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Investors Mop Up Cheap Stocks Ahead of Santa Claus Rally

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Santa Claus rally

By Dipo Olowookere

Some investors at the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited have started to buy some stocks currently selling at lower prices but with good fundamentals ahead of the Santa Claus rally.

Last week, the exchange witnessed an uptick in the market turnover as traders transacted 839.978 million shares worth N12.418 billion in 16,183 deals compared with the 711.618 million shares worth N15.338 billion transacted in 16,662 deals a week earlier.

Three equities, Regency Assurance, FBN Holdings and FCMB, were the most active in the week, which had five trading sessions. They accounted for 256.521 million stocks valued at N1.237 billion in 1,042 deals, contributing 30.54 per cent and 9.96 per cent to the total trading volume and value, respectively.

By sector, the financial services was the busiest as it led the activity chart with 616.627 million equities valued at N4.305 billion in 7,609 deals, contributing 73.41 per cent and 34.67 per cent to the total trading volume and value, respectively.

The conglomerates space followed with 78.470 million shares worth N260.581 million in 575 deals, while the ICT counter recorded the sale of 46.619 million stocks worth N5.717 billion in 1,222 deals.

The performance of the bourse was bullish in the week as the All-Share Index (ASI) and the market capitalisation increased by 1.26 per cent to 48,154.65 points and N26.229 trillion, respectively.

Similarly, all other indices finished higher except the consumer goods, industrial goods and growth indices, which fell by 0.61 per cent, 1.20 per cent and 0.07 per cent apiece, while the ASeM and sovereign bond indices closed flat.

A total of 37 stocks were on the gainers’ chart last week compared with 49 stocks in the previous week, while 25 equities were on the opposite end compared with the 19 equities on the log a week earlier, with 95 shares closing flat compared with 89 shares in the prior week.

Thomas Wyatt posted the highest week-on-week growth, 22.22 per cent, to sell at 44 Kobo. PZ Cussons grew by 14.74 per cent to N10.90, NPF Microfinance Bank appreciated by 14.00 per cent to N1.71, Wema Bank jumped by 11.73 per cent to N3.43, and UAC Nigeria gained 10.53 per cent to trade at N10.50.

However, Beta Glass recorded the sharpest cut of 9.90 per cent to close at N39.60, SCOA Nigeria depreciated by 9.40 per cent to N1.06, Red Star Express fell by 9.25 per cent to N2.06, Nigerian Breweries crashed by 8.07 per cent to N45.00, and Honeywell Flour tumbled by 7.46 per cent to N2.11.

Dipo Olowookere is a journalist based in Nigeria that has passion for reporting business news stories. At his leisure time, he watches football and supports 3SC of Ibadan. Mr Olowookere can be reached via [email protected]

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Economy

Again, OPEC Cuts 2024, 2025 Oil Demand Forecasts

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OPEC output cut

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has once again trimmed its 2024 and 2025 oil demand growth forecasts.

The bloc made this in its latest monthly oil market report for December 2024.

The 2024 world oil demand growth forecast is now put at 1.61 million barrels per day from the previous 1.82 million barrels per day.

For 2025, OPEC says the world oil demand growth forecast is now at 1.45 million barrels per day, which is 900,000 barrels per day lower than the 1.54 million barrels per day earlier quoted.

On the changes, the group said that the downgrade for this year owes to more bearish data received in the third quarter of 2024 while the projections for next year relate to the potential impact that will arise from US tariffs.

The oil cartel had kept the 2024 outlook unchanged until August, a view it had first taken in July 2023.

OPEC and its wider group of allies known as OPEC+ earlier this month delayed its plan to start raising output until April 2025 against a backdrop of falling prices.

Eight OPEC+ member countries – Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, and Oman – decided to extend additional crude oil production cuts adopted in April 2023 and November 2023, due to weak demand and booming production outside the group.

In April 2023, these OPEC+ countries decided to reduce their oil production by over 1.65 million barrels per day as of May 2023 until the end of 2023. These production cuts were later extended to the end of 2024 and will now be extended until the end of December 2026.

In addition, in November 2023, these producers had agreed to voluntary output cuts totalling about 2.2 million barrels per day for the first quarter of 2024, in order to support prices and stabilise the market.

These additional production cuts were extended to the end of 2024 and will now be extended to the end of March 2025; they will then be gradually phased out on a monthly basis until the end of September 2026.

Members have made a series of deep output cuts since late 2022.

They are currently cutting output by a total of 5.86 million barrels per day, or about 5.7 per cent of global demand. Russia also announced plans to reduce its production by an extra 471,000 barrels per day in June 2024.

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Economy

Aradel Holdings Acquires Equity Stake in Chappal Energies

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Aradel Holdings

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

A minority equity stake in Chappal Energies Mauritius Limited has been acquired by a Nigerian energy firm, Aradel Holdings Plc.

This deal came a few days after Chappal Energies purchased a 53.85 per cent equity stake in Equinor Nigeria Energy Company Limited (ENEC).

Chappal Energies went into the deal with Equinor to take part in the oil and gas lease OML 128, including the unitised 20.21 per cent stake in the Agbami oil field, operated by Chevron.

Since production started in 2008, the Agbami field has produced more than one billion barrels of oil, creating value for Nigerian society and various stakeholders.

As part of the deal, Chappal will assume the operatorship of OML 129, which includes several significant prospects and undeveloped discoveries (Nnwa, Bilah and Sehki).

The Nnwa discovery is part of the giant Nnwa-Doro field, a major gas resource with significant potential to deliver value for Nigeria.

In a separate transaction, on July 17, 2024, Chappal and Total Energies sealed an SPA for the acquisition by Chappal of 10 per cent of the SPDC JV.

The relevant parties to this transaction are working towards closing out this transaction and Ministerial Approval and NNPC consent to accede to the Joint Operating Agreement have been obtained.

“This acquisition is in line with diversifying our asset base, deepening our gas competencies and gaining access to offshore basins using low-risk approaches.

“We recognise the strategic role of gas in Nigeria’s energy future and are happy to expand our equity holding in this critical resource.

“We are committed to the cause of developing the significant value inherent in the assets, which will be extremely beneficial to the country.

“Aradel hopes to bring its proven execution competencies to bear in supporting Chappal’s development of these opportunities,” the chief executive of Aradel Holdings, Mr Adegbite Falade, stated.

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Economy

Afriland Properties Lifts NASD OTC Securities Exchange by 0.04%

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Afriland Properties

By Adedapo Adesanya

Afriland Properties Plc helped the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange record a 0.04 per cent gain on Tuesday, December 10 as the share price of the property investment rose by 34 Kobo to N16.94 per unit from the preceding day’s N16.60 per unit.

As a result of this, the market capitalisation of the bourse went up by N380 million to remain relatively unchanged at N1.056 trillion like the previous trading day.

But the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) closed higher at 3,014.36 points after it recorded an addition of 1.09 points to Monday’s closing value of 3,013.27 points.

The NASD OTC securities exchange recorded a price loser and it was Geo-Fluids Plc, which went down by 2 Kobo to close at N3.93 per share, in contrast to the preceding day’s N3.95 per share.

During the trading session, the volume of securities bought and sold by investors increased by 95.8 per cent to 2.4 million units from the 1.2 million securities traded in the preceding session.

However, the value of shares traded yesterday slumped by 3.7 per cent to N4.9 million from the N5.07 million recorded a day earlier, as the number of deals surged by 27.3 per cent to 14 deals from 11 deals.

Geo-Fluids Plc remained the most active stock by volume (year-to-date) with 1.7 billion units sold for N3.9 billion, trailed by Okitipupa Plc with 752.2 million units valued at N7.8 billion, and Afriland Properties Plc with 297.5 million units worth N5.3 million.

Also, Aradel Holdings Plc remained the most active stock by value (year-to-date) with 108.7 million units worth N89.2 billion, followed by Okitipupa Plc with 752.2 million units valued at N7.8 billion, and Afriland Properties Plc with 297.5 million units sold for N5.3 billion.

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