Economic Reforms
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
Some stock market experts have attributed the recent rise in the fortunes of equity investors to the audacious economic reforms of President Bola Tinubu.
Since he was sworn in on May 29, 2023, the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited has witnessed a significant rejuvenation because of the renewed interest in the market.
Analysis showed that in the first half of this year, equity investors, who have endured long periods of bearish sentiments, have become N5.3 trillion richer despite the rising inflation, social unrest, global uncertainty and other economic challenges which surely had an impact on the market during the early part of the year.
The NGX All-Share Index (ASI), an indicator which is used to measure the performance of listed firms on NGX, hit a 15-year high for the first time since 2008 and crossed 60,000 index points, to close at 60,968.27 points as against an opening value of 51,251.06 (January 3, 2023), implying an increase of 8,717.21 or 18.96 per cent.
Similarly, the market capitalisation (total value) of listed companies, which had opened the year at N27.915 trillion, closed on Friday, June 30 at N33.197 trillion, representing a gain of N5.3 trillion in H1 of 2023.
For operators in the equity market, the growth has been made possible due to the policies of the new administration, especially the harmonisation of different exchange rates and the floating of the Naira at the Investors and Exporters (I&E) window.
Recall that the persistent cash crunch, soaring inflation and the uncertainties in the build-up to the 2023 elections dampened the mood of investors as they activated the “cautious attitude” to stock trading. But sentiments started improving as the cash crunch eased and impressive corporate results came in.
The Chief Relationship Officer of Foresight Securities and Investments Limited, Mr Charles Fakrogha, said the smooth transition of power alongside bold reforms led to the rise in market capitalisation.
He also noted that the huge volumes of shares traded recently meant foreign investors might be thinking about making a comeback into the equities market.
As of Friday, June 30, 2023, a total of 998.08 million shares valued at N15.96 billion were exchanged in 10,580 deals.
“Investors were uncertain about the elections in February, and we saw that the Naira redesign implementation flopped badly.
“Then interest rates were continuously raised by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN). Inflation was actually on the minds of investors, but again we saw a smooth transition as well as bold policy statements from President Tinubu on May 29.
“This has led to the gains and positive sentiments the market is currently experiencing,” he said.
Mr Fakrogha, however, stressed on the need for the present administration to establish a cabinet and forge ahead with its plans for the nation as this will stimulate activities in various sectors of the economy and revive the capital market.
The chief executive of NGX Limited, Mr Temi Popoola, had said NGX was looking to collaborate with the new administration to develop the right policies that will steer market development and drive more listings.
“We are looking to collaborate with the new administration to develop the right policies that promote listings in our market with the support of stakeholders like the Chartered Institute of Stockbrokers (CIS), Association of Securities Dealing Houses of Nigeria (ASHON), Association of Issuing Houses of Nigeria (AIHN) and others.”
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira maintained stability against the United States Dollar in the different segments of the foreign exchange (FX) market on Friday, August 14, according to data obtained by Business Post.
At the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEM), the local currency remained unchanged at N1,357.65/$1, but lost N6.05 against the Pound Sterling to trade at N1,840.10 versus the previous session’s N1,834.05/£1, and depreciated against the Euro by N4.70 to sell for N1,571.70/€1 compared with the preceding day’s N1,567.00/€1.
At the black market, the Nigerian currency traded flat against the Dollar at N1,395/$1, but gained N3 at the GTBank forex desk to quote at N1,364/$1 versus Thursday’s exchange rate of N1,367/$1.
Data from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) showed that interbank FX transactions surged by 51.2 per cent to $119.594 million from $79.097 million. These transactions were executed in 137 deals, higher than the 98 deals recorded a day earlier.
FX inflows from exporters, remittances and other sources, alongside demand from importers and individuals requiring Dollars, continue to shape market conditions.
Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market recovered yesterday after experiencing a downturn in the previous sessions following reports that index provider MSCI has proposed new “non-operating company” screens for its Global Investable Market Indexes. Although the framework does not explicitly target cryptocurrency, it evaluates whether a company’s core operating assets constitute more than 50 per cent of its total holdings.
Heavy digital asset treasury adopters, including Strategy and Metaplanet, fail the proposed criteria and face potential removal during upcoming index rebalancings. While inclusion in major equity benchmarks previously allowed passive index funds and ETFs to automatically acquire these stocks, their removal could trigger forced institutional selling.
Dogecoin (DOGE) grew by 0.7 per cent to $0.07, Binance Coin (BNB) expanded by 0.6 per cent to $611.34, Ethereum (ETH) added 0.4 per cent to trade at $1,879.65, and Bitcoin (BTC) increased by 0.2 per cent to $63,045.87, with Ripple (XRP), the US Dollar Tether (USDT), and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) flat at $1.00, respectively.
But Cardano (ADA) lost 1.2 per cent to trade at $0.1795, TRON (TRX) shed 0.4 per cent to finish at $0.3323, and Solana (SOL) declined by 0.2 per cent to $75.60.
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil price climbed over $1 a barrel on Friday on tanker attacks and a lack of progress on a peace agreement between the President Donald Trump administration and Iran’s leadership.
Brent futures settled at $88.52 a barrel after gaining $1.45 or 1.67 per cent, and the United States’ West Texas Intermediate crude futures finished at $82.40, up $1.15 or 1.42 per cent.
Market analysts noted that new attacks on tankers and lack of progress on a cease-fire agreement, which, in turn, is making traffic in the Strait of Hormuz constrained, adding pressure to the waterway through which 20 per cent of global supply can pass.
Two vessels from the state-owned Abu Dhabi National Oil Company were attacked while transiting the strait on Thursday. Iran’s Revolutionary Guards have previously threatened action against vessels transiting the strait if they are linked to its adversaries or fail to comply with Iranian directives.
As the US and Iran made claims over control of the strait, shipping traffic through the channel fell below the month’s average. Before US-Israeli attacks on Iran began in late February, the strait handled about one-fifth of global oil and liquefied natural gas supplies.
The US said it could maintain a naval blockade of Iran indefinitely and increase economic pressure on Tehran in response to stalled ceasefire talks.
The country’s Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said there will be more announcements coming next week because “we are going to apply measures like have never been seen in the history of economic isolation of a country.”
Crude oil exports from Russia’s Sheskharis terminal at the Black Sea port of Novorossiysk were suspended on Friday following a drone attack, adding to disruptions at one of the country’s key export outlets.
The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) had slashed its outlook for 2026 global oil demand growth to 580,000 barrels per day, a stark contrast to the International Energy Agency’s 1.6 million barrels per day decline, marking the fourth straight month when the Vienna-based organisation was forced to curb its forecast amidst the Hormuz crisis.
In its monthly report, the IEA predicted that global supply will fall by 4.3 million barrels per day in 2026, pushing the Q3 deficit to 1.8 million barrels per day even as record fuel prices lead to an unprecedented 1.6 million barrels per day demand destruction.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Nigerian Insurers Association (NIA) has disclosed that seven additional insurance companies have secured full recapitalisation approval from the National Insurance Commission (NAICOM), bringing the industry-wide recapitalisation exercise to a successful conclusion.
In a statement on Friday, NIA Chairman, Mrs Ebelechukwu Nwachukwu, said the milestone represented significant progress towards building a stronger, more competitive and trusted insurance market in Nigeria.
She said the seven companies, alongside the 41 insurance companies and two reinsurance companies earlier approved, had demonstrated resilience, financial discipline and corporate strength by successfully completing the final verification process.
“Having successfully navigated the rigorous final verification process, these companies, alongside the earlier approved 41 insurance companies and two reinsurance companies, have demonstrated exceptional resilience, corporate fortitude, and financial discipline,” Mrs Nwachukwu said.
She added that the successful recapitalisation had positioned the companies to deliver greater value to policyholders and contribute to deeper insurance penetration nationwide.
Mrs Nwachukwu commended NAICOM for its regulatory oversight during the exercise, describing the commission’s approach as fair, structured and focused on strengthening market integrity.
“NAICOM’s strategic foresight and structured execution have elevated the Nigerian insurance industry, reinforcing its position within the broader financial sector as a substantially stronger, highly resilient, and globally competitive market,” she said.
The NIA chairman reaffirmed the association’s commitment to supporting insurance companies as they adapt to new regulatory requirements under the Nigerian Insurance Industry Reform Act (NIIRA) 2025.
She said the association would continue to work with NAICOM to promote a sustainable and future-ready insurance sector.
Mrs Nwachukwu also assured policyholders, investors and other economic stakeholders that the recapitalised industry was better positioned to support economic growth.
“With this recapitalization complete, the Nigerian insurance sector enters a transformative era. The industry is fully equipped to settle genuine claims promptly, absorb higher local and international risks, and serve as a cornerstone of financial stability, directly supporting President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s vision of achieving a $1 trillion economy by 2030,” she said.
