Economy
Heavy Rains, Logistics Hinder Soybeans Production
By Dipo Olowookere
The production of soybean in Nigeria has been hindered by heavy rains, resulting in high levels of immature grains with very high moisture content. This assertion was made by AFEX Commodities Exchange Limited in its Soybean outlook for 2019/2020 season.
In the report obtained by Business Post, it was stated that harvest has commenced as the rains are beginning to recede in most parts of the North, and the grain moisture levels are high at 15-16 percent MC from end of October to mid – November, but expected to moderate to 12 percent and below from end of November cross all locations.
It was further stated that in Benue and Taraba, the rains have persisted slightly longer and only a handful of farmers have been able to harvest by early November, most of which have high levels of immature grains with very high moisture content.
Prices started at N115,000 per MT in Benue, N100,000 in Taraba and N110,000 in the North West (Kaduna, Katsina, and Kano).
“We also envisage that logistics will be a challenge for most suppliers especially those in the North east with prices as high as N600,000 – N700,000 for deliveries to the South Western States,” the report added.
Commenting on the soybean outlook demand side dynamics, AFEX noted that the local demand for the commodity has over the years outweighed the local supply of the product and by a significant margin.
“Demand players have positioned themselves strategically to mop up volumes at farm gate. We anticipate a conservative 25 percent – 30 percent differential between market prices for grains at point of harvest in mid – late November and Peak period in July/ August. The market is basically liquidity driven with products going to the biggest pockets,” it noted.
On the strategy to adopt, “We recommend a dual strategy with an objective to achieve volume targets, but at a comparative price advantage to the competition. Aggressive trade volumes but with a closed pricing approach, so the market isn’t further upset. Aggressive stock build-up at farm gate/AFEX Warehouse for shipment in June/July.”
Business Post reports that as the time of filing this piece on Thursday morning, prices of Soybeans were up by 5.72 percent at N130,020 on AFEX.
By Dipo Olowookere
The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited recorded another milestone after it further closed higher by 1.18 per cent on Thursday amid renewed confidence in the market.
The All-Share Index (ASI) crossed the 170,000-point threshold during the session as it added 1,975.18 points to the preceding day’s 168,030.18 points to settle at 170,005.36 points.
Also yesterday, the market capitalisation of Customs Street was up by 1,268 trillion to N109.129 trillion from the N107.861 it ended a day earlier.
The growth recorded during the session was powered 55 equities, which outweighed the losses recorded by 19 other equities.
Guinea Insurance expanded by 10.00 per cent to N1.43, Seplat Energy grew by 10.00 per cent to N7,370.00, RT Briscoe increased by 9.95 per cent to N11.49, Neimeth chalked up 9.90 per cent to close at N11.10, and Zichis rose by 9.89 per cent to N6.11.
At the other side, Deap Capital lost 9.62 per cent to trade at N6.20, Universal Insurance slipped by 9.43 per cent to N1.44, Haldane McCall declined by 9.09 per cent to N4.00, Red Star Express went down by 9.04 per cent to N15.60, and UPDC depreciated by 7.02 per cent to N5.30.
Business Post reports that the energy index was up by 4.68 per cent, the industrial goods improved by 0.79 per cent, the banking space grew by 0.64 per cent, and the consumer goods sector soared by 0.11 per cent, while the insurance counter lost 0.31 per cent.
Yesterday, market participants traded 713.0 million stocks valued at N22.3 billion in 46,104 deals versus the 694.8 million stocks worth N20.6 billion transacted in 42,095 deals on Wednesday, showing a spike in the trading volume, value, and number of deals by 2.62 per cent, 8.25 per cent, and 9.52 per cent, respectively.
Access Holdings sold 106.6 million shares valued at N2.5 billion, Chams transacted 44.5 million equities worth N201.3 million, Champion Breweries traded 44.5 million stocks for N774.3 million, Universal Insurance exchanged 34.8 million shares worth N53.6 million, and Deap Capital sold 22.7 million equities valued at N141.9 million.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira weakened against the US Dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Thursday, February 5, by N7.78 or 0.57 per cent to N1,366.06/$1 from the N1,358.28/$1 it was traded on Wednesday, according to data from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).
The Nigerian currency also depreciated against the Euro in the same market segment yesterday by N5.92 to close at N1,611.95/€1 versus the preceding session’s closing price of N1,606.03/€1, but appreciated further against the Pound Sterling by N8.05 to N1,855.38/£1 from the previous day’s value of N1,863.43/£1.
The domestic currency’s exchange rate for international transactions on the GTBank Naira card was further strengthened after an N8 price appreciation on the greenback to settle at N1,375/$1 compared with the N1,383/$1 it was exchanged at midweek, and at the black market, it maintained stability at N1,450/$1.
The loss suffered by the Nigerian Naira in the official market appears to be an isolated event, as Nigeria’s gross external reserves rose to $46.80 billion as of February 4, 2026, from $46.70 billion a day earlier, underscoring improved capacity to meet foreign obligations and support market confidence.
The local currency has been able to find a solid path despite no indications of any intervention from the apex bank in recent week strengthening the case of price discovery.
As for the digital currency market, Bitcoin (BTC) tumbled more than 13 per cent over the past 24 hours, selling at $63,075.23, its steepest one-day decline since the FTX-driven crash in November 2022.
The sell-off extended beyond crypto, with silver plunging 15 per cent and gold sliding more than 2 per cent. US stocks also fell.
The latest downturn comes as investor confidence in crypto’s utility as a store of value, inflation hedge, and digital currency falters.
Ripple (XRP) plunged by 23.4 per cent to $1.15, Dogecoin (DOGE) went down by 14.2 per cent to $0.0879, Cardano (ADA) declined by 13.4 per cent to $0.2459, Binance Coin (BNB) slumped by 13.2 per cent to $606.83, Solana (SOL) dipped by 13.1 per cent to $78.70, Ethereum (ETH) crashed by 13.0 per cent to $1,841.67, and Litecoin (LTC) lost 13.1 per cent to trade at $50.70, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) were at $1.00 each.
By Adedapo Adesanya
Crude oil was down by almost 3 per cent on Thursday in choppy trading, after the US and Iran agreed to hold talks in Oman on Friday.
Brent crude futures depleted by $1.91 or 2.75 per cent to trade at $67.55 per barrel, and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures slumped by $1.85 or 2.84 per cent to $63.29 per barrel.
The US and Iran are set to hold nuclear talks in Oman today after President Donald Trump warned the country’s supreme leader should be “very worried.”
The high-stakes talks are scheduled to take place on Friday in the Omani capital, Muscat, and will involve Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and President Trump’s special envoy, Mr Steve Witkoff.
Tensions between the two countries have escalated sharply in recent weeks following a deadly crackdown by Iranian security forces on nationwide anti-government protesters. The crackdown prompted Trump to send a US military “armada” to the region and threaten to launch strikes.
Now, market analysts noted that the talks are being given the benefit of the doubt, but noted scepticism that any reasonable deal could be made with Iran.
The discussions come as the US builds up forces in the Middle East, and regional players seek to avoid a military confrontation that many fear could escalate into a wider war and impact the Strait of Hormuz.
About a fifth of the world’s total oil consumption passes through the Strait of Hormuz between Oman and Iran. Other OPEC members, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait and Iraq, export most of their crude via the strait, as does Iran.
Strength in the US Dollar and volatility in precious metals also weighed on commodities and risk sentiment more broadly on Thursday. The greenback getting stronger makes oil expensive for holders of other currencies.
On the supply side, discounts on Russian oil exports to China widened to new records this week as sellers cut prices to attract demand from the world’s top crude importer and offset the likely loss of Indian sales. This week, a trade deal was announced between the US and India, which agreed to halt purchases of Russian crude.
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