Inflation in Nigeria Escalates to 12.82% in July

By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigeria’s inflation hit a 27-month high of 12.82 per cent in July, 0.26 per cent higher than the 12.56 per cent recorded in June 2020.

This is the highest rate recorded since March 2018 when headline inflation was 13.34 per cent and it marked the 11th consecutive month of escalation as a weakened currency and continued border closures drove up food prices.

According to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) in its Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for July 2020 released on Monday, the composite food index rose to 15.48 per cent from 15.18 per cent in the previous month.

This rise in the food index was caused by increases in prices of bread and cereals, potatoes, yam and other tubers. It was affected by rises in the price of meat, fruits, oils and fats, and fish.

On a month-on-month basis, the food sub-index increased by 1.52 per cent in July 2020, up by 0.04 per cent points from 1.48 per cent recorded in June 2020.

The average annual rate of change of the food sub-index for the 12-month period ending July 2020 over the previous 12-month average was 14.63 per cent, 0.17 per cent points from the average annual rate of change recorded in June 2020 at 14.46 per cent.

Meanwhile, core inflation, which excludes the prices of volatile agricultural produce, stood at 10.1 per cent in July 2020 compared to 10.13 per cent recorded in June 2020.

Increases were recorded in all the Classification of Individual Consumption According to Purpose (COICOP) divisions that yielded the headline index which increased by 1.25 per cent in July 2020. This is 0.04 per cent rate higher than the rate recorded in June 2020, 1.21 per cent.

According to the report, the percentage change in the average composite CPI for the 12 months period ending July 2020 over the average of the CPI for the previous 12 months period was 12.05 per cent, representing a 0.15 per cent point increase from 11.90 per cent recorded in June 2020.

The urban inflation rate increased by 13.40 per cent (year-on-year) in July 2020 from 13.18 per cent recorded in the previous month, while the rural inflation rate increased by 12.28 per cent in July 2020 from 11.99 per cent in June 2020.

On a month-on-month basis, the urban index rose by 1.27 per cent in July 2020, up by 0.04 from 1.23 per cent recorded in June 2020, while the rural index also rose by 1.23 per cent in July 2020, up by 0.04 from the rate recorded in June 2020, 1.19 per cent.

The corresponding 12-month year-on-year average percentage change for the urban index was 12.66 per cent in July 2020. This is higher than 12.50 per cent reported in June 2020, while the corresponding rural inflation rate in July 2020 is 11.49 per cent compared to 11.36 per cent recorded in June 2020.