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Economy

Inflows from FPIs, Rise in Oil Prices to Fortify Naira

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naira depreciate

By Modupe Gbadeyanka

The Nigerian Naira is anticipated to gain against the American Dollar this week on the back of renewed interest by foreign portfolio investors in local financial assets, analysts at Cowry Asset have said.

Also, analysts at Business Post say the local currency is expected to appreciate against the Dollar across the foreign exchange segments in the country as a result of rise in the prices of crude oil on the global market this week.

Last week, Yemen’s Iran-allied Houthi rebels claimed responsibility for the blowing up of Aramco oil facilities in eastern Saudi Arabia with a drone.

This is anticipated to cut down 5.7 million barrels per day (bpd) of total Saudi oil output, over five percent of global crude supply, a deficit which will take weeks to remedy and is likely to drive up international oil prices.

Business Post reports that as at the time of filing this report, the Brent was trading above $65 per barrel, above the $60 benchmark Nigeria set for its 2019 fiscal year.

With the price projected to hit $70 to $80 before the damage is rectified, Nigeria would earn more, which would bolster the local currency across the segments.

Last week, the domestic currency appreciated against the Dollar at most forex segments.

At the Investors and Exporters (I&E) and the Bureau De Change (BDCs) market windows, the Naira improved by 0.01 percent and 0.28 percent respectively to close at N362.04/$ and N357.00/$ respectively.

Similarly, the Naira gained against the US Dollar to close at N358.02/$ at the interbank segment amid weekly injections of $210 million by Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) into the FX market via the Secondary Market Intervention Sales (SMIS).

At the supply, $100 million was allocated to Wholesale SMIS, $55 million was allocated to Small and Medium Scale Enterprises and another $55 million was sold for invisibles.

However, at the parallel (black) market, the local currency remained unchanged against the Dollar at N360.00/$.

Meanwhile, the Naira/Dollar exchange rate fell (i.e. Naira appreciated) for most of the foreign exchange forward contracts – 1 month, 2 months, 3 months, 6 months and 12 months rates fell by 0.06 percent, 0.09 percent, 0.10 percent, 0.37 percent and 0.09 percent to close at N365.33/$, N368.70/$, N372.24/$, N383.02/$ and N411.55/$ respectively. But spot rate was flat at N306.90/$.

Modupe Gbadeyanka is a fast-rising journalist with Business Post Nigeria. Her passion for journalism is amazing. She is willing to learn more with a view to becoming one of the best pen-pushers in Nigeria. Her role models are the duo of CNN's Richard Quest and Christiane Amanpour.

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Economy

Rising Food Prices Not Good for Nigeria’s Inflation Gains—CPPE

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Prices of Food

By Adedapo Adesanya

Despite signs that Nigeria’s headline inflation is easing, rising food prices continue to threaten the country’s inflation outlook, the chief executive of the Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise (CPPE), Mr Muda Yusuf, has warned.

He noted that structural inflationary pressures in the real economy remain pronounced despite improving macroeconomic stability.

In a policy brief released following the inflation report, he noted that headline inflation eased marginally, while month-on-month change moderated from 1.75 per cent to 1.66 per cent, indicating that headline inflation has largely plateaued.

According to him, the dominant concern in the latest inflation report is the renewed acceleration in food inflation.

This growth, he said, suggested that food prices have resumed an upward trajectory after a brief period of moderation.

Warning that a renewed increase in food inflation has significant economic and social implications, he stressed that food inflation remained the biggest driver of Nigeria’s cost-of-living crisis, stressing that rising food prices continue to erode household purchasing power, worsen poverty and food insecurity while weakening the inclusiveness of the current reform programme.

He maintained that sustained moderation in food prices is critical to improving citizens’ welfare and strengthening public confidence in the ongoing economic reforms.

Acknowledging the easing of core inflation as encouraging, he drew attention to the persistence of urban inflation.

At 16.08 per cent, urban inflation exceeded the national headline inflation rate of 15.91 per cent, while month-on-month urban inflation increased from 1.99 per cent to 2.13 per cent.

According to Mr Yusuf, the figures indicated that inflationary pressures remained particularly intense across urban centres.

He attributed the rising urban inflation partly to increasing population displacement from rural communities affected by insecurity, expressing worry that as more households migrate to urban areas, demand for housing, transportation, utilities and other essential services would increase, adding to inflationary pressures and creating additional urbanisation challenges.

Addressing insecurity in farming communities, he said, was important not only for protecting lives and property and boosting agricultural output but also for easing cost pressures in urban centres, adding that the June CPI data reinforced the view that Nigeria’s inflation challenge is predominantly structural rather than monetary.

On the monetary policy outlook, he said the data do not justify further monetary tightening, arguing that headline inflation has largely stabilised.

The CPPE chief expected the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) to retain the current monetary policy rate at its next meeting, adding that the priority is for monetary and fiscal authorities to work together to accelerate structural reforms to expand food supply, improve logistics, reduce energy and production costs, lower debt service costs, as well as strengthen domestic value chains.

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Economy

Sterling Holdings Lists New Shares Worth N96.7bn on Stock Exchange

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Sterling Holdings

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

Additional shares of Sterling Financial Holdings Company Plc have been listed on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited.

The new equities were added to the company’s existing stocks on Customs Street on Thursday, July 16, 2026, a notice from the bourse confirmed.

Business Post reports the total new ordinary shares of Sterling Holdings listed yesterday were 13,812,239,000 units.

They were from the offer for subscription of 12,581,000,000 ordinary shares of 50 Kobo each sold for N7.00 per share, which was oversubscribed by investors.

The financial institution brought the new shares to the stock exchange to increase its total issued and fully paid-up shares to 65,929,251,414 ordinary shares of 50 Kobo each from 52,117,012,414 ordinary shares of 50 Kobo each.

“Trading licence holders are hereby notified that an additional 13,812,239,000 ordinary shares of 50 Kobo each of Sterling Financial Holdings Company Plc were on Thursday, July 16, 2026, listed on the daily official list of Nigerian Exchange Limited.

“The additional shares listed on NGX arose from the company’s offer for subscription of 12,581,000,000 ordinary shares of 50 Kobo each at N7.00 per share.

“With the listing of the additional shares, the total issued and fully paid-up shares of Sterling Financial Holdings Company Plc have now increased from 52,117,012,414 to 65,929,251,414 ordinary shares of 50 Kobo each,” the notice read.

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Economy

Nigeria Launches Unified Virtual Asset Regulatory Framework

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Tinubu 2026 budget

By Adedapo Adesanya

President Bola Tinubu has signed a Presidential Executive Order on Virtual Assets Coordination, establishing a new framework to coordinate the regulation of virtual assets across government agencies as Nigeria seeks to curb fraud while supporting innovation in the digital economy.

The Executive Order, which takes immediate effect, creates a Virtual Asset Council chaired by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to harmonise oversight of cryptocurrencies, tokenised assets, stablecoins, and other digital assets without creating a new regulator.

As part of the new framework, the CBN will establish a regulatory sandbox that will allow eligible firms to test virtual asset products, blockchain solutions, and related services under regulatory supervision before they are introduced to the wider market.

The development was disclosed in a statement issued on Friday by the President’s Special Adviser on Information and Strategy, Mr Bayo Onanuga.

According to the presidency, the Executive Order responds to the growing complexity of virtual assets, which increasingly cut across the traditional boundaries of currencies, securities, commodities, and payment systems.

The fragmented regulatory environment has left gaps that have exposed Nigeria to money laundering, terrorism financing, cybersecurity and data privacy risks, fraud, and revenue losses.

The government said some unregistered operators have exploited these regulatory gaps to defraud unsuspecting Nigerians, resulting in significant financial losses.

“The Order is designed to close these gaps through supervisory coordination, without introducing new layers of regulation or displacing the mandates of existing agencies,” the statement read.

Under the new framework, the Virtual Asset Council will be chaired by the CBN, with the Nigeria Revenue Service (NRS) and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) serving as vice chairs. Other members include the Nigerian Financial Intelligence Unit (NFIU) and the Office of the National Security Adviser (ONSA).

The Council will provide policy direction, improve cooperation among participating agencies, and work with the Attorney General of the Federation to develop a harmonised legal and institutional framework for the sector.

The Executive Order also establishes a Virtual Asset Office, which will serve as the Council’s operational arm. The office will be domiciled at the CBN and will coordinate information sharing, applications, and reporting among the participating agencies through a shared supervisory technology platform.

The presidency stressed that the Executive Order does not create a new regulator or transfer statutory powers from existing agencies, clarifying that instead, each institution will continue to exercise its existing mandate while working within a coordinated framework.

Under the arrangement, registration of virtual asset businesses will depend on the nature of the service being offered.

Activities classified as securities will continue to be regulated by the SEC, while payment, settlement, custody, and other services involving non-security virtual assets will fall under the CBN.

Where there is uncertainty over regulatory jurisdiction, the Virtual Asset Council will determine the appropriate supervising agency.

“The sandbox will provide a controlled environment in which eligible operators can test and operate virtual asset products, services, and blockchain-based solutions under close supervision, enabling the participating agencies to assess the implications for monetary sovereignty, financial stability, market integrity, consumer protection, financial inclusion, and revenue administration before products reach the wider market,” the statement added.

According to the presidency, the sandbox will enable regulators to evaluate the implications of emerging products for financial stability, monetary sovereignty, consumer protection, financial inclusion, market integrity, and revenue administration.

The central bank is expected to announce further details of the sandbox.

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