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Economy

EXPLAINER: Real Reason for the Recent Sudden Rise in Naira to Dollar Rate at P2P

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naira and dollar

By Dipo Olowookere

On Friday, a few cryptocurrency exchange platforms like Kucoin, Bybit and others were in the news, especially on X, formerly known as Twitter, where they trended as a result of a sharp rise in the Naira to Dollar exchange rate.

Some persons were scared that the gains recorded recently by the Naira may begin to erode and began to call for the heads of these platforms like Binance, which was forced to stop its operations in Nigeria because of allegations of currency manipulation.

The company, Binance, and two of its employees have still not been cleared of the issues they have with the Nigerian government, which has arraigned them before a federal high court.

Yesterday, many claimed that some forex manipulators have rushed to the other crypto exchange apps to begin to fight back, blaming them for the recent fall in the value of the Naira in the parallel market.

Business Post reports that while the Nigerian Naira has witnessed a decline in its value against the US Dollar, not much has happened in the black market.

Though on Friday, the Naira lost 1.4 per cent or N15.91 to trade at N1,169.99/$1 compared with the previous day’s rate of N1.154.08/$1, and in the parallel market, it weakened by N30 against the Dollar to quote at N1,150/$1, in contrast to the preceding day’s exchange rate of N1,120/$1.

As earlier stated, the decline in the local currency was blamed on the trading of cryptocurrencies by some people, but this is entirely not true.

“You claimed that the Naira’s fall has nothing to do with trading cryptocurrencies, but the Naira has appreciated from N1,900 to N950 to the Dollar since FG banned Binance.

“Oga NSA (National Security Adviser Nuhu Ribadu), what you did for Binance, do for Bybit, Kucoin, and OKX; they moved from Binance to these platforms,” one of the commenters wrote.

Another wrote, “Since Wednesday, the Dollar has started to increase again at BDC. Here is why, the emergency lovers of Binance are back speculating on other P2P (peer-to-peer). They will keep adding N50, N50 every day until they take it back to N2,500, which was their initial plan and recoup their loss. CBN (Central Bank of Nigeria) act now.”

“On this issue, I reached out to a source in the relevant security agency and I was reliably informed that it has been flagged as imminent danger and it’s being looked into.

“I am told that they (security agency) may have to expend their hands to them, just like they did to Binance.

“I am told that the NSA (Nuhu Ribadu) has a keen interest in currency manipulation activities as a means of economic sabotage. This is all I am allowed to say for now,” another stated.

However, Business Post can say that the recent weakening of the Naira may have not been entirely caused by manipulators.

For those in the crypto landscape, who trade digital currencies with USDT, which is pegged at the Dollar rate, the recent rise in the value of the US currency against its Nigerian counterpart may have been caused by the Bitcoin halving, which happened on Friday.

Yesterday, Bitcoin (BTC), which is the world’s largest cryptocurrency, completed its fourth ever “halving,” a phenomenon that happens roughly every four years.

It is always anticipated that the value of this digital coin will increase after the halving and the quest to be part of it triggered the demand for USDT and the rise in the exchange rate at these cryptocurrency exchange platforms.

Crypto traders in Nigeria on these platforms had to cough out more Naira to buy the USDT, which was already in high demand because of the BTC halving.

Now that the process has ended, you should expect to see a downward trend in the price of USDT or Dollar in the P2P market in the coming days.

For further clarification, please hit the comment section below.

Economy

CSCS, Geo-Fluids, FrieslandCampina Lift NASD OTC Bourse by 0.62%

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Regconnect CSCS

By Adedapo Adesanya

Three bellwether stocks lifted the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange by 0.62 per cent on Friday, December 12 with the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) jumping by 22.20 points to 3,600.43 points from 3,578.23 points.

In the same vein, the market capitalisation of the trading platform increased by N13.28 billion to close at N2.154 trillion from the previous day’s N2.140 trillion.

During the session, Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc went up by N2.53 to close at N39.71 per share compared with the previous day’s N37.18 per share, Geo-Fluids Plc added 35 Kobo to its price to finish at N5.00 per unit versus Thursday’s closing price of N4.65 per unit, and FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc appreciated by 23 Kobo appreciation to sell at N60.23 per share versus N60.00 per share.

It was observed that yesterday, the price of Golden Capital Plc went down by N1.05 to N9.45 per unit from N10.50 per unit, and UBN Propertiy Plc declined by 21 Kobo to N2.01 per share from the N2.22 per share it was traded a day earlier.

There was a significant improvement in the level of activity for the day, as the volume of transactions increased by 6.2 per cent to 37.4 million units from the previous day’s 35.2 million units, the value of trades went up by 265.1 per cent to N4.9 billion from N1.4 billion, and the number of deals soared by 13.80 per cent to 33 deals from 29 deals.

Infrastructure Credit Guarantee Company (InfraCredit) Plc ended the last trading day of this week as the most active stock by value on a year-to-date basis with 5.8 billion units valued at N16.4 billion, the second spot was taken by Okitipupa Plc with 178.9 million units traded for N9.5 billion, and third space was occupied by a new comer in MRS Oil Plc with 36.1 million units worth N4.9 billion.

InfraCredit Plc also finished the session as the most active stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 5.8 billion units transacted for N16.4 billion, followed by Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc with 1.2 billion units valued at N420.3 million, and Impresit Bakolori Plc with 537.0 million units sold for N524.9 million.

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Economy

Guinness Nigeria, Others Buoy NGX Index 1.00% Growth

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NGX All-Share Index

By Dipo Olowookere

The bullish run on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited continued on Friday with a further 1.00 per cent growth buoyed by gains recorded by Guinness Nigeria, Champion Breweries, and others.

Data showed that the consumer goods space expanded by 1.53 per cent during the last trading session of the week, as the insurance counter grew by 0.51 per cent, and the industrial goods sector marginally gained 0.01 per cent.

However, the banking index depreciated by 0.54 per cent due to a pocket of profit-taking, and the energy industry shrank by 0.09 per cent, while the commodity sector closed flat.

Guinness Nigeria gained 10.00 per cent to trade at N217.80, Morison Industries rose by 9.84 per cent to N4.69, Champion Breweries jumped by 9.69 per cent to N14.15, Austin Laz grew by 9.66 per cent to N2.27, and C&I Leasing appreciated by 9.62 per cent to N5.70.

Conversely, eTranzact lost 10.00 per cent to finish at N12.60, Chellarams slumped by 9.00 per cent to N13.20, Eunisell depleted by 9.89 per cent to N75.15, Africa Prudential moderated by 9.77 per cent to N12.00, and DAAR Communications decreased by 9.18 per cent to 89 Kobo.

The busiest stock on Friday was Access Holdings with 107.6 million units sold for N2.2 billion, Consolidated Hallmark traded 59.9 million units worth N245.8 million, Zenith Bank transacted 48.2 million units valued at N3.1 billion, Transcorp Power transacted 42.8 million units for N13.1 billion, and Champion Breweries exchanged 36.4 million units valued at N510.2 million.

At the close of business, a total of 602.8 million units worth N30.7 billion exchanged hands in 20,550 deals yesterday, in contrast to the 529.7 million units valued at N12.3 billion traded in 18,159 deals on Thursday, representing a surge in the trading volume, value, and number of deals by 13.80 per cent, 149.59 per cent, and 13.17 per cent apiece.

Business Post reports that the All-Share Index (ASI) soared during the session by 1,485.89 points to 149,436.48 points from 147,950.59 points and the market capitalisation moved up by N945 billion to N95.264 trillion from N94.319 trillion.

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Economy

Naira Chalks up 0.11% on USD at NAFEM as CBN Defends Market

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Naira-Yuan Currency Swap Deal

By Adedapo Adesanya

An intervention of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) in the foreign exchange (FX) market eased the pressure on the Naira on Friday.

The apex bank sold forex to banks and other authorised dealers in the official window to defend the domestic currency, helping to calm the FX demand pressure, with the Nigerian currency appreciating against the US Dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEM) by 0.11 per cent or N1.57 to sell at N1,454.50/$1 compared with Thursday’s closing price of N1,456.07/$1.

Also, the domestic currency improved its value against the Pound Sterling in the official market yesterday by N3.95 to close at N1,946.15/£1 versus the previous day’s N1,950.11/£1 but lost 10 Kobo on the Euro to quote at N1,706.46/€1 compared with the N1,706.36/€1 it was exchanged a day earlier.

At the black market segment, the Nigerian Naira maintained stability against the Dollar during the session at N1,470/$1 and also traded flat at N1,463/$1 at the GTBank forex counter.

Despite the sigh of relief, demand pressures outweighed the robust supply from the CBN and inflow from offshore players looking to participate at the OMO bills auction.

Gross FX reserves increased for the twenty fifth consecutive week, growing by a strong $396.84 million week-on-week to $45.44 billion.

As for the cryptocurrency market, it was down on Friday as pressure remained after Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell’s speech on Wednesday, which hinted at a possible rate cut pause in January. As a result, markets now expect only two rate cuts in 2026 instead of three.

However, Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee, who was against a December rate cut, said he expects more in 2026 than the current median projection.

Ethereum (ETH) slumped by 5.1 per cent to $3,090.61, Solana (SOL) declined by 4.5 per cent to $132.79, Cardano (ADA) depreciated by 3.8 per cent to $0.4103, and Dogecoin (DOGE) dropped 2.5 per cent to trade at $0.1373.

In addition, Bitcoin (BTC) lost 2.4 per cent to sell at $90,342.74, Litecoin (LTC) tumbled by 1.9 per cent to $81.86, Binance Coin (BNB) fell by 0.6 per cent to $886.93, and Ripple (XRP) slipped by 0.5 per cent to $2.02, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) traded flat at $1.00 each.

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