Economy
Factors Contributing to Stock Market Rally

By Modupe Gbadeyanka
The recent rally in the equity market has opened a window for the quoted companies to raise equity capital to finance their expansion projects. The bearish trends that dominated the equity market in the last few years have caused many companies to abandon the market as a source of raising long-term capital.
The Nigerian Stock Exchange All Share Index (NSEASI), which measures the performance of the equity market, appreciated by 20% between March 06, 2017 and May 31, 2017. A large proportion of this gain occurred in the last four weeks, as the Index appreciated by 15.13% between April 26 and May 31, 2017.
The Year-to-Date (YTD) return on the NSEASI as at May 31, 2017 stood at 9.76%. Although the return on the NSEASI is lower than the inflation rate of 17.24% as at April 2017 and the average YTD yield of 22.95% on the 364-Day Nigerian Treasury Bill (NTB), the returns on most of the highly capitalised stocks are higher than the inflation rate and the average yield on the 364-Day NTB.
The factors responsible for the appreciation in the equity market include the improvement in the Q1, 2017 results of quoted companies compared with the corresponding period of last year and the prospect of better performance in subsequent quarters.
Other factors include the increase in the supply of foreign exchange, improved crude oil production and price, improved investors’ confidence in the Nigerian economy and the financial market, increase in the participation of both the local and foreign investors in the markets and the boost to the economy by the passage of the Petroleum Industry Governance Bill (PIGB).
The sectoral analysis of performance of the equity market in the first five months of the year 2017 shows that the Banking sub-sector recorded the best performance, followed by the Insurance, Industrial and Consumer Goods sub-sectors.
The NSE Banking Index gained by 30.70% as at May 31, 2017; the NSE Insurance Index gained 9.77%; the NSE Industrial Index gained 9.15%, while the NSE Consumer Goods Index gained 2.97%.
Meanwhile, the NSE Oil and Gas Index lost 5.45% of its value in the period under review. As at May 31, 2017 the share price of Oando recorded a strong return of 80%, mainly due to the news of the signing of a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with the Federal Government of Nigeria (FGN) to manage the Port Harcourt Refinery.
Stanbic IBTC Holdings, UBA, GT Bank, Access Bank, and Zenith Bank all recorded impressive appreciation in their share prices on the strength of the impressive Q1 2017 results the banks announced. Although the profitability of FBN Holdings dropped in Q1 2017 compared with Q1 2016, the ongoing clean-up of its nonperforming assets sends a positive signal that the worst may be over. Transnational Corporation of Nigeria’s share price also recorded impressive appreciation as a result of the favourable Q1 2017 result the company announced.
There are indications that the company will benefit from the FGN intervention fund for the power sector.
The lull in the equity market in the last few years has paralysed equity capital raising exercise in the capital market. Quoted companies opted for debt capital to finance their expansion plans even in situations where the debt capital option was not the most appropriate. Some companies also sourced capital from abroad despite the exchange rate risk.
The recent economic challenges and the high interest rate on debt securities in Nigeria have imposed limitations on companies’ ability to issue debt capital to fund expansion. As the economy is gradually exiting the current recession, there would be a need for companies to expand production capacities.
Thus, the current rally in the equity capital market offers a great incentive for quoted companies to access the market to raise the needed equity capital for their expansion projects. As activities increase in the primary market segment of the equity market, the demand for debt capital may drop.
Consequently, we expect the interest rate and yields on the fixed income securities to drop.
Source: FSDH Research
Economy
Brent, WTI Ease on Iran Proposal Despite Ongoing Supply Disruptions
By Adedapo Adesanya
The prices of the two major crude oil grades moderated on Friday amid news of an Iranian proposal on negotiations with the United States. However, prices remained on track for weekly gains, with Iran still blocking the Strait of Hormuz and the US Navy blocking exports of Iranian crude.
Brent crude settled at $108.17 per barrel after losing $2.23 or 2.02 per cent, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude finished at $101.94 a barrel after giving up $3.13 or 2.98 per cent. Both benchmarks gained 2.9 per cent over the week.
It was reported on Friday that Iran sent its latest proposal for negotiations with the US to Pakistani mediators on Thursday, a move that could improve prospects for breaking an impasse in efforts to end the Iran war.
Oil prices have been on the rise since the US and Israel attacked Iran at the end of February, resulting in the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and the disruption of shipments of about a fifth of the world’s oil and liquefied natural gas supply.
Although a ceasefire has been in place since April 8, the oil market appeared to be accepting the uneasy truce in the conflict since Iran had already said and signalled that it won’t open the chokepoint to free traffic and won’t return to negotiations unless the American blockade is lifted.
There are fears of an escalation amid reports that US President Donald Trump would be briefed on further military options to force Iran’s hand to sign a deal, which could involve a ground operation.
Prices could spike to $140 per barrel, according to the Speaker of Iran’s Parliament, Mr Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, saying the US Administration is getting “junk advice” from people like [Treasury Secretary] Bessent, “who also push the blockade theory and cranked oil up to $120+. Next stop:140.”
The United Arab Emirates’ departure from the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) this week may still mean that the market’s most striking feature in the next few years is not too little supply, but too much. It left the cartel to boost production (target ~5 million barrels per day by 2027) and gain full control over its oil strategy and global partnerships.
Economy
LCCI Urges FG to Fix Manufacturing Bottlenecks, Stabilise Economy
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry (LCCI) has urged the federal government to prioritise reforms that address constraints in the manufacturing sector as it tackles broader macroeconomic and fiscal challenges facing the Nigerian economy.
President of LCCI, Mr Leye Kupoluyi, gave the advice on Thursday in Lagos, at the chamber’s quarterly state of the nation’s economy news conference.
He stated that the manufacturing sector remained a critical driver of revenue and industrial growth, citing a strong performance in 2025.
Mr Kupoluyi noted that the sector contributed N1.17 trillion in Value Added Tax (VAT), representing a 45.61 per cent increase from N803.53 billion recorded in 2024, adding that the Company Income Tax (CIT) from the sector rose to N881.29 billion, up by 32.83 per cent from N663.46 billion in the previous year.
“This strong year-on-year growth reinforces the sector’s expanding role in generating government revenue and in Nigeria’s industrial development.
“Following these results, we call on the government to invest more in productive infrastructure and economic policies that drive growth through job creation, lower production costs, and fiscal interventions,” he said.
On the global terrain, the LCCI president noted that the global economy remained unsettled, shaped by geopolitical tensions, supply chain disruptions and monetary tightening in advanced economies.
He said these trends had sustained inflationary pressures globally, while exposing emerging markets, including Nigeria, to capital outflows and currency volatility.
Mr Kupoluyi noted that Nigeria had benefited from high crude oil prices, warned against mismanaging the resulting windfall, urging the government to channel oil revenues into the Sovereign Wealth Fund, critical infrastructure and diversification initiatives to reduce import dependence and support long-term growth.
On monetary policy, the chamber’s president commended the Central Bank of Nigeria’s Monetary Policy Committee for reducing the Monetary Policy Rate by 50 basis points to 26.5 per cent at its February meeting.
He described the move as a cautious but important shift, reflecting growing confidence amid improvements in inflation and external sector performance.
Mr Kupoluyi also highlighted improvements in the foreign exchange market, noting that the naira had shown relative stability and appreciated to about N1,350.79 to the Dollar in the official market.
He said the performance reflects improved liquidity, investor confidence and the impact of ongoing reforms, but called for stronger policy coordination, increased FX inflows and fiscal discipline to sustain stability.
On fiscal operations, the LCCI president raised concerns over weak capital budget implementation, citing the rollover of N7.71 trillion in unexecuted 2025 capital projects.
He said delays in fund releases, bureaucratic bottlenecks and inefficiencies had continued to undermine project delivery and strain contractors.
He urged the government to develop a more effective framework for capital budget releases to ensure timely funding and execution of projects.
Addressing the oil and gas sector, Mr Kupoluyi welcomed the ongoing reform efforts aimed at boosting crude oil production and improving regulatory processes.
He called for a fully digital regulatory ecosystem to enhance transparency, accelerate approvals and restore investor confidence.
The official added that high global oil prices presented an opportunity for Nigeria to strengthen its position as a major supplier, provided local production and refining capacities are improved.
The LCCI president, however, expressed concern over high import duties on paper, printing materials and related inputs, noting that the policy had increased production costs across several value chains.
“The situation is worsened by port delays, multiple regulatory checks and inconsistent tariff classifications.
The chamber also called for a review of import duties, integration of regulatory agencies into the National Single Window and measures to reduce cargo clearance timelines.
“A balanced policy mix of moderate tariffs, support for local production and stable macroeconomic conditions would enhance industrial growth and reduce business costs,” he said.
He also reiterated its commitment to continued engagement with government and stakeholders to promote policies that support a thriving business environment.
Economy
NASD Index Gains 0.16% to Again Rise Above 4,000 Points
By Adedapo Adesanya
The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange rose by 0.16 per cent on Thursday, April 29, with the Unlisted Security Index (NSI) returning above the 4,000-point mark after chalking up 6.55 points to settle at 4,005.78 points compared with the previous day’s 3,999.23 points.
During the trading session, the market capitalisation of the platform went up by N3.92 billion to close at N2.396 trillion, in contrast to the N2.392 trillion it ended on Wednesday.
The upliftment of the alternative stock market was influenced by the gains posted by four securities, which offset the losses printed by two securities.
According to data, Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc chalked up N4.03 to close at N76.02 per share versus the preceding session’s N71.99 per share, Food Concepts Plc appreciated by 24 Kobo to N2.67 per unit from N2.43 per unit, UBN Property Plc climbed 20 Kobo to trade at N2.23 per share versus N2.03 per share, and Geo-Fluids Plc improved by 9 Kobo to N3.00 per unit from N2.91 per unit.
On the flip side, MRS Oil Plc lost N17.65 to end at N178.10 per share compared with the previous price of N195.75 per share, and FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc dipped by N9.76 to N90.24 per unit from N100.00 per unit.
The volume of securities traded during the trading day went up by 184.3 per cent to 877,682 units from 308,698 units, the value of securities jumped 5.7 per cent to N26.7 million from N25.2 million, and the number of deals soared by 100 per cent to 56 deals from 28 deals.
Great Nigeria Insurance (GNI) Plc remained the most traded stock by value (year-to-date) with 3.4 billion units worth N8.4 billion, followed by CSCS Plc with 60.1 million units exchanged for N4.1 billion, and Okitipupa Plc with 27.8 million units traded for N1.9 billion.
GNI Plc also closed as the most active stock by volume (year-to-date) with 3.4 billion units sold for N8.4 billion, followed by Resourcery Plc with 1.1 billion units worth N415.7 million, and Infrastructure Guarantee Credit Plc with 400 million units transacted for N1.2 billion.
The market will be closed on Friday, May 1, for Workers’ Day celebration.
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