Economy
Hunger Persists Despite Strong Global Harvests—FAO
By Modupe Gbadeyanka
According to the new edition of FAO’s Crop Prospects and Food Situation report, global food supply conditions are robust, but access to food has been dramatically reduced in areas suffering civil conflicts, while drought conditions are worsening food security across swathes of East Africa.
Some 37 countries require external assistance for food, 28 of them in Africa as a result of lingering effects of last year’s El Niño-triggered droughts on harvests in 2016.
Yet, while agricultural production is expected to rebound in southern Africa, protracted fighting and unrest is increasing the ranks of the displaced and hungry in other parts of the world.
Famine has been formally declared in South Sudan and the food security situation is of grave concern in northern Nigeria, Somalia and Yemen.
“This is an unprecedented situation. Never before have we been faced with 4 threats of famine in multiple countries simultaneously,” said FAO Assistant Director-General Kostas Stamoulis, head of the Economic and Social Development department. “It demands swift action which should consist of immediate food assistance but also livelihood support to ensure that such situations are not repeated.”
In South Sudan, 100,000 people were facing famine in Leer and Mayendit Counties, part of former Unity State, while there was an “elevated risk” that similar conditions existed in two nearby counties.
Overall, about 4.9 million people across the country were classified as facing crisis, emergency or famine. That number is projected to increase to 5.5 million, or almost half the country’s population, at the peak of the lean season in July.
In northern Nigeria, 8.1 million people are facing acute food insecurity conditions and require urgent life-saving response and livelihood protection. That comes despite the above-average cereal harvest in 2016 and reflects the disruption caused by conflict as well as the sharp depreciation of the Naira.
In Yemen, 17 million people or two-thirds of the population are estimated to be food insecure, while almost half of them are in need of emergency assistance, with the report noting that “the risk of famine declaration in the country is very high.”
In Somalia, the combination of conflict, civil insecurity and drought have resulted in more than double the number of people – now estimated at 2.9 million – being severely food insecure from six months ago. Drought has curtailed fodder for pastoralists and the third consecutive season of poor rainfall is estimated to have reduced crop production in southern and central regions to 70 percent below average levels, leaving food stocks depleted.
Conflicts and civil unrest in Afghanistan, Burundi, Central African Republic, Democratic Republic of Congo, Iraq, Myanmar and Syria are also exacerbating food insecurity conditions for millions of people as well affecting nearby countries hosting refugees. In addition, the drought in East Africa in late 2016 has heightened food insecurity in several countries in the sub-region.
Worldwide trends
Cereal production made quite strong gains in the world overall in 2016, with a record recovery in Central America, and larger cereal crops in Asia, Europe and North America.
Looking ahead, FAO’s first global wheat production forecast for 2017 points to a 1.8 percent decline from last year’s record level, due mostly to a projected 20 percent output drop in the United States of America, where the area sown to winter wheat is the lowest level in over 100 years.
Prospects are favourable for the 2017 maize crop in Brazil and Argentina and the outlook is generally positive for coarse grains throughout the Southern Hemisphere. Prospects for rice are mixed, but it is still too early to make firm predictions for many of the world’s major crops.
Maize harvests in Southern Africa, slashed by El Niño, are forecast to recover this year, with South Africa’s output expected to increase by more than 50 percent from 2016, with positive trends likely in most nearby countries. However, an outbreak of armyworms, along with localized flooding in Mozambique, Zambia and Zimbabwe, could limit larger production gains in 2017.
The 37 countries currently in need of external food assistance are Afghanistan, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cameroon, Central African Republic, Chad, Congo, Democratic People’s Republic of Korea, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Guinea, Haiti, Iraq, Kenya, Lesotho, Liberia, Libya, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Mozambique, Myanmar, Niger, Nigeria, Pakistan, Sierra Leone, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, Swaziland, Syria, Uganda, Yemen and Zimbabwe.
By Adedapo Adesanya
Dangote Petroleum Refinery will not pursue an overseas listing until it has established at least three years of proven production and financial performance, its chief executive, Mr David Bird, has said.
Mr Bird said the decision would allow the refinery to build a stronger operational track record before seeking an international listing that could support a higher valuation.
London has been mentioned as a possible destination for the refinery’s eventual foreign listing, although Mr Bird said the company would focus on its planned Nigerian initial public offering (IPO) in the near term.
The refinery is preparing for an October IPO on the Nigerian Exchange that could become Africa’s largest, with the oil firm seeking to encourage broad participation from Nigerians.
“We really want to drive participation,” Mr Bird told Reuters. “The mandate of the IPO was to be the people’s IPO.”
The refinery has submitted an application to the Securities and Exchange Commission for a potential $5 billion IPO, according to a source cited by the publication, although the final size of the offer has not been determined.
However, Mr Bird declined to comment on the proposed IPO size or the refinery’s valuation.
The company raised $2.5 billion in a private placement in July, a transaction that valued the refinery at about $40 billion. Africa Finance Corporation, which led a group of strategic investors in the deal, said the placement was 3.7 times oversubscribed.
Mr Bird said investor interest in the IPO had been strong during pre-marketing and the private placement, while preparations remained on schedule.
The refinery, owned by Mr Aliko Dangote, is also planning to double its refining capacity to 1.4 million barrels per day within three years, with the expansion expected to be funded partly through the IPO and debt.
The organisation currently supplies most of Nigeria’s gasoline and diesel demand and all of the country’s jet fuel needs.
It is also planning to establish a similar structure in Kenya to serve the East African market.
By Adedapo Adesanya
Airtel Africa Plc is considering listing its mobile payments subsidiary, Airtel Money, in US Dollars when it debuts on the London Stock Exchange (LSE) later this year, in a move that could make it one of the few companies to pursue a Dollar-denominated listing in the UK market.
According to Bloomberg, the group is evaluating whether to price Airtel Money’s shares in US Dollars rather than British Pounds Sterling to align with its reporting currency, citing people familiar with the matter.
The publication also reported that more banks have been invited to work on the deal, including lenders based in Africa and the Middle East.
The business is reportedly targeting a valuation of about $10 billion, which would make it the largest new flotation in London since July 2021, when British fintech Wise was valued at nearly £9 billion in a landmark direct listing.
Earlier this month, Mr Gopal Vittal, executive vice-chair of Bharti Airtel, said the company’s finance business has “achieved meaningful scale”, with quarterly revenue now exceeding $400 million.
He said the business has been growing by 25 per cent annually on a constant-currency basis. The opportunity remains significant, as nearly 65 per cent of adults across Airtel’s African markets still do not have access to formal bank accounts.
Airtel Money has a wide presence in Africa, including Kenya, Nigeria and Tanzania. Unlike in India, where Airtel operates its finance business as a payments bank, Airtel Money in Africa operates independently of the banking system. In Nigeria, Airtel Money operates through its licensed subsidiary known as SmartCash Payment Service Bank Limited
The service allows customers to transfer money through the mobile network, pay bills, and make international payments through virtual cards.
Airtel believes a London listing would give Airtel Money access to a broader base of investors than a listing in India or other places previously considered, including the United Arab Emirates (UAE).
Airtel Africa, which operates in 14 countries and is dual-listed in London and Lagos, is majority-owned by Indian billionaire, Mr Sunil Mittal, through Bharti Enterprises.
The company is also expanding its financial services business in India. In February, it secured a licence from the Reserve Bank of India to operate as a non-banking finance company (NBFC).
The licence allows the business to expand its operations, disburse loans, offer microcredit products and develop other financial solutions. Airtel also has access to digital data from its telecoms business, which it can use to improve its financial products.
Following the NBFC licence, Airtel announced a $2.2 billion (Rs200 billion) capitalisation plan for its finance arm.
A London listing would therefore mark a major step for Airtel Money, transforming it from a small unit within the telecoms business into a separately valued company with room to expand across Africa and India.
The UK is also strategically important to Mr Mittal, who is now the largest shareholder in British Telecom with a 24.95 per cent stake. Airtel Money’s planned listing would give the billionaire a second major footprint in the London market.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The duo of 11 Plc and Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc helped flip the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange from a three-day losing streak to a 0.27 per cent gain on Thursday, August 13.
11 Plc, which used to be known as Mobil Nigeria, garnered N22.28 to close at N245.03 per unit compared with the preceding day’s N222.75 per unit, and CSCS Plc appreciated by N3.76 to N109.76 per share from N106.00 per share.
The gains offset the N10.00 loss recorded by FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc, closing at N160.00 per unit compared with N170.00 per unit it finished at midweek.
When the bourse closed for the day, the market capitalisation increased by N7.31 billion to N2.727 trillion from N2.720 trillion, and the NASD Security Index (NSI) went up by 12.17 points to 4,544.20 points from 4,532.03 points.
Yesterday, the volume of securities exchanged by investors skyrocketed by 1,173.8 per cent to 1.9 million units from 150,340 units, the value of securities jumped by 1,029.5 per cent to N210.8 million from N18.7 million, and the number of deals soared by 6.3 per cent to 34 deals from 32 deals.
Great Nigeria Insurance (GNI) Plc remained the most active stock by value on a year-to-date basis, with 3.4 billion units worth N8.4 billion, followed by Infrastructure Credit Guarantee (Infracredit) Plc with 2.3 billion units valued at N6.5 billion, and CSCS Plc with 79.1 million units exchanged for N5.7 billion.
GNI Plc also closed the day as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis, with 3.4 billion units sold for N8.4 billion, followed by Infracredit Plc with 2.3 billion units transacted for N6.5 billion, and Resourcery Plc with 1.1 billion units traded for N415.7 million.
