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JUST IN: Apprehension as Naira Slumps to N940/$1 at P2P

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Naira at P2P Market

By Adedapo Adesanya

The free-fall in the value of the Naira compared with the United States Dollar continued on Thursday morning in the Peer-to-Peer (P2P) window of the foreign exchange (FX) market.

According to feelers received by Business Post, the low supply of forex in the official channel, the Investors and Exporters (I&E) segment of the market, has forced those in need of FX to look at the alternative markets, the P2P and the parallel market, for their forex needs.

This is already putting pressure on the Naira, as FX traders in those spaces are taking advantage of the demand pressure to hike the price, further widening the premium in the Naira value in the official and other rates, which the government had earlier wanted to bridge.

Business Post gathered on Thursday morning that the local currency was traded at N940/$1 at the peer-to-peer compared with the N927/$1 it was sold on Wednesday, indicating that it has lost N13 against the US Dollar in less than 24 hours.

Also, at the black market this morning, the Naira lost N5 against the greenback to sell at N920/$1 compared with the N915/$1 it was transacted yesterday.

At the market on Wednesday, the domestic currency depreciated against its American counterpart by N24.87 or 3.28 per cent to sell at N782.38/$1 compared with the preceding day’s value of N757.51/$1,

In June, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) liberalised the FX market and put control in the hands of market forces. This saw the official rate plunge 40 per cent, briefly aligning with the black market.

“All transactions will now be done through the Investors and Exporters (I&E) window, where the exchange rate will be determined by market forces. Applications for medicals, school fees, BTA/PTA, and SMEs would continue to be processed through deposit money banks,” the bank said in a statement.

Even as the restrictions were lifted, markets needed to digest a heavy backlog of unmet requests, which further strained the currency.

Also, the CBN continues to tighten its control on a list of banned items; experts say the regime will go back to previous levels.

The bank said in a series of Q&A tweets in mid-June that even after the operational changes to the foreign exchange market, “The status quo remains on the 43 non-eligible items. The items are not permitted to be funded from the I&E window.”

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

Economy

Nigeria, Japan Launch Naira-based Venture Fund for Startups

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flow of naira notes

By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigeria and Japan have launched a strategic venture capital initiative that will channel Naira-denominated investments into high-growth startups, shielding them from currency risks while unlocking access to long-term concessional financing.

The Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Mr Wale Edun, met with officials from the Nigeria Sovereign Investment Authority (NSIA) and the Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) to finalise the framework of the fund, which has now received formal approval from the Japanese government.

Speaking on the development, Mr Edun welcomed the development, calling it a timely response to Nigeria’s youthful demography.

He said this fund provides critical financial backing across the capital structure—from equity to debt—and is aligned with President Bola Tinubu’s Renewed Hope Agenda for inclusive economic growth, he stated.

On his part, NSIA CEO, Mr Aminu Umar-Sadiq confirmed that the initiative satisfies two key conditions set by the Minister: mitigating foreign exchange volatility by investing in Naira and securing first-loss or grant capital to de-risk private investment.

“With JICA’s support, this is not just a proposed solution—it’s a fully approved, ready-to-launch initiative,” Mr Umar-Sadiq said.

Adding his input, JICA Director General, Mr Takao Shimokawa announced that diplomatic agreements would be signed within weeks, with full implementation expected thereafter.

By combining international concessional financing with domestic currency stability, the fund marks a new model for venture capital in Africa, aimed squarely at empowering the next generation of Nigerian innovators.

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Economy

Nigeria’s Economic Management Team to Assess Impact of Trump’s Tariffs

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One-Trillion Dollar Economy

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Minister of Finance, Mr Wale Edun, has said the country’s Economic Management Team (EMT) would meet to assess the likely impact of the 14 per cent tariff on goods exported from Nigeria to the United States.

Mr Edun made the disclosure while speaking at an event organised by the Ministry of Finance Incorporated (MOFI) on Monday.

The Trump administration recently imposed various tariffs ranging between 10 per cent and 65 per cent on different countries across the world, including Nigeria which got a 14 per cent tariff on its exports to the United States.

He said the EMT will afterwards make recommendations to cushion its impact on the nation’s economy, noting that the federal government will boost non-revenue as a means of cushioning the adverse effects to trade tariffs imposed on countries by President Trump.

Mr Edun stated that while the adverse effect on Nigeria will result in an oil price plunge, the government is intensifying efforts to ramp up oil production and boost non-oil revenues.

The Finance Minister noted that the US, which is at the centre of the tariff war had on April 2, announced that it would exempt mineral exports, including oil.

“Therefore, it’s the price effect, the oil price effect that may affect Nigeria. And it is the job and responsibility of the economic management team of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu, amongst others, to look at the various scenarios that might play out.

“There’s global uncertainty at a huge level, so nobody knows exactly what will happen- the announcement that has been made. We’re not sure what will be delayed, what will be reversed, or what will be implemented.

“So, it is not an announcement that the budget is being reviewed. It’s an announcement that it is our responsibility to look at the various scenarios and options and advise government accordingly.”

Mr Edun also highlighted plans to look at budget adjustment, expenditure prioritisation as well as innovative non-debt financing strategies.

According to him, Nigeria had recorded a trade surplus in the last three years (2022-2024) with the US.

“Nigeria-US Trade has been in surplus in the last 3 years (2022-2024). Nigeria’s exports to the US were N1.8 trillion, N2.6 trillion and N5.5 trillion in 2022-2024, respectively.

“Fortunately, oil and mineral exports accounted for 92 per cent. Implying oil and minerals exports amounted to N5.08 trillion in value while non-oil was just N0.44 trillion.

“Consequently, the tariff effect on exports is negligible if we sustain our oil and minerals export volume.

“The adverse effect on Nigeria will be through oil price plunge. We are intensifying efforts to ramp up crude oil production to curtail any price effect

“We are also focusing on non-oil revenue mobilisation by FIRS and Customs, budget adjustment and prioritisation where possible, and also and innovative non-debt financing strategies,” the Minister said.

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Economy

NASD OTC Exchange Depreciates by 0.08%

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NASD OTC Bourse

By Adedapo Adesanya

The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange fell by 0.08 per cent on Monday, April 7, as the global market meltdown takes its toll on the local economy.

During the first trading session of the week, the market capitalisation of the bourse went down by N1.50 billion to N1.909 trillion from the N1.911 trillion quoted at the preceding session.

In the same vein, the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) depreciated by 2.59 points at the close of business to 3,306.87 points from last Friday’s 3,309.46 points.

Business Post reports that there were two price losers at the session led by Nipco Plc, which crumbled by N20.20 to close at N199.80 per share compared with the previous closing value of N220.00 per share, and Geo-Fluids Plc retreated by 24 Kobo to settle at N2.46 per unit, in contrast to the N2.70 per unit it was traded at the last trading day.

However, the price of FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc went up by N1.22 yesterday to N38.02 per unit from last Friday’s closing value of N36.80 per unit.

The volume of securities traded by the market participants decreased by 56.8 per cent during the session to 560,253 units from the 1.3 million units transacted in the previous trading day, but the value of trades rose by 232.3 per cent to N16.7 million from N5.02 million, and the number of deals contracted by 10 per cent to 18 deals from 20 deals.

Impresit Bakolori Plc remained the most active stock by volume (year-to-date) with 533.9 million units worth N520.9 million, Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc occupied the second spot with 71.2 million units sold for N24.2 million, and the third position was taken by Geo Fluids Plc with 44.4 million units valued at N89.8 million.

Also, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc maintained its position as the most traded stock by value (year-to-date) with 14.2 million units valued at N549.9 million, followed by Impresit Bakolori Plc with 533.9 million units worth N520.9 million, and Afriland Properties Plc with 17.8 million units sold for N364.2 million.

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