Economy
Higher Fuel Costs Limit Growth as Stanbic IBTC PMI Reads 52.4 in April
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The Stanbic IBTC Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for April 2026 stood at 52.4 points compared with the 51.9 points recorded in March 2026, a statement from the lender on Monday revealed.
Though the Nigerian private sector remained in growth territory, it was stunted by higher fuel costs because of the war in Iran, triggered by the United States and Israel, which led to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. The rising fuel prices have limited expansions in new orders and business activity.
Companies took on extra staff in April in response to rising workloads, but the rate of job creation was only marginal and the softest in three months. Some organisations reported that staff shortages had been behind the latest accumulation of backlogs of work, while others cited customer payment delays and issues securing raw materials. Outstanding business increased for the third consecutive month in April.
Further efforts were made to secure materials, with purchasing activity increasing for the seventeenth month running in April. Stocks of purchases also rose amid improving customer demand, and at a marked pace that was the sharpest in five months. When companies placed orders for materials, they often made sure to pay on time in order to secure deliveries. As a result, supplier lead times shortened again, albeit to the least extent in 2026 so far.
“The health of Nigeria’s private sector improved in April – remaining above the 50-point growth threshold for the third consecutive month – as new orders increased in line with higher customer numbers and rising demand even as price pressures remain prevalent.
“Accordingly, the headline PMI increased to 52.4 points in April from 51.9 points seen in March,” the Head of Equity Research West Africa at Stanbic IBTC Bank, Mr Muyiwa Oni, commented.
He further said, “Despite the improvement in new orders, we understand that lingering inflationary pressures limited the pace of expansion.
“Notably, companies increased their selling prices in April to the highest level since December 2024 in response to rising fuel and raw material costs. Staff costs also increased modestly as some companies increased their staff pay so as to help them with increasing transportation fares.
“Business expectations also improved in April compared to March as businesses plan to expand their operations through the opening of new branches, stock building, and entry into new markets.”
“The improved start of the second quarter of the year by Nigerian businesses continues to support our view of improved growth expectations in 2026 relative to 2025.
“Hence, we still maintain our expectation that the Nigerian economy is likely to grow by 4.22 per cent y/y in 2026, from 3.87 per cent y/y in 2025.
“We estimate the non-oil sector’s growth at 4.24 per cent y/y in 2026, from 3.71 per cent y/y in 2025, likely driven primarily by services, which we see growing by 5.64 per cent y/y in 2026 (vs 2025: 4.14 per cent y/y).
“The government’s continuous investment attraction across oil & gas, solid minerals, electricity, agriculture and general manufacturing should continue to support sentiment on production activity.
“However, the oil sector’s growth is likely to moderate to 3.01 per cent y/y (vs 2025: 8.50 per cent y/y), as we now expect crude oil production (including condensates) to average 1.70m bpd, from 1.64m bpd in 2025,” he added.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The National Insurance Commission (NAICOM) has said the passage of the National Insurance Regulatory Commission Bill by the Senate will unlock greater investment in Nigeria by strengthening regulatory oversight, enhancing investor confidence and creating a more transparent and accountable insurance industry.
Describing the development as a significant milestone in efforts to strengthen the regulatory framework of Nigeria’s insurance industry, the commission particularly praised the leadership of the Senate and the Chairman of the Senate Committee on Banking, Insurance and Other Financial Institutions, Mr Adetokunbo Mukail Abiru, for their roles in securing the successful passage of the Bill in the Red Chamber.
According to NAICOM, the proposed legislation will enhance regulatory oversight, improve transparency and accountability, and boost public confidence in the insurance sector.
The commission said the bill is expected to attract greater investment into the industry, promote sustainable growth, and deliver benefits to policyholders, insurance operators, and the wider economy.
NAICOM also noted that the Senate’s commitment to advancing reforms in the insurance sector would support the modernisation of insurance regulation and strengthen financial inclusion across the country.
It added that the passage of the Bill reflects the legislature’s resolve to protect the interests of citizens while promoting the stability of Nigeria’s financial system.
The Commission reaffirmed its readiness to ensure the effective implementation of the new legal framework once the Bill receives presidential assent, pledging continued collaboration with industry stakeholders to position the insurance sector as a key driver of national economic development.
Earlier this week, the Senate passed the much-anticipated bill to repeal and re-enact the law establishing the National Insurance Commission (NAICOM), paving the way for the regulatory agency to be renamed the Insurance Regulatory Commission (IRC).
The legislation, titled the Insurance Regulatory Commission (Establishment) Bill, 2026, was passed after the Senate considered and adopted the report of its committee on banking, insurance and other financial institutions.
According to lawmakers, the outgoing National Insurance Commission Act 1997 is outdated and does not adequately address the emerging economic growth, needs and development of the country’s insurance business and projections.
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
About $2.5 billion has been raised by Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals FZE (DPRP) from its private equity placement.
The exercise, Business Post learned, attracted broad participation from international and African institutional investors, sovereign-related investment vehicles, development finance institutions, strategic partners, and individual investors.
Notable participants included the Africa Finance Corporation (AFC) and India Infra Buildco, an investment vehicle facilitated by the African Export-Import Bank (Afreximbank), reflecting deep and diversified confidence in DPRP’s long-term prospects.
The transaction is believed to be Africa’s largest publicly disclosed primary equity private placement, marking a significant milestone in the history of the organisation and demonstrating strong investor confidence in the refinery’s long-term growth strategy, including raising its current capacity from 700,000 barrels per day to 1.4 million barrels per day.
The capital raise is the first equity funding round involving external investors beyond the company’s legacy shareholder base, underscoring the growing attractiveness of DPRP as a world-class energy and industrial enterprise. The strong investor response further reinforces confidence in the company’s vision and its ability to deliver sustainable value over the long term.
The proceeds from the placement will be deployed to support the continued expansion of the refinery and petrochemical complex, strengthen the company’s capital structure, and enhance financial flexibility to pursue future growth opportunities.
With the successful completion of the placement, DPRP is well-positioned to accelerate its long-term growth strategy while strengthening Africa’s energy security through world-scale refining and petrochemical capacity.
“This transaction represents a strategic step to deepen and further institutionalise the Enterprise’s shareholder base, while raising capital to complement our internal cash flows and external funding as DPRP advances its expansion agenda.
“It also demonstrates our unwavering commitment to developing Africa’s refining and petrochemical capacity, reducing dependence on imported petroleum products and strengthening the continent’s energy security,” the chief executive of Dangote Industries Limited and Chairman of DPRP, Mr Aliko Dangote, stated.
Also, the chief executive of Dangote Petroleum Refinery, Mr David Bird, said the overwhelming investor response validates the company’s operational performance and growth outlook.
“The exceptional demand we witnessed is a testament to our operational excellence, execution capability and the confidence investors have in DPRP’s leadership and future potential,” he remarked.
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
Shareholders of Transcorp Plc should expect their phones to buzz with bank alerts very soon, as the board has proposed the payment of an interim dividend of 40 Kobo per share for the first half of the 2026 fiscal year.
The company announced the cash reward payment to investors in the unaudited financial statements submitted to the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited.
The interim dividend would be paid on Tuesday, July 28, 2026, subject to appropriate withholding tax deduction and to shareholders whose names appear in the Register of Members as of the close of business on Thursday, July 23, 2026.
Analysis of the results showed that the conglomerate delivered a strong revenue and profit performance, with improved margins and ratios notwithstanding challenges in the operating environment.
The performance was driven by the organisation’s disciplined cost management and operational efficiency, underpinned by a resilient business strategy and solid corporate governance ethos.
In the period under review, the power sector was impacted by gas supply constraints, as well as grid-related challenges, which saw a reduction in the overall power supply in the country.
Similarly, the hospitality business continues to innovate and leverage its assets to deliver superior service excellence.
These challenges impacted Transcorp’s earnings, which contracted to N241.5 billion in the first half of this year from N279.0 billion in the corresponding period of 2025, while profit after tax moderated to N54.4 billion from N65.2 billion in H1 2025.
“These results reflect the quality of the underlying business and resilience of the group’s earnings. Despite a lower revenue base arising from sector-wide power infrastructure constraints, we expanded our profit-before-tax margin to 31.4 per cent, from 30.7 per cent in the prior period, a direct result of disciplined cost optimisation and operational efficiency across our businesses.
“Our financial position remains strong, with a robust equity base which grew to N367.8 billion by half-year 2026. Our strength is hinged on the diversified earnings capability from key sectors, including the hospitality business, which grew its profit after tax by 21 per cent. This financial foundation gives us the confidence to protect and grow long-term value for our shareholders as operating conditions normalise,” the Chief Financial Officer of Transcorp, Mr Festus Izevbizua, stated.
Also, the chief executive of the firm, Mr Owen Omogiafo, said, “Despite disruptions to power transmission infrastructure and a challenging macroeconomic environment, Transcorp delivered a strong profit and an even stronger balance sheet, a reflection of our operational discipline and efficiency.
“At Transcorp Group, our operations are driven by our purpose to improve lives and transform Africa. We continue to create impact in the sectors that matter most to Nigeria’s future, and that same conviction continues to guide us through every phase of the cycle.
“Despite the constrained grid infrastructure seen in the first half of the year, we forged ahead, engaging with strategic partners to deliver much-needed power to Nigerians.
“Through our 5,000-capacity, multi-purpose event facility, Transcorp Centre, and our flagship 1,000-key Transcorp Hilton Abuja, we have continued to make the Federal Capital Territory the preferred location for business and leisure.
“Our strategy is clear, our balance sheet is robust, and our confidence in the value we are creating for our shareholders remains firm.”
