Economy
EXPLAINER: Real Reason for the Recent Sudden Rise in Naira to Dollar Rate at P2P
By Dipo Olowookere
On Friday, a few cryptocurrency exchange platforms like Kucoin, Bybit and others were in the news, especially on X, formerly known as Twitter, where they trended as a result of a sharp rise in the Naira to Dollar exchange rate.
Some persons were scared that the gains recorded recently by the Naira may begin to erode and began to call for the heads of these platforms like Binance, which was forced to stop its operations in Nigeria because of allegations of currency manipulation.
The company, Binance, and two of its employees have still not been cleared of the issues they have with the Nigerian government, which has arraigned them before a federal high court.
Yesterday, many claimed that some forex manipulators have rushed to the other crypto exchange apps to begin to fight back, blaming them for the recent fall in the value of the Naira in the parallel market.
Business Post reports that while the Nigerian Naira has witnessed a decline in its value against the US Dollar, not much has happened in the black market.
Though on Friday, the Naira lost 1.4 per cent or N15.91 to trade at N1,169.99/$1 compared with the previous day’s rate of N1.154.08/$1, and in the parallel market, it weakened by N30 against the Dollar to quote at N1,150/$1, in contrast to the preceding day’s exchange rate of N1,120/$1.
As earlier stated, the decline in the local currency was blamed on the trading of cryptocurrencies by some people, but this is entirely not true.
“You claimed that the Naira’s fall has nothing to do with trading cryptocurrencies, but the Naira has appreciated from N1,900 to N950 to the Dollar since FG banned Binance.
“Oga NSA (National Security Adviser Nuhu Ribadu), what you did for Binance, do for Bybit, Kucoin, and OKX; they moved from Binance to these platforms,” one of the commenters wrote.
Another wrote, “Since Wednesday, the Dollar has started to increase again at BDC. Here is why, the emergency lovers of Binance are back speculating on other P2P (peer-to-peer). They will keep adding N50, N50 every day until they take it back to N2,500, which was their initial plan and recoup their loss. CBN (Central Bank of Nigeria) act now.”
“On this issue, I reached out to a source in the relevant security agency and I was reliably informed that it has been flagged as imminent danger and it’s being looked into.
“I am told that they (security agency) may have to expend their hands to them, just like they did to Binance.
“I am told that the NSA (Nuhu Ribadu) has a keen interest in currency manipulation activities as a means of economic sabotage. This is all I am allowed to say for now,” another stated.
However, Business Post can say that the recent weakening of the Naira may have not been entirely caused by manipulators.
For those in the crypto landscape, who trade digital currencies with USDT, which is pegged at the Dollar rate, the recent rise in the value of the US currency against its Nigerian counterpart may have been caused by the Bitcoin halving, which happened on Friday.
Yesterday, Bitcoin (BTC), which is the world’s largest cryptocurrency, completed its fourth ever “halving,” a phenomenon that happens roughly every four years.
It is always anticipated that the value of this digital coin will increase after the halving and the quest to be part of it triggered the demand for USDT and the rise in the exchange rate at these cryptocurrency exchange platforms.
Crypto traders in Nigeria on these platforms had to cough out more Naira to buy the USDT, which was already in high demand because of the BTC halving.
Now that the process has ended, you should expect to see a downward trend in the price of USDT or Dollar in the P2P market in the coming days.
For further clarification, please hit the comment section below.
Economy
Geo-Fluids Seeks Approval to Raise Share Capital to N25bn
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
One of the players in the hydrocarbon business in Nigeria, Geo-Fluids Plc, which trades its securities on the NASD OTC Securities Exchange, is planning to restructure its share capital with an increased of about 1,090 per cent.
Next Monday, the company will hold its Annual General Meeting (AGM) and one of the resolutions to be tabled to shareholders by the board is an authorisation for raising the share capital from N2.1 billion to N25.0 billion.
This is to be achieved by creating an additional 45,742,332,488 ordinary shares of 50 kobo each, each ranking pari passu in all respects with the existing ordinary shares of the firm.
Funds from this action would be used to expand the business scope to include hydrocarbons, mining, and natural resource development.
“That the share capital of the company be and is hereby increased from N2,128,833,756 to N25,000,000,000 ordinary shares of 50 kobo each, each ranking pari passu in all respects with the existing ordinary shares of the company,” a part of the resolutions read.
In addition, Geo-Fluids wants approval, “To undertake the business of bitumen production and processing in all its forms, including but not limited to the exploration, prospecting, drilling, extraction, refining, treatment, blending, storage, packaging, distribution, marketing, importation, exportation, shipping, transportation, trading, and general supply of bitumen, its derivatives, by-products, and ancillary materials; and to carry on all other related or incidental undertakings, services, or operations that may be considered advantageous, beneficial, or necessary for the advancement, expansion, or diversification of the bitumen industry.”
Also, it wants the authority of shareholders, “To engage in the acquisition, development, and management of mining assets and concessions for the purpose of exploring, extracting, processing, and producing hydrocarbons, oil and gas, minerals, and other natural resources; and to develop, mine, and process coal, industrial minerals, and other raw materials required for industrial, commercial, energy, or infrastructural purposes, together with all related activities necessary to ensure the effective exploitation, utilisation, and commercialisation of such resources.”
Further, it wants, “To operate and participate in all segments of the oil and gas value chain, including but not limited to the exploration, prospecting, drilling, extraction, refining, processing, storage, blending, supply, marketing, distribution, importation, exportation, transportation, shipping, and trading of crude oil, refined petroleum products, petrochemicals, liquefied natural gas, compressed natural gas, and other related hydrocarbons and derivatives; and to establish, own, operate, or participate in facilities, ventures, or partnerships that advance the energy and petroleum sector.”
At the forthcoming meeting, the organisation wants its name changed from Geo-Fluids Plc to The Geo-Fluids Group Plc.
Economy
PENGASSAN Kicks Against Full Privatisation of Refineries
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Petroleum and Natural Gas Senior Staff Association of Nigeria (PENGASSAN) has warned against the full privatisation of the country’s government-owned refineries.
Recall that the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) is putting in place mechanisms to sell the moribund refineries in Port Harcourt, Warri, and Kaduna.
However, this has met fresh resistance, with the President of PENGASSAN, Mr Festus Osifo, saying selling a 100 per cent stake would mean the government losing total control of the refineries, a situation he warned would be detrimental to Nigeria’s energy security.
Mr Osifo said the union was advocating the sale of about 51 per cent of the government’s stake while retaining 49 per cent, which he described as being more beneficial to Nigerians.
“PENGASSAN, even before the time of Comrade Peter Esele, had been advocating that government should sell its shares. The reason why we don’t want government to sell it 100 per cent to private investors is because of the issue bordering on energy security,” he said on Channels Television, late on Sunday.
“So, what we have advocated is what I have said earlier. If government sells 51 per cent stake in the refinery, what is going to happen? They will lose control, so that is actually selling. But for the benefit of Nigerians, retain 49 per cent of it.“
The PENGASSAN leader maintained that if the government had heeded the union’s advice in the past, the oil industry would be in a better state than it is today.
He addressed concerns in some quarters over whether investors would be willing to buy stakes in government-owned refineries, insisting that there are investors who would be interested.
“Yes, there are investors who surely will be willing to buy a stake in the refinery because our population in Nigeria is quite huge, and those refineries, when well maintained without political pressures and political interference, will work,” he said.
However, Mr Osifo warned that even if the government decides to sell a 51 per cent stake, it must ensure that a complete valuation is carried out to avoid selling the refineries cheaply.
Economy
SEC Gives Capital Market Operators Deadline to Renew Registration
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
Capital market operators have been given a deadline by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for the renewal of their registration.
A statement from the regulator said CMOs have till Saturday, January 31, 2026, to renew their registration, and to make the process seamless, an electronic receipt and processing of applications would commence in the first quarter of 2026.
“These initiatives reflect our commitment to leveraging technology for faster, more transparent, and efficient regulatory processes.
“The commission is taking deliberate steps to make regulatory processes faster, more transparent, and technology-driven. We are investing in automation, database-supervision, and secure infrastructure to improve how we interact with the market,” the Director General of SEC, Mr Emomotimi Agama, was quoted as saying in the statement during an interview in Abuja over the weekend.
He noted that through the digital transformation portal, the organisation has automated registration and licensing end-to-end as operators can now submit applications, upload documents, and track approvals online, cutting down manual processing time and reducing the need for physical visits.
According to him, the agency has also rolled out the Commercial Paper issuance module, which allows operators to file documents, monitor progress, and receive approvals electronically while feedback from early users shows a clear improvement in turnaround time.
“Work is ongoing to automate quarterly and annual returns submissions, with structured templates and system checks to ensure accuracy. A returns analytics dashboard is also in development to support risk based supervision and exception reporting.
“To back these changes, we have started upgrading our IT infrastructure, servers, storage, networks, and security layers, to boost speed and reliability.
“Selective cloud migration is underway for platforms that need scalability and external access, while core internal systems remain on premisev5p for now as we assess security and cost implications.
“At the same time, we are strengthening data integrity and cybersecurity with vulnerability assessments and planned penetration testing once automation and migration phases are stable.
“These efforts show our commitment to building a modern, resilient regulatory environment that supports efficiency, investor confidence, and market stability,” he stated.
Mr Agama affirmed that the nation’s capital market was clearly on a path toward digital transformation adding that there is an urgent need for regulatory clarity on advanced technologies, targeted support for smaller firms, and capacity-building initiatives.
“A phased and proportionate approach to regulating emerging technologies such as AI is essential, complemented by internal readiness through supervisory technology tools.
“Furthermore, investor education, particularly among younger demographics, will be critical to future-proof participation and drive fintech adoption.
“Innovation is vital, but it must be accompanied by responsibility. As operators embrace automation, artificial intelligence, and data-driven tools, they bear a duty to ensure ethical, secure, and compliant deployment. Safeguarding investor data, preventing market abuse, and maintaining operational resilience are non-negotiable,” he declared.
The SEC DG said that ultimately, responsible technology adoption is about building trust, the cornerstone of our markets saying that trust thrives on fairness, transparency, accountability, and regulatory compliance.
He, therefore, urged operators to uphold these principles adding that it will not only protect investors and systemic stability but also strengthen the long-term credibility and competitiveness of the Nigerian capital market.
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