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GCR Upgrades Presco Ratings on Improved Financial Profile

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By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The national scale long-term and short-term issuer ratings of Presco Plc have been upgraded by GCR Ratings, with a stable outlook.

In a statement by the rating agency, it was disclosed that the long-term issuer rating was moved up to A+(NG) from A-(NG) and the short-term issuer rating was raised to A1(NG) from A2(NG).

Concurrently, GCR has upgraded the national scale long-term issue ratings on each of the company’s N34.5Bn Series 1 Senior Unsecured Bond and N82.9Bn Programme 2 Series 1 Senior Unsecured Bond to A+(NG) from A-(NG) previously, with the outlook on the bonds ratings remaining stable.

Explaining the rationale behind the upgrade, GCR stated Presco has witnessed considerable improvements in its financial profile, with consistent reduction in debt over the past four years, coupled with improvements in earnings and free cash flows over the same period.

“We have maintained the analytical approach as group credit analysis using the consolidated financial statements of SIAT N.V., which owns 60 per cent interest in Presco and wholly owns other subsidiaries.

“The group credit analysis reflects Presco’s sustained position as the largest contributor to SIAT N.V. group earnings, with 72.9 per cent of revenue in financial year 2024 (2023: 60 per cent) following its acquisition of Ghana Palm Oil Development Company Limited (GOPDC),” parts of the statement read.

The group returned to turnover growth in 2024 and half year 2025 (H1 2025), reflecting a combination of factors including volumes growth, increased crude oil processing and refining activity, premium pricing and stability of the Naira in 2025.

Earnings concentration to Nigeria would be further accentuated by the proposed acquisition of Saro Oil Palm Limited (SOP), with future growth to be driven by additional inflows from enlarged mature plantations post consolidation, coupled with planned investments in oil milling and refining.

Earnings margins have also rebounded, with EBITDA margin reaching a high of 32 per cent in 2024, compared to a five-year historical average of 28 per cent.

In addition to the positive effect of the spinoff of loss-making subsidiaries in 2023, the recent earnings improvements reflect higher traded volume of higher margin refined palm oil and other processed palm oil products.

“We expect the sound topline growth of 23 per cent reported in H1 2025 to be largely sustained into the full year especially given the stable Naira, while margins would normalise to the 32 per cent-35 per cent range (management accounts: 68 per cent),” GCR stated.

“We consider the liquidity fundamentals to show signs of stress even though the coverage is relatively strong at 1.5x for the 18-month period to 31 December 2026. Maturing debt obligations and expected capital spending over the outlook period are minimal and could be sufficiently settled with operating cash flows and cash on hand of EUR82 million as of 30 June 2025.

“This notwithstanding, significant outflows are expected in respect of dividend distribution, which is now well above the historical levels.

“This is however balanced against the anticipated proceeds from a rights issue of N250 billion (c.EUR140 million), which will be used to repay portions of outstanding debt and fund the proposed acquisition of SOP and the settlement of outstanding purchase consideration on the acquisition of GOPDC.

“We have, however, haircut the expected proceeds of the rights issue. In addition, given the group’s plan to pursue further acquisitions in Nigeria, liquidity could be pressured if these are funded with large debt issuances,” it disclosed.

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Economy

Decentralised Development Initiatives Key to Unlocking Economic Opportunities—Bagudu

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By Dipo Olowookere

The Minister of Budget and Economic Planning, Mr Abubakar Bagudu, has stressed the key role decentralised initiatives play in unlocking economic opportunities across the country.

Speaking in Abuja on Wednesday when he received members of the Crop, Aquaculture, Livestock Farmers and Value Chain Economic Actors Association of Nigeria (CALFAN), the Minister noted that initiatives like the Renewed Hope Ward Development Programme of President Bola Tinubu concentrate development planning at the ward level, which is the lowest administrative unit in Nigeria’s governance structure.

He welcomed the decision of the farmers’ group to collaborate with the federal government to accelerate the programme’s implementation.

Mr Bagudu explained that the project aims to enable communities to identify their development opportunities rather than relying solely on a top-down approach, adding that Nigeria has 8,809 wards, each with unique economic prospects that can be accessed through targeted interventions.

Under the initiative, wards will determine their priority economic opportunities, after which the federal government, state governments, local authorities, and development partners will work together to provide the necessary support.

According to him, Nigeria’s constitutional framework assigns development responsibilities to the three tiers of government, but in practice, these roles have not always been well coordinated, often resulting in duplication, inefficiencies, and interruptions in development initiatives.

“Our belief is that every ward in Nigeria is an acre of diamonds waiting to be uncovered. Each community has its own strengths and potential, and development strategies must reflect these distinctive qualities,” he said.

In his remarks, the president of CALFAN, Mr Aliyu Abdulraheem, outlined the association’s proposal to serve as a field-level implementation partner for the Renewed Hope Ward Development Programme.

He highlighted CALFAN’s extensive grassroots structure, including Ward-Level Extension Service Offices (WESOs) and a digital platform that supports real-time beneficiary identification, community mobilisation, data collection, and monitoring of development activities.

He disclosed that the proposed platform would facilitate economic mapping of rural communities, infrastructure assessments, digital surveys, and real-time data collection to support evidence-based policy decisions and programme monitoring.

The CALFAN boss highlighted the inclusive approach that encompasses the entire agricultural value chain, including farmers, input suppliers, processors, transporters, traders, and service providers.

Unveiled in 2025 by President Tinubu, the Renewed Hope Ward Development Programme aims to reset development planning by boosting economic activities at the ward level through collaboration among the federal, state, and local governments.

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Economy

NMDPRA Grants Six Petrol Import Permits to Stabilise Market

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By Adedapo Adesanya

The Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) has granted import permits for Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) or petrol to six depot owners and petroleum marketers.

This step comes as the federal government moved to ensure stability and balance in the country’s downstream fuel sector after it was widely reported that the country suspended the issuance of petrol import licenses for a second straight month

The regulator recently issued these permits to six importers, with each authorised to import approximately 30,000 metric tonnes of the fuel into the country to help cushion against the effects of escalating conflict in the Middle East.

This development also occurs against the backdrop of ongoing discussions about supply concentration, with recent data showing that the Dangote Petroleum Refinery supplied roughly 92 per cent of Nigeria’s petrol in February.

At present, the Dangote refinery is the sole facility in Nigeria producing petrol, while most modular refineries primarily focus on diesel output.

The Crude Oil Refineries Association of ​Nigeria (CORAN) also confirmed that none have been issued so far in March, signalling ​a shift towards prioritising local output. However, this has since changed, spurred by the latest development.

Industry statistics show that local refining provided an average of about 36.5 million litres per day that month, with imports adding roughly 3 million litres daily, resulting in a total supply of around 39.5 million litres per day.

According to reports, until recently, no petrol import permits had been issued under the current NMDPRA leadership, suggesting that the new approvals signal a deliberate policy shift to preserve supply diversity and adaptability as the domestic market continues to develop.

Nigeria’s average daily petrol consumption fell to 56.9 million litres per day ​in February 2026, ​down from 60.2 ⁠million litres in January.

In February, the Dangote Refinery supplied 36.5 million litres of petrol and 8 million litres of ​diesel to the local market, leaving a daily deficit of 20 million litres that was covered by previously imported stock.

According to NMDPRA, these volumes ​were sufficient, ⁠leading to its earlier decision to withhold import licenses.

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Economy

State Visit: CPPE, LCCI Urge Tinubu to Pursue Trade Expansion with UK

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By Adedapo Adesanya

The Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise (CPPE) and the Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry (LCCI) have called for trade expansion ahead of President Bola Tinubu’s state visit to the United Kingdom.

In separate communications, the organisations urged President Tinubu to deepen economic ties as he visits the UK on the invitation of the King of England, King Charles III. His state visit to the UK next week will mark Nigeria’s first such visit to the UK in 37 years, when Military President Ibrahim Babangida was head of state.

The chief executive of CPPE, Mr Muda Yusuf, said the planned visit by Mr Tinubu to the UK is significant on multiple fronts.

“At a time of shifting global alliances and economic realignments, the visit presents both opportunity and responsibility.

“It is expected that leading Nigerian business figures will accompany the President, creating a platform for expanding trade flows, deepening investment partnerships, promoting Nigeria as a destination for capital, and strengthening financial-sector linkages.

“The UK remains a major source of portfolio flows, development finance, and private-sector investment into Nigeria. Structured engagements during the visit could unlock opportunities in infrastructure, energy, financial services, technology, manufacturing, and agribusiness,” Mr Yusuf stated.

On her part, the Director General of the LCCI, Mrs Chinyere Almona, noted that the visit represents a historic opportunity to recalibrate Nigeria–UK relations from traditional diplomacy to focused economic diplomacy.

“At a time when Nigeria is implementing bold macroeconomic reforms, this visit should be leveraged to secure concrete commitments on trade expansion, long-term investment, and cooperation on the business environment.

“From the perspective of the Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry, the overriding objective should be to translate goodwill into measurable economic outcomes that strengthen Nigeria’s productive base and export capacity,” she said.

According to her, recent data underscore the strategic importance of the UK to Nigeria’s economy, noting that in Q3 2025, Nigeria recorded capital importation of approximately US$6.01 billion, representing a significant year-on-year surge.

“Notably, the United Kingdom emerged as Nigeria’s largest source of capital inflows, accounting for about US$2.94 billion, or nearly half of total inflows during the quarter. These inflows were driven predominantly by portfolio investment, particularly into the financial and banking sectors, reflecting renewed foreign investor confidence following Nigeria’s macroeconomic adjustments.

“On the trade front, total trade in goods and services between Nigeria and the UK stood at approximately £8 billion in the 12 months to mid-2025,” she said.

She said, however, that the relationship remains structurally imbalanced, with UK exports to Nigeria significantly exceeding Nigeria’s exports to the UK.

“Ultimately, the economic agenda of this state visit should be guided by Nigeria’s most pressing challenges: export diversification, inflation-induced cost pressures, infrastructure deficits, and the need for stable long-term capital,” Mrs Almona said in an interview with Nairametrics.

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