Economy
Inflationary Pressures Hamper Business Operations as PMI Remains Under 50 Points
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The Stanbic IBTC Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) has shown that the manufacturing sector in Nigeria has remained depressed below the 50-point mark for November 2024, though there is an improvement.
In its latest reading, it was disclosed that it was at 49.6 points compared with 46.9 points in October 2024, attributing this to inflationary pressures.
Business Post reports that readings above 50.0 signal an improvement in business conditions in the previous month, while readings below 50.0 show deterioration.
It was revealed that business operations in the Nigerian private sector have been hampered as employment was down and companies continued to lower their purchasing amid steep price pressures.
The firm stated that the less pronounced deterioration in business conditions in part reflected a renewed expansion in new orders, which rose slightly following a solid fall in October.
Although there were some tentative signs of demand improving, companies reported that customers were often deterred by high prices. The inflationary environment and muted demand conditions meant that business activity continued to fall, the fifth month running in which that has been the case.
The Head of Equity Research West Africa at Stanbic IBTC Bank, Mr Muyiwa Oni, said, “The Nigerian private sector activities deteriorated further in November, albeit at a less pronounced rate relative to October.
“This less pronounced deterioration was primarily due to the return to growth of new orders in November, after having decreased solidly in October. Notably, new orders have now risen in three of the past four months, although the latest expansion was only modest.
“Some panellists saw signs of demand picking up, but others reported that high costs again acted to deter customers. Elsewhere, higher energy prices, increases in the cost of raw materials, and lingering currency weakness continue to lead to intensification of price pressures in November.
“Thus, input prices increased at a substantial rate again during November, with the pace of inflation only slightly lower than that seen in October and remaining one of the sharpest on record. In Q3:24, the Nigerian economy grew by 3.46% y/y relative to 3.19% y/y growth in Q2:24. Notably, the non-oil sector grew by 3.37% y/y in Q3:24 from 2.80% y/y in Q2:24, albeit with uneven performance across the sub-sectors that make up the non-oil sector. ICT, finance & insurance, trade, road transport, and agriculture were the key growth drivers of the non-oil sector in the review period.
“Nonetheless, there appears to be a disconnect between the composite PMI and non-oil GDP growth in recent quarters, with this disconnect more pronounced in Q3:24 when the PMI for the quarter weakened to 49.6 points – a sign of deterioration in business conditions – while non-oil GDP growth was strong in the review period.
“Historically, the non-oil GDP growth is mildly negative whenever the composite PMI is below the 50-point no-change mark. We expect the economy to maintain the Q3:24 growth momentum in Q4:24, supported by a festive-induced increase in economic activity and sustained improvement in crude oil production.
“Indeed, based on the November PMI survey results, companies reported some tentative signs of demand improving although some customers were deterred by high prices. On balance, we estimate the economy to grow by 3.24% y/y in real terms in Q4:24 and adjust our 2024 growth estimate upward to 3.2% (previously: 3.1%).
“The latest reduction was only marginal, however. Sector data pointed to increases in output in agriculture and manufacturing but decreases in wholesale & retail and services. Purchase costs rose rapidly again in November amid currency weakness and higher prices for fuel and raw materials. Although slowing slightly for the second month running, the pace of inflation remained elevated. Staff costs were also up as companies helped their workers with higher living and transportation costs,” he said.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The federal government has begun the process of repaying the N4 trillion debt owed to Power Generation Companies (GenCos) with the launch of a N590 billion first-tranche bond issuance.
The initial tranche, part of the wider N4 trillion Nigerian Bulk Electricity Trading (NBET) Finance Company Plc Bond Programme, comprises N300 billion in cash bonds to be issued to the market and N290 billion in non-cash bonds to be directly allotted to GenCos on identical terms.
The bond term sheet revealed that the Series 1 bond will be issued between November and December 2025 with CardinalStone Partners Limited serving as the lead issuing house and financial adviser.
The seven-year bond has a coupon range of 16.25 per cent to 16.75 per cent and carries a full sovereign guarantee and will be listed on both the Nigerian Exchange Limited and FMDQ Securities Exchange, making it eligible for investment by pension fund administrators, banks, asset managers, insurers and high-net-worth investors.
According to the term sheet, “Series 1 Tranche A involves N300bn issued to the market for cash, while N290bn under Tranche B is allotted to the GenCos on identical terms. The bond will be issued between November and December, with a seven-year tenor on a fixed-rate coupon, redeemed on an amortising basis and paid semi-annually in arrears.”
The bond issuance marks a major step by President Bola Tinubu’s administration to resolve what experts describe as one of the most crippling financial crises in Nigeria’s power sector. The Series 1 bond carries a seven-year tenor, a fixed coupon rate, and semi-annual interest payments, and will be amortised over its lifespan.
The issuer also retains the discretion to absorb oversubscription of up to N1.23tn, creating room for additional non-cash bond allocations to GenCos if required.
The term sheet added, “Pricing will be based on the yield of the seven-year FGN bond plus a spread, and the issuance will be conducted through a book-build process. The minimum subscription is N5m, representing 5,000 units at N1,000 each, with additional subscriptions in multiples of N1,000.
“Proceeds from the issuance will be used to settle outstanding liabilities owed to GenCos. The instrument is guaranteed by the full faith and credit of the Federal Government, enjoys CBN liquidity status, meets PenCom compliance requirements, qualifies under the Trustee Investment Act, and will be listed on both the Nigerian Exchange Limited and the FMDQ OTC Securities Exchange.”
It further noted that “oversubscription may be absorbed at the discretion of the issuer up to a maximum of N1,230,000,000,000 approved for Phase 1 of this transaction. The issuer reserves the right to increase the size of the non-cash bonds to be issued to the GenCos under any Series or accommodate additional allotments as may be required.”
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited and Heirs Energies have signed a deal to capture and use the gas flared at their onshore OML 17 joint venture in a bid to monetize the resource and reduce flaring.
The state oil company and Heirs Energies have signed the Gas Flare Commercialisation Agreements under the Nigerian Gas Flare Commercialisation Programme (NGFCP), a deal that will see both entities capture the gas flared across OML 17 and deploy it for use in power generation, industrial applications, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), and compressed natural gas (CNG).
The agreements bring together Heirs Energies, as operator of the OML 17 Joint Venture, and approved flare gas offtakers – AUT Gas, Twems Energies, Gas & Power Infrastructure Development Limited (GPID), PCCD and Africa Gas & Transport Company Limited (AGTC) – under frameworks designed to eliminate routine flaring while converting previously wasted resources into economic value. The move is aligned with Nigeria’s gas development priorities and energy transition goals, Heirs Energies said in a statement.
Gas flaring has been a major issue at Nigeria’s oilfields where it is wasted instead of used for many industrial purposes, and holds back the country’s targets to reduce emissions.
Last year, World Bank data showed that Nigeria saw flaring volumes jump by 12 per cent, the second largest increase globally behind Iran.
Flaring at oil and gas facilities operated by the national oil company and several smaller companies, likely with limited expertise or funding for gas utilization, accounted for 60 per cent of Nigeria’s gas flaring and 75 per cent of the increase in 2024, the report found.
Commenting on the deal to monetize gas at OML 17, Heirs Energies CEO, Mr Osa Igiehon said that “Through disciplined investment, partnership with regulators and credible offtakers, and a clear execution focus, we are converting waste into value, strengthening domestic energy supply and supporting responsible operations across OML 17.”
On his part, the Chief Upstream Investment Officer of NNPC Upstream Investment Management Services (NUIMS), Mr Seyi Omotowa, representing NNPC Limited, described the milestone as a practical demonstration of Nigeria’s commitment to gas-based development.
“Flare gas commercialisation is not a compliance exercise; it is a strategic pathway to improving energy availability, deepening gas-based industrialisation and strengthening Nigeria’s position as a responsible energy producer. OML 17 has become a practical model of this vision, moving decisively from approval to delivery.”
He commended Heirs Energies for disciplined execution and investment, noting that the JV continues to set benchmarks for operational delivery and gas development within Nigeria’s upstream sector.
By Adedapo Adesanya
Data sourced from the latest Fact Sheet released by the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) has revealed that daily petrol consumption in Nigeria dropped by 6.8 per cent to an average of 52.9 million litres in November 2025.
The November figure marked a decline from the 56.74 million litres per day recorded in October 2025.
Of the total petrol consumed last month, 19.5 million litres per day were supplied by local refineries, higher than the 17.08 million litres per day recorded a month earlier.
A major driver of this increase was the Dangote Refinery, supplying an average of 23.52 million litres per day, up from 18.03 million litres daily in the previous month.
The Fact Sheet showed that imports accounted for 52.1 million litres per day of total consumption, showing an increase from 27.6 million litres per day in October.
The NMDPRA described Dangote’s current output as a significant milestone in reducing Nigeria’s reliance on imported fuel.
In contrast, the NNPC-operated Port Harcourt, Warri, and Kaduna refineries recorded zero petrol output during the period, and all three facilities remained in various states of rehabilitation or shutdown.
According to the regulator, the surge in imports was triggered by low supply levels in September and October 2025, which fell short of national demand, the need to shore up national stock ahead of end-of-year peak consumption, NNPC’s importation efforts to rebuild inventory and ensure supply security, and delayed offloading of 12 vessels initially scheduled for October but discharged in November.
October 2025 recorded the highest consumption within the one-year review period, followed by November 2024 (56 million litres) and April 2025 (55.2 million litres), the report noted.
The data showed that Nigerians also consumed an average of 15.4 million litres/day of diesel daily in November, alongside 2.5 million litres/day of aviation fuel and 3,992 million litres/day of cooking gas.
-
Feature/OPED6 years agoDavos was Different this year
-
Travel/Tourism9 years ago
Lagos Seals Western Lodge Hotel In Ikorodu
-
Showbiz3 years agoEstranged Lover Releases Videos of Empress Njamah Bathing
-
Banking7 years agoSort Codes of GTBank Branches in Nigeria
-
Economy3 years agoSubsidy Removal: CNG at N130 Per Litre Cheaper Than Petrol—IPMAN
-
Banking3 years agoFirst Bank Announces Planned Downtime
-
Banking3 years agoSort Codes of UBA Branches in Nigeria
-
Sports3 years agoHighest Paid Nigerian Footballer – How Much Do Nigerian Footballers Earn