Connect with us

Economy

IMF Forecasts 3.2% Growth for Nigeria in 2023

Published

on

IMF GDP growth forecast

By Adedapo Adesanya

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has said Nigeria would witness a 3.2 per cent economic growth in 2023 and 3.0 per cent in 2024, in line with April’s WEO projections, reflecting security issues in the oil sector just as currency depreciation and inflation grip Africa’s largest economy.

This is part of a wider drop as global growth is projected to fall from 3.5 per cent in 2022 to 3.0 per cent in 2023 and 2024.

The global lender disclosed this in its latest World Economic Outlook (WEO) Update Report for July 2023: Near-Term Resilience, Persistent Challenges, which said though the forecast for 2023 was modestly higher than predicted in the April 2023 WEO, it remained weak by historical standards.

“Compared with projections in the April 2023 WEO, growth has been upgraded by 0.2 percentage points for 2023, with no change for 2024.

“The forecast for 2023–24 remains well below the historical (2000–19) annual average of 3.8 per cent.

“It is also below the historical average across broad income groups, in overall Gross Domestic Product (GDP) as well as per capita GDP terms. ”

The report said advanced economies continued to drive the decline in growth from 2022 to 2023, with weaker manufacturing, as well as idiosyncratic factors, offsetting stronger services activity.

“For advanced economies, the growth slowdown projected for 2023 remained significant, from 2.7 per cent in 2022 to 1.5 per cent in 2023.

“About 93 per cent of advanced economies are projected to have lower growth in 2023, and growth in 2024 among this group of economies is projected to remain at 1.4 per cent.”

While the report said in emerging markets and developing economies, the growth outlook was broadly stable for 2023 and 2024, although with notable shifts across regions.

“For emerging market and developing economies, growth is projected to be broadly stable at 4.0 per cent in 2023 and 4.1 per cent in 2024, with modest revisions of 0.1 percentage point for 2023 and –0.1 percentage point for 2024.”

The report showed growth in Sub-Saharan Africa is projected to decline to 3.5 per cent in 2023 before picking up to 4.1 per cent in 2024.

The report said global headline inflation was expected to fall from 8.7 per cent in 2022 to 6.8 per cent in 2023 and 5.2 per cent in 2024.

“Underlying (core) inflation is projected to decline more gradually, and forecasts for inflation in 2024 have been revised upward. ”

It said inflation could remain high and even rise if further shocks occur, including those from an intensification of the war in Ukraine and extreme weather-related events, triggering more restrictive monetary policy.

The report said financial sector turbulence could resume as markets adjust to further policy tightening by central banks.

“China’s recovery could slow, in part as a result of unresolved real estate problems, with negative cross-border spillovers.

“Sovereign debt distress could spread to a wider group of economies.”

It, however, said on the upside inflation could fall faster than expected, reducing the need for tight monetary policy, and domestic demand could again prove more resilient.

The report said in most economies, the policy priorities remained to achieve sustained disinflation while ensuring financial stability.

“Therefore, central banks should remain focused on restoring price stability and strengthening financial supervision and risk monitoring.

“Should market strains materialise, countries should provide liquidity promptly while mitigating the possibility of moral hazard.

“They should also build fiscal buffers, with the composition of fiscal adjustment ensuring targeted support for the most vulnerable.

The report said improvements to the supply side of the economy would facilitate fiscal consolidation and a smoother decline of inflation toward target levels.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

2 Comments

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Economy

Nigeria’s Inflation Slows to 23.71% in April 2025

Published

on

Nigeria's inflation

By Adedapo Adesanya

Strengthens case for MPC to cut or pause interest rates next week

Nigeria’s headline inflation rate eased to 23.71 per cent in April 2025, reflecting a 0.52 percentage point decline from the 24.23 per cent recorded in March.

This was disclosed in the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) Report released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on Thursday.

The report also showed a decline in the food inflation index by 0.53 per cent to 21.26 percent in April from 21.79 per cent in March.

The decrease was attributed to the reduction in the prices of staple food items, including maize (corn) flour, wheat grain, dried okro, yam flour, soya beans, rice, bambara beans, and brown beans.

According to the NBS: “The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose to 119.52 in April 2025, reflecting a 2.18-point increase from the preceding month.”

“On a year-on-year basis, the headline inflation rate was 9.99% lower than the rate recorded in April 2024 (33.69 per cent). This indicates a significant decrease compared to the same month in the preceding year, though with a different base year of November 2009 = 100,” it added.

The report further noted that the food inflation rate on a year-on-year basis stood at 21.26 per cent in April 2025, marking a 19.27 per cent reduction from the 40.53 per cent achieved in April 2024. The NBS attributed this sharp decline to a change in the base year used for calculations.

On a month-on-month basis, food inflation was recorded at 2.06 per cent in April 2025, a slight drop of 0.12 per cent from 2.18 per cent in March 2025.

“The decrease can be attributed to the reduction in the average prices of key food items like Maize Flour, Wheat Grain, Okro Dried, Yam Flour, Soya Beans, Rice, Bambara Beans, and Brown Beans,” the report added.

The development increases the chances of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to cut or pause interest rate at its next Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting on May 20.

The MPC of the apex bank has only four months of data to guide its decision after the NBS overhauled the consumer price index for the first time in 16 years in January and changed the base year to 2024.

Business Post reports that at the last meeting, the CBN paused the key interest rate at 27.50 per cent.

Continue Reading

Economy

Mamuda Group Plans $50m Investment in Ogun, to Employ 3,000

Published

on

Mamuda Beverages

By Modupe Gbadeyanka

A Kano-based company, Mamuda Group Nigeria Limited, is planning to build a factory in Ogun State worth $50 million.

The firm has tentacles in the food, personal care, and agro-processing sectors through its subsidiary, Mamuda Beverages.

Already, the company has acquired an expanse of land for its plant in Ogun State, with the foundation laying scheduled for next month, according to the Governor of Ogun State, Mr Dapo Abiodun, who said this is part of ongo​​ing efforts to make the state a top destination for industrial growth in Nigeria.

“We are pleased that our administration’s commitment to creating a business-friendly environment is attracting major investors,” he stated, noting that, “Our open-door policy and investor support structures continue to set us apart.”

Business Post learned that Mamuda Group chose the South-West state for its new factory because of its strategic location, bordering Lagos and connecting to Ibadan and Benin, making it ideal for regional distribution and production.

The organization currently employs over 13,000 people across sectors such as leather exports, agro-sack production, confectionery, soft drinks, and personal care.

With this new development in Ogun State, the company plans to begin with 1,500 employees, growing to 3,000 as operations expand, aligning with the state government’s goal of creating quality jobs and strengthening the state’s manufacturing base.

Governor Abiodun said to further support growth, his administration has developed key infrastructure like Nigeria’s best-equipped airport and a licensed dry port linked to the rail line.

According to him, these facilities will streamline importation and logistics, cutting delays and costs, noting that with tools like the Business Environment Council, the state government is not only attracting investment, but building lasting confidence in Ogun State’s economic future.

Continue Reading

Economy

Moniepoint, PalmPay, Four Others Make Financial Times High Growth List

Published

on

MoniePoint

By Adedapo Adesanya

Six Nigerian startups have been recognised on the Financial Times’ 2024 ranking of Africa’s Fastest-Growing Companies, which features 130 high-growth firms across the African continent.

The companies are Moniepoint, OmniRetail, PalmPay, Termii, Remedial Health, and Paga.

The annual ranking published by the newspaper, produced in partnership with research company, Statista, identifies African companies with the most rapid revenue growth between 2020 and 2023.

The list benchmarks companies by compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in revenues, while also considering headcount expansion and operational resilience amid inflation, currency fluctuations, and economic headwinds across the continent.

This is a welcome development compared to 2023 when five startups namely Omniretail, Moniepoint, Thrive Agric Limited, Paga, and Zone were named on the 100-company list.

While Thrive Agric and Zone didn’t make the list; PalmPay, Termii, and Remedial Health have ascended.

This ranking serves as a boost to investors that these companies are on the right part and could help in fundraising and access to new markets.

This also comes at a period where startups on the continent are facing declining funding compounded by global uncertainties including inflation and recession fears.

This silver lining may yet serve as a catalyst to reverse the trend and make Nigeria yet again see boon when it comes to venture funding.

Business Post reports that Nigeria raised $100 million (24 per cent) out of the $460 million through deals of $100K or more (excluding exits) in Africa in the first quarter of 2025, a figure that reflects a 5 per cent dip from Q1 2024’s $486 million.

About the Companies

Moniepoint

The startup formerly known as TeamApt has had a standout year. Moniepoint recently hit unicorn status after raising $110 million from Google, VISA, and other global investors. Now operating as Moniepoint Inc., the company has grown from a B2B payments platform to a full-fledged business bank, with services spanning merchant terminals, working capital, and payroll solutions.

PalmPay

Launched in 2019 with backing from China’s Transsion Holdings, PalmPay has become a household name in Nigeria’s consumer payments space. With over 30 million registered users and aggressive offline and digital campaigns, PalmPay’s mobile wallet and bill payment services have seen exponential growth. Earlier this year, the company expanded into Ghana and introduced new features, including insurance products and virtual cards.

Paga

A pioneer in Nigeria’s fintech scene, Paga was founded in 2009 to digitize cash and simplify payments. The company has since evolved into a group structure with three core businesses: Paga Consumer, Doroki (its SME-focused platform), and PagaTech (infrastructure and APIs). It now boasts over 21 million users, a vast agent network, and integration partnerships with major banks and telcos. Paga has also expanded internationally with licenses in Ethiopia and a growing footprint across the continent.

OmniRetail

OmniRetail is a B2B e-commerce platform that enables retailers to order fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) from manufacturers and distributors via mobile apps, with optimised logistics and embedded financing. The company, which currently operates across Nigeria, Ghana, and Ivory Coast, closed a $20 million Series A round in April 2025. The startup digitises order management for 145 manufacturers, more than 5,800 distributors, and services over 150,000 informal retailers across its operational markets.

Termii

Launched in 2017 by Emmanuel Gbolade, Ayomide Awe, and Atinuke Idowu, Termii provides communication infrastructure that helps African businesses engage and retain customers via multi-channel messaging, including SMS, voice, and email APIs. The Y Combinator-backed startup has become a critical enabler of real-time notifications and two-factor authentication across fintech, healthtech, and logistics platforms. In late 2023, Termii launched TermiiGo, a programmable voice and call masking solution that expands its suite of developer tools. The company has also seen increasing adoption among financial institutions and large consumer-facing startups across West Africa.

Remedial Health

Founded in 2021 by Samuel Okwuada and Victor Benjamin. Remedial Health is a healthtech and supply chain startup digitising the pharmaceutical distribution system in Nigeria. It provides pharmacies and patent medicine vendors with access to authentic, affordable medicines directly from manufacturers, using a mobile-first inventory and procurement platform.

In March 2024, Remedial Health raised $12 million in Series A funding led by QED Investors and Ventures Platform, marking QED’s first healthtech investment in Africa. The company has scaled rapidly by streamlining operations for over 5,000 pharmacies and hospitals across the country.

Continue Reading

Trending

https://businesspost.ng/DUIp2Az43VRhqKxaI0p7hxIKiEDGcGdois8KSOLd.html